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CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9
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51
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December 12, 2016
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February 4, 2002
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1
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March 1, 1961
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REPORT
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25X1 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12.: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 SECRET CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY Economic Support Project THE AIRCRAFT INDUSTRY OF THE SINO-SOVIET BLOC 1960 CIA/RR EP 61-12 March 1961 WARNING This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports N? 2 CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY SECRET Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 FOREWORD 25X1 C 25X1 C The primary purpose of this report is to bring up to date CIA/RR ER 60- The Aircraft Industry of the USSR, 1954-59, may 1960, SECRET/ NOFORN and CIA/RR ER 60-34, The Aircraft Industries of the European Satellites, 1954-65, November 1960, SECRET NOFORN 25X1 C - and to study production of aircraft in the Sino- ovie oc during 1960. The annual rate of production is estimated for the in- dustries of the Bloc as a whole as well as for individual plants. Soviet expenditures for procurement of aircraft, including initial spares, are estimated for 1955-60. The current status of the airframe industries of the Bloc is reviewed, and major factors influencing the development of these industries are discussed. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 CONTENTS Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page I. Technological Level . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 II. Production in the USSR, 1860 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 A. Bombers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 B. Fighters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 C. Transports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 1. Piston . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2. Turboprop . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 3. Turbojet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 D. Helicopters, Trainers, and Reconnaissance Aircraft . 12 1. Helicopters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2. Trainers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 3. Reconnaissance Aircraft . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 III. Expenditures for Procurement of Aircraft . . . . . . . . 14 IV. Production in the European Satellites, 1960 . . . . . . . 15 A. Czechoslovakia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 B. Poland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 C. East Germany . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 D. Other European Satellites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 V. Production in Communist China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 VI. Effects of Guided Missiles on the Aircraft Industry . . . 18 A. Missile Activity in the Aircraft Industry . . . . . . 18 B. Utilization of Missiles as Replacement for Aircraft . 19 C. Soviet Statements Concerning Missiles and Aircraft 19 VII. Future Intentions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A . USSR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 1. Bombers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2. Fighters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 3. Transports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 4. Helicopters and Miscellaneous Aircraft 21 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S -E -C -R .-E -T B. Communist China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 C. European Satellites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Appendixes Appendix A. Statistical Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Appendix B. Methodology . . ? . ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ' ' ' ' ' 41 Appendix C. Gaps in Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Appendix D. Source References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 1. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet 26 Bloc, by Number, 1955-60 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Weight, Excluding Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . . 27 3. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the USSR, by Number, 28 1955-60 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the USSR, by Weight, 29 Excluding Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . . . . . . . . . . 5. US Military Aircraft Acceptances, by Number, 1955-60 . . 30 6. US Military Aircraft Acceptances, by Weight, Excluding 31 Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the European Satel- lites and in Communist China, by Number, 1955-60 . . . . 32 8. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the European Satel- lites and in Communist China, by Weight, Excluding 33 Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S -E -C -R -E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S -E-C -R -E -T 9. Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino- Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number, 1954-6o, 3 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 . . . . . . . 10. Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Soviet 39 Aircraft, Including Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . 11. Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Soviet0 Aircraft, Excluding Initial Spares, 1955-60 . . . . Illustrations Following Page Figure 1. USSR: Estimated Expenditures for Pro- curement of Aircraft, Including Initial 14 Figure 2. Spares, 1955-60 (Chart) . . . . . . . ? ? ? USSR: Indexes of Estimated Production of Aircraft, by Number, Airframe Weight, and Value, Excluding Initial Spares, 1955-60 16 Figure 3. (Chart) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . USSR: Distribution of Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Aircraft, Including 16 Figure 4. Initial Spares, 1955-60 (Chart) . . . . . . US and USSR: Production of Combat Aircraft, 1955 Through 1960 (Chart) inside Figure 5. by Number, back cover USSR: Airframe Plants (Map) inside back cover S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 THE AIRCRAFT INDUSTRY OF THE SINO-SOVIET BLOC* 1960 Summary 25X1 During 1960, estimated production of bomber aircraft in the USSR continued the decrease evidenced each year since 1955. Estimated pro- duction of fighter aircraft in the USSR increased slightly in 1960 compared with 1959 but remained considerably below production estimated for 1958. A slight decrease was noted in production of transport air- craft in the USSR in 1960 compared with 1959. The decrease was pri- marily due to the phasing out of a light piston transport in 1960. In spite of the continued decrease in numbers of bomber aircraft produced in the USSR, production of the Bison (M-4) heavy jet bomber continued at Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23,** averaging slightly fewer than two aircraft per month in 1960. Evidence received in 1960 disclosed that the USSR had begun production of a second bomber air- craft. Plant No. 22 ieved to have begun series production of the new bomber in 1959?*** During 1960 it became evident that the USSR had selected for series production two, and possibly three, of the fighter aircraft seen in the prototype stage in 1956. One Mikoyan fighter, the Fishbed "C" delta- wing interceptor, is believed to be in quantity production, as are at * The estimates and conclusions in this report represent the best judgment of this Office as of 1 January 1961. ** Estimated production of aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc from 1955 through 1960 is given by number in Table 1, Appendix A, p. 26, below, and by airframe weight in Table 2, Appendix A, p. 27, below. Estimated production of aircraft in the USSR from 1955 through 1960 is given by number in Table 3, Appendix A, p. 28, below, and by airframe weight in Table 4, Appendix A, p. 29, below. For comparative purposes, US mili- tary acceptance figures from 1955 through 1960 are given by number in Table 5, Appendix A, p. 30, below, and by airframe weight in Table 6, Appendix A, p. 31, below. For additional comparison, production of com- bat aircraft in the USSR, from 1955 through 1960, by number, is compared with that in the US in the chart, Figure 4, inside back cover. For locations of airframe plants, see the map, Figure 5, inside back cover. *** Estimates of annual and cumulative production at plants in the Sino- Soviet Bloc are given in Table 9, Appendix A, p. 34, below. