NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A031400050002-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 13, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: May 5, 1979
• Content Type: REPORT

pp ratl For Release 2004/07/08: CIA-RDP79T00975AO314
Intelligence
National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
5 May 1979
State Dept. review completed
Top Secret
Top Secret
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08: CIA-RDP79T00975A0314000(~t 8
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO311400050002-6 I 25X1
National Intelligence Daily (Cable)
Contents
Briefs and Comments
International: Restrictions on
Nuclear-Powered Warships. . . . . . . . . . . 2
Philippines: Regional Elections. . . . . . . . 3
Law of the Sea: Progress in TaZks. . . . . . . 4
Egypt: Islamic Summit Proposal . . . . . . . . 5
Austria: National Election .
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
 25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A031400050002-6
INTERNATIONAL: Restrictions on Nuclear-Powered Warships
//Several countries appear to be reviewing their
policies concerning port visits by nuclear-powered war-
ohips in light of the accident at Three Mile Island.
The most serious effect has been to impede progress by
the US toward gaining or regaining access for such ships
in some countries--particularly France and Egypt.//
25X1
//A senior French naval officer has indicated there
is now little chance of a change in the French law govern-
ing port visits by nuclear-powered warships. The imple-
menting decree for this law makes no distinction between
commercial nuclear-powered ships and public vessels; this
would subject US warships to the jurisdiction of French
courts in damage suits. Because of this and other unac-
ceptable provisions of the law, no nuclear-powered war-
ship has visited France since 1969.//
//Egyptian Government agencies responsible for oper-
ating the Suez Canal have expressed an ultraconservative
position on transits of nuclear-powered ships or ships
carrying nuclear cargoes. Nevertheless, Egyptian offi-
cials have reiterated their willingness to honor a US
request for transit if it appears to be in Egypt's na-
25X1 tional interest.// F77 I
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A031400050002-6
 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A03140 050002-6 25X1
PHILIPPINES: Regional Elections
President Marcos hopes that the provincial assembly
elections scheduled for Monday in Muslim-populated areas
of the southern Philippines will convince critics of his
martial law regime, particularly in the US, that he is
serious in trying to end the six-year conflict between
Muslim insurgents and government forces.
25X1
Over the past several months, Marcos has been in
touch with representatives of a number of Muslim countries
who will be attending the Islamic Conference in Morocco
next week. He has emphasized his willingness to speak
with Philippine Muslim exile leaders in the hope that they
can help find a political solution to the rebellion, which
has taken some 50,000 lives. 25X1
Marcos may believe that by arranging regional elec-
tions at this time, he can preempt any sanctions by the
Islamic Conference. He probably also expects his efforts
to assist Indonesia in deflecting an criticism of his
Muslim policies at the conference.
The elections will have little impact on movement
toward a political solution in the southern Philippines. 25X1
Marcos has made sure that the powers of the assemblies
will be severely circumscribed. He realizes that there 25X1
is no support for significant political decentralization
in the country except among Muslims and that the predomi-
nant Christian population in the rest of the Philippines
is relatively indifferent to the Muslim issue.
Most Muslims have already concluded that the provin-
cial assemblies will come nowhere near meeting their de-
mands for greater autonomy, and top leaders of the Muslim
political front are boycotting the elections.
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0314p0050002-6
 25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A031400050002-6
LAW OF THE SEA: Progress in Talks
There was moderate progress at the recently re-
-essed eighth session of the UN Law of the Sea Conference,
although no breakthroughs were made on the most controver-
oiaZ issues. The meetings in Geneva nearly stalled at
times, but a late flurry of activity produced a revised
negotiating text. Further revision awaits the outcome
of a five-week extension of the session that will begin
25X1 in New York on 19 July.
Changes in the seabed mining text will give devel-
oped states greater assurance of access to the manganese
nodules found beyond the limits of coastal state juris-
diction. These changes strengthen the so-called "paral-
lel" system of exploitation, under which states and multi-
national corporations would share the right to mine seabed
minerals with the Enterprise, the minin arm of the ro-
posed International Seabed Authority.
The developing countries' caucus--the Group of 77--
still insists, however, on obtaining a great number of
benefits in return for granting mining privileges to
multinational firms. Developing country spokesmen gave
no ground in their demands for the transfer of mining
and processing technology to the Enterprise and to
developing countries, for a production ceiling on sea-
bed mining to protect land-based producers of metals, for
developed-state financing of the Enterprise, and for a
high level of revenue sharing with mining firms. The
group of 77 injected a politically troublesome clause
authorizing the Seabed Authority to share the profits of
mining with "peoples who have not attained full indepen-
dence or other self-governing status" such as the Pales-
25X1 tine Liberation Organization.
25X1
Little progress was made on determining the limits
of coastal states' control over the oil and gas resources
of the continental shelf farther than 200 miles from land.
Three formulas have been offered. The Arab states want
to cut off jurisdiction at 200 miles. States with broad
shelves--including the US, Canada, Norway, the UK, Ire-
land, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, and India--favor
a liberal formula that would grant control over large
expanses of shelf beyond 200 miles. The USSR seeks a
limit that falls between the other two.
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A031400050002-6
 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975A031 00050002-6 25X1
EGYPT: Islamic Summit Proposal
Egypt's call Thursday for an Islamic summit confer-
ence on Jerusalem apparently was made to give the Egyp-
tians a pretext for not attending the Islamic Conference
of Arab Foreign Ministers that opens on Tuesday in Morocco.
According to Prime Minister Khalil, President Sadat has
concluded that the anti-Egyptian forces will be in the
majority at the Morocco meeting. To avoid the humilia-
tion of Egypt's being ousted from the conference, Sadat
has made its attendance conditional on Moroccan willing-
ness to transform the meeting into a preparatory confer-
ence for an Islamic summit. If Morocco sidesteps Egypt's
suggestion, which seems likely, Egypt will begin direct
contacts with the Islamic heads of state to promote the
summit idea. Egypt probably hopes to blunt Arab criti-
cism of the peace treaty with Israel by demonstrating its
resolve on the sensitive Jerusalem issue.
25X1
AUSTRIA: National Election
The Socialist Party's chances of retaining its par-
liamentary majority in the national election tomorrow
will depend on a large turnout of voters and a strong
Socialist tally in Vienna. The campaign has focused
mainly on the personality of the leaders for the two
major parties, Chancellor Bruno Kreisky and People's
Party chief Josef Taus, rather than on substantive issues.
Kreisky hopes to do well in this election to repair the
damage done to the Socialists' image by losses in the
nuclear referendum and the Vienna municipal election
last fall; the Socialists would have done better in both
those tests if the Chancellor and other part leaders
had worked harder.
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO314QO050002-6
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6
 Top Secret
25X1
Top Secret
Approved For F
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO31400050002-6