NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010004-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 5, 2006
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: March 2, 1977
• Content Type: REPORT

iiiii~i/
1
1
1
1
1
1;
1
CIA-RDP79T00975A02990 100 6 e?..; ~
TO: NAME AND DRESS DATE INITIALS op ecret ~-= ~. a
1 (Security Classificatiola)
2
3
4
ACTION
DIRECT REPLY
PREPAR
E REPLY
APPROVAL
DISPATCH
RECOMMENDATION
COMMENT
FILE
RETURN
rnur~~poFUrF
iniGnneeeTinu
cireinriioG
FROM:
NAME, ADDRESS, AND PHONE NO.
DATE
Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
Wednesday March 2, 1977 CG NIDC 77-049C
State Dept. review completed
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Top Secret
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 :CIA-RDP79T00975A0299~vot'10~
25X1
I
25X
1
 25X1 gpproved For Release 2007/03/09 :CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010004-6
Approved For Release 2007/03/09 :CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010004-6
 Approved For Rel
25X1
National Intelli ence Dail Cable for V~eanesda March 2 ].977.
e a e is or e purpose o in ormirlg
senior US o icials.
USSR-US: Human Rights
UGANDA: Situation Report
WEST GERMANY: Energy Debate
NIGERIA: Policy Toward Arab States
INTERNATIONAL: Afro-Arab Summit
Page ].
Page 2
Page 3
Page 4
Page ~;
PHILIPPINES: Negotiations Threatened
Page 6
Approved For Release 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T00975A0299g0010004-6
 Approved For Rel
USSR-US: Human Rights
The Soviet Foreign Ministry has protested contacts
e~ween members of the US embassy and Soviet dissident Andrey
Sakharov. The protest could presage harassment of embassy of-
ficers who deal with the dissident community in Moscow. The
USSR has also taken concrete steps to demonstrate that US ac-
tions on human rights will hamper some aspects of relations be-
tween the two countries.
Ambassador Toon was. summoned to the Foreign Ministry
yester ay to receive a strongly worded protest message from
Deputy Foreign Minister Korniyenko. The message termed embassy
contacts with Sakharov "completely inadmissible" and demanded
that "such activities, for which the embassy bears full respon-
sibility, cease."
Soviet media have not yet mentioned President Carter's
letter to Sakharov or the President's statements on human rights
in the USSR. The delay suggests that a Soviet response to the
Sakharov affair has occasioned intense internal debate within
the leadership.
In a related development, the Soviets gave a partic-
u ar y co d reception to a US delegation that visited Moscow
late last month to arrange a long-term exchange of physicians.
The chairman of the USSR-USA Friendship Association, who had
extended the invitation to the American group, refused to meet
with it. A deputy minister of health told the chief of the del-
egation that. President Carter's statements are making bilateral
exchanges "difficult to arrange."
In meetings with the delegates, the Soviets harangued
them on human rights problems in the US and pointedly refused
to discuss future exchanges. This is the first time the Soviets
have directly linked a bilateral program to the human rights
debate.
On Monday, Moscow arrested two Soviet Jewish activ-
ists w o were trying to enter the US embassy in the company of
an embassy officer. This is the first time in some years that
the Soviets have made arrests in such circumstances. The Soviet
Approved For Release 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T00975A0~9900010004-6
 Approved Four Release 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T0097~A029900010004-6
authorities later released the two activists, who were trying
to deliver a report on Moscow's violations of th.e Helsinki agree-
ments. The embassy registered a protest at the Soviet Foreign
P,iinistry yesterday.
Moscow has intensified its polemics on human. rights
0 owing its strongly worded demarche to the US government two
weeks ago over US statements in support of Soviet dissidents.
Commentaries in Pravda and on Moscow radio have warned. that US
statements could adversely affect efforts to improve relations.
A Pravda commentator, participating in a panel dis-
cussion on Moscow domestic radio on February 20, noted that the
US "parallel course" of limiting nuclear arms and interfering
in Soviet internal affairs was "either a grandiose error or
simply a provocation." This was the most direct Soviet state-
ment raising the possibility of linking negotiations on stra-
tegic arms to the current controversy over human rights.
Soviet officials and commentators nonetheless con-
inue o stress Moscow's interest in pursuing arms limitations
with the US, particularly a SALT II accord. The Soviet media
apparently are still under instructions not to criticize Presi-
dent Carter or his administration by name. A Soviet Foreign
Ministry official commented privately last week that D4oscow
would like to see the ublic f-uror die down and uiet diplo-
macy" return.
UGANDA: Situation Report
The Ugandan charge in Washington confirmed yesterday
that all US citizens in Uganda are free to leave the country
or travel within Uganda without restriction. It remains un-
clear whether President Amin intends to reschedule his meeting
with the Americans, which he has postponed twice.
The charge repeated Uganda's invitation to the US
government to send a representative to "see for himself" how
safe all Americans are in Uganda.
may now eave, but most will probably remain in the country.
Some of the approximately 240 US citizens in Uganda
Approved For
 Approved For Re
One American tourist who arrived in Uganda last weelc
was permitted to cross into Kenya on Monday. He informed the
US embassy in Nairobi that several Americans had told him they
had been stopped by Ugandan police but released when they said
they were tourists. Apparently no US citizens have been physi-
cally harassed.