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 least one and possibly two fighters of Sukhoy design. As had been ex- pected, with the selection of the models. for series production, esti- mated production of fighter aircraft in the USSR increased in 1960. It is unlikely, however, that the new fighters will be produced in such quantities as those of the preceding models -- the Fresco (MIG-17) and the Farmer (MIG-19). During 1960 the USSR continued to emphasize the development and pro- duction of turbojet and turboprop transport aircraft. Two models of turbojet transports, the Camel A (Tu-104A) and the Camel B (Tu-104B), were produced during the year, as were five models of turboprop trans- ports, the Cleat (Tu-114), the Coot (11-18), the Camp (An-8), the Cat (An-10), and the Cub (An-12). Continued emphasis on the develop- ment of new transport aircraft was illustrated during the year by the introduction of two new models, the Tupolev-designed Cookpot (Tu-124) turbojet transport and the Antonov-designed Coke (An-24) turboprop transport. During 1955-60 the USSR is estimated to have spent approximately the equivalent of $20 billion* for the procurement of aircraft includ- ing initial spares. Expenditures for procurement of Soviet aircraft decreased from $5.1 billion in 1955 to $2.0 billion in 1960. Produc- tion in terms of number of aircraft as well as expenditures for pro- curement of aircraft declined in each succeeding year from 1955. Estimated expenditures for procurement of bomber aircraft decreased from $3.2 billion in 1955 to $440 million in 1960. Expenditures for .transport aircraft, on the other hand, increased from $140 million in -1955 to $970 million in 1960. At the end of 1960 the effects of the Soviet guided missile program on the Soviet aircraft industry were still not entirely clear. It is evident, however, that some aircraft industry facilities are involved in missile activities. Furthermore, it is likely that the use of mis- siles has reduced the need for aircraft in the numbers formerly produced. On the other hand, it is believed that through 1960 the USSR has pursued all lines of research in weaponry and that long-range aircraft and jet fighters have received significant although perhaps reduced emphasis. During 1960 the aircraft industries of the European Satellites ap- peared to follow closely the recommendations of the Council for Mutual Eco- nomic Assistance (CEMA), in that Poland and Czechoslovakia concentrated on production of sport, trainer, and communication/utility aircraft and helicopters and East Germany continued the development of transport aircraft. It is believed that by the end of 1960 all production of * All monetary values in this report are given in 1959 US dollars. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T military aircraft in the Satellites ceased. New production undertaken in the Satellites during 1960 included only native-designed civil air- craft. Production of aircraft in Communist China in 1960 involved only jet fighters, light piston transports, and helicopters, all of Soviet de- sign. Information available during the year, however, suggests an ambitious program for the future, for the Chinese may be preparing for production of bomber or transport aircraft. Although the Chinese have made significant steps toward the development of an independent air- craft industry, their progress will be heavily influenced by assistance from the USSR. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T I. Technological Level The manufacture of aircraft in the USSR in the postwar period and up to about 1955 was based on structural designs and production tech- niques similar to those used by the US in World War II. Articles in various publications indicate that the USSR has been aware of the ad- vantages of many new structural design techniques but has been very slow in adopting such features as integrally stiffened and milled or tapered skins, honeycomb structures, large complex forgings, and the use of plastics for secondary an(I nonstructural parts. The continued use of obsolescent airframe design techniques has resulted in aircraft with increased weight. It is believed that most Soviet high-performance aircraft designed and produced since 1955 have used some of these more sophisticated structural features. It should be noted that no recently manufactured Soviet military aircraft have been examined. The first Soviet aircraft thatthe West examined which has departed from the "bits and pieces" method* of air- craft manufacture is the Coot transport aircraft. The outer wing panels, which are reported to be integral fuel tanks, have a one-piece lower skin estimated to be 26 feet long, 6 feet wide at the inboard end, and 3 feet wide at the wing tip. The skin is attached to the in- ternal structure by double rows of spanwise fasteners. The size of the skin and the absence of lateral fasteners indicate a more sophisticated type of structure. Details appearing in the Soviet aviation press on the Coke aircraft give further indications of more advanced design and manufacturing methods. The wing is said to be of a monolithic type of construction instead of being built up of hundreds of parts, its basic structure is made of four panels, and its skin has integral stiffeners. The fuse- lage and tail structures are said to be made by spot welding combined with plastic gluing. The flaps, antennae fairings, and numerous small parts are made of glass fiber and bolts and screws of polyamide resins of the nylon type. The welding and plastic gluing have considerably reduced the number of rivets used and have improved the pressurization and drag characteristics. Some use of honeycomb and plastic-filled structures has been re- ported on Soviet aircraft, but by Soviet admission their techniques of honeycomb manufacture require much improvement. As yet there is no * The use of small forgings, short extrusions of simple cross section, light page skin, and small panels. The production breakdown of the aircraft is maximized to facilitate subassembly operations, and the subassemblies are further broken down into detail assemblies. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 evidence of the use of stainless steel honeycombs. It is likely, how- ever, that they are under development for use in high-speed aircraft where aerodynamic heating is a problem. The use of more advanced structural techniques and manufacturing methods will result in aircraft with reduced drag and of lighter weight, with a consequent increase in performance. The quality of the aircraft also should be increased, for the new method of manufac- ture will result in more exact tolerances and better interchangeability. If. Production in the USSR, 1960 A. Bombers Recent information indicates that seven Bison heavy bombers were produced at Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23 during the fourth quarter of 1959. The total production of the Bison jet bomber air- craft in 1959, therefore, is now estimated to have been 26 aircraft. Observations of Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23 during the fourth quarter of 1960 were hindered by poor visibility. Although a strong possibility exists that only five Bison aircraft were produced during the fourth quarter, the observations indicate that six could have been completed by 19 December 1960. For this report, therefore, six Bison aircraft are estimated to have been produced during the fourth quarter. Production of Bison in the first, second, and third quarters is estimated to have been four, nine, and three aircraft, respectively. Cumulative production of Bison aircraft is estimated to have totaled 14+3 aircraft as.of 1 January 1961. This estimate is believed to be reliable within plus six or minus nine aircraft. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S -E -C -R -E -T A Hook helicopter has been seen at the plant on nearly every observation since 27 April 1960. On 19 December 1960, two Hook helicopters were observed, and, on 22 December 1960, four Hook heli- copters were observed. These four Hook helicopters had no identifi- cation, and the wings appeared larger than any previously seen on the helicopter. A strong possibility exists that Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23 is now producing the Hook. Observations during early 1961 should indicate whether or.not production of the Bison is being replaced by production of the Hook. The new air- craft is believed to have been developed from a prototype aircraft that was photographed at Ramenskoye in April 1957. An article in Sovetskaya aviatsiya described a routine test flight of an unnamed high-speed bomber piloted by Valentin Fedorovich Kovalev, Tupolev's chief test pilot. The article indicated that the aircraft had only two engines and was capable of supersonic speed. The descri tion of this unnamed aircraft fits that of the new bomber aircraft at Kazan' Airframe Plant No. 22. The article therefore is to be reporting the test flight of the prototype of the new aircraft. Two more prototypes probably were constructed by mid-1958. Series production is estimated to have begun in April 1959. On the basis of an airframe weight of 60,000 pounds,** the total production of the new aircraft is estimated to be 28 aircraft as of 1 January 1961. This estimate, however, probably is no more accurate than plus or minus 10 aircraft. Kazan' Airframe Plant No. 22, as well as Kuybyshev Airframe Plant No. 1 and Voronezh Airframe Plant No. 64, is still engaged in the overhaul and/or modification of Badger (Tu-16) aircraft. Kuyby- shev Airframe Plant No. 18 continues to overhaul and/or to modify Bear (Tu-95) aircraft and to produce the Cleat (Tu-114) transport. For serially numbered source references, see Appendix D. An estimate derived from dimensions taken from the photography. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Photographs of Plant No. 18 / show that part of the modification to the Bear aircraft consists of replacing the horizontal stabilizer. The Badger and Bear aircraft probably are being modified to carry air- to-surface missiles. B. Fighters Information received during 1960 clarifies in part the situa- tion regarding production of fighter aircraft in the USSR. It has become clear that at least two and possibly three improved variants of the prototype interceptors first seen in 1956 are in quantity pro- duction in the USSR. These include%the Mikoyan-designed Fishbed "C" delta-wing fighter and either or both the swept-wing Sukhoy-designed Fitter and delta-wing Fishpot. Both the Mikoyan-designed Faceplate, also seen in 1956, and the Yakovlev twin-jet Yak-27 appear to have been produced in small quantities only. Sightings of the Fishbed jet fighters at Zerbst Airfield in East Germany in 1960 4/ established the identity of the Fishbed "C" and strengthened the position taken that the fighter has been selected for quantity production. Distinguishing features of the "C" variant include a clipped wing like that of Fishbed "B," a horizontal stabi- lizer configuration like that of Fishbed "A," and a larger aft section than was observed on the "A" and "B" models. J The Fishbed "C" is estimated to be in series production in Gor'kiy Airframe Plant No. 21 and Tbilisi Airframe Plant No. 31. Plant No. 21 historically has served as the pilot plant for Mikoyan- designed jet fighters, and it is believed that the plant has continued in this role. Plant No. 31 also is believed to be producing Fishbed aircraft. Fighters of the Fishbed "B" type were sighted at Plant No. 31 in 1958, / and this type of aircraft has been sighted at the plant periodically since that time, although such sightings have never S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 revealed more than four of the delta-wing fighters on any occasion. In fact, late in 1959 the factory area was reported as "completely bare." / Furthermore, it has been estimated that Plant No. 31 is involved in the missile program. / This estimate, together with the low number of Fishbed aircraft seen at the plant and the reported absence of activity at the facility, leaves some doubt as to the status of production of Fishbed aircraft at Plant No. 31. Until re- ceipt of further intelligence on Plant No. 31, however, it will be assumed that production of Fishbed "C" aircraft has replaced Fishbed "B" aircraft and continues at a low rate. Two Soviet airframe plants that have produced fighter aircraft in the past, Komsomol'sk Airframe Plant No. 126 and-Novosibirsk Air- frame Plant. No. 153, are believed to be involved in production of Sukhoy-designed fighters. An improved variant of the swept-wing Fitter is believed to have been produced in some quantity at Plant No. 126, and a delta-wing version of the Fitter or an improved variant of the Fishpot is believed to be in production at Plant No. 153. The identity of the specific aircraft in production at Plant No. 153 remains in doubt. Both the Fitter and the Fishpot have been seen in Novosibirsk. Three Fitter aircraft were sighted at Novosibirsk West airfield in June 1960, 2 and. approximately eight aircraft of the Fishpot type were sighted on the same airfield in July. 10 The aircraft of the Fishpot type were described as having the Fishpot fuselage, wing, and tail con- figuration but as lacking the large high-positioned nose cone. Pending clarification of the identity of the specific aircraft in production at the plant, production of a new Sukhoy fighter of undetermined model is estimated for Plant No. 153. The Yak-X7/29, an improved version of the Flashlight (Yak-25) twin-jet all-weather fighter, appears to have been produced in limited numbers only. Reportedly produced at Saratov Airframe Plant No. 292, the Yak-27 has not been sighted by Western observers. The sighting of tactical missiles in the plant area in the spring of 1960 revealed that the plant was engaged in this activity at that time. No series produc- tion of aircraft is currently estimated for Plant No. 292. C. Transports Only two piston-engine transport models, the Creek (Yak-12) and Clod (An-l1+), are believed to have been in production or under development during 1960. The production status of both aircraft, how- ever, is obscure. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Little firm information about production of the Creek is available. Frequent Soviet statements concerning the need for a new small transport aircraft, as well as infrequent sightings of the small ,transport at the producing plant, Leningrad Airframe Plant No. t53, suggest that production of the Creek has ceased. Recent new construc- tion of factory-like buildings at the plant may presage production of new aircraft. The production status of the Clod also is in doubt. State- ments in the Soviet press indicating continued interest in the aircraft and sightings at Kiev Airframe Plant No. 473 of unidentified aircraft, possibly the Clod, suggest that development of the Clod continues. Only 10 of the aircraft are estimated to have been produced by the end of 1960. 2. Turboprop Soviet emphasis on the development and production of turbo- prop transports has continued during 1960. Five of the transports, the Cub, the Cat, the Camp, the Coot, and the Cleat were produced during the year, even though serious operational and production difficulties were encountered with all of these models. A sixth turboprop trans- port, the Coke, was introduced during 1960. A steady decline In the number of Cub turboprop transports observed on the plant airfield at Irkutsk Airframe Plant No. 39 sug- gests that production may have ended recently. This opinion is strengthened by the fact that several of the airplanes were only partly assembled. It would appear that the final assembly area is being cleared of Cub aircraft to make way for production of new aircraft. In light of current developments the estimated production of the Cub has been reduced. On the basis of reports received during the past several months, it appears that the Cat aircraft is used only to a limited degree. It is interesting to note also that Soviet publications seldom mention the aircraft. The possibility should be considered, therefore, that production of Cat aircraft has ceased. Until receipt of further Information, however, it will be assumed that production is continuing at the rate of three aircraft per month at Voronezh Airframe Plant No. 64. Approximately 100 Cat aircraft have been produced as of 1 Janu- ary 1961. In view of the possible difficulties with the Cub and the Cat, production of the Camp, which is basically similar, also may be declining. As was true of the Cat, it is assumed that production of S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T the Camp is continuing. The assault transport is produced at an esti- mated rate of six aircraft are hbelieved Airframe produced.by4? Approximately 150 Camp aircraft the end of 1960. Production of the Coot turboprop transport is believed to have continued throughout 1960 at Moscow Airframe Plant No. 30, al- though it is suspected that difficulties which forced the grounding of most of the aircraft have not been entirely corrected. The Coot been aircraft Approxi- rate of four is produced d at mately l It is believed that after years of apparent frustrations with the Cleat four.-engine turboprop transport the USSR has corrected many of the problems of this giant aircraft and that Cleat aircraft Fleeted Glavnohe routes of the Chief Directorate of the soon will GrazhdanskoRo Vozdushnoao Flota - Civil Air Aeroflot this transpor is n series pro uc on an a an estimated total o 23 Cleat aircraft (including 1 prototype) has been completed. In February 1960 a new Antonov-designed turboprop transport identified as an An-24 was observed in the USSR. An article in the Soviet press in June 1960 described the aircraft, which is slightly smaller than the Camp, as capable of cruising within a range of 1,250 miles at a speed of 270 knots. The An-21+, which has been given the NATO designation of the Coke, is still believed to be in the prototype state. Two flying prototypes of the Coke are believed to have been which also serves as the constructed at Kiev Airframe Plant No. 473, additions Special Design series aproducction Recent suggest that No. 473. 3. Turbojet During 1960 the USSR continued to emphasize production and development of turbojet transports. Two variants of the Tupolev- designed Camel (Tu-104) twin-jet transport were produced in the USSR during 1960. It is believed, however, that production of the 70- passenger version, the Tu-104A, at Omsk Airframe Plant No. 166 probably ceased by the end. of the year. The cessation of the Camel A program ds out at Plant No. 166 has been expected since that aircraft was phased at Kharkov Airframe Plant No. 135 in June 1959. Recent Plant No. 166, which include a new final-assembly building completed late in 1957 or early in 1958 and a new runway completed in 1960, in- dicate that a new aircraft will be produced at Plant No. 166 and should appear during 1961. 25X1 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 the production rate of Camel B, which is the 100-passenger version of the Camel aircraft, at Kazan' Airframe Plant No. 22 decreased consid- erably during the latter half of 1959 and then accelerated during 1960 until approximately September 1960, when a rate of four Camel B air- craft per month was reached. During this period, there have been noted two significant occurrences that are believed to account for, at least in part, the fluctuations in the rate of production of the Camel B aircraft. These occurrences are (a) the modifications ob- served on newly produced Camel B aircraft and (b) production of the new bomber at Plant No. 22. Recent information indicates that Camel B aircraft produced during 1960 have been slightly modified in that their interiors have been improved and their baggage-carrying capacity has been increased. 