CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DAILY DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6
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RIPPUB
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T
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18
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December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 3, 2004
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1
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Publication Date: 
April 6, 1951
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SUMMARY
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Approved For Wease 2004/12/22: CIA-RDP79TO1146UP0100320001-6 COPY NO IC - CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DAILY DIGEST Date: APR (~ sr NOTE: 1. This summary of significant reports has been prepared -primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. 2.. Comments represent the preliminary views of the Office of Current Intelligence. 3. Marginal. letter indications are defined as follows: "A" - items indicating Soviet-Communist intentions or capabilities "P" - important regional developments not necessarily related to Soviet Communist intentions or capabilities "C" -- other information indicating trends and potential developments DIA AND DOS review(s) completed. Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved Folelease 2004/12/22 CIA-RDP79T0114800100320001-6 TOP SECRET SECTION 1 (SOVIET) "A" USSR. Re-ported Soviet Svmuathv for Afghanistan's Claims on Pushtoonistan. f t a ary o US Embassy Karachi was informed by the Pakistan Foreign Secre conversation between the Saudi Arabian Minister and the Soviet Ambassador in Kabul. The Saudi Arabian Minister, considered a responsible source by the Foreign Secretary, reported that the Soviet Ambassador said the USSR views sympathetically the Afghans' aspirations for Pushtoonistan on the ground of racial affinity of the tribes. The Saudi Arabian Minister then pointed out to the Soviet Ambassador that any attitude by the USSR against Pakistan on such an issue would arouse strong resentment in every Muslim country. The Pakistani Foreign Secretary added that the USSR ap- parently had broadened it ?'s thinking to include all the area west of the Indus River. COMMENT: There has been no concrete evidence in the past o particular Soviet interest in the Afghan-Pakistan dispute, although previous unconfirmed reports have been received alleging USSR support of the Afghan demands, and Soviet complicity in stirring up the tribes. It is not unlikely that the USSR, in view of its current unfriendly propaganda policy towards Pakistan, its efforts to woo the Indian Government, and its mild attitude towards the Afghans, could have expressed its general support for the Afghan aspirations. 25X1 Such a move is characteristic of Soviet tactics, aimed at promoting friction at a time when the dispute apparently has diminished, and designed as part of its general policy towards weak border countries such as Afghanistan of opening ways for possible future Soviet penetration. However, the re- ported Soviet attitude is not believed to reflect any immediate Soviet plans to increase activity in the area. 2 . , o In:Eluc nc in tanc1 J . 25X1 25X1 Soviet influence is especially noticeable in railways, where there has been a considerable increase in the numbers of Soviet employees in all grades. It is known that a Soviet director controls the Peiping-Mukden line, and on various occasions countermanded orders of the Chinese co-director. Soviet accounting methods are used on all railways and Soviet advisers are in charge of bridge building and breakdown gangs. Soviet personnel are privileged to buy railway tickets in advance while Chinese. must wait in line at ticket windows. 25X1 the USSR is attempting, by nstituting sovie me o s and 5y facing Soviet personnel in key positions on all levels, to make it difficult for the Chinese to take over eventual control of the railroads, as provided by present agreements. Industrially, Soviet "experts" appear to be interested primarily in coal mining and in the iron and steel plants. Ac- cording to a German engineer at Fushun, in Germany or in England, these Soviet "engineers" would be considered merely as good mechanics. No Chinese are employed in the Soviet consular offices or residences nor are Chinese official cars permitted to enter the Soviet compound. Although Approved For Release 2004/12/21: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000100320001-6 Approved Fo; F2 (ease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T0114fQO00100320001-6 TOP SECRET there is some doubt regarding Soviet trade treaty commitments,, it is believed that the USSR has substituted military equipment for industrial machinery. Undoubtedly, some equipment has been furnished the Mukden Arsena], which was working. day and night turning out automatic weapons and perhaps light artillery. The USSR has also supplied motor cars, motor- cycles for military use and agricultural equipment. A continued shortage of rolling stock indicates that very little or none of the equi ment taken by the USSR in 1946 has been returned. COMMENT: It is known that the USSR exercises control over the principal arteries of the Manchurian railnet, and other information substantiates source's account of the Soviet position in the area. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For4Wease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146r4J00100320001-6 TOP SECRET A "C" USSR Transport Expenditures Boost Costs of Construction in Heavy Industry. A letter to the editors of Pravda charges that excessive transport expendi- tures are responsible for 16 percent of the costs of construction undertaken by the Ministry of Construction of Heavy Industry Enterprises during the first half of 1950. Unproductive use was made of automotive transport, which exceeded the planned cost by 40 percent during the first quarter of last year. Also in the first half of 1950 many main administrations and trusts of the Ministry are alleged to have uneconomically utilized railroad transport, paying fines for demurrage of freight cars.. These fines were said in some cases to have reached hundreds of thousands of rubles. In July of last year the Ministry ordered a sharp cut in transport expendi- tures, but the order was apparently not implemented, and during 1950 the Ministry paid out about 8 million rubles in fines for demur rage of freight 25X1 cars. COMMENT: Transport is Down to 'he one of the most serious w a. ne of the Soviet economy, and perir-Aic efforts are made by the Government to obtain maximum use of railroad anL_ ouie:c? uia.ns- porta.tion., even to the point of sentencing allegedly incompetent or irre- sponsible officials to jail terms for infractions connected with transport. One of the basic difficulties, however, stems from the Government's own policy of overloading the transport system,with the result that proper maintenance of equipment is often impossible. "C" PASTERN ELOPE. CZECHOSLOVAKIA. Month of Peace Inaugurated. The US Embassy Praha Is of the opinion that the April "Month of Peace" demonstration in Czechoslovakia, which is concentrated on preventing the rearmament of Western Germany, is a more effective propaganda issue for Czechoslovakia than previous ones such as the atomic bomb or Korea. The Embassy notes that the Communist propagandists can probably reach a comparatively wide segment of the Czechoslovak people on the German issue, with the memories of the German occupation still vivid. A secondary objective of the "Peace Month", according to the Embassy, may be to impress the West with the strength of th's movement during the Deputy Ministers' conferences in Paris The "Month of Peace" was inaugurated throughout the country on 2 Aril with a Sokol (physical culture organization) parade in Praha. This was preceded by speeches of the Communist hierarchy condemning American imperialism and the aggressive remilitarization of Western Germany. 25X1 COMrt NT: The propaganda to the Czechoslovak people directed against Germany is not without its drawbacks for the Communists, since it is doubtful that the average Czechoslovak has learned to distinguish between the "democratic" Germans of the Soviet Zone and the "reactionaries" in Western Germany. 25X1 3 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For lease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T0114SM00100320001-6 TOP SECRET 25X1 "B" YUGOSLAVIA. Rumored Cominformism in YugoslavArmq. Embassy Belgrade reports that in recent weeks there have been recurrent rumors of arrests of dissident Yugoslav Army officers with pro-Cominform sympathies. Al- though these reports have been generally vague in character, the per- sistence of the reports and Tito's recent outspoken references to dissi- dent elements in the Army appear to indicate that there have been some arrests. The Embassy has learned that Tito's references to dissidence in the Army in s 17 Febru- ary speech related to a "small group of five or six high-ranking Army officers who had been arrested almost six weeks ago" and that these arrests had been the subject of much discussion within the Army. Simi- 25X1 25X1 larly, the US Consul in Zagreb in late February was told 25X1 The Embassy, however, is of the firm opinion that the dissident elements in Yugoslavia favoring the Cominform is small and thoroughly under control by the Government. they may have been identical with those admitted 25X1 that in early February the Yugoslav Government had rustrate a plot among army-officers in Zagreb and Sarajevo to overthrow the Governments of Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina with Hungarian assistance. The Embassy reports that no confirmation of this report is available but the timing of the alleged arrests in Zagreb and Sara evo suggests that 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved FoQ,elease 2004/12/22: CIA-RDP79T01146&000100320001-6 TOP SECRET SECTIO7 2 (EASTERN) "B" SYRIA-ISRAEL. Border Incidents tjor> > l . According to an Israeli communique from Tel Aviv, Israeli Air Forceplan::s on 5 April. bombed fortified positions of the Syrian Army and of armed Arabs .,he the Israelis cla.i !ed had penetrated into the southern demilitarized zone (SE of Lake Tiberias) which lies within Israel. This action was allegedly token in retaliation for the killing of several Israeli policemen the previous day. A Damascus press account reported that eight Israeli planes had attacked Ll Hamma, a village near the Syrian frontier wiViin the demilitarized zone. Tel Aviv press dispatches had claimed that the Israeli policemen rare killed within the demilitarized Israeli terri- tory, but UTN Deputy Chief of Staff Ridd-er in Jerusalem said that the Israeli l i ha..d apparently been shot just inside Syrian territory. 