NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029300010022-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 12, 2006
• Sequence Number: 22
• Publication Date: September 14, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

PF 4. Aw AW AMIF AW AV AIV AW AAPV AV 14
1
1
1
pprove
200710=9 ~eM
-__I CONCURRENCE I I INFORMATION I SIGNATURE
REMARKS:
-RDP79T00975A029300010022-2
Top Secret
(Security Classification) 0
CONTROL NO.J
Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
1
1
1
State Dept. review completed
To Secret
rree~~, 0 dgW I
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0293F%Vd I sification
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY CABLE
Tuesday September 14, 1976 CI NIDC 76-216C
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
 Approved For Ro
National Intelligence-Daily Cable for Tuesday, September 14, 1976
11
125X1
e NiD Cable is tor the purpose or informing
senior U o icials.
LEBANON: Situation Report
Page 1
SOUTH AFRICA: Situation Report
Page 3
USSR-CHINA: Soviet Reaction to Mao's Death
Page 3
YUGOSLAVIA: Hijackers
Page 5
IRAQ-KUWAIT: New Tension
Page 5
YUGOSLAVIA: Tito's Health
Page 6
USSR: Tikhonov
Page 7
CIEC: Talks Resume
Page 7
Approved For Flelease 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A02V300010022-2
 Approved For Ro
LEBANON: Situation Report
Fatah leader Salah Khalaf, despite a public denial,
may nave met with Syrian officials last Saturday in central
Lebanon. Khalaf, considered to be number-two in Fatah next to
Yasir Arafat, is the leader of a militant faction that opposes
Arafat's policy of compromise on the question of Syria's mil-
itary presence in Lebanon.
Khalaf's denial may only mean that he was dissatis-
ie with the results of the meeting. The Beirut press has
speculated that the Syrians refused to discuss a troop with-
drawal, called for reactivating the Syrian-Palestinian recon-
ciliation accord that both sides signed on July 29 but never
implemented, and threatened to seek a military solution if the
Palestinians did not accept soon Damascus' proposals for a po-
litical settlement.
I Khalaf issued an apparent rejoinder yesterday by
saying that Palestinians were prepared for a dialogue, but not
on terms that made them "slaves of Syria."
Palestinian spokesmen are accusing Syria of conduct-
ing reconnaissance missions and moving troops toward Palestin-
ian and leftist positions in the mountains east of Beirut.
Various Lebanese political leaders who are shuttling
to Damascus are also visiting Cairo for consultations. The
Egyptians recently have been attempting to play a more direct
role in'the Lebanese talks, having failed to limit Syria's in-
fluence by other means.
Lebanese Prime Minister Karami, who held unpublicized
talks with Syrian President Asad on Sunday, flew to Cairo yes-
terday to meet with Egyptian President Sadat. Another tradi-
tional Muslim leader, Saib Salam, conferred with Asad yester-
day. Both Salam and Christian Phalanges leader Jumayyil are
expected in Cairo today.
Approved For Re
 25X6 Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
 Approved For Ro
SOUTH AFRICA: Situation Report
I IThe three-day work boycott that began yesterday in
the ac townships of Soweto and Alexandra near Johannesburg
has so far been successful. Absenteeism in Johannesburg busi-
nesses was reported at about 70 percent, with 90 percent of the
city's bus drivers staying away.
I I The US consulate reports that the boycott was well
organi , apparently by student leaders eager to show their
new power.
I Although the disturbances in the Cape Town vicinity
have su sided, leaflets reportedly are circulating in both col-
ored (mulatto) and black residential areas calling for a work
boycott on Thursday and Friday and threatening reprisals against
those who do not cooperate. Some whites in Cape Town have been
forming vigilante groups to protect homes and schools, in-
creasing the prospects for further violence in sections where
whites and coloreds have long lived side-by-side in relative
harmony.
Vorster, in an address on Sunday night
Prime Minister
.
commemorating his 10 years in office, made it clear once again
that blacks would not be given any political representation in
South Africa and that their political rights could be exercised
only in the tribal homelands. At the same time, Vorster reiter-
ated that the newly formed cabinet council--a strictly advisory
body--would e mutual interests of coloreds, Indians,
and whites.
