NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A029900010028-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 13, 2006
• Sequence Number: 28
• Publication Date: March 16, 1977
• Content Type: REPORT

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CIA-RDP79TOO975AO29 0010 8-0 217
op Secret
(Security Classification) 25X1 0
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Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:
Wednesday March 16, 1977 CG NIDC 77-061C
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State Dept. review completed
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
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Top Secret
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(Security Classification 25X1
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Wednesday, March 16, 1977
25X1
IThe NID Cable is tor the purpose of in orming
senior o icials.
CONTENTS
ZAIRE: Military Situation
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ZAIRE: Military Situation
//The Katangan force that invaded Zaire a week ago
appears to have consolidated its position in Shaba Province
and has begun to expand to the east and north.//
I IThe US consul in Lubumbashi emphasizes the Zairian
army's unpreparedness and its dismal performance in the few
encounters thus far. The army apparently has deliberately
avoided battle.
The consul also reports that Lubumbashi is calm but
a is situation could change as reports spread of casual-
ties and Katangan successes. The consul says that latent senti-
ment for Katangan independence persists among those native to
Shaba, while those from outside the region will feel increas-
ingly threatened the longer the Katangan invaders remain unop-
posed.
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Belgian military aid--two C-130s loaded with arms and
ammuni ion--is due in Kinshasa today. The Belgian government,
however, does not seem to view the situation as particularly
serious, and may believe that President Mobutu is exaggerating
the threat to obtain long-sought military assistance.
//We believe the threat to Mobutu's regime is al-
rea y acing on serious proportions. The situation will become
more severe if the Zairian military does not undertake effec-
tive countermeasures to halt what now appears to be a major ef-
fort to achieve at least the secession of Katan a if not the
overthrow of the u regime.// 25X1
USSR-SYRIA: Official Visit
I I Syrian President Asad has accepted a Soviet invitation
o mee with General Secretary Brezhnev in Moscow in early
April, before Asad's meeting with President Carter in Europe.
Foreign Minister Khaddam has confirmed to the US embassy in
Damascus that the two leaders are planning to meet, but he did
not give dates or a location.
The USSR is unhappy over Syrian support for Egypt's
e orts to encourage the US to resume its central role in
promoting a Middle East peace settlement. The Soviets are prob-
ably also discouraged by the decline in the number of their
personnel in Syria during the past several months; Asad has
been reducing the Soviet military mission.
I I Both sides probably hope the Asad-Brezhnev meeting will
preven more slippage in relations; they may sign a new arms
agreement to demonstrate continued friendship. The USSR is
anxious to prevent a further los-s of its presence and face;
Syria wants to retain its arms supply relationship with the
USSR and to underscore for the US the independent role of
Syria in the ne otiating process. 25X1
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