NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A031300130002-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 29, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: April 16, 1979
• Content Type: REPORT

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National Intelligence Daily
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Monday
16 April 1979
Top Secret
State Dept. review completed
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Briefs and Comments
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Israel: Palestinian Attack . . . . . . . . . .
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USSR-Romania: Differences in CEMA .
Overnight Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..
The Overnight Reports, printed on yellow paper as the
final section of the Daily, will often contain materials
that update the Situation Reports and Briefs and Comments.
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Israeli security officials are concerned that yes-
terday's unsuccessful Palestinian commando attack on an
Israeli settlement--the second such attack in Zess than
five weeks--may mean that Jordan has abandoned its policy
of preventing commando infiltration from Jordanian ter-
ritory. We doubt that Jordan has changed its policy;
the attacks probably reflect a redoubling of Palestinian
efforts since the signing of the Egyptian-Israeli peace
treaty and possibly more professional preparation. Both
factors make it more difficult for the Jordanians to de-
tect such raids.
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Israeli Chief of Staff Eytan reportedly told a group
of settlers that the attack could not have taken place
without Jordanian foreknowledge. Other defense officials
were quoted as saying that Tel Aviv takes a "severe view"
of the upsurge in attacks from Jordan. These statements 25X1
are probably intended to remind Jordan that Israel will
not hesitate to retaliate against Jordanian targets if
it believes Amman is permitting commando attacks.
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Several indications point to uneasiness by some East
European countries about Soviet efforts to expand the
commitments of the Council on Mutual Economic Assistance
beyond Europe. Romania, as usual, has taken the Lead in
resisting the Soviets, but the behavior of other East
European Leaders suggests they find it easier to give
rhetorical support for Third World countries like Vietnam
(CEMA's newest member) and Afghanistan than to include
them in long-term economic plans that require East Euro- 25X1
can investment.
Recent statements by Hungarian, Polish, and Czechoslovak
leaders also suggest that they have reservations about
Moscow's efforts to get the East European states to share
the Soviet economic aid burden in the Third World.
Several sources suggest that Hungarian First Secre-
tary Kadar and Polish First Secretary Gierek did not get
all the commitments for economic assistance that they
sought during their visits to Moscow last month. In-
stead they were pressed to support long-term CEMA projects
on Soviet territory on a scale they feel their countries
cannot afford.
In contrast to President Brezhnev's speeches during
their visits, neither Kadar or Gierek mentioned the "social-
ist commonwealth" or the need to increase economic inte-
gration. Even Czechoslovak Premier Strougal in an arti- 25X1
cle in Pravda on 1 March argued that there are limits to
East European investments in long-term programs.
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(The items in the Overnight Reports section have not
been coordinated within the intelligence community.
They are prepared overnight by the Office of Current
Operations with analyst comment where possible from the
production offices of NFAC.)
Iran
Foreign Minister Sanjabi resigned yesterday, accord-
ing to Tehran radio. Sanjabi reportedly cited the "col-
lective responsibility" of the cabinet as the reason for
his resignation but offered no further explanation. Ob-
servers in Tehran speculated that the resignation may be
linked to growing concern by the government about the
actions of Iran's Islamic committees.
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Top Secret
Approved ~
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