USSR-CHINA: Soviet Reaction to Mao's Death
V terda two Politburo members, First Deputy Pre-
s
e
y
mier Mazurov--who may have been standing in for ailing Premier
Kosygin--and Foreign Minister Gromyko went to the Chinese em-
bassy in Moscow to sign the condolence book for Mao Tse-tung.
Approved For Relea$e 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0293p0010022-2
 Approved Fir Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00g75A029300010022-2
They were accompanied by Deputy Premier Arkhipov
and Deputy Foreign Minister Ilichev, Moscow's chief negotiator
at the stalemated border talks, among others. Subsequently,
representatives of the Union of Soviet Friendship Societies
and of the Soviet-Chinese Friendship Society also signed the
I Moscow's response was correct but not necessarily
conciliatory. It was the highest-level delegation the Soviets
have ever sent to offer condolences upon the death of a Chi-
nese leader.
I I Mazurov was the only Politburo member to sign the
condolence book for Premier Chou En-lai last January. Mazurov
and Gromyko are both primarily associated with the government,
not the party, but in their press coverage of the event, the
Soviets noted the party as well as the governmental ties of
these Politburo members.
Soviet central press coverage of China since Mao's
death has been confined to a comment in Pravda "International
Week" on Sunday; it said merely that the Western press had been
carrying contradictory predictions about the impact of Mao's
death on China's internal developments and on its relations
with the US and the USSR.
I I Other, less authoritative Soviet propaganda organs
are sti carrying some material critical of Chinese foreign
policy, but on Thursday the nominally unofficial Radio Peace
and Progress dropped two regular features that are almost in-
variably critical of China. One was replaced by a commentary
recalling all that the Soviets have done for the Chinese and
reiterating Moscow's standard conditions for an improvement
in relations.
I IThe Chinese have rejected the message of condolence
on Mao's death sent last week by the Soviet Communist Party,
according to a press repor'- from Peking. A Chinese Foreign Min-
istry spokesman was quoted today as saying that the message was
unacceptable because the Soviet and Chinese parties do not have
formal relations.
Approved Fpr Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A029300010022-2
 Approved For Releao
YUGOSLAVIA: Hijackers
I iBelgrade's reaction to the hijacking by Croat emigres
last Friday is rooted in its deep concern about the impact of
antiregime terrorist activity after Tito dies.
I I The Yugoslav press alleges that the hijackers were
supported financially and directed by "conservative circles" in
the US, and denounces the alleged slanders of Yugoslavia in the
emigre propaganda published by US media. Belgrade papers also
accuse the US government of failing to control the activities
of anti-Titoist emigres in the US.
L Such allegations and diplomatic demarches are normal
ugos av reactions to any increase in the activities of emigres.
The virulence of the current campaign may reflect fear that the
hijacking may have been triggered by Belgrade's announcement on
Friday that President Tito is ailing.
I The Yugoslavs may also believe that the condemnations
o the US will deflect Western criticism of their own recent
treatment of the international terrorist "Carlos," who was not
detained when he was in Belgrade last week.
IRAQ-KUWAIT: New Tension
//The Kuwaiti foreign minister told the US
ambassador yes erday that small numbers of Iraqi troops late
last week made three shallow incursions into Kuwaiti territory.
An earlier report from a Kuwaiti official said that Baghdad had
moved additional military forces to Zubayr and to Satwan on
the disputed Iraq-Kuwait border. We cannot confirm the alleged
Iraqi troops movements.//
I The foreign minister said his government has moved
troops to the area of the incursions to block the Iraqis from
penetrating any further into Kuwaiti territory.
I Baghdad's reported military moves may be part of a
campaign -4o encourage leftists and Palestinians in Kuwait to
agitate against the Emir's recent dissolution of the Kuwaiti
National Assembly and imposition of tough curbs on the press.
Approved For Releas4 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A029100010022-2
 Approved Ford
Baghdad's news media have alleged that the Emir's moves were
intended to destroy the Palestinian movement in Kuwait.