25X1 25X1 COMI!IENT: This later inci- dent around 71 Hamma in the. southern demilitarized zone widens the already serious border dispute between Israel and Syria. During the last few weeks both sides have disagreed to the right of the Israelis to drain land in the central demilitarized zone just south of Lake Hule. 25X1 25X1 Doubt exists as to 1-here the Israeli police were killed. Doubt also exists as to whether actual Syrian Army troops have yet crossed the frontier as alleged by the Israelis, and it may be that armed Arab civilians, rather than Syrian regulars, seized control of El Hamma. While actual hostilities bctvleen Israel and Syria do not seem likely at the present, there is no doubt that this latest breach of the peace has established a potentially explosive situation. Domestic considerations within Israel and Syria, which is politically unstable, might force either side to aggravate the already serious border situation. "A" INDIA. Communist Orbit Offers of Food .Relic' to India. The Secretary of the Indian Food and. Agriculture Ministry reports that China has offered to India 500,000 tons of rice at prices below those of Burma and Thailand as well as 500,000 tons of wheat and milo at prices well below the US market price. India is preparing to-send a representative to. Peiping to discus., the offer. In addition, Indian Ambassador Panikksr in Peiping has informed the British Charge that he has negotiated a long-term contract for the purchase from China of 500,000 to 1,000,000 tons of grain for a six-month period beginning 1 May 1951. Panikkar inquired whether British shipping would be available to move the grain, and US Embassy London reports that the British have no objection from,a political point of view. US Embassy New Delhi also states that Soviet official's are telling the Government of India that "any amount" of Soviet wheat is available for delivery to India if arrangements can be made for a barter deal. F_ I 25X1 25X1 CONT19'INT: T? reports indicate that the Commu- nist orbit is about to wrest the initiative from the US in providing special food supplies to India and thus nullify the value to the US of its projected $190,000,000 gift of wheat. China and the USSR have the capability to Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved Fc elease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T0114GA000100320001-6 TOP SECRET furnish and ship 2,000,000 tons of grain to India within they next year if they feol the ::effort is justified, and Communist governments in the past have demonstro:ted their willingness to ignore the physical welfare of their people in the pursuit of important political n7.bj:,ctivus. Favorable publi- city accorded in India to recent arrivals of Chinese rice suggests that, even if China. and the TJSSR fail to deliver more than token shipments of their newly-offered grain, the Indian press will draw criticel comparisons between the desiresof the. V'estern world and the Communist bloc to prevent starvation in India. PMLJ?YA. Malaya to License Rubber x .,off its . The Malayan Government announced on~5 April that rubber exports to all countries except those of the Common- wealth and the US would be subj-rct to license after 9 April. It was stated that the measure was aimed at "preventing unduly large quantities being sent to any country so that insufficient supplies would be available for the UK : and other friendly countries". COMMENT British authorities have hitherto been unwilling to agree to an allocation system designed. to reduce the heavily increased rubber exports to Communist countries, particularly Communist China, which have oecurr~d since the start of the Korean war. The licensing order appears to be a step toward that objective. INDOCHINA. Current Viet Minh Military Obl~ctJ.v s Apgar Limited. The French Commanding General in Tonkin expressed his belief to the US Consul in Hanoi that the enemy's principal current objective appears to be luring the French off base and destroying troops. This officer,, although concerned with the continuing heavy weather, otherwise radiated optimism and anticipated no imminent major move by the Chinese Communists. Meanwhile possible lack of confidence was indicated by a Vietnamese Communist release to its general staff, rhich stptedthat if the present military action was unsuccessful, the movement must return to intensified camp erns of Propaganda, sabotage and destruction of French fortified works. TOP SECRET 25X6 25X1 25X1 6 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For lease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T0114600100320001-6 TOP S -JCRET p5X1 "C" KOREA. South Korean Popular Discontent Increases with ImprovedMilitary Situation. Ambassador Muccio reports that, as the military situation has i.m.proved, porular discontent with the extraordinary martial law which has been in effect throughout South Korea since 7 December has increased. The ROK Government has been forced gradually, and apparently reluctantly, to lift martial law on Cheju Island and. in the five southernmost provinces where immediate danger obviously no longer exists. Excepted areas are certain guerrilla-infested sections, and also Pusan and Taegu. As logistical mili- tary bases the Government claims that these two cities require special protection against fifth. column activity. 