NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A030700010068-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 18, 2005
• Sequence Number: 68
• Publication Date: June 21, 1978
• Content Type: REPORT

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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY CABLE 0
0 Wednesday 21 June 1978 CG NIDC 78/144C 0
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NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Top Secret
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Wednesday, 21 June 1978.
25X1' e NID cable is for a purpose o informing
senior US-officials.
CONTENTS
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EGYPT: Sadat's Speech to ASU
ZAIRE: Military Situation
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EGYPT: Sadat's Speech. to ASU
Egyptian President Sadat's speech yesterday was yet
another attempt to defend his recent imposition of greater
restrictions on political activity. Sadat dealt only briefly
with Israel's answers to US questions on peace negotiations
and clearly tried to cast his criticisms in a way that would
not prejudice efforts to keep current exchanges alive.
Replaying the theme of his past several speeches,
Sadat accused the leadership of the New Wafd Party of trying
to revive "pre-revolutionary politics" and warned that he would
never allow the existence of an Egyptian leftist party led by
Marxists and under foreign influences.
The only new element in his address was a call for
the Arab Socialist Union--the remnant of the country's single-
party system, which now monitors the formation of new parties--
to draw up a code of political ethics to be reviewed on 23 July,
the anniversary of the Egyptian revolution.
Sadat's cal' for a code of ethics appears to be a
further attempt to make his political crackdown appear as if it
resulted from the "popular will." Those who have been most criti-
cal of the curtailment of political liberties are likely to see
the move as a transparent gambit and will not soften their
criticism.
I I The Egyptian President commented on Israel's response
to US,questions concerning peace negotiations at the end of his
address in an effort to play down the seeming stalemate. He
described Tel Aviv's answers as "very loose and not positive at
all." He nevertheless said he remains optimistic and is ready
to resume direct talks with the Israelis, if they decide to
be more "forthcoming."
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ZAIRE: Military Situation
//The approximately 2,000-man African in-
ternational peacekeeping force in Zaire is now being sent to
the mining towns of southern Shaba Region. Belgian troops re-
main in the area but are scheduled to leave Shaba by the end
of the week. Katangan rebels are reported to be still in the
Luashi area near the border with Angola.//
I IPlans call for the stationing of major units of the
peacekeeping force in Lubumbashi, Likasi, and Kolwezi, and
a smaller force in Kambove. The garrisons from the three
major towns will send patrols to other mining communities,
including Kakanda, Fungurume, and Kipushi. Europeans working
in Kipushi want troops to be stationed in the town, but no
decision has yet been made.
Belgium was to start withdrawing the last of its troops
trom the mining towns yesterday. According to the Belgian
commander, all of his men would return to Belgium by Monday.
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Katangan insurgents remaining in SftaDa are in a uashi area.
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Scattered but persistent strikes are causing some
a arm on the French labor scene. The big confederations are not
anxious to stage major strikes so close to the vacation period--
which begins in mid-July--but pressure from below may force
them to do so.
Strikes in key sectors of the nationalized Renault
automotive plants have blocked deliveries of parts and forced
management to lay off 9,000 workers. Strikes have also occurred
at the naval arsenal and against some private companies.
Labor unrest has been. triggered largely by price
rises in'food and services. and by Prime Minister Barre's blunt
statements that he will not change his austerity policies. The
Communist-controlled General Confederation of Labor would pre-
fer to let pressure mount over the summer and, in the autumn,
rebuild the unity with, non-Communist unions that was lost in
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the wake of the election in March. It wishes to lead the pro-
test movement against the government. The non-Communist union
leaders aie not anxious for widespread strikes now either.
The General Confederation of Labor has called for a
one-day postal strike today and a two-day railway strike next
weekend. Brief strikes like these may not have much signifi-
cance; they are a traditional union tactic to let off steam.
If the pressure from below continues to mount, hovever, the
union's leaders would have to scrap their timetable and organize
nationwide strikes. In any event, the government is likely to
face a widespread strike wave in the fall that will test its
economic and social policies.
Ethiopia-Djibouti
The railway between Addis Ababa and Djibouti was
blocked again on Sunday when guerrillas--probably Somali-backed
insurgents--attacked a train some 60 kilometers south of the
Djibouti border. During the week the line had been open, only
one train had completed the Addis-Djibouti run. The railway
is important for the movement of commercial goods into Ethiopia,
and the attack could provoke a stron Ethiopian military response.
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Organization of American States
The VIII General Assembly of the Organization of Ameri-
can States opens today in Washington during a transitional phase
in hemispheric relations. The Assembly is not expected to reach
any major decisions, although there, are sufficient political,
territorial, and ideological disputes to provide the possibility
of controversy before the session closes on 30 June.
The confrontational mood of the mid-1970s, in which
Latin American and Caribbean nations opposed what they consid-
ered an indifferent US, has all but passed. With many bilateral
and subregional relationships under strain, the US will no
longer be the exclusive focus of debate.
Economic issues, especially charges of US protection-
ism, can still elicit strong anti-US rhetoric, but the members
will be divided on most. other significant human rights, terror-
ism, reform of the inter-American system, and North-South prob-
lems.
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Iraq-Lebanon
Iraq is reported to be withdrawing its troops from
e anon. Iraqi Foreign Minister Hammadi told the Lebanese Ambas-
sador in Baghdad on Monday that the troops--presumably the nearly
600-man Special Forces unit sent to southern Lebanon when Israel
invaded the area in March--were being withdrawn to aid the
Lebanese Government in reestablishing its authority following
the Israeli pullout.
over these "volunteers."
Iraq usually disavows any official connection with or control
L -1 Iraqi withdrawal of the Special Forces would still
leave some Iraqis in southern Lebanon with the Arab Liberation
Front, a Baghdad-sponsored rejectionist Palestinian organization.
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