LARGE E XPORTS CONTRIBUTE TO SHORTAGE OF FERTILIZERS IN THE USSR

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01003A001100220002-3
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RIPPUB
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C
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4
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November 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 2, 2000
Sequence Number: 
2
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Publication Date: 
November 2, 1961
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BRIEF
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Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220 CIA/RR-61-55 C-O-N-F-I -D-E-N-T-I -A -L 25X1 C CURRENT SUPPORT BRIEF F iCl 28 Copy No.--.1- 2 November 1961 LARGE EXPORTS CONTRIBUTE TO SHORTAGE OF FERTILIZERS IN THE USSR OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This report represents the immediate views of the originating intelligence components of the Office of Research and Reports. Comments are solicited. W-A-R-N-I-?N-G This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18 USC, Sections 793 and 794, the transmission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I A-L Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 LARGE EXPORTS CONTRIBUTE TO SHORTAGE OF FERTILIZERS IN THE USSR Despite Soviet agriculture's pressing needs for chemicals, ex- ports of some fertilizer materials in 1960 continued to increase at a high rate at the expense of production for domestic use. Data in the recently published Soviet yearbook, The National Economy of.the USSR in 1960, indicate that quantities of potassium and p osp orus _ fertilizers supplied to agriculture declined in 1960 while exports of materials containing these plant nutrients continued to rise, This is an understandable situation reflecting both agriculture's relative- ly low priority and the fact that fertilizer materials are very desir- able export commodities, readily marketable and relatively high priced. In view of frequent pledges by Soviet leaders this year to give a higher priority to agriculture and especially to increase ferti- lizer supplies, a reversal of the export trend would seem logical. Thus far this year, however, there have been no indications that such a reversal has taken place and several suggestions that it has not. At the January USSR Central Committee Plenum it was noted that shortages of apatite concentrate were limiting the production of super- phosphate fertilizer. USSR Gosplan blamed the shortages on inadequate facilities for producing concentrates 1/ but the extensive exports were not mentioned. More detailed information became available in August 1961 when the Chairman of the State Committee on Chemistry, V. Fedorov, reported that superphosphate plants in the USSR operated at only 83 to 84 percent of capacity in 1959-60 because of shortages of apatite con- centrate and sulfuric acid. 2/ These statements suggest that the short- age of apatite concentrate in -1960 amounted to about 250 thousand to 500 thousand tons which compares with exports of 1.8 million tons that year. Exports of potassium fertilizer in 1960 were 629 thousand tons or about one-third of the quantity supplied to agriculture. At the Plenum it was stated that funds for construction of two potassium com- bines in the Ukraine were not being allocated as planned. Since 1955 about one-third of the exports of apatite concentrate and almost all exports of the potassium fertilizer have been sold to the Free World. Practically all of the exported apatite concentrate is sold to either Eastern or Western European countries. In 1958 and 1959 the largest importer of potassium fertilizer from the USSR was Japan which took about one-third of total Soviet exports. Although the USSR plans to increase the supply of fertilizers to agriculture to three times the 1958 level by 1965, the regime has also revealed plans for a continued rise in export of fertilizer materials. Between 1958 and 1965 Soviet exports of apatite concentrate to the European Satellites are scheduled to increase 150 percent, or from 1.0 million tons to 2.5 million tons. 3/ Exports of potassium salts to Japan are scheduled to increase through 1962, 4/ and a trade agreement has been signed with Italy for the exports of increasing quantities of potassium salts through 1965. 5/ 25X1 C 2 November 1961 ( CIA/RR-CB-61-55 C-O-N-F-I -D-E-N-T-I -A -L Page 2 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 Supply of Potassium and Phosphorus Fertilizers to Agriculture in the USSR, 1958-60 6/ Potassium Fertilizers Phosphorus Fertilizers 1958 1,786 4,391 1959 1,892 4,480 1960 1,842 4,403 Soviet Exports of Potassium Fertilizer and Apatite Concentrates, 1955-60 7/ Potassium Fertilizer Apatite Concent?ate* Year Thousand Metric Tons Percent to Non-Bloc Thousand Metric Tons Percent to Non-Bloc 1955 46 100 899 37 1956 107 79 1,124 37 1957 221 76 1,262 38 1958 395 95 1,505 34 1959 439 92 1,661 34 1960 629 n.a. 1,806 n.a. Production of all Types of Mineral Fertilizers and Supply to Agriculture 8/ RrQductionl Year Million Metric Tons Percent Increase Million Metric Tons Percent Increase 1955 9.6 8.6 1956 10.6 13.5 9.4 9.3 1957 11.8 8.3 10.4 10.6 1958 12.4 5.1 10.6 1.9 1959 12.9 4.0 11.1 1.0 1960 13,9 7.8 11.4 2.7 * Phosphorus ore concentrates used in making superphosphate fer n er. The USSR also exports relatively small quantities of phosphorus ferti- lizer materials in the form of unconcentrated apatite ore and super- phosphate. 25X1 C 2 November 1961 (rt," CIA/RR-CB-61-55 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I -A -L Page 3 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3 C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I-A-L Analyst : Coord : 2 November 1961 25X1A Pravda, 12 Jan 61. U. Ekonomicheskaya gazeta no. 2, 14 DD Summary no. 099, 27 J D tar Aussenhan a no. 13, 1961 Vneshnyaya torgovlya no. 6 Narodnoye Khozyaystvo SSSR Ibi d, p. 7 Vneshnyaya Torgovlya SS N Narodnoye Khozyaystvo S arodnoye ozyaystvo ss ug 61, p. 3. U. 61. OUO. erlin. U. 60. U. 1960 godu, (1956-59). U. p 447. U. v 1959 godu, p. 380. U. SR v 1960 godu, p. 278, 447. U. CIA/RR-CB-61-55 C-O-N-F -I -D-E-N-T -I -A -L Page 4 Approved For Release 2000/05/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003AO01100220002-3