25X1 COiMM T: While this is Muccio's first cab a in some time relative to popular dissatisfaction with the South Korean Government, 25X1 the Government's arbitra-?v and dictatorial ways have aroused opposition among the people and in the I'ational Assembly. The volume of criticism of such unpopular measures as the Government's martial law has and will continue to reflect UN military successes and failures. Approved For Release 2004/12/227: CIA-RDP79TO1146A000100320001-6 Approved Fc elease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T011 000100320001-6 8Cn JAPAN. Communist Rift Intensified by Local Elections. The rift between the principal "centrist" and minority "internationalist" factions of the Japan Communist Party is being brought into the open as a result of the local election campsign. Communist gubernatorial candidates in Tokyo, Osaka, and several other prefectures who s.re identified with the internationalist faction are among those who have been denied official Party backing and are running as inderendents. The JCF, whose headquarters is centrist controlled, is backing several Socialist candidates in an attempt to develop popular-front strategy v~'.ich succeeded in electing a Socialist governor and mayor in Kyoto last year. Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For2lease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146"00100320001-6 TOP SECRET SECTION 3 (WESTERN) "B" FRANCE Electoral Reform. Vote Reduces. Chances of June Elections Although the narrow margin (263 to 251) by which the Assembly has tentatively approved the Government-sponsored electoral reform bill gives little ground for optimism that it will pass on the second reading, the larger majority which may be needed on that occasion is "still quite possible". The support in the Assembly on the first vote was 49 short of the absolute majority which will probably be required later inasmuch as the strongly Rightist Council is expected to reject the bill. However., 318 deputies previously approved the controversial single ballot provision on a separate motion., and should the present bill. be voted down, the existing system of proportional representation - which all but the Communists oppose - would prevail in the approaching elections. F_ I COP ENNT; Inasmuch as no other electoral reform bill could be prepared and passed in time for elections to be held before sumner, the fate of this bill will probably be decided on the basis of the individual preferences of the middle-of-the-road deputies for elections in June or October. Hence an added. problem for the bill's supporters will be to overcome the fears of the increasing riupber uncertain of their chances of reelection, "Bit Government Plans Anti-inflationary Tariff Reductions. Premier Queuille., In an effort to develop an anti-inflationary foreign trade policy# has assumed the chairmanship of a high-level Cabinet committee which is expected to overcome the protectionist sentiment TOP SECRET 9 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 25X1 Approved Fo elease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T0114QN000100320001-6 TOP SECRET of the representatives of agriculture and industry. The Government has just released a new list of tariff suspensions which had been decided on before the recent wage crisis, but,.since few consumer items are included, more effective action is imperative to counter- balance the upward pressures on the price level resulting from wage 25X1 revisionsP COMMENT- The trade liberalization policy proposed by Government leaders has met with consistent low level official opposition. It is now possible, how- ever, that the threat of recurrent' labor unrest may push the Govern ment into a forceful attempt to implement a more extensive relaxation of its restrictive import policy. "Br" BELGIUM. Communists Sabotage Postal Communications with Belgian: Korean Volunteers, According to the head of the committee urging civilian support for the Belgian contingent to Korea, the Belgian Communists have thus far effectively sabotaged communications between the volunteers in Korea and their families. The Communists have in- filtrated the Ministry of Communications so that letters have been burned by Communist-influenced postmen and packages to the troops in Korea have been pilfered off the ships. The Belgian public and press have remained silent due to the reluctance of the Minister of Communications and currently Acting Prime Minister Seegers to admit this state of affairs in his Ministry. I-- I COMMENT; This is the first indication of the present extent Communist infiltration in the Ministry of Communications. Communist influence in the Government's Ministries is believed to have become negligible following the immediate postwar period. If Communist sabotage activities have been as successful as indicated for the more than four months that Belgian troops have been in Korea, it seems highly unlikely that the situation has not been leaked to the press. Furthermore, Seeger's reluctance to take action does not, seem plausible in view of the Government's aggressive anti-Communist campaign, which includes the dismissal of Government employees actively combining Communist activities with their Government positions. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/12//g : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved Fokelease 2004/12/22: CIA-RDP79TO114 000100320001-6 TOP SECRET DENMARK. Polish Coal Deliveries Retarded.. Polish deliveries of coal and coke to Denmark for March and the preliminary schedule of deliveries for April fall short of the Polish commitment to supply 200,000 tons nnonthly from January through October. The Danes conjecture that Poland is withholding coal and coke because of Danish failure to proceed with deliveries of 8.5 million kroner worth of automotive spare parts under the October 1950 trade agreement. Denmark has been withholding export licenses pending US opinion on the question, since the parts are of US and TJK origin,' Technically the Poles have no right to withhold coal exports, since the agreement makes these specifically contingent on the sale to Poland of two Danish ships, both of which have now been contracted for. The Poles, however, have reportedly indicated irri- tation over non-delivery of authomotive parts, pressed for definite delivery schedules and hinted that coal shipments might be curtailed, and the Danes believe that if these deliveries are longer delayed the Poles will find reasons for holding up coal deliveries without specifically attributing the action to Danish failure to deliver Approved For Release 2004/12/21?CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-t Approved ForRRelease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01144&000100320001-6 TOP SECRET spare parts. COMMENT': Denmark has experienced great difficulty in finding non-strategic items which the Poles will accept in exchange for coal. It is in a particularly vulnerable position since it depends almost entirely on Poland for its coal supplies and has a very limited stockpile. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 TOP SECRET Approved ForQqlease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T011461&00100320001-6 49141&- DAILY DIGEST SUPPLEMENT APR 6 1951 Not for dissemination outside 0/CI and 0/0. Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 TOP SECRET Approved For ease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146AW0100320001-6 TOP SECRET 25X1 DAILY DIGEST 6 April 1951 SECTION 1 (SOVIET) "A" YUGOSLAVIA. Yugoslav Demarche to Greece. Greek Prime Minister Venizelos has informed US Ambassador Peurifoy that the Yugoslav Govern- ment made a formal demarche on 3 April to the Greek Government seeking to learn the course of action Greece planned to take in the event that Yugoslavia were attacked. The Greek Prime Minister replied that Greece would presumably mobilize and assist Yugoslavia economically, but that he would have to consider the matter carefully before giving any further or definfi.te assurances. In relating the conversation to Ambassador Peurifoy, the Greek Prime Minister implied that he wished the US to advise him regarding his reply to Yugoslavia. 25X1 COMMENT: The reported Yugoslav demarche contrasts with its previous attitude, since it opens the way for military talks between the two countries. During the negotiations for the exchange of military attaches between Yugoslavia and Greece in early March, the Yugoslav Minister ex- plained that, although the community of interests of the two countries was clear, there was no necessity to coordinate their military preps- rations since this could be accomplished in a short time when the occasion 25X1 arose The Yugoslavs have, therefore, been extremely care o.avo1 any actiqn which would appear to justify Comin- form charges that the Tito regime and the Greek "Monarcho Fascists" were coordinating their military plans. The demarche may, therefore, represent increased Yugoslav apprehension regarding the possibility of a Soviet/ Satellite attack. The Greek Premier probably hopes that the reported Yugoslav approach will further Greek attempts for military collaboration with Yugoslavia. 25X1 13 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For lIease 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146W0100320001-6 TOP SECRET 25X1 "B" "Liberation" of Tibet. Peiping radio on 31 March broadcast a message from the "Chinese Army in Tibet," quoted as informing Peiping of their preparations to "liberate the whole of Tibet..." 25X1 CORNT: The above broadcast--possibly timed to coincide with the arrival of the Tibetan delegation Peiping--clarifies the reported statement of Premier CHOU En lai that the 25X1 Tibetan question has already been "settled." The broadcast is additional evidence that what has been "settled" is that Chinese Communist forces are to occupy Tibet, either by agreement with the Tibetan delegation or through a resumption of the military operation launched last October. "B" KOREA. ROK Interest in Extending Administration North of the 38th. Ambassador Austin has learned from UN sources of a recent call paid by the ROK Prime Minister to the Turkish chairman of UNCURK (United Nations Commission for the Unification and Rehabilitation of Korea). The Prime Minister inquired relative to UNCURK's position on the question of admini- stering North Korean territory which may be liberated in the future, and he expressed the wish that UNCURK would agree that the RON has the right to appoint local administrators and to insure public order through the use of ROK police. The Chairman was non-committal but took the position that the liberated areas should be under military administration. 25X1 The Prime Minister's inquiry is a further indication of the ROK Government's determination to eradicate the 38th Parallel as a political boundary and to extend its authority to the Yalu River. COOS!IENT: A similar problem arose when UN Forces advanced into North Korea last October. This is the first notice this year, however, of renewed ROK interest in administering liberated North Korean territory. SECTION 3 (WESTERN) 25X6 14 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 25X6 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 Approved For Release 2004/12/22 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000100320001-6 IJNCLA9SIFII=D when A*Vo(i@8 k I crpggl 2 T'P (?tArs ibpgr ?l- fMI660 'O g%d or declassi- t td when filled in form is detached from controlled document. 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