~ ~//The American said Kampala appeared calm and
that few troo s were in evidence.
u
WEST GERMANY: Energy Debate
The West German government has scheduled a debate
on energy policy--primarily the nuclear power program--for mid-
April.
~ The government's call for a debate stems in part from
concern that the public and many Bundestag deputies are not
strongly behind the nuclear program. The government hopes that
a discussion of the consequences of inaction and of options
will increase support for constructing nuclear power plants itl
West Germany.
Politicians in all major parties are uncertain about
which side to take in the debate. They realize that a decision
to reduce the scope of the nuclear program or to abandon the
program would arouse opposition, especially from the trade
unions and would almost certainly hurt the economy. At the same
time, they know that building more nuclear plants is a troubling
issue for the public.
The nuclear issue has spawned a number of environ-
mentalist and other citizens' groups with members ranging from
moderates to extremists. These groups are especially troubling
to politicians who fear that, because they are a departure from
the normal political organizations, they could weaken the tra-
ditional party structure.
25X1
Approved For R lease 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T00975 029900010004-6
 Approved F
In a speech at the University of Ibadan last: month,
The West Germans meanwhile have decided to Y~uild
Germany s integrated nuclear fuel cycle center--including a
reprocessing plant and storage facilities for radioaci~ive was-te--
near a village less than four miles from the East German border.
Federal authorities and representatives of the ten st~~te govern-
ments recently decided to delay the construction of nE~w reactors
until storage facilities for radioactive waste were e:~tablished.
The decis-ion could still be overturned because of
oca opposition and because of the need for extensivE~ consulta-
tions with East German authorities. These talks probak~ly will
not be fruitful. The salt layers in which the radioactive waste
would be buried extend across the border into an area where the
East Germans have been test-drillin for natural gas deposits.
NIGERIA: Policy Toward Arab States
Nigerian External Affairs Commissioner Garba expresses' his
country's unhappiness over Arab insensitivity to soutl-:ern Af-
rica's struggle for majority rule. Garba said Nigeria expects
the full support of Arab states on southern African i=:-.sues in
exchange for African support for Palestinians.
Garba's speech marked the second time recently
a a igh Nigerian official had expressed reservations about
the country's relationship with Arab states. Nigeria's head
of state, Lieutenant General Obasanjo, told visiting L'S Ambas-
sador Andrew Young that Nigeria was not under Arab influence
with regard to Israel.
Garba is expected to reiterate rigeria's unr:.appi-
ness over lac}: of Arab support. next week when the first Afro-
Arab summit conference is held in Cairo. If Arab support is not
demonstrated, a shift in Nigeria's Middle Eastern policy could
emerge.
Such a shift in policy would probably lead to less
vociferous Nigerian support for Arab causes in the UN and other
international organizations. We do not expect Nigeria to under-
take any ra rochement with Israel.
Approved For
25X1"
 Approved For Red
Black African nations will probably press the Arab
s a es or increased economic assistance at the first Afro-Arab
summit, which convenes in Cairo on March. 7. The Africans be-
lieve they have received insufficient financial aid from the
Arabs in light of their continued African support for Arab po-
litical positions.
//While the African states will not get everything
ey wan? ?rom the summit, the Arabs may increase somewhat th.e
level of their assistance to the continent. The Arab League
voted in January to increase by an unspecified amount the capi-
tal of the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa. The
bank and its Special Fund probably would be used rather than
the African Development Bank to provide assistance to the Af-
ricans because the Arabs stron 1 favor use of the multilateral
agencies they control.//
Approved For F~elease 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T00975A02~900010004-6
 Approved For
PHILIPPINES; Negotiations Threatened
President P~4arcos' determination to carry out a plebi-
scite in the southern Philippines has brought negotiations in
Libya with Philippine Muslim rebels close to a collapse.
The initial round of Libyan-sponsored talks in Decem-
er resu ted in a cease-fire and agreement for a Muslim autono-
mous zone. The agreement did not call for a plebiscite, but
Marcos contends that one was implicit in references t.o follow-
ing Philippine "constitutional processes" in establi~-king the
autonomous zone.
Approved For
 Approved For R~
The Muslims and their Libyan backers deny that a
plebiscite was part of the December understanding; they know
Marcos intends to reduce the size of the zone by generating a
negative vote by Christian majorities in three of the 13 prov-
inces proposed for inclusion. Plarcos says he has a transcript
of a phone conversation in which Libyan President Qadhafi in-
dicated agreement for a plebiscite.
//Marcus has publicly admitted a "deep crisis?'
in t e negotiations, and his defense secretary has approached
US officials regarding expeditious delivery of US arms in prep-
aration for renewed fighting. The hard-line positions of both
sides cloud prospects for salvaging the talks,
Approved For F~elease 2007/03/09: CIA-RDP79T00975Ap29900010004-6
 1'O~~~y~~~or Release 2007/03/09 :CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010004-6
(Security Classilfication)
r
Top Secret
(Security Clams For Release 2007/03/09 :CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010004-6
~
~
-
-
J