11 It is not believed, however, that these modifi- cations are extensive enough to have influenced as large a cutback in production as is indicated. It appears more likely that the main reason for the decrease in the rate of production of the Camel B air- craft was the phasing into production of the new bomber. The USSR has announced that a new version of the Camel, the Tu-104E, set six new world records on 2 April 1960. The Tu-104E was claimed to differ from other Camel models in that it was equipped with more economical and more powerful engines. It is anticipated that production of this improved Camel will replace that of the Camel A and possibly the Camel B aircraft, but no evidence has been forthcoming to indicate where this new Camel will be produced. The long-awaited new Tupolev light twin-jet transport, the Cookpot, was seen during the summer of 1960. According to the Soviet press, the transport can fly at speeds of up to 486 knots and can cruise at an altitude of 32,800 feet. The general appearance of the Cookpot aircraft is similar to other transports in the Camel family, but it is approximately only one-half as large. Although the aircraft is subsonic rather than slightly supersonic, its prestige value lies in the claim that it is "the world's first airliner with turbofan engines." The effect of the turbofan engines is to increase the engine -propulsion efficiency and to reduce the fuel consumption. Test flights of the Cookpot aircraft are being carried out, and series production is believed to be underway at Kharkov Airframe Plant No. 135. D. Helicopters, Trainers, and Reconnaissance Aircraft 1. Helicopters Six types of helicopters are estimated to have been in pro- duction in the USSR throughout 1960. These types include the Mil'- designed Hare (Mi-1), Hound (Mi-4), and Hook (Mi-6); the Kamov-designed Hen (Ka-15) and Hog (Ka-18); and the Yakovlev-designed Horse (Yak-24). 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 a. Mil' Helicopters Since 1959, little information has been available con- cerning production of the Mil'-designed Hare helicopter at Rostov Air- 25X1 frame Plant No. 168 and Chkalov Airframe Plant No. 47. The helico ter has not been observed at Plant No. 168 in 1960, and there are no production in 1960 at either facility. n i the receipt of further information, however, production of the Hare is tentatively assumed to be continuing at both plants, although it is considered possible that production of the small helicopter has ceased. it is estimated that 1,326 Hound heli- copters had been pro uce by 20 April 1960. 12 The Hound is believed to be continuing in production at Kazan' Airframe Plant No. 387 at the rate of approximately 20 helicopters per month. More than 1,500 Hound helicopters are believed to have been produced by the end of 1960. some Hook helicopters were produced in 1959 at Rostov r rame an No. 168. 13 The Hook has never been seen, however, at Rostov North airfield, which serves the plant. Moreover, the recent observations of the Hook at Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23 cast doubt on continued production of the Hook at Plant No. 168, for it is likely that requirements could be met at one facility. Furthermore, reported difficulties with the Hook suggest that it has been produced in very limited numbers. Until the receipt of further information, however, it will be assumed that production of the Hook at Plant No. 168 is continuing at a low rate. b. Kamov Helicopters U lan U de Airframe Plant No. 99 is the production site of both the Hen and the Hog Kamov-designed helicopters. It is believed that they are produced there concurrently. 157 of the coaxial helicopters had been produced before 12 April 19 0. / About 260 of each of the helicopters are be- lieved to have been produced as of 1 January 1961. c. Yakovlev Helicopters Only one Yakovlev-designed helicopter, the Horse, is believed to be in series production in the USSR. Produced at Lenin- grad Airframe Plant No. 272, the Horse has been sighted in increasing numbers in the USSR during 1960. Approximately 130 Horse helicopters are believed to have been produced as of 1 January 1961. 25X1 25X1 25X1 S -E -C -R -E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 2. Trainers Production of all trainer types of aircraft is believed to have ceased in the USSR by 1 January 1961. The Midget (U-MIG-15) jet trainer is believed to have been phased out of production at Ulan-Ude Plant No. 99 during 1959, and the Max (Yak-18) piston trainer is be- lieved to have been phased out during 1960. No recent information is available concerning the status of production of aircraft at Sememovka Airframe Plant No. 116, where the Max was produced for more than a decade. It is believed that both the Midget and the Max will be replaced by a new jet trainer. The Soviet press has indicated that the USSR,. Czechoslovakia, and Poland were competing in the development of a new jet trainer. During 1960 the Czechoslovak "Kbely" (L-2) and the Polish "Iskra" (TS-11) student trainers were introduced. As yet, no new Soviet trainer has been announced, nor has there been announce- ment of a new trainer designed by Communist China, which reportedly also had entered the competition. 3. Reconnaissance Aircraft It is estimated that a new turbine-powered flying boat, an improved version of the Madge (Be-6), has entered production at Taganrog Airframe Plant No. 49/86. To date, the aircraft is believed to be produced at a low rate (only 12 of the patrol bombers are be- lieved to have been produced as of 1 January 1961). III. Expenditures for Procurement of Aircraft The USSR is estimated to have spent approximately the equivalent of $20 billion for procurement of Soviet aircraft including initial spares during 1955-60. The estimated expenditures for procurement of Soviet aircraft during 1955-60 are detailed, by major type of air- craft, in Table 10* and. Table ll** and are shown graphically in Figure 1.*** Expenditures are estimated for the aircraft and for initial spares. The cost of the aircraft includes the cost of the basic airframe, the engine, electronics, armament, accessories, and propellers. Initial spares are those spare parts manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipelines. Procurement of initial spares naturally follows the same pattern as procurement of aircraft. * are ** are *** Estimated expenditures for aircraft, including initial spares, shown in Table 10, Appendix A, p. 39, below. Estimated expenditures for aircraft, excluding initial spares, shown in Table 11, Appendix A, p. !.0, below. Following p. 14. - 14 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 SECRET USSR Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Aircraft Including Initial Spares, 1955-60 Billion 1959 US dollars Bomber Fighter Transport Other* 29709 3-61 0.5 2.7 0.4 1956 0.6 0.2 1959 1960 *Refers to Trainers, Helicopters, and Reconnaissance Aircraft SECRET Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Expenditures for procurement of Soviet aircraft, including initial spares, decreased from $5.1 billion in 1955 to $2.0 billion in 1960. Production of aircraft in numbers and expenditures for procurement of aircraft declined in each succeeding year from 1955 (see the chart, Figure 2*). Airframe weight, however, reached a peak in 1956 and then declined. Estimated expenditures for producement of the major categories of aircraft, including initial spares, are shown graphically in Figure 3* as a percentage of the total annual expenditure for aircraft. The per- centage of expenditures for bomber aircraft decreased from 64 percent in 1955 to 18 percent in 1959 and then increased to 22 percent in 1960, whereas the percentage for transport aircraft increased from 3 percent in 1955 to 58 percent in 1959 and then decreased to 1i8 percent in 1960. Expenditures for the procurement of bomber aircraft including initial spares decreased from $3.2 billion in 1955 to $440 million in 1960. Expenditures for the procurement of transport aircraft including initial spares increased from $14+0 million in 1955 to $1.3 billion in 1959 and then decreased to $970 million in 1960. IV. Production in the European Satellites, 1960* A. Czechoslovakia In Czechoslovakia the Soviet-designed Midget (U-MIG-15) jet trainer aircraft is estimated to have been phased out of production at the Prague/Vodochody Airframe Plant late in the second quarter of 1960. Soviet publications report that the airframe plant at Cakovice has stopped production of the Soviet-designed Crate (Avia-14+) twin piston-engine transport aircraft. L5/ The trend toward production of small aircraft is shown by the introduction of the new Kbely (L-2) jet trainer and the HC-3 helicopter and by the continuation in production of the Morava (L-200), the Super Aero and Aero-145 twin piston-engine communication/utility aircraft, the Meta Sokol (L--40), the Akrobat single seat and Trener-Master tandem seat (Zlin-326) single-engine sport aircraft, and the HC-2 helicopter. All these light aircraft are of Czechoslovak design, and all are be- lieved to be in series production. The one possible exception is the Kbely jet trainer, which has not been seen in other than prototype versions, although it is believed to have entered series production Following p. 16. * Estimated production of aircraft in the European Satellites and in Communist China from 1955 through 1960 is given by number in Table 7, Appendix A, p. 32, below, and by airframe weight in Table 8, Appendix A, p? 33, below. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 late in the fourth quarter of 1960, probably at the airframe plant at Letnany. Because no recent reports have been received concerning the Jet Sokol (XL-440) twin-jet communication/utility aircraft, it is not believed to be in production. The possibility exists, however, that the Jet Sokol may enter series production at the airframe plant at Chocen and replace production of the Brigadyr (L-60) communications aircraft, which was discontinued during the first quarter of 1960. B. Poland Production of the Soviet-designed Fresco (MIG-17) jet fighter aircraft at the airframe plant in Mielec in Poland is believed to have ended late in 1960. Although there is no firm evidence of the phaseout of the Fresco aircraft, the fact that Farmer (MIG-19) jet fighter air- craft are being supplied to air force units of nearly all the European Satellites and are being exported to the United Arab Republic (UAR) and possibly to Iraq and Indonesia 16 while the Soviet Air Force units in. the European Satellites are being equipped with Fishbed jet fighter aircraft strongly suggests that the Fresco aircraft may be dropped from production because it is obsolete. Furthermore, the lack of sightings of Fresco aircraft in the area of the Mielec plant tends to indicate at least a lowered rate of production. In addition, the statement by General Frey-Bielecki that the Bies (TS-8) piston-engine trainer aircraft and the new Iskra (TS-11) jet trainer aircraft will be used as standard student trainers / indicates that both will be produced in series. The airframe plant at Mielec almost certainly will be the production site of these trainer aircraft, thus increasing the probability that the Fresco aircraft will be phased out. Poland also continued the trend toward production of small air- craft. The one new aircraft believed to have entered into series pro- duction is the Iskra (TS-11) jet trainer aircraft. Continuing in production are the Bies (TS-8) piston engine trainer aircraft, the PZL-101 (believed to be in production at a low rate), the KOS (PZL-102) sports communication/utility aircraft, and the Hare (SM-1 and SM-2) helicopters. The MD-12 four-engine short-range transport aircraft has been mentioned infrequently, and only the prototype has been observed. Therefore, the aircraft is not believed to be in production, nor is it considered likely that it will enter series production. All aircraft estimated to be continuing in or entering into series production in Poland (except the Hare) are of native design. C. East Germany The Soviet-designed Crate (I1-1)+) twin-piston-engine transport aircraft, which was phased out of production in 1959, is the only air- craft to be put into full series production by East Germany. The type-152 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9 SECRET USSR: Indexes of Estimated Production of Aircraft, by Number, Airframe Weight, and Value* Excluding Initial Spares, 1955-60 20 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 *Value is defined as the expenditure for the procurement of the aircraft. 29710 3-61 SECRET CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY A ir frame weight Numb er Value* ate' Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 SECRET USSR: Distribution of Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Aircraft, Including Initial Spares, 1955-60 Bomber ~~r o Transport /" 00 , 140 Fi ht '0 t4waGlf~~..~~:-1'uiYf.~ g er W-~}41wi~+lfRlal~WF~llY ig '1' y~.y YYU'L W~ uuRl!nAU~ ~:lii' ~~LLLl~4J1' W V WLL W 9C-klbl. 00' ;art ~y11L NaL Other* _ u ~. *Refers to Trainer, Helicopter, and Reconnaissance Aircraft SECRET Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 jet transport aircraft, an East German design, was given a test flight in August 1960. 18 It was reported to be in series production as of October 1960,12/ lthough continued flight testing of the aircraft may have been postponed until 1961. 20 Thus the aircraft industry of East Germany had no aircraft in full series production during 1960. The industry, however, continued the development of medium-range and short-range jet transport aircraft of East German design. The type-152 medium-range jet transport air- craft is believed to have been in the first stages of series production at the end of 1960. The type-155 short-range, short-takeoff-and-land (STOL) aircraft reportedly is still under development, with series production programed for 1964. 21 The type-154 medium-range jet trans- port aircraft, which was believed to have been dropped, now appears only to have been delayed. Reports received toward the end of 1960 indicate that the type 154 is still under development as a replacement for the type 152. / Nothing, however, is expected of this aircraft until 1963 or later. D. Other European Satellites Of the four remaining European Satellites -- Rumania, Bulgaria, Hungary, and Albania -- only Rumania is believed to have produced air- craft during 1960. Rumania probably continued production of a very limited number of IAR 813/817 and RG-6 piston trainer aircraft. V. Production in Communist China In 1960 the aircraft industry of Communist China was limited to production of jet fighters, small piston transports, and helicopters. Aircraft in production during the year include the Fresco (MIG-17) jet fighter, the Colt (An-2) piston transport, and the Hound (Mi-4) medium helicopter. Recent information indicates that a fourth air- craft, probably the Farmer (MIG-19), may have entered production in 1960 and that the Chinese may be preparing for production of a Tupolev- designed bomber or transport in Sian in Shensi Province. Three airframe plants and two aircraft engine plants have been identified in Communist China. Airframe plants identified include the following: Shen-yang Plant No. 112, the site of production of the Fresco; Harbin Plant No. 122, which produced the Hound; and Nan-chang Plant No. 320, the Chinese center for production of the Colt. Piston engines for the Colt are produced at Plant No. 331 in Chu-chou, and the engine for the Fresco is believed to be produced at Plant No. 410 in Shen-yang. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Unlike the aircraft industries of the European Satellites, the Chinese Communist industry produces only Soviet-designed aircraft. Furthermore, the Chinese have continued to stress production of mili- tary types, whereas the Satellites have phased out of production of military aircraft during the past 12 months. In the past 10 years the Chinese Communists have developed a modest but increasingly important aircraft industry. In spite of the progress attained, however, as of the end of 1960 the Chinese aircraft industry remained dependent on the USSR. In the fields of design, research, and development, especially in regard to military aircraft, continued Soviet aid is necessary. Assistance from the USSR has been vital in developing the Chinese aircraft industry, and without such aid it would have been impossible for China to develop an aircraft industry within such a short time. This assistance has involved aid in constructing the plants and in tooling for the facilities and guidance in production activities. Although significant strides have been made by the Chinese toward the establishment of an independent, integrated aircraft indus- try, their progress will be heavily influenced by the degree of assist- ance received from the USSR. VI. Effects of Guided Missiles on the Aircraft Industry Information that has become available during 1960 does not com- pletely clarify the effect of missile activity on the Soviet aircraft industry. However, several facts concerning the effect of missile utilization and the effect of missile development and production on the aircraft industry are clear. First, some Soviet airframe and aircraft engine plants are known to be involved in some aspects of the missile program. Second, the introduction of missiles has con- siderably reduced the need for such large-scale production of military aircraft as was previously achieved. Third, in spite of Soviet pro- nouncements on the subject, development and production of bomber air- craft has continued. A. Missile Activity in the Aircraft Industry Several plants of the aircraft industry reportedly have been converted wholly to missile programs or are at least involved in mis- sile activity. Moscow Airframe Plants Nos. 82, 456, 301, and possibly 464 were transferred to missile production early in the 1950's. More recently, there has been evidence that Saratov Airframe Plant No. 292 is involved with short-range tactical missiles and that Tbilisi Air- frame Plant No. 31 is engaged in the missile program. Ufa Aircraft Engine Plant No. 26, Molotov Aircraft Engine Plant No. 19, and Moscow Aircraft Engine Plant No. 45 reportedly also are involved in some aspect of the missile program. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Saratov Airframe Plant No. 292 is the most important of the Soviet airframe plants firmly associated with missile production. More than 100 onion-shaped warheads and square fins were observed at the plant in the spring of 1960. 23 It is likely that these may be free-flight ballistic missiles of the "Honest John" type, which have a nuclear capability and an estimated range of 15 nautical miles. Objects similar to the "Guideline" surface-to-air missile also were observed at Plant No. 292. The Saratov plant has been one of the most important centers of production of fighters in the USSR and until re- cently produced Yakovlev-designed fighter aircraft. It also appears that a second facility for production of fighters, Tbilisi Airframe Plant No. 31, also may be engaged in some phase of missile production. 