SPECIAL SURVEY OF SELECT SOVIET BLOC ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES IN CERTAIN FREE WORLD COUNTRIES (SEPTEMBER 1955)

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01049A001300020004-8
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RIPPUB
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S
Document Page Count: 
75
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 24, 2001
Sequence Number: 
4
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Publication Date: 
September 22, 1955
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T01049A001300020004-8.pdf3.31 MB
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Approved For Release 2001/C42IRDP79T01049A001300020004-8 NOT IULEASAHtE TO FOREIGN NA TION LS CON2IIWD COMM CIA INTEP I L USE ONLY SPECIAL SURVE3C. Cl ' SELECT SOVIET IILOG ECONOMIC ACTIN IN OM TA IN FREE ", ( D C OUNTFEES (SEPTEIm R 1955) CIA/ItR .r.2 (C R Project )422,9&1) 22 September 1955 WARNIIB THIS 1 .TMIAL GOM lII1S TTY TJATION ArnCTI1n TIE TIATIONAL DIEFE14SE OF THE U11IT LD STATES 'WIT111I1 TO LIEAI'Ifl OF THE ESPIONAGE IA'c S V TITLE 18,: USC SEGs, 793 A JR, 79 j, THE T U IB- D' SIO}1 OH RELATION OF U ICH IN ANY LAM M TO AN UNAU`t~fIOIZIM PERSON TS MOM= EY LAW. GENTRAL INTE,LLIGI IUE AGENCY O floe of Research and Reports CIA LIT L USE ONLY TOOT R LEASAM TO FaEIGN I4TIO1MB CONTINt1]!a CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL TABLE OF CONTENTS Aare: INTRODUC TION 1 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 3 COUNTRIES EUROPE Finland 5 Iceland 9 Italy 11 Norway 13 Sweden 14 Yugoslavia 16 NEAR EAST AND AFRICA Egypt 1.9 Greece 25 Iran 27 Israel 30 Lebanon 31 Saudi Arabia 33 Sudan 35 Syria 36 Turkey 38 SOUTH ASIA Afghanistan 41 Ceylon 45 India 47 Pakistan 53 FAR EAST Burma 55 Japan 59 Indone aia 61 L&TIN ANERICA Argentina 65 Brazil 68 Chile 69 Cuba 70 TABLES I Sino-Soviet Plant Installations in Free World 71 Il Free Uorld Countries' Trade with Sino-Soviet Bloc 73 MAP 74 3EC,RET NOFORN Approved For Release 2001/07/16 .;C1R7%1A001300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL INTRODUCTION 1. At the outset it should be admitted that in any particular instance, and frequently in a whole series of instances, it is difficult to distin- guish between economic penetration of a Free World economy and normal commercial relations. 2. It is only when the totality of a Free World country*s economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc is considered in the context of its domestic economic needs that anything resembling an identifiable picture of economic penetration may emerge. 3. This survey represents an initial step in assembling a picture based on selected aspects of Soviet Bloc economic relations with Free World countries. The aspects selected are some of those which are likely to be found where the Bloc intends to penetrate the economy of a country. Logical next steps would be research-in-depth on those countries which appear to be primary targets for Bloc economic penetration. 4. Certain cautions should be observed in evaluating the results of this survey. First, in such a scanning effort as this,, information appears more plentiful on the more recent Sino-Soviet Bloc overtures to the Free World, thus directing attention to the Middle East and Asia and away from Western Europe and Japan. Second, Bloc overtures to countries in the neutral camp or those relatively uncommitted politically are naturally more noticeable. The resulting geographical bias in favor of underdeveloped SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T01049A001300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL countries is inherent in the "survey-without-research" approach necessitated by the operational requirements. Nonetheless, the survey has been useful in gaining a first approximation of SinooSoviet Bloc efforts at economic penetration. This approximation is adjudged adequate for operational programing purposes. SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T01049A001300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 CIA-RDP79T01049A001300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 1. Soviet Bloc countries, especially the USSR, East Germany, Czech- oslovakia, and Hungary, have greatly expanded their offerings of capital equipment and technical aid to certain Free World countries. The most extensive bloc programs are with Afghanistan, India and Indonesia; stronger economic relations are fast developing with Yugoslavia and Egypt; in addition to Egypt, other Arab states, notably Syria and Lebanon, have been the object of recent concerted trade activities. 2, liewed by quantitative standards, the Bloc offers are not sig-, nificarrt. But some of the proposed means of repayment are of considerable interest. In addition to the more conventional means, the Bloc accepts repayment in kind and in the profits of the enterprises for which Bloc equipment and technical aid are provided. The Bloc countries display an acute opportunism in seeking to purchase surplus goods, especially agricultural commodities. Also, the Bloc seems eager to bid on projects when negotiations with Western companies have broken down. Terms offered by Bloc countries are generally as favorable as, and sometimes more favorable than, those available from free world sources. 3. Under the pressure for rapid industrialization and ?nprovement in consumer welfare, capital hungry countries of Asia and the Middle East .are eager to secure the maximum possible in loans and assistance. Some of these countries have made a special effort to develop loan agreements SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP73T01049A001300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL with a variety of countries, both Bloc and Free World, so as not to be beholden to any one in particular and also to maximize their credit poten- tial. Other countries, faced with some of the same agricultural surpluses found elsewhere in the Free World, have actively sought an expansion of trade with the Bloc in order to relieve the resultant pressures on their domestic economies. In still other instances, assistance has been sought from the Bloc to design, build, and train technical personnel to operate Industrial installations ranging from a steel mill to atomic energy plants. Because of the large number of such inquiries and the relatively small number of completed project negotiations it is as yet not quite clear whether the inquiries represent bona fide attempts to consummate deals with the Bloc. There is at least some evidence to suggest that certain Western countries view their success in getting Bloc offers as a leverage on the U.S. for larger aid committments. SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL MUNED Finnish Foreign Trade (M4. lions of Dollars) IMPORTS EXPKDRTS Total From Soviet Bloc Percent Total To Soviet Bloc Percent 1947 345 49 14.3 409 127 1 31 1948 488 93 19.0 502 160 . 31.8 1949 1 410 80 19.5 474 155 8 32 950 1 1 388 0 0 18.0 392 81 . 20 7 95 676 1 8 16.0 866 148 . 17.1 1952 792 154 19.4 718 184 25.6 1953 530 182 34.4 572 179 4 31 1954 661 190 28.7 681 190 . 2709 9 large reparation payments by Finland to the USSR had the effect of gearing the Finnish economy to Soviet requirements. With the end of reparations trade with the USSR and the Bloc continued to increase because the Soviet Bloc provided the only market for the products of these high-cost industries. The percentage of Finnish trade with the Soviet Bloc decreased from about 33% in 1953 to 2.8% in 1954. This has resulted from an increase in trade with the Free World rather than from a decrease in trade with the Bloc. About three-fourth's of Finland's exports to the Bloc have gone to the USSRs but imports have been widely distributed, Im Trades Agreements with the Bloc Countries The Soviet-Finnish long-term trade agreements, concluded in June 1950 and July 19549 have tightened FinlandQs economic dependence on the USSR. SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET HOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL The USSR is currently supplying a significant percentage of Finland's petroleum requirements,, even though meeting with competition from western oil companies. The USSR supplies a considerable percentage of Finland's requirements of graip,sugar and cotton. These agreements have not always successfully provided a market for Finnish products. Under the 1954 agree- ment Finnish exports of metal industry products--an export item relying almost entirely on the Soviet market-were out 10% on the ground that prices were too high. Using the same pretext in 1955, the Soviets sharply curtailed the import of prefabricated houses, another commodity which relies almost exclusively on the USSR for its export outlet. The quota for prefabricated houses was reduced to 250,000 sq. meters in spite of the fact that the long-term agreement called for USSR imports of 600,000 sqo meters of housing annually. Finland has concluded,trade agreements with all the Sino-Soviet countries except Albania. Since 1950 trilateral agreements have been concluded with Satellite countries to compensate for a surplus in Finnish exports to the USSR. IIo Loans and Technical Assistance In February 1954 the USSR granted a Finland gold loan amounting to $10 million, with 2j% interest repayable in ten years. As of early May 1955 $5.0 million was drawn from the USSR to support currency reserves of the SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP49?f01049A001300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Bank of Finland. It is believed that the balance will be used for pro- ductive purposes chosen by the Bank. In January 1955 the USSR granted a second gold loan under the same terms as the first loan. The second loan has been allocated to a state-owned woodworking company, the Finnish Board of Forestry, two state-owned power companies, the State Railway public works agencies and for other productive purposes. The funds will primarily be used for the purchase of western machinery and equipment. The USSR submitted an offer to construct an oil refinery in Finland. The contract, however, was placed with an American firm which has had experience in construction projects for the leading oil companies. Two Russian proposals had been previously rejected by Finland on technical grounds. III. .scscelllaneowa In July 1954, for the first time in Finnish-Soviet trade relations, a political appendix was signed by the USSR and Finland and attached to the long-term economic agreement. This appendix appears to reaffirm some of the principles of the 1948 Soviet-Finnish Treaty of Friendship. .n August 1955 a Soviet Finnish Scientific and Technical Cooperation Agreo.- ment was signed. This agreement provides for the mutual exchange of per- sonnel and information and establishes a joint commission. to administer the program. The resale of Finnish property acquired by the USSR to Finnish SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T91D49A001300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL interests has been in progress since 1953. It has resulted in the return of about 20 firma out of an original 90 held. Most of those firms remaining in Russian hands are small with the exception of the company which dis- tributos Soviet petroleum. Negotiations are in progress for the possible transfor of a wood processing firm. SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL - g - Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 Approved For Release 2001/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO01300020004-8 'SECRET NOFORN CONTINUED CONTROL ICELAND :1celandic Foreign Trade Thousands of Dollars) IMPORTS .. ~. . EXPORTS - .~ _.. Year Total From Soviet Bloc _ Percent Total - To Soviet Bloc . Percent 1951 56,731 3,885 6.8 44,615 3,508 7.9 1952 55,863 3,722 6.7 39,377 2,786 701 1953 6',789 5,808 8.6 43,281 8,565 19.8 1.954 69,406 12,685 18.3 51,,939 12,947 24.9 Icelandic exports are restricted almost completely to fish and fish products* The 1952 British boycott of Icelandic fish forced Iceland to seek