DAILY DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1
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RIPPUB
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T
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26
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December 16, 2016
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December 21, 2004
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1
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Publication Date: 
September 4, 1951
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SUMMARY
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Approved For Reese 2005/0(, SM7j9T01146A000070001-1 Z/Y 4 September 1951 CIA No. 49331 Copy No. , n DAILY DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY DIA, DOS and ONI review(s) completed. This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Off ice of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01'146A000400070001-1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000070001-1 TOP SECRET SECTION 1 (SOVIET) 2, Soviet di-olomat interested in Japanese peace treaty and unification of Germanys 'In courtesy calls on all NATO country missions and the Swedish mission as well., the Russian first secretary in Bern talked about two things, the Japanese peace treaty and the unification of Germany. With respect to the Japanese peace treaty, he showed particular. concern over the abrupt nature of the US invitation., which did not appear to permit discussion or alteration of the US-UK draft; he also questioned the exclusion of the Chinese People's Republic. With respect to the question of German unification., he described the division of Germany as the greatest menace to world peace and said that settlement of the German problem was basic to any lar er understanding between the great powers. TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 :'CIA-RDP79T01146A0004000 Off-151 Approved For Relea a 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000070001-1 TOP SECRET Publishers criticised for ideological erms~r?rso Recent press criticism reveals that certain Soviet publishing houses are not adhering strictly to a "high ideological level" in their output. An ig August Pravda edi- torial complains that many publishers have erred by stressing quantity at the expense of quaality,, by failing to produce enough books dealing with urgent problems, and by paying almost no attention to he great .postwar construction projects. The publishing house of Gosplanizdat (state planning) is criticized for having underemphasized basic questions of State Economic Planning and for having published works containing may ideological distortions," Selkhozgiz (agricultural planning) is censured for not disseminating agrobiological knowledge and for having published textbooks and pamphlets on agriculture that failed to expound the progressive Michurin biology, Some of the editors of the Iskustvo publishing house (art) are described as not having had a high-school education,, and as being unqualified to perform their tasks. Iii conclusion., Lravdq observes that Soviet books., whether belles- lettres, scientific or technical,, cannot be indifferent to politics,, and that therefore local party organs must exert themselves to extend every possible M 4A to th e Goo a It is interesting to note the three fields of activity selected by Pry for criticism., since each has been the subject of considerable theoretical and ideological discussion in the press, The Lysenko-Michurin controversy raged for several months,, the reviving "nationalistic" tendencies in literature and art have caused an official furor,,-and reliable information on the progress of the great postwar con- struction projects is almost entirely lacking, Eas West trade ne tira. e0nol ~s with i"~w nr?oe~rec sa According to US observers at the recent Eastmlest trade meetings in Geneva,, Western European delegations d,id not receive any firm indication of a Soviet desire to trade on a,nnitaalli advantageous basis. Consequently., no wes- tern delegation would agree to another Multilateral meeting, None of them is optimistic about future bilateral talks with the Soviet orbit with agreement, exception of the UK,, which is currently negotiating a new , bilateral . in the opinion of the Western European delegations,, the motivations of the USSR were both comrrieroial and. propaganda. Many delegations believe that the USSR is seriously interested in promoting increased trade or at least in maintaining the present level,, which is already jeopardized by the general rearmament program and Western trade controls, Soviet partici- pation also obviously bolstered the current B?peaceful coexistence" line TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 CIA-RDP79TO1146A0004000TOb 15l Approved For Rele e 2005/01/26TUP T01I46A00 0070001-1 and may generate pressure against East-West trade controls, At no point did the Communist representatives launch into the usual diatribe against Western European trade restrictions or the US. A US observer concluded that the Soviet delegation had instructions to press for a broader trade meeting. The Soviet delegation would not specify any details or indicate willingness to reach ultimate agreement on increased East-West trade, .25X1 o e o The USSR has not reduced its demands for strategic materials in exchange for Orbit grain, timber or coal, in order to obtain new trade arrangements,, The Soviet delegation has., however, obtained information about Western European needs which may improve the USSR. s bargaining position