NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029200010018-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 5, 2006
• Sequence Number: 18
• Publication Date: August 11, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

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LIVLLYVL LL71L1 1..11E L1J
Wednesdai;:;: s t 11, 1976 CI NIDC 76-188C
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Wednesday August 11, 1976.
1 :1
25X1 e NID Cable is for the purpose o informing
senior US officials.
CONTENTS
LEBANON: Situation Report
Page 1
Page 2
SPAIN-NATO: Membership Question
Page 5
Page 6
USSR-US: Action on Nuclear Agreements
RHODESIA-MOZAMBIQUE: Raid Against Guerrillas
Page 8
Page 9
CHINA: Earthquake Damage Heavy
CHILE: Illegal Detentions
Page 9
Page 10
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GREECE-TURKEY: Sismik Case Goes International
Greece yesterday took its case against Turkish seis-
mic exp oration in the Aegean to the UN Security Council; the
Greek government also unilaterally submitted the dispute over
the Aegean continental shelf to the International Court of Jus-
tice.
Greek Foreign. Minister Bitsios and Turkish Foreign
mister Caglayangil will attend the Security Council meeting
when it convenes later this week.
Greece wou seek a resolution calling for an end to seismic
research activities in contested areas and advising the parties
to submit the issue to the International Court or to resume di-
rect negotiations.
The Greeks petitioned The Hague Court for a ruling on
the substance of the dispute and for a declaration of interim
measures to prevent either country from seismic exploration in
the contested area.
I Caramanlis apparently hopes to impress both his for-
eign an domestic audience with the government's resolve to
press the Greek case without resorting to hostile action against
the Sismik. The head of the Greek intelligence service assured
the US defense attache in Athens on Monday that Greece would
not attack the Sismik but said Athens would do everything short
of that to protect its claims. The attache said Greek forces
are in a high state of readiness but not on full alert.
I IThe Greek government could change this policy if
Greece tails to get a Security Council resolution and the Court
will not hear the unilateral Greek appeal. Caramanlis might then
believe he must toughen his stance in order to retain domestic
political support. The Court, however, may withhold a final de-
cision until the Sismik's voyage is completed?
Turkey has not yet responded to the latest Greek
moves, although yesterday Ankara formally rejected a Greek de-
marche on the activities of the Sismik.
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LEBANON: Situation Report
The fighting in Beirut has risen again as the Chris-
tians engage in another concerted push against the Tall Zatar
refugee camp.
The attackers at one point managed to take over a
command post, although the Palestinian radio station later re-
ported that the Christians had been driven back. The morale of
the remaining defenders has reportedly been severely shaken by
the fall of the nearby Muslim enclave of Nabaa.
There was heavy ground fighting yesterday in several
o eiru s southern suburbs, including Shuwa fat and Kfar Shima
just east of Beirut international airport. 25X1
operations in this area are part of an over-
all strategy aimed eventually at taking over the airport or at
cutting off west Beirut from the south.
J The airport operation is less likely, given the pres-
ence t ere of sizable contingents of Arab League troops, includ-
ing Syrians. The Christians may, however, want to get in a po-
sition to interdict the landing of any aircraft they believe to
be carrying supplies for the Palestinians.
The Christians are apparently continuing to concen-
trate armored vehicles east of Beirut, possibly in preparation
for an attack on the northernmost Palestinian outposts of Ayn-
turah and Mutayn in the predominantly Christian central moun-
tain area. The Christians may hope, however, that their show of
force will persuade the Palestinians to withdraw from the area
voluntarily.
I On Monday, Arab League mediator Hasan Sabri al-Khuli
met wi representatives of the Phalanges Party and Fatah to
discuss problems relating to the cease-fire, the restoration of
public utilities, the deployment of Arab League forces, and--
a Palestinian withdrawal from
I In a later discussion with the Phalangists, Fatah
chief asir Arafat reportedly rejected the idea of a withdrawal,
arguing that the Syrians would move in if the Palestinians leave.
