CURRENT SUPPORT BRIEF THE SOVIET POULTRY PROGRAM: A NEW CLAIMANT ON ECONOMIC RESOURCES
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1
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Publication Date:
September 1, 1964
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BRIEF
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CONFIDENTIAL 197
Current Support Brief
THE SOVIET POULTRY PROGRAM:
A NEW CLAIMANT ON ECONOMIC RESOURCES
CIA/RR CB 64-63
September 1964
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
Office of Research and Reports
CONFIDENTIAL
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WARNING
This material contains information affecting
the National Defense of the United States
within the meaning of the espionage laws,
Title 18, USC, Sees. 793 and 794, the trans-
mission or revelation of which in any manner
to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
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C-O-N- F-I-D-E-N- T-I-A- L
THE SOVIET POULTRY PROGRAM:
A NEW CLAIMANT ON ECONOMIC RESOURCES
The program for expanding the Soviet poultry industry, announced
on 5 September, may become a significant new claimant onSoviet in-
dustrial resources. In support of the program the State Committee for
Aviation Technology, together with USSR Gosplan and USSR Sovnarkhoz,
has been charged with providing the necessary equipment. Khrushchev
stated during his European tour last month that the expansion, which is
to take place over the next 6 years, will result in an over-all expenditure
of 2. 7 billion rubles. * 1/ The USSR has released sufficient details on
which to base a judgment of the tempo of the program and to give some
approximation of the cost of the construction and equipment for the pri-
mary producing facilities in terms of US prices. The cost of construc-
tion and equipment, based on the assumption that the program intends to
make use of equipment and technology that approximate the latest US
practice, is shown in the following tabulation:
ity
a
l Ca
d A
Number of
Factories
Planned
Construction
Period
(Years)
Comparable
US Cost
(Million US $)
c
p
nnua
Type an
ies
t
f
508
or
ac
Egg
20 million eggs
280
1-1/2 to 2
58
40 million eggs
171
1-1/2 to 2
71
50 million to
t
23
80 m-pion eggs
34
o 3
2
100 million to
140 million eggs
23
2 to 3
30
1 million to 2 mil-
s
il
b
258
6
203***
er
ro
lion
Total program
766
385
New rubles. A nominal rate of exchange based on the gold content
of the respective currencies is 0. 90 ruble to US $1. This rate should
not be interpreted as a precise ruble-dollar relationship that will yield
an equivalent dollar value for the ruble.
Including $7 5 million for equipment.
Including $120 million for equipment.
C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T-I-A-L
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General
Machine building capacity, designing and engineering skills, and
materials required to provide the equipment for the program for ex-
panding the Soviet poultry industry will affect many branches of industry.
Some of the components of brooders and feeding and watering troughs
and the like will require nothing more than simple press operations for
fashioning stampings from sheet metal. On the other end of the scale,
however, temperature control mechanisms, eviscerating machines,
and conveyors may be highly complex.
It was evidently in anticipation of the diversity of human and material
requirements of the program that the State Committee for Aviation Tech-
nology was tapped to participate in providing the equipment for the pro-
gram. The committee gives national guidance to the aviation industry,
which, in turn, controls important sheet metal processing facilities.
In addition, the industry has engineers and technicians skilled in a wide
range of mechanical operations. Factories other than those of the air-
craft industry apparently will support the new effort, but no other state
industrial committee was mentioned in the announcement.
2. Problems for the Aircraft Industry
It has been a tradition in the Soviet aircraft industry to employ
capacity for civilian production -- a recent source indicates 5 to 15 per-
cent. The principal attribute-of this type of planning has been to select
programs which will prove least disruptive to the primary production
assignments and which, if necessary for purposes of mobilization, can
be set aside quickly with little loss to the economy. 2/ This attitude has
been expressed in a Soviet textbook on the aviation industry as follows:
in order to guarantee mobility and maneuvera-
bility in different scales and periods of produc-
tion, reserve capacities are created ... . There-
fore, for the complete utilization of existing
capacity, the aircraft industry, in addition to
aviation production, produces boat motors, re-
frigerators, vacuum cleaners, etc. 3
It seems doubtful that the poultry program, which is both expensive
and long range, can be considered by Soviet planners quite to fit this
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earlier conception. Because the poultry program obviously has a rela-
tively high priority and because of the publicity given to the program,
Soviet planners probably would find it more difficult to withdraw the
participation of the aircraft industry than they did for those programs
of the past that have been devoted to relatively unessential civilian
goods and have been assigned to the industry without national publicity.
1.
New York Times, 6 Sep 64. U.
2.
Ol'shevets, L. M. and Orlov, N. A.
Organizatsiya, planirovaniye
i ekonomika aviatsionnogo proizvodstva (Organization, Planning,
and Economics of Aircraft Production), Moscow, 1963, p. 70. U.
3.
Ibid., p. 15. U.
Analysts:
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15 October 1964
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chief, Dissemination Control Branch, DD/CR
FROM : Chief, Publications Staff, ORR
SUBJECT : Transmittal of Material
It ins requested that the attached copies of CIA/RR cB 64-63, The
?oviet Poultry Programs A. New Claimant on Economic Resources, 8eptem er
State, INR Communications Center,
Room 7818, State Dept. Bldg.
Suggested distribution for
Embassies in Moscow and 'Aondon
AMON C
IThe dessemination rRgtiest,,.d by
$)Us memorandum has b&an &A-A,Ajetedt
tys
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CIA/RR CB 64-63
The Soviet Poultry Program: A New Claimant on Economic
Resources --- September 1964 (CONFIDENTIAL)
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