in future bilateral talks, EASTERN EURQPE, Pte, Po ish shit~x~in~ using Chinese crewsm US naval sources in Europe report the recent arrival in Gdynia froze -the Far East of the Polish ship with about 20 Chinese "passengers* whom the master describ d as crew membpra- The, r, inese had no passports or sea- zzt?s papers. We report tends to confirm other indications that Polish ships are employing Chinese crew members on vessels in the Poland-China trade,, 25X1 Comma The use of Chinese seamen by Polish merchant marine ships engaged in Far Eastern traffic is a logical development in view of the large expansion of Polish-Chinese maritime traffic, In September 1950 L1oydgs shipping register had one 5s,000-ton Polish vessel on the Poland- China route, Since then., howeverp eleven~dditional Polish or Polish- chartered-ships have been assigned to this rune YUGOSLAVIA, ITS plans for milita sv aid?ou in Belrade In deference to Yugoslav political considerations, the US Government does not intend for the present to establish a standard military mission in Belgrade to supervise US military aid,, The US plans instead to add to the embassy 'staff in Belgrade at least 15 officers drawn from the three services plus approxi,-- mately an equal number of enlisted and civilian personnel,, Although the group would be attached to the service attache offices for administrative purposes, it would operate under its own chief and would have direct access to the Yugoslav military staffs. If the Yugoslav Government indicates misapprehension regarding the duties of this group, Ambassador Allen has been instructed to extend, an invitation for several Yugoslav officers to visit Paris in order to observe the operations o Military Assistance Advisory Group there, 25X1 8e ther decentra5iation ofu~oslav aeon v nls,nned The Yugoslav Government has published, the draft of new economic legislation which Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : 146AO00400070404ep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000060070001-1 TOP SECRET looks to a limited reversion to the law of supply and demand and a further decentralization in i1.u.stry. The government hopes that this law will prime the pump of the country?s economic system and rectify errors in planning and execution. Under the new plan,, more production planning will be turned over to producers,, although the production and distribution of basic goods will still be controlled by the central government, Certain production enter- prises will be allowed to retain a portion of their profits, Formerly, all questions of capital. investment were determined by the central govern- ment. under the new lawgy, only basic capital investments necessary for. the further economic development of the country will be directed from above. The law of supply and demand will. operate within certain limits in the fields of production and consumer sales and in the establishment of wage levels. Co ents A Yugoslav Government spokesman announced in July that new legislation.was being formulated which would result in further decen- tralization and "popul,arizatioe of the Yugoslav economy the Yugoslav Government has already ameliorated controaonTthehpeasants by reducing and modifying agricultural taxes, 9. TRIESTE. Proxaosed constracti,on to meet refugee home ins e in Triestes `The Allied Ellitary? Government i T lanc t n rieste is drawin plans to construct 500 emergency housing units to t mee the pressing refugee funds will be required for the e A proJect9 which can be complgted within three to four months from date of contract and which will house 1, 500 to 29000 people, US Political Adviser Unger in Trieste points out that the proposed units will be a potentially important addition to the Zones strained housing facilities and will alleviate the danger of fire and epidemics conditions th t l a ower morale and, increase the giber of refugees who carrot be "---4-4'1 _4 Conenato The number of refu gees in Trieste camps has reached an ,ugoslav all time high of approximately they will assist in ta curling the numbers, about 400 refugees sarea es entering Zone A from Yugoslavia each month, Overcrowded conditions in the refugee camps contribute to unrest and dissatisfaction among the refugees,, creating a state of mind that makes them undesirable as prospective :Iii s reports-of deplorable conditions in these cameventually, ofilterobacker' to Easters, Europe and tend to discourage potential, defectors, TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 4 Approved For Release 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A000400 -7 11l Approved For Rele e 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO6 O070001-1 TOP SECRET 10. MTTERNATIONAL CONMISMb Two more internati l C ona omma st front or a z a t i o n s meet in East GermQ The ,. ernational.Associationof Democrat Lawyers an affiliate of the Communist W ld F or ederation of Trade Unions,, will hold a congress in East Berlin from 5 to 8 September under the there "law in the service of peace.* The Union for the Development of Law., a front organization of Austrian Cost lawyersD has been invited to par- ticipate in the congress_ I C entm East Germany has become a favorite meeting place for international Communist front organizations,, An international conference of teacherrst unions., also affiliated with the WFTU$ has just concluded a five-day session in Erfurt,, This meeting made a special call for a teachers2 conference in South America to plan an educational system directed toward "peace and democracy." The influential position of members of these two professions make them special targets for Communist organi- zational efforts,, TOP SECRET 25X1 5 L~ Approved For Release 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79TO1146AOOO4O0071511 L.. J Approved For Rele'e 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0000070001-1 SECTION 2 (EASTERN) CYPRUS. Nationalists do not. flan to brim "Unonwih Greece" guy -ion to :UN.