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Al-Khuli continues to meet with representatives of
various sides in a vain attempt to infuse a sense of nation
into the all-but-defunct cease-fire. As days pass with no appar-
ent result, extremists of both sides are adopting uncompromising
public positions.
Leftist leader Kamal Jumblatt has declared his re-
rusai to negotiate except from a position of strength; he is de-
manding the total withdrawal of the Syrian army from Lebanon
and an end to Syrian support of the Christians as conditions
for peace.
I The leader of the extreme rightist Guardians of the
eanwhile, has categorically rejected any kind of under-
standing with the Palestinians, predicting that the remaining
refugee camps in Beirut will go the way of Tall Zatar and Nabaa.
I I A Cypriot freighter reportedly carrying arms and am-
munition valued at a half million dollars for the Palestinians
blew up and sank at the port of Tyre early Monday morning, ap-
parently the result of sabotage. The freighter was probably
carrying equipment being transshipped from Libya or Egypt. The
Cypriots are now refusing to make any further deliveries to
Tyre, although they will continue to deliver to the Christian
port of Juni ah. 25X1
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South African Prime Minister Vorster has announced
that next month members of existing representative bodies for
"coloreds" (mulattoes) and Asians will meet regularly with gov-
ernment ministers to advise them on matters affecting racial
groups. Such an advisory council was proposed two months ago by
a special commission on colored affairs that recommended fur-
ther reforms, which have not been implemented.
Vorster's belated token concession may have been
prompted by some recent demonstrations by colored and Asian stu-
dents to show sympathy for the black students who were shot by
police. Vorster's first explicit comment on the latest rioting,
in a press interview yesterday, stressed that further violence
would not be tolerated.
I There were no serious clashes between students and
police yesterday, although small-scale demonstrations and in-
stances of arson or stone-throwing were reported in several
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black townships near Johannesburg and Pretoria. Students appar-
ently gave up trying to stop black workers from commuting to
jobs, and school attendance increased throughout the metropoli-
tan area. 25X1
SPAIN-NATO: Membership Question
terview late last week that the Suarez government has not de-
cided whether to seek membership in NATO and probably will not
deal with this issue until after the parliamentary election
promised by next June. This is in contrast to the government's
determination to seek early admission to the EC.//
//Spanish Foreign Minister Oreja stated in an in-
//The postponement of a policy decision on NATO
enables Madrid to avoid the risk of a possible rebuff, partic-
ularly since some NATO members are still adamantly opposed to
admitting Spain until convincing political liberation takes
place. Deferral also avoids having to press the issue with some
Spanish military officers and their political allies who have
doubts about the advantages to Spain of NATO membership.//
//Oreja favors Alliance membership, but apparently
finds merit in taking a public position in favor of holding off
at present. In his private remarks, Oreja has been more posi-
tive. He told Ambassador Stabler last month that he personally
attaches great importance to the question of closer association
with NATO, and believes it desirable to move forward as quickly
as possible in considering how to increase Spain's association
with the Alliance.//
//In the meantime, US efforts to promote bilateral
contacts between Spain and the most sympathetic allies as a fur-
ther step toward Madrid's eventual membership in NATO have
evoked a favorable response from the permanent representatives
of these countries--France, West Germany, Italy, Portugal, and
Belgium. The representatives noted, however, that this is their
preliminary reaction and that they will report their governments'
official position in September.//
//Both the Italian and the German representatives
sugges e point military maneuvers with Spain as a logical next 25X1
step. The Belgian representative said Foreign Minister van Els-
lande would discuss a strengthenin of bilateral links during
his visit to Madrid this month.
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USSR-US: Action on Nuclear Agreements
I The Soviet Council of Ministers yesterday formally re-
quested-parliamentary approval of the US-USSR agreements to ban
underground nuclear detonations above a yield of 150 kilotons,
and to give each country the right to inspect the other's test
sites in certain circumstances.