The Iraqis may also believe the time is ripe to
wring concessions from Kuwait on the delineation of their dis-
puted border. Baghdad may see the Kuwaitis, currently preoccu-
pied with internal affairs, as particularly vulnerable to I
i
raq
military intimidation.
I Kuwait is concerned about Baghdad's intentions. The
uwaiti ambassador in Baghdad made representations to the Iraqi
foreign minister, who claimed to be unaware of any incidents
on the border.
Over the weekend, the Kuwaiti cabinet reviewed the
new s rains in relations with Iraq, which have been troubled
since Iraqi troops seized a small strip of Kuwaiti territory
early in 1973. The Kuwaiti foreign minister has canceled plans
to attend a meeting in Damascus of the Arab foreign ministers'
committee that is t prepare for the coming Arab summit.
YUGOSLAVIA: Tito's Health
I IBelgrade's announcement yesterday that President
Tito wi not be able to see Denmark's Queen Margrethe in late
September seems intended, at least in part, to squelch specu-
lation that his current indisposition is a diplomatic one.
Tito contributed to such an interpretation by ap-
pearing several times with Romanian President Ceausescu on
Friday--after Paris had been informed that President Giscard's
visit to Belgrade would have to be postponed because Tito was
ill.
I The announcement yesterday said that Tito would need
severa weeks of "indispensable rest." Tito's medical history
includes one serious bout with a liver ailment and der operation in.1951.
Approved
 Approved For
I Tito could be suffering from hepatitis. He could
have con racted the disease during his stay in Sri Lanka last
month or as a by-product of the extensive blood transfusions
that are occasionally used in treatment of his minor strokes.
Tikhonov--who was appointed first deputy
Nikola
y
I premier on September 2--is being treated in the Soviet media
as though he had full Politburo status, but he has not yet been
formally promoted.
hotographs of the leaders at the airport to
In the
p
1~ welcome General Secretary Brezhnev back from Alma Ata on Sep-
tember 5, he is shown in the front with full members of the
Politburo, while candidates, such as Russian Republic Premier
Mikhail Solomentsev, are relegated to the second row.
I The other first deputy premier, Kirill Mazurov, is
already a Politburo member, and Tikhonov probably will soon be
promoted. The Supreme Soviet will reportedly meet next month
to approve the five-year plan. A Central Committee plenum
immediately preceding its session would be an appro riate
forum for the announcement of Tikhonov's promotion.
CIEC: Talks Resume
Th Conference on International Economic Coop-
// e
resumes with a week-long working session in Paris to-
day.//
//The talks appeared to be at an impasse follow-
ing a rear own in July over the agendas for the meetings this
month. The dispute was over the wording of the items on debt
relief for developing states and the protection of the "pur-
chasing power" of their earnings from raw materials exports.//
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300P10022-2
 Approved ~
//At that time the eight industrialized partici-
pants contended that the 19 developing and oil-exporting states
were seeking a prior commitment on the outcome of the confer-
ence and the 19, in response, broke off the talks.//
//After consulting with other participants, the
Canadian and Venezuelan co-chairmen agreed last weekend on a
formula for the agenda that has only papered over basic dif-
ferences. The prospects for progress this week are thus bleak.//
//The ministerial review session, scheduled for
cem er, may require substantive concessions by the indus-
trialized states if an agreement is to be reached. Coordination
of policies among the industrialized countries will be espe-
cially difficult prior to the ministerial meeting, however,
because of their reluctance to take firm positions until after
the US and West German elections.//
//Most of the European participants do not want
e a cs to collapse and some--notably the Dutch and the
Scandinavians--are willing to consider favorably the develop-
ing countries' demands concerning debt relief.//
//The developing states may try to exploit the
i erences among the industrialized participants by again
threatening to break off the dialogue.
I F77
25X1
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
 pr Air Air Air Air AV AV AV AV AV Air
App ved For Release 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
0 Top secret
(Security Classification)
0
0
1 0
. 0 0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0 0
0 Top Secret 0
(Secu q- Fag-fo-Wease 2007/03/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29300010022-2
Idmv 19mv IAW Adw 14mv Adw Adw Adw Adw Aj