- The British acting Governor of Cyprus, in a press interview, repeated that the British Government recognizes the principle of self- determination and had offer-_d the Cypriots self-rule under which they could have worked for union with Greece (Enosis) if they had so wished. The same Veposter also interviewed the Archbishop of Cyprus who reportedly said that the Cypriots wanted only union with Greece, not self-government, but that the question would not be taken to the UN now because of the international situation. Commen e Union of Cyprus with Greece is perenially agitated in Cyprus and is favored by the majority of the Greek population although opposed by the 17 pVrcent Turkish minority. Many businessmen who support union are actually fearful that should it occur the more stable Cypriot economy, now based on sterling, would have a very uncertain future tied to the Greek drachma. The rightist nationalists, backed by the church and sensitive to the strategic position which Cyprus occupies in the Eastern Mediterranean, probably feel that any move toward union with Greece at this time would be tactically unwise. 2. IRAN/AFGHANISTAN. AAf hanist n and Iran re.or dlv.,~si?n oil agreements Agreement between Iran and Afghanistan for the delivery of Iranian oil to Afghanistan has been formally announced in Kabul. The US Embassy in ,Afghanistan, in expressing doubt over the feasibility of. overland trans- portation, points out that the roads linking Iran with Afghanistan are inadequate for re lar and sizable oil shi meats. Comment. Both countries are impelled by obvious propaganda motives. Afghanistan wishes to free itself from dependency upon Pakistan and the USSR. Iran needs to sell oil. The entire annual volume of Afghanistan's oil consumption, however, is equivalent only to a small fraction of one dayHs normal production of the Abadan refinery. Details of the reported oil agreement have not been released. In any event implementation will be slow and of no present tangible benefit to either country. 6 4Sep 51 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For ReYase 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0 0 00070001-1 g situation caused by the shutdown of the oil fields. Such plans, however, would do little to alleviate the approaching crisis. always spiritedly, the Prime Minister's handling of the 011 si ua on. The Iranian Government has announced extensive plans for agricultural ation projects in an attempt to relieve the unemplodment and irri I ~e eves he country's resources. The only hope would be if the Shah, supported by the US and UK, should undertake reforms personally, or give complete support to some one else able to carry such measures. Co ens The views expressed by this official may represent the opinions of many more moderate Iranians who have opposed, although not np-gsimistle over economic situation: An Iranian b li a the only governmen po cy in ran is a 'ng e army a other disloyal activities would be likel Iranian Army is still being paid promptly, there is a possibility that pay may have o be suspended if Iran's critical financial condition does not improve. such a suspension would impair th 's morale and efficiency but not to the point where mutin or Comment-. AlthoughIran's financial situation is serious, current estimates indicate that the government will be able to maintain its current rate of expenditures for several months. TOP SECRET 7 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 4 Sep 51 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Rele* 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000469 0070001-1 6. INDIA. US Embassy comments on crisis in Congress Party: The struggle for control of the Congress Party which began in 1950 when the conserva- tive group elected Tandon president, defeating the progressive pro-Nehru group, may shortly be brought to a head, according to the US Embassy in New Delhi. The gradual withdrawal of opposition members has largely been caused by Tandonas strategy to drive out his opponents but to retain Nehru, whose ability to command mass support in the elections is unques- tioned. The embassy believes no reliable forecast can be made of the outcome at this time. The All-India Congress Committee (AICC) is holding an important session on 3 September, at which time either Tandon or Nehru may be determined to force a showdown. Present indications are that if the AICC is forced to make a choice between Tandon and Nehru, it will choose Nehru rather than face the prospect of fighting the elections with- 7. BURMA. Burma continues to permit transshipment of tires to China: The US Embassy in Rangoon reports that despite a Burmese Government order designed to curtail illegal shipments of tires to China, customs records show that transshipments are continuing. According to a Burmese official, his government has no legal basis for stopping transit trade so long as "payments for material shipped in transit are not made with foreign Comae The embassy has previously observed that the only effective way to prevent export of tires from Burma to China is to limit Burmese imports. TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 8 