The documents now are to be submitted to the presid-
ium of the USSR Supreme Soviet for review. Endorsement by that
body has the legal effect of ratification, although the texts
are subject to subsequent approval by a plenary session of the
national Supreme Soviet.
Indicate a likely timetable for their parliamentary activity.
These procedures are routine, but the Soviets did not
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RHODESIA-MOZAMBIQUE: Raid Against Guerrillas
Rhodesian government forces say they killed more than
300 Rhodesian guerrillas in a raid on a guerrilla base across
the border in Mozambique on Sunday. A government statement is-
sued in Salisbury adds that about 30 Mozambican troops were
also killed.
The Rhodesian raid was in retaliation for an attack
on a Rhodesian army camp last week by a combined force of guer-
rillas and Mozambican troops. Five Rhodesian soldiers were killed 25X1
in that attack--the largest number of deaths publicly acknowl-
edged by the Rhodesians in a single engagement since the guer-
rilla war began in late 1972.
CHINA: Earthquake Damage Heavy
The strong earthquakes (8.2 and 7.9 on the Richter
scale) t at struck the Tang-shan area of North China on July 28
have crippled the region's economy and impaired China's economic
growth for the year.
Chinese seismologists have reported that on Monday
six major tremors were recorded, all registering above 5 on the
Richter scale in northern China. Foreigners have been warned
that another strong earthquake may occur.
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quakes extends from Peking north-northeast 90 kilometers (55
miles) to the Mi-yun Reservoir, east 270 kilometers (170 miles)
to Shan-hai-kuan, and southeast 160 kilometers (100 miles) to
the Ta-kang oil field near Tientsin. Tang-shan, a major indus-
trial complex with more than 1 million inhabitants, was near
the epicenter and reportedly was leveled.
Tang-shan were affected in varying degrees. Nearly all sectors
of industry are represented in this key area, which accounts
for over 10 percent of China's industrial output.
stallations, including chemical and fertilizer plants, iron and
steel plants, electric power plants, major cement plants, and
mining complexes. Three major oil refineries are located in the
area.
China's largest petrochemical plant, 40
kilometers (25 miles) southwest of Peking, may also have been
damaged. 25X1
I Accor ing to orriciai reports, output was r o e
pre-qua e levels within two days. Ta-kang, China's third largest
oil field, produces some 5 percent of total crude oil output and
a considerable quantity of natural gas.
tent of damage to industrial facilities, although known and
likely damage to transport and communications alone will slow
recovery. As Tang-shan is located astride key communication,
rail, and road links, the quake doubtless has disrupted indus-
try outside the immediately stricken area.
connecting the large Ta-ching oil fields to Peking.
The area directly affected by the recent series of
Most industries within 100 kilometers (62 miles) of
The quake area encompasses some 250 industrial in-
We still have little specific information on the ex-
The shocks probably also cut the major oil pipeline
CHILE: Illegal Detentions
//Growing evidence that Chilean security forces
are responsible for recent disappearances of individuals who
run afoul of the military government threatens to refuel the
human rights controversy.//
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//The government's much publicized. decrees provid-
ing safeguards for political prisoners and reforming internal
security practices are apparently being circumvented by intel-
ligence organizations. The number of detentions reported under
the state of siege has declined and charges of torture have di-
minished, but unexplained disappearances appear to be occurring
with more frequency.//
//The mysterious death of a Chilean who had been
working for the UN in Santiago could draw bad publicity. When
he was found dead in mid-July the government dismissed the death
as accidental,
//Considerable publicity has already been given the
expulsion last week of two leading lawyers, one of whom had re-
portedly taken an interest in the UN employee's death. The two
were hustled out of the country on a flight to Argentina in con-
travention of decrees requiring warrants, identification of the
arresting authority, and prompt notification of relatives.//
//Critics of Chilean security practices have had
little new material to work with in recent months, and the con-
vening of the OAS foreign m:Lnisters in Santiago gave the govern-
ment a degree of respectability it had long been seeking. The
modest reforms which made this possible are clearly breakinq
down. 25X1
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