24/ In neither case, however, is there information as to the amount of floor- space or effort devoted to the missile program. Although there is evidence relating other Soviet airframe and some aircraft engine plants to the missile program, there is no information indicating reduced ca- pacity for production of aircraft in the industry as a whole. B. Utilization of Missiles as Replacement for Aircraft Decreased production of military aircraft for the past several years may be due in part to the use of missiles as functional replace- ments for aircraft. It appears that the Soviet decision not to develop a large force of heavy bombers and the apparent decision not to replace the light bomber force with modern aircraft indicate increasing depend- ence on missiles. The failure to produce a replacement for the Beagle (11-28) light jet bomber probably is attributable to the success of the missile program, as may be the decline in the production rate of the Bison heavy jet bomber in late 1957. Similarly the increased effective- ness of fighter aircraft equipped with missiles and the utilization of surface-to-air missiles may account for some of the decline in produc- tion of fighter aircraft. C. Soviet Statements Concerning Missiles and Aircraft Statements made by Khrushchev as early as 1957 have indicated that production programs for bomber aircraft would be relegated to minor roles and even would cease. As recently as January 1960, Khrushchev stated. that the USSR had rocket equipment at its disposal and that the manufacture of bombers would continue to be cut sharply and even discontinued. Such statements probably were made partly for propaganda purposes, for some production of bombers has continued in the USSR. In spite of probable increasing reliance on missiles, the appearance of the Bounder in 1958 and the sighting of new supersonic medium bombers in 1960 indicate continued Soviet interest in both the S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 development and production of manned bombers. For the past decade the USSR has pursued all lines of research in weaponry in its efforts to gain superiority over the West. Long-range aircraft and jet fighter aircraft have received significant emphasis, although perhaps less than formerly. VII. Future Intentions A. USSR 1. Bombers The sighting of a new medium bomber in 1960 indicates con- tinued Soviet interest in the development and production of bomber air- craft. The new bomber is believed to have entered series production at a low rate. The sighting during 1960 of possible mockup sections at Moscow/Fili Airframe Plant No. 23 of an unidentified aircraft in the experimental area of the plant, together with their apparent re- moval from a plant building, also may indicate the impending appearance of a new aircraft in 1961. Production of the Bison heavy jet bomber continues at a low rate at Plant No. 23. The appearance of the new medium bomber and the prolonged production run of the Bison indicate that the USSR intends to continue the development and production of bomber aircraft. It is likely, how- ever, that considerable selectivity regarding production will be ex- ercised and that production will be at much lower rates than formerly. The USSR undoubtedly will continue research in the fields of chemical and nuclear-powered bombers, and prototypes of these types may be flown by 1962. 2. Fighters As anticipated, estimated production of fighter aircraft increased during 1960. Production of fighter aircraft, however, re- mained very low even in comparison with estimated production of the preceding Soviet fighters, the Flashlight (Yak-25) and the Farmer (MIG-19). During 1960 it became apparent that variants of at least two and possibly three of the fighters first displayed in 1956 had entered into production. The Fishbed "C" has entered into service with the Soviet 24th Tactical Air Army in East Germany and probably in units within the USSR as well. Both the swept-wing Fitter and the delta-wing Fishpot have been sighted in the USSR, and variants of both aircraft probably were under development or in production in the USSR in 1960. It is estimated, therefore, that, along with production of S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 the Fishbed "C," at least one and possibly two Sukhoy-designed fighters are currently in production in the USSR. The USSR has indicated a high degree of interest in the improved variants of the fighter aircraft displayed in 1956, as demon- strated by the fact that three of these aircraft are now in development or production. It is noted, however, that there is no evidence of very high rates of production of the new fighters in terms of the production rates of the older Fagot, Fresco, and even Farmer aircraft. It is be- lieved that the increased effectiveness of the new generation of fighters together with the use of missiles will preclude the high rates of pro- duction characteristic of the earlier jet fighters. 3. Trans orts The high priority evidenced by the USSR since 195+ in the development and production of transport aircraft continued in 1960. Two new transports, the turbojet Cookpot and turboprop Coke, were in- troduced during the year, and both are believed to have been in some stage of production by the end of 1960. Of the turbojet and turboprop transport aircraft in produc- tion at the end of 1959 (the Camel, the Cat, the Cub, the Camp, the Cleat, and the Coot), only the Cub is believed to have been phased out of production. The Camel B and the Camel A, both of which appeared to be being phased out at the end of 1959, continued through 1960. The production rate of the Camel B actually increased during 1960. It appears evident that the very intensive Soviet programs for research, development, and production of high-performance transport aircraft will continue in the future. 1.. Helicopters and Miscellaneous Aircraft During 1960, increased emphasis was placed on production of rotary-wing aircraft, and it is believed that this trend will con- tinue. All helicopters in production at the end of 1959 (the Hare, the Hound, the Hook, the Horse, the Hen, and the Hog) are believed to have been produced as of the end of 1960. Of these models, only the Hare reportedly may be phased out of series production in the near future. A new reconnaissance aircraft is believed to have replaced the older Madge in production. As yet there is no evidence of large- scale production of the patrol bomber, nor is there evidence of Soviet intentions to emphasize the development of such an aircraft. S -E -C -R-E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 B. Communist China The intentions of the Chinese Communist aircraft industry must be viewed in the light of continued Soviet aid to the industry. The progress of the Chinese toward developing an independent aircraft in- dustry will be heavily influe .ced by the degree of assistance received from the USSR. With the acceptance of this consideration, it is believed that the Chinese Communists will manufacture both military and civil air- craft and helicopters of Soviet design. Information received in 1960 indicates that the Chinese intend to produce a medium jet bomber or a jet transport. It is believed that if this production were to occur, it would require heavy reliance on the USSR and that the Chinese would assemble Soviet-fabricated parts for some time before initiating domestic manufacture. In the fighter category the Chinese probably will concentrate on production of the Farmer for the next few years. It is not anticipated that a Chinese-designed fighter will enter into production in the near future. It is believed that during the next 5 years the Chinese Commu- nists will place heavy emphasis on production of transport aircraft and helicopters. Turboprop transports are well suited for use in China, and the Chinese may begin production of one of the new turbo- props of Il'yushin or Antonov design. Some turbojet transports also may be produced by the Chinese. Production of piston transports also is expected to continue in China, and the manufacture of the Colt may be replaced or supplemented by the fabrication of a newer aircraft. Along with production of transports, the Chinese Communists probably will emphasize manufacture of helicopters. The versatile Hound, which entered into production in late 1959 in China, probably will reach a peak rate in 1961 and is expected to continue in produc- tion throughout the period under consideration. It is apparent that present endeavors reveal ambitious inten- tions for the aircraft industry of Communist China during the next 5 years. By the end of the period the industry may rank second in im- portance only to the USSR within the Sino-Soviet Bloc. C. European Satellites Among the seven European Satellites, only Poland, Czechoslovakia, and East Germany possess aircraft industries of any proportion. The trend of the aircraft industries of these three countries during 1960 appears to follow the recommendations of CEMA, which is demonstrated by the fact that the aircraft industries of Poland and Czechoslovakia Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 have concentrated on the development and production of sport, trainer, and communication/utility aircraft and light and medium helicopters, whereas East Germany has continued the development of medium-range transport aircraft. Production of military aircraft by the European Satellites is believed to have ceased. All of the military aircraft produced by the European Satellites in the past year have been of Soviet design. The new production undertaken by the European Satellites during 1960 has been solely of native-designed aircraft. It is too early to determine definitely whether this trend toward production of nonmilitary aircraft of native design will continue or whether the year 1960 was a period of transition from subsonic jet fighter and trainer aircraft to the introduction of new transonic and supersonic jet fighter and trainer aircraft. The possibility remains that one or all of the three coun- tries -- Poland, Czechoslovakia, and East Germany -- will produce mili- tary aircraft of Soviet design sometime during 1961. It is considered more likely, however, that the aircraft industries will become more self-sufficient and will follow the recommendations of CEMA in the development and production of aircraft. Eventually these aircraft in- dustries may undertake some development and production of military air- craft, but such a program is not considered likely for the next several years. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 STATISTICAL TABLES Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Number 1955-60 Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1 957 1958 Jet bomber Heavy Medium Light Turboprop bomber Heavy 21 450 600 17 25 530 360 35 33 460 160 0 14 230 0 0 Jet fighter Transport 3,700 3,100 2,000 1,300 Jet Turboprop 4 0 14 20 57 Piston 3 18 110 600 1,000 1,300 84o Jet Pi 700 570 440 340 ston 560 610 520 550 Helicopter R 4oo 440 54o 690 econnaissance C 60 60 48 28 ommunication/utility 68 140 220 290 Total 7,200 6,900 2 700 4 400 , , 1959 1960 26 22 19 18 0 0 0 0 780 740 72 52 220 200 490 340 240 49 46o 380 84o 1,000 9 8 210 290 3,400 a. Figures are rounded to two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. - 26 - Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 ? , Approved For Release 2002/02/12: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc by Weight, Excluding Initial Spares a/ 1955-60 Thousand Pounds of Airframe Weight Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1 959 1960 Jet bomber Heavy M di 2,200 2,600 3,400 1,400 2,700 2,300 e um 21,000 25,000 22,000 11,000 980 1 100 Light Turboprop bomber 10,000 6,000 2,700 , 0 0 0 1,4oo 2,900 0 0 0 0 Jet fighter Transport 25,000 22,000 14,000 9,600 6,000 5,900 Jet T b 210 740 1,100 3,000 3,900 2,800 ur oprop Pi t 0 90 890 4,6oo 9,000 8,200 s on Trainer 2,100 8,600 10,000 5,000 2,100 1,100 Jet 4,300 3,500 2,500 1,700 1 200 240 Piston 740 780 510 560 , 490 410 Helicopter R i 2,200 2,700 2,900 3,200 3,700 4,700 econna ssance C i t 1,200 1,200 980 750 180 520 ommun ca ion/utility 71 170 280 380 250 34o Total 70,000 76,000 61,ooo 41,000 30,000 28,000 a. Figures are rounded to two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. Ini- tial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipeline. Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the USSR, by Number a/ 1955-60 e of Aircraft 1955 Heavy 21 Medium 45o Light 600 Turboprop bomber Heavy Jet fighter Transport 17 3,300 Jet 4 Turboprop 600 Piston 1958 1959 1956 1957 14 26 22 25 33 46o 230 19 18 530 360 16o 0 0 0 35 0 0 000 1 0 410 0 530 2,800 1,900 , 6 69 50 14 20 5 110 220 200 1,000 1,200 680 300 160 Trainer Jet 460 330 200 140 60 60 360 0 270 Piston 340 360 360 3 4 Helicopter 400 440 500 48 580 28 700 9 7 8 Reconnaissance 60 60 6,300 5,900 4,900 3,200 2,200 2,000 Total a. Figures are rounded to two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. S-E-C R-E-T Approved For Release 2002J02/12,: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2092/02/18 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Table 4 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the USSR by Weight, Excluding Initial Spares 1955-60 Thousand Pounds of Airframe Weight Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Jet bomber Heavy 2,200 2,600 3,400 1,400 2,700 2,300 Medium 21,000 25,000 22,000 11,000 980 1,100 Light 10,000 6,000 2,700 0 0 0 Turboprop bomber Heavy 1,4oo 2,900 0 0 0 0 Jet fighter 23,000 20,000 13,000 7,600 3,600 4,500 Transport Jet 210 740 1,100 3,000 3,700 2,700 Turboprop 0 90 890 4,600 9,000 8,200 Piston 2,100 8,300 9,300 3,200 290 150 Jet 3,000 2,200 1,300 690 310 0 Piston 340 360 360 360 360 270 Helicopter 2,200 2,700 2,800 3,000 3,400 3,800 Reconnaissance 1,200 1,200 980 750 180 520 Total 67,000 72,000 58,000 36,000 25,000 23,000 a. Figures are rounded to two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. Ini- tial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipeline. - 29 - S-E -C -R-E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 5 US Military Aircraft Acceptances, by Number 1955-60 Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Heavy 34 75 173 156 118 74 Medium 530 505 199 31 15 17 Light 155 105 14 0 0 0 Ground attack 631 469 339 4oo 319 312 Fighter 4,017 2,656 2,569 1,574 938 632 Transport 536 362 223 337 107 61 Trainer 1,439 843 784 567 614 268 Other c, 701 1,098 1,316 1,17+ 873 781 Total 8,043 / 6,113 5,617 4,239 2,984+ 2,1+5 a. 25 b. Including preliminary data for the fourth quarter of 1960. c. Tankers; helicopters; flying boats; and antisubmarine warfare, warning, liaison, utility, amphibian, and lighter-than-air aircraft. d. Figures are not rounded, because they were obtained from official US military acceptances. Approved For Release 2002/02/12': CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2092/02/1, : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 US Military Aircraft Acceptances, by Weight, Excluding Initial Spares 1955-6o Thousand Pounds of Airframe Weight Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 c/ Bomber Heavy 3,853 8,442 19,462 17,638 12,740 7,882 Medium 26,377 22,525 7,340 1,250 480 544 Light 2,724 1,975 268 0 0 0 Ground attack 6,034 4,803 3,720 3,680 3,361 3,196 Fighter 43,161 30,588 30,427 18,562 12,945 9,434 Transport 20,697 13,104 9,319 8,134 4,116 3,468 Trainer 7,453 3,283 4,050 3,107 3,468 1,111 Other 1/ 4,397 5,292 4,853 13,758 14,643 10,362 Total 114,696 J 90,012 79,439 66,129 51,753 35,997 a. 2 b. Initial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipeline. c. Including preliminary data for the fourth quarter of 1960. d. Tankers; helicopters; flying boats; and antisubmarine warfare, warning, liaison, utility, amphibian, and lighter-than-air aircraft. e. Figures are not rounded, because they were obtained from official US military accept- ances. - 31 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 7 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the European Satellites and in Communist China, by Number a/ 1955-60 ft 1 55 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Country Type of Aircra 9 Czechoslovakia Jet fighter 130 0 0 10 0 6 0 0 Piston transport 0 17 46 60 0 3 4 Jet trainer 240 240 240 200 180 5 0 Piston trainer 120 120 6 0 0 6 Light helicopter 0 0 2 0 23 5 Communication/utility (piston) 68 140 220 290 210 260 1 Communication/utility (jet) 0 0 0 0 1 Total 560 510 520 570 470 400 Poland Jet fighter 240 340 130 180 180 100 0 Piston transport 0 0 0 0 1 4 Light jet trainer 0 0 0 0 1 8 Light piston trainer 36 36 36 62 67 7 Light helicopter 0 0 41 110 120 120 Communication/utility 0 0 0 1 0 30 Total 270 380 210 350 370 330 Rumania Light piston trainer 24 24 44 69 24 27 0 Bulgaria Light piston trainer 20 36 36 20 0 Hungary Light piston trainer 24 30 36 36 12 0 East Germany Jet transport 0 0 0 1 4 3 8 2 0 Piston transport 0 2 19 1 2 Total 0 2 19 42 31 2 Communist China Jet fighter 0 0 1 120 190 110 1 0 Piston transport 0 0 1 50 100 5 8 Helicopter 0 0 0 0 3 5 Total 0 0 2 170 220 340 900 80 860 1,300 11 200 1100 Grand total a. Figures axe rounded to two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to totals shown. - 32 - Approved For Release 2002/02/12: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2Q02102112 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the European Satellites and in Communist China by Weight, Excluding Initial Spares 1955-60 6 1 1957 1958 1959 1960 Country Type of Aircraft 1955 95 Czechoslovakia Jet fighter 670 0 0 4 84 60 0 960 0 48o Piston transport 0 270 0 .7 9 920 230 Jet trainer 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,000 0 0 0 Piston trainer 310 310 16 0 15 32 Light helicopter 0 0 1 8 250 320 Communication/utility (piston) 71 170 280 3 0 1 1 Communication/utility (jet) 0 0 0 0 000 2 300 2 500 2,100 11100 Total 2,300 2, , , Poland Jet fighter 1,200 1,800 850 1,200 0 1,200 7 660 0 Piston transport 0 0 0 0 2 8 Light jet trainer 0 0 0 8 110 120 Light piston trainer 33 33 37 9 280 280 Light helicopter 0 0 94 250 0 16 Communication/utility 0 0 0 1 800 80 1 500 1,600 11100 T t l 1,200 1, 9 , a o 18 32 49 17 12 Rumania Bulgaria Light piston trainer Light piston trainer 18 i2 35 35 1 4 2 11 2 0 Hungary Light piston trainer 23 24 3 11 2 8 Jet transport 0 0 0 41 4 0 East Germany Piston transport 0 32 300 660 5 0 Total 0 32 300 700 570 82 Communist China Jet fighter 0 0 6 4 770 180 1,200 350 730 520 ort ton trans Pi 0 0 640 p s Helicopter 0 0 0 0 23 0 10 950 1,600 11900 Total 0 4 00 700 3 700 5 1900 ,100 Grand total 1600 2 , , a. Figures are rounded to the nearest one thousand pounds or to not more than two significant digits. Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. Initial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipeline. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Table 9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number 195+-60 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 Country Type of Aircraft M d l A Cumulative Production Status o e irframe Plant Through 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Total 1 January 1961 Jet bomber Heavy 26 22 143 2 aircraft per month Badger (Tu-16) Kuybyshev No. 1 29 154 180 180 135 12 690 (the total includes 3 prototypes) Ceased Badger (Tu-16) Kazan' No. 22 122 234 240 231 93 920 Ceased Badger (Tu-16) Voronezh No. 64 63 108 47 2 220 Ceased 151 451 528 458 230 12 1,830 Bounder Moscow/Fili No. 23 1 J` 1 J 2 Prototypes Blinder Kazan No. 22 1 2 7 18 28 2 aircraft per month (the total includes Blowlamp Moscow No. 30 3 prototypes) Beagle (11-28) Moscow No. 30 3 Prototypes Beagle (I1-28) Irkutsk No. 39 345 360 359 161 1,500 1 225 Ceased Ceased Beagle (I1-28) Voronezh No. 64 1,200 , 1 200 Ceased Beagle (11-28) Omsk No. 166 981 119 , 1,100 Ceased 55 Ceased (the total includes Twin-jet Farmer (MIG-19) Gor'kiy No. 21 19 249 300 142 710 3 prototypes) Ceased Farmer (MIG-19) Novosibirsk No. 153 11 296 474 425 31 1,237 Ceased 19- 260 29-6 616 425 31 1,947 48 264 312 46 670 Ceased Yak-2729 Saratov No. 292 2 , 32 18 52 Preseries run; ceased Single-,jet Faceplate Gor'kiy No. 21 2 a 2 Ceased Fishbed (all types) Gor'kiy No. 21 2 J 12 42 48 111 215 10 aircraft per month Fishbed (all types) Tbilisi No. 31 2 , 1 52 25 56 136 5 aircraft per month k Ll _94 I 167 351 - 34 - Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Country Type of Aircraft Jet fighter Single-jet (Continued) Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number 195+-60 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 (Continued) Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Fitter Fitter/Fishpot Fresco (KEG-17) Fresco (MIG-17) Fresco (MIG-17) Fresco (PIG-17) Fresco (MIG-17) Camel (Tu-104) Camel (Tu-104 and Tu-io4A) Camel (Tu-104 and TI-104A) Camel B (Tu-104B) Cookpot (Tu-124) Turboprop Camp (An-8) Camp (An-8) Total Camp Cat (An-10) Cat (An-10) Total Cat T.-114D Cleat (Tu-114) Coot (11-18) Cub (An-12) Coke (An-24) Production Throug}a 1954 1955 1956 1957 3,9.58- 1959 1960 Total 1 January 1961 126 l'sk No 2 p/ 4 63 150 180 399 15 aircraft per month nth ft . Komscmo 2 , 27 138 ISO 347 per mo 15 aircra Novosibirsk No. 153 1,499 Ceased Gor'kiy No. 21 1,448 51 2 652 Ceased 31 Tbilisi No 1,153 660 636 203 , 8 d . Komsomol-sk No. 126 1,822 1,020 1,020 992 354 5,20 915 Cease Ceased rkov No 135 Kh 618 290 7 d . a Novosibirsk No. 3-53 1,419 771 181 2,371 Cease Kazan' No. 22 6 8 24 7 45 Ceased Kbar'kov No. 135 Omsk No. 166 1 8 12 20 12 5 4 45 12 38 70 95 Phaing aircraft t per month 4 a Kazan' No. 22 14 20 56 62 52 213 1 J 1 J 2 Prototypes Kharkov No. 135 18 57 72 147 6 aircraft per month Tashkent No. 84 3 2 5 Prototypes J Kiev No. 473 2 18 a 12, 152 23 36 36 95 3 aircraft per month Voronezh No. 64 4 1 5 Prototypes J Kiev No. 473 24 36 100 2 2 Prototypes Kuybyshev No. 18 1 1 9 12 23 1 aircraft per month Kuybyshev No. 18 8 37 48 48 141 4 aircraft per month Moscow No. 30 1 33 67 30 131 Ceased Irkutsk No. 39 1 J 1 J 2 Prototypes Kiev No. 473 - 35 - SE -C -R-E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Table 9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number 195+-60 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 (Continued) Country. Type of Aircraft Model Airframe Plant Cumulative Production Through 1954 Transport (Continued) Piston Crate (I1-14) 4 Moscow No. 30 6 320 314 95 735 Ceased Crate (I1-1 ) Tashkent No. 84 69 43 102 167 35 416 Ceased Total Crate 42 422 481 130 1,151 Colt (An-2) Kiev No. 473 400 325 400 400 261 14 1 800 Ceased Creek (Yak-12) C 4 Leningrad No. 458 13 226 192 305 288 288 159 , 471 1 Phasin out lod (An-1 ) Kiev No. 473 5 1 4 , 10 g Prototypes Trainer Jet Mascot (U-I1-28) Moscow No. 39 173 15 Mascot (U-I1-28) Irkutsk No. 39 43 45 45 20 153 Total Mascot 216 60 45 20 341 Midget (U-),IC-15) Ulan-Ude No. 99 1,373 396 288 180 135 60 2,432 Ceased Piston Max (Yak-18) Semenovka No. 116 3,872 336 360 360 360 360 273 5,921 Ceased Helicopter Hare (Mi-1) H M Chkalov No. 47 76 168 180 180 180 180 180 1 144 15 helico ters er th are ( i-1) Rostov No. 168 11 53 60 60 , 184 p p mon 5 helicopters per month Total Hare L6 168 180 12_1 2L 240 240 11,328 Hound (Mi-4) H 6 Kazan' No. 387 81 222 240 240 240 240 240 1 503 20 helicopters er month ook (Mi- ) Rostov No. 168 1 3 10 21 , 35 p 2 helicopters per month Horse (Yak-24) H (K 1 Leningrad No. 272 10 24 24 24 24 24 130 (the total includes 4 prototypes) 2 helicopters per month en a- 5) H 8 Ulan-Ude No. 99 1 45 70 72 72 260 6 helicopters per month og (Ka-1 ) Ulan-Ude No. 99 8 113 144 265 12 helicopters per month Reconnaissance Madge (Be-6) Taganrog No. 49/86 130 60 60 48 24 9 331 Ceased New patrol bomber Taganrog No. 49/86 4 8 12 1 aircraft per month (the total includes 4 proto- types) - 36 - Approved For Release 2002/02/1.2: CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number 195+-60 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 (Continued) Cumulative Production 6 1 58 1 1959 1960 Total Status 1 January 1961 Model Airframe Plant Through 1954 1955 195 957 --2 Country Type of Aircraft 21 Phased out Czechoslovakia , Piston transport Crete (Avis-14) Cakovice-Letnany 17 46 60 60 30 3 Trainer 180 45 1,224 Ceased Jet Midget (U-MIG-15) Prague/Vodochody 3 0 3 Prototypes. Probably Kbely (L-2) Letnany " 2 0 20 60 82 entering series pro- duction early in 1961 5 aircraft per month Helicopter Helibaby (HC-2) Otrokovice Moravan " 3 5 8 Entered series production Com.=ication/utility Hellbaby (HC-3) Otrokovice "Moravan 1 , 1 2 in the fourth quart er; 3 prototypes in 1959 Test probably continuing Jet Jet Sokol (XL-440) Cbocen "Orlican" 16 69 90 130 55 60 420 5 aircraft per month th Piston Aero-45 series Kunovice 1 3 21 80 105 7 aircraft per mon Morava (L-200) Kunovice ' 1 16 78 95 43 15 248 Ceased Brigadyr (L-60) Meta So101 (L-40) Chocen "Orlican Chocen "Orlican" 1 1 5 14 43 60 124 5 aircraft per month Trener (Zlin-26 series) Otrokovice "Moravan" 350 50 50 50 50 48 40 638 3 aircraft per month 9 131 180 180 100 600 Believed to have been Poland Jet fighter Fresco (KEG-17) Mielec phased out Trainer 1 4 5 Estimated to be entering Jet Iskra (TS-11) Mielec series production 61 66 60 187 5 aircraft per month Piston Bies (TS-8) Mielec 6 6 Prototypes d Bies (TS-8) Warsaw/Okecie 1 1 18 20 Perhaps discontinue PZL-101 Warsaw/Okecie 41 110 120 120 391 10 aircraft per month Helicopter Hare (SM-1 and SM-2) Lublin/Swidnik - 37 - S -E -C -R-E -T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Table 9 Estimated Production of Aircraft in the Sino-Soviet Bloc, by Plant and Number 195+-60 and the Status as of 1 January 1961 (Continued) Cumulative Production Model Airframe Plant Through 1954 1955 1956 1957 Country Type of Aircraft Poland Communication/ KOS (PZL-102) Warsaw/Okecie (Continued) utility 102 24 24 43 Rumania Piston trainer IAR-813/817 0rasul Stalin 1 RG-6 Reghin Nast Germany Transport Jet Type 152 Dresden/KlOtzsche Communist China Jet fighter Shen-yang No. 112 Single-jet Fresco (MIG-17) Twin-jet Farmer (MIG-19) Shen-yang No. 112 Transport Piston Colt (An-2) Nen-chang No. 320 Status 1958 195 1960 Total 1 January 1961 45 12 15 265 Sporadic 24 12 12 49 Sporadic 1 3 2 6 Entering series produc- tion 1 119 190 90 400 Ceased 18 18 3 aircraft per month 1 50 100 149 300 10 aircraft per month, including 1 prototype Helicopter Hound (MI-4) Harbin No. 122 2 3, 7 and PP? i 27, r 29, 32, and 33, respectively, ie a. Production of the prototypes of aircraft that have not gone into sers production is not inc lu ded in Table s 1, aove) but is included in this table J. order to show the status of the prototypes and the producing plants. able 9 The only aircraft produced in the Satellites b. Estimated aircraft estimated production of the Tu-ll4D is included in Tables a 2, 3, 4, 0, and 8. be currently under development. use their costs also are estimated. shownlinaTablef9 are aircraft produced aircraft believed to1955-6 - 38 - Approved For Release 2002/02/12; CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 4 Approved For Release 20Q2/02/1,2 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Soviet Aircraft Including Initial Spares 1955-60 Million 1959 US Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Bomber Heavy 737 642 318 122 213 172 Medium 1,933 1,737 1,340 710 199 267 Light 550 353 135 0 0 0 Subtotal 3,220 2,732 1,793 832 412 439 Fighter 1,253 1,118 725 550 322 356 Transport 136 483 671 1,082 1,318 966 Other Helicopter 106 108 110 118 140 145 Trainer 221 167 105 68 52 33 Reconnaissance 127 108 65 102 14 81 Subtotal 454 383 280 288 206 259 Total 5,100 4,700 3,500 2,800 2,300 2,000 a. Figures are rounded to the nearest million except for the totals, which are rounded to two significant digits. Initial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunction with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the air- craft, in depots, and in the pipeline. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9 Estimated Expenditures for Procurement of Soviet Aircraft Excluding Initial Spares a/ 1955-60 Million 1959 US Type of Aircraft 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Heavy 539 460 227 86 149 121 Medium 1,358 1,196 915 487 144 202 Light 376 244 92 0 0 0 Subtotal 2,273 1,900 1,234 573 293 323 Fighter 822 719 461 367 224 234 Transport 95 337 474 JL4 921 665 Other Helicopter 78 76 78 85 101 102 Trainer 156 117 73 48 37 24 Reconnaissance 97 80 48 80 10 62 Subtotal 331 273 199 213 148 188 Total 3,500 3,200 2,400 1,900 1,600 1,400 a. Figures are rounded to the nearest million except for the totals, which are rounded to two significant digits. Initial spares are those spare parts which are manufactured in conjunc- tion with the aircraft and which provide the basic stock on hand with the aircraft, in depots, and in the pipeline. -40- Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9 ' 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 SECRET US*and USSR** Production of Combat Aircraft, by Number 1955 through 1960 *US totals include preliminary data for December 1960. **USSR totals are rounded. SECRET CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 1- Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1049AO02200070001-9 Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9 SECRET CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY CIA INTERNAL USE ONLY SECRET Approved For Release 2002/02/12 : CIA-RDP79T01049A002200070001-9