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Relea"5'e 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146AO00400070001-1 ng Kren-Commtpist egoneration re orteds The US Embassy in Rangoon reports that it has received information which indicates increasing cooperation between Karen and Communist insurgents. Reportedly, some Karens have already gone'to China for indoctrination, the Karen high command in the Irrawaddy Delta now favors moving northward with the Communists who are "pulling out soon," and Communist proselytizing among the Karens has been accelerated. The nbassy also reports that the Burmese Government is planning a political settlement with the Karens, but only after a major offensive against the Karen stronghold in eastern Burma. The embassy fears that such action wouldrender impossible a, reasonable political settlement, facilitate a Communist-Karen deal and force many neutral Karens to join the insurgent ranks. Comments The possibility of Karen cooperation with-the Communists has increased as the Karen position has become more desperate., Contrary to popular conception, approximately 90 percent of the Karens are non-Christians Their cultural backwardness also exposes them to exploitation by the Com- munists. Thus, the embassy?s fears are well founded. 10, Ch n secultural dale motion to visit Brian-s The Burmese Prime Minister recently informed US Ambassador Key that a Chinese Communist cultural delegation headed by the Deputy Minister of Cultural Affairs is expected to visit Burma in November after spending a month in India. He stated he does not attache much significance to the matter, although pro-Communist elements could be expected nt it as a development of major importance. iammm t.s Although the Burmese Government is unlikely to make any special facilities available to the Chinese delegation, the Prime Minister is obviously attempting to soften the US reaction to such a visit, TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 25X1 9 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Rel'e 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A00W0070001-1 25X1 110' PLAYA. Director o~? z~eratior/s ~e~eds The press has announced the ap- pointment of General Sir Rob Lockhart to succeed Lieutenant General Sir Harold Briggs on the expiration of the latter's term in November. General Lockhart had retired in.1948 after a, long career in India, where he had been the first C=in=C of the Indian Army after the transfer of sovereignty, Of the 25 candidates from Thailand?a five southern provinces who have an- THAILAND, 120 pounced their intention to run for Parliament in the next general elections, the US Embassy in Bangkok reports that ten are supporters of Police Director Phao, eleven belong to other pro-government parties and only three are op- position Democrats. The embassy comments that this is indicative of the im- portant part Phao and his clique will play in the elections, and of the decline of the Democrats who heretofore have been strong in the south. Commen s There are numerous indications that the General Phao is making a major effort to supplement his military strength with an effective political machine. 25X1 13. Prime Minister forms important political committees Prime Minis- ter Phibun has formed an "unofficial" political committee composed of him- self, Army C-in-C Phin, Police. Director Phao, a. former foreign minister under Pridi, and ex-Prime Minister Thamrong. While the purpose of this committee is not yet clear, apparently it is to concern itself with internal political strategy, possibly leading to a broadening of the government after the March elections to include pro-Pridi elements.. The US Embassy in Bang- kok observes that Phibun has previously-made efforts to bring fresh elements into his government but such efforts have always been opposed by Phin and Phao. Comments Phibun may be attempting to win new support to offset the growing influence of the ambitious General Phao. 4 Sep 51 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Rase 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146'0400070001-1 TOP SECRET 19. Ribber cargo fU .i a _de- a by Polish bunkerin difficultiea The Polish vessel Kilinsk scheduled to call at Colombo, Ceylon, to pick up a cargo of rubber for China, has canceled its Colombo call because of inability to secure sufficient bunker fuel. The Poles have indicated that another Polish vessel ma be available at-the end of September to load the rubber car o Comments Polish difficulties in securing bunker fuel from Western oil companies are responsible for delaying rubber shipments to Communist China from Ceylon. Financial arrangements are already completed, and the Ceylonese Government has indicated that it will not interfere with the movement of rubber cargo to the Communists, although Ceylonese officials are refusing to help in efforts to get feel for Polish vessels. co o~ of ROK air arm s Disputes 21o South Korean Armand Air Farce dispt~t.a ,tom - between the ROK Army and Air Force regarding control and utilization of light aircraft are beginning to assume serious proportions. It is now rumored that the army will take over light aviation in the near future, certainly by 1 January. The Air Force Chief of Staff states he will not release the pilots in training. The US Army Attache in Seoul believes the 25X1 25X1 25X1 13 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Reese 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A000070001-1 22. Chiefs of Staff of both se"vices could reach agreement were it not for pressure from outside military