NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029600010040-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 22, 2005
• Sequence Number: 40
• Publication Date: December 23, 1976
• Content Type: REPORT

PV AdV AV AdV
NAME MID ADDRESS
AV AV AV AV AV AV AV
Top Secret
(Security Classification)
RECOMMENDATION
RETURN
FROM: NAME, ADDRESS, AND PHONE NO.
2' ~
25X1
25X1
Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
Thursday December 23, 1976 CI NIDC 76-299C
0
0
1
1
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Top Secret
25
(Security Classification)
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 Approved For 4elease 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975 029600010040-9 25X1
National Intelligence Daily Cable for Thursday December 23, 1976.
e NID Cable is for the purpose of inrorming
senior o is als.
25X1
25X1
CHINA: Leadership
Page 4
25X1
MAURITIUS: Election Results
Page 6
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 Approved For F4elease 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975k029600010040-9 25X1
CHINA: Leadership
Chinese Politburo member and Peking party chairman Wu
Te appears to be in serious political difficulty probably be-
cause of his persistent criticism of ousted vice premier Teng
Hsiao-ping.
I I Wu is the highest ranking Chinese official so far
caught up in Peking's attempts to rebuild a leadership that has
been depleted by deaths and purges in the past year. His current
problems are further evidence that uncertainty over Teng's
future role is at the center of confusion in Peking.
I Wu was the last senior official to call for criticism
o eng. He has not appeared in public since December 9, and he
was the only active Politburo member in Peking who failed to
show up at two major economic meetings in the past week.
//Wu was specifically accused of suppressing the
riot in Peking last April that was originally blamed on Teng and
that precipitated his downfall. The implication of this charge
against Wu is that Teng's role in the riot may no longer be a
justification for criticizing the former vice premier./
25X1
Approved For Release 260_6/W - -
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 Approved For Re
25X1
25X1
The radical Mauritian Militant Movement, Prime Minis-
ter Ramgoolam's principal opposition, made a surprisingly strong
showing in the parliamentary election last Monday.
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 Approved For
It won more seats than Ramgoolam's Independence Party,
although the MMM apparently failed by a few seats to gain a ma-
jority necessary to form a government. Emboldened by its surpris-
ing showing and near victory, the MMM is sure to begin maneuver-
ing hard to win over the support it needs to form a government.
Ramgoolam is equally determined to remain in power.
With no single party commanding a majority, Ramgoolam remains as
caretaker prime minister and has until December 31 to form a
coalition or a minority government. His only possible coalition
partner is the right-of-center Mauritian Social Democratic Party,
which came in third and apparently would provide barely enough
seats for a majority.
The two parties--aligned in a coalition from 1969 to
,
1973--are apparently in agreement that the leftist MMM must be
kept out of the government. Government leaders and others with
a stake in preserving the system are especially concerned about
the MMM's Marxist orientation, its numerous supporters among the
youth and labor unions, and its promises to nationalize large
portions of the industrial sector.
Regardless of which party forms a government, instabil-
ity and uncertainty are likely. The new government will have a
slim majority, and it will have considerable difficulty governing
and staying in power. Under these circumstances, a new election
is likely.
I _J The size of the MMM vote probably stems from the suc-
cess of its well organized supporters in exploiting the lack-
luster government campaign and the general hostility against
those in power. Almost half of the incumbents in parliament, in-
cluding a number of cabinet members, were turned out. The MMM
charged the government with failing to deal with unemployment
and other economic problems.
I The opposition also apparently did well among the
youth--about 40 percent of the electorate is under 30--who were
attracted by the party's promises of change and its attempts to
identify with third world issues and anti-Western sentiment. The
MMM sharply criticized the US installation on the island of Diego
Garcia, which was separated from Mauritius by the UK before in-
dependence.
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
25X1
 25X1
25X1
25X1
Approved For Rel
and the police have prohibited demonstrations until late this
week. The calm is unlikely to continue for long.
25X1
The election campaign was free of major disturbances, 25X1
Approve For Release 2005/06/0 I - -
 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
 PV AMW AW AW AV AV AV AV AV A "I
1
1
1
1
1
To Agro et or Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9
(Security Classification)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Top Secret
0 (Security Classification)
Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO29600010040-9