authorities. The ROK Air Force has recent- ly been successfully utilized in several anti-guerrilla operations, es pecially in southwest Korea, C -men s While the ROK Air Force is very small., its recent anti- guerrilla successes have demonstrated its potential for the maintenance of internal stability. The ROK cannot afford two air forces. It is probable that US suggestion could clear up this squabble. JAPAN. New Sterli?ea trade areem n tis si neds new nglo-Jap- anese over-all payments agreement, expressed in pounds sterling, was signed in Tokyo on 31 August. The new agreement eliminated the stip- ulation, contained in the previous agreement., that settlement of balances would be in dollars. Comments The new agreement, through the elimination of the threat of a dollar drain on the part of the UK, should stimulate Japan's trade with the sterling countries. Many Japanese fear, however, that Japan will find itself with large accumulations of unexpendable sterling and a shortage of dollars with which to purchase vital imports. Phase 7.attgr look upon the recent negotiations as a defeat for Japan in its first postwar independent bilateral discussions. 25X1 25X1 IL 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 :.CIADP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Reese 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A0`00070001-1 TOP SECRET SECTION 3 (WESTERN) 25X6 2, East German attempts to expand illegal trade to alleviate inch of Western rade restr-ictionsa Due to Wes ern prohibi on o exports from es Germany to as ermany (a counter-measure to Soviet restrictions on exports Trom West Berlin), East Germany has begun to experience material shortages and is having difficulty meeting reparations quotas and filling export orders. In an effort to alleviate the shortages, East Germany is attempting to expand the volume of illegal shipments from West Germany, Various West German trade circles which have shown willingness to evade West German trade controls in the past are being pressured to increase their illegal activities, while triangular transactions are being expanded, with the'Hamburg Free Port TOP SECRET 15 1, Approved For Release 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A0004000700D r-? 51 Approved For Rele 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000070001-1 TOP SECRET in particular being used. A Swiss firm is particularly notorious for these transactions. The apparent increase in Soviet East German confiscation of West Berlin trucks at the Berlin-Helmstedt highway check point may also be an indication of a new technique of evasion. It is possible that this technique is pursued with the connivance of Western firms engaged in delivery 25X1 of strategic materials. Comment: Although the West German Government has indicated a willingness to joinwith the Allies in eliminating the flow of illegal shipments to East Germanys it is evident that procedures for enforcing controls are by no means completely effective. It is unlikely, however,. that East Germany can expand illegal shipments sufficiently to compensate for the loss of legal trade, and if the present trade impasse continues the East German economy will be progressively damaged. 25X1 3. AUSTRIA. Communists denounce alleged US participation in sabotage case. e oviet--Communist press has reacted sharply to the protection granted in the US zone to an Austrian Communist allegedly responsible for a 300,000- schilling fire in a Soviet-managed plant in Vienna. To a Communist charge that the accused operated under US directives and obtained US/CIC protection, High Commissioner Donnelly has publicly denied CIC implication in the sabotage, but taunted the Communists with the observation that it is an interesting commentary when an admitted "Leninist-Communist" seeks American protection. from the threats of Stalinist persecution. The US Le ation believes that Communist interest in the perpetrator of the crime 25X1 terns from fear of a widespread anti-Stalinist p o The Communist per Abend has further utilized this opportunity to publicize widely the "Nocker case" in which the Austrian Ministry of Interior was caught last March in a tug of war between the US and Soviet headquarters. According to the Communist versions the American authorities intervened with the Austrian Government to obtain the protection of Nocker and his associates, described as gangsters and prostitutes, whose arrest had been. demanded by the Soviet Kommandatura on charges of participation in a US-instigated plot to encourage wider read defection among Soviet troops stationed in Austria, f-- I 25X1 Comment: The episodes are significant of the continuing security problem the Austrian Ministry of Interior and its difficulties in controlling police officials in the Soviet zone. Following widespread public criticism last April of Soviet use of Austrian police to secure arrests and abductions of persons, it was reported that the Soviets had ordered an abandonment of this procedure. This now appears to have been prematurely reported. Minister Helmer's efforts to purge Communist influence from the i6 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Ruse 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146AOW400070001-1 TOP SECRET police force have had only limited success. The Per Abend account of the Necker affair bears sufficient resemblance to official Austrian reports to indicate that the Communists retain ready access to at least some files in which they have particular_interesta SWITZERLANDo Nation's position in event. of war is still ambiguous: A top- ve -official of the Swiss Foreign O fice recently declared to the US linister, in what the latter calls "a strong statement indeed," that "as regards our neutrality, our hearts,.our minds, and our actions, we are pro- West." He added that in the event of war with the USSR, "we are prepared not to be neutral." The US Minister states flatly that the Swiss in general show much more awareness of the Soviet threat to their system of democracy than they did of the Nazi threat, Comment: It is not clear whether the Swiss official's statement means thatss would actively join Western Europe in resisting Soviet attack or, and more probably, that the Swiss would stop all commercial intercourse with the USSR, should the latter initiate general hostilities? . UNITED"KINGD?ML British say rise in their defense expenditures for NATO is impossible: The Britis have submi ted to the NATO Financial and . conomic Board secretariat a memorandum giving their. estimate' that between now and 1954 an additional expenditure of 2,130 million pounds. on defense goods and services above present plans will be necessary if their defense efforts are to meet tentative UK obligations under the interim force allo- cations and Standing Group planning assumptions. The memorandum points out that the present defense program is a considerable burden, made even heavier by recent unanticipated events and concludes "The assumption of additional load is out of the question." Comment.- The above quotation, though not a top-level pronouncement, fores ai c the position the British Government will be very likely forced to take because of the country's basic economic condition and its effect on-the domestic political situation, Aware that the US plans, during various NATO meetings this fall, to stimulate promises of additional European defense efforts, the UK is now dropping well--documanted hints regarding its incapacity to increase the present rearmament program. 25X1 25X1 25X6 TOP SECRET 17 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 ? Approved For Releee 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A00`90070001-1 TOP SECRET 25X6 25X1 7. ARGENTINA. Government decrees cattle deliveries to alleviate meat shortage: The Argentine Governmen has taken drastic s eps to :via e the shortage the country, and the drought's reduction of herds. 25X1 to price ceilings fixed on 6 July, increased consumption in the interior of of meat for consum tion in the capital and for export to Britain 25X1 It decreed that cattlemen should start delivering stock in amounts equal to those of the last quarter of 1950 under penalty of seizure for noncompliance. During the past two months cattle deliveries have dropped 50 percent. The shortage is attributed to producers' resistance Comment: The gradual decline in Argentina's exportable surplus of meat is significantly reducing its sterling and dollar earning capacity. It also reduces the Argentine potential for logistical support in the'event of a ware The government recently raised retail meat prices an average of 34 percent in an effort to improve the meat situation. 8. Senora de Peron renounces candidac? for vice? resident.: In a 31 August broa cas , enora a Peron announce a s e a r,ac ed an independent and irrevocable decision to renounce the great hohor of her nomination for vice-president. She explained that now those doubters of her sincerity "will never be able to say that all my work was spurred on by mean and personal ambition." She wanted it understood clearly that she was not abandoning the battle.. She will continue her work in the General Confederation of Labor as the spokesman of the workers, and, through her work and "example," she wishes to consolidate the material and moral forces of the men's and women's branches.of the Peronista Party. Following Evita's speech, Peronista Party and labor spokesmen announced that they would accept 18 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Rele a 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO0 0070001-1 'OP SEDR.ET her decision because "Eva Peron and the people constitute a single and indestructible force," It was later announced that the incumbent vice- president, Dr. Hortensio J, Quijano, has been designated Peron's running mate in t1 'll November electionq, 25X1 Comment: Evitaas withdra-Kal, forced by army pressure, removed the main rea to Peron's regime, The current position of Col, Domingo Mercante, Governor of the Province of Buenos Aires and would-be Peronista candidate :for 'vice-president, has not been defined. Considerable political maneuvering continues, and it is possible that he has bargained to retain his important governorship, which Evita&s brother, Juan Duarte, has been trying to wangle. 19 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 UlIX-tASSIFIED when b4rp~i?d dSlE fl"1 [setg(~ ~?/~~p;S~ } t yrr~t ~J iggl~pp ~g~e~ or declassi- fied when filled in form is detached from controlled document. CONTROL AND COVER SHEET FOR TOP SECRET DOCUMENT DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION REGISTRY SOURCE CIA CON OL_0 - DOC. NO. DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED DOC. DATE COPY NO. LOGGED BY NUMBER OF PAGES NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS ATTENTION: This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. Access to Top Secret matter is limited to Top Secret Control personnel and those- individuals whose official duties relate to the matter. Top Secret Control Officers who receive and/or release the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of custody in the left-hand columns provided. Each individual who sees the Top Secret document will sign and indicate the date of handling in the right-hand columns. REFERRED TO RECEIVED RELEASED SEEN BY OFFICE SIGNATURE DATE TIME DATE TIME SIGNATURE OFFICE/DIV. DATE NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate spaces below and transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for record. DOWNGRADED DESTROYED DISPATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA) TO BY (Signature) TO BY (Signature) WITNESSED BY (Signature) BY (Signature) OFFICE 4 Woved For elrease 2005/01/26: T_E DP79T01 0-R~ M4600400070001-1 DATE TOP SECRET FORM 8-73 26 USE PREVIOUS EDITIONS. TOP SECRET (40) Approved For Relee 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A00Q00070001-1 TOP SECRET 4 September 1951 CIA No. 49331-A - c: Copy No. 25X1 TO THE DAILY DIGEST Not for dissemination. outside O/CI and O/NE. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This summary of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or In the Office of Current. Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views.. -)of_ the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/26 CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Relce 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00i0070001-1 TOP SECRET SECTION 2 (EASTERN) IRAN. Council of Ministers. gets economic program for Khuzistan: The recent- ly formed Board for the Development of Khuzistan has presented a comprehen- sive program for the economic development of this province to the Iranian Council of Ministers. The program envisages the construction of a sugar factory, cultivation of rubber plants, setting up of ice factories, and the growing of dates, It is to be financed from part of the money taken from the note cover reserve and from the Export-Import Bank loan, Commenting that the program probably represents government efforts to convince the public that the unemployed oil workers will be taken care of'the `CS Embassy states that the large scope of the program and the lack of preparation would hardly prom- ise quick implementations 25X1 Qommento The presentation of the Khuzistan program may be interpreted as an attempt to bring indirect pressure on Britain, Tying the funds for this program to the anticipated Import-Export loan also involves the US0 25X6 2, INDOCHINA. Cambodia to withdraw reparations claimsa The head of the Cambodian delegation to the San Francisco conference, on departing from Pnom Penh, told the US Charge that Cambodia would not put in any claim for repara- tions "except in a sense favorable to the US." While noting that this decision is not final the Charge regards it as a hopeful sign, 25X1 Comm On previous occasions Cambodian and Vietnamese officials have indicated that they attach great importance to the possibility of ob- taining reparations from Japan. US officials in Indochina have advised against reparations claims in view of Japanos inability to pay. Vietnam has moderated, though not renounced, its original demands for reparations, 1 4 Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Reldese 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A00W4 0070001-1 40 TOP SECRET 50 French concurrence in German Q s admission to NATO is foreseen for 1252. According to a report from the US Embassy in London, a "responsible official " in the French Foreign office has stated that he and some of his colleagues are personally convinced that Germanys membership in NATO is both inevitable and desirable. These officials emphasize, however, that the worst way of accomplishing this would be for the US or UK to raise the issue with tln French before or at the time when the Germans agree to a defense contribution. In the opinion of the source, French public opinion would be able to accept German TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 2 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0004000700014, Sep 51 Approved For Relge 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A0O30070001-1 membership in NATO about six onths after that date, or about mud.-1952, Comment: This is the first indication that any French Government officials are prepared to consider German admission to NATO at a definite future date. In all aspects of the German problem, French officials stress the importance of careful timing in order to insure that German commitments to the common defense will ifiduce a further swing of public opinion in favor of.netr steps toward German equality, A relatively tolerant attitude toward Germany has been developing since July 1949, when Schuman informed the Assem- bly that Ger any9s participation in NATO was "unthinkable" and a question that "can never come up now or even at a later date." French Premier believes coal shortage number one Rroblem: French Premier Pleven has told Ambassador Bice and Mr. Harriman that the general European coal shortage poses the "greatest problem" presently facing France? The French feel that solutions for this problem should be canvassed in the imminent Foreign Ministerst talks.' One possibility vo uld be to finance; coal shipments from the US out of military assistance, if the coal is to be devoted to the manufacture of military items. A case in point would be coking coal for steel products such as plates, for export to the USo Comment: According to official French estimates as of 1 July, France will produce about 55 million metric tons of coal in 1951 and obtain 5 or 6 million tons from the Saar. The balance of French import needs for 1951 is estimated at over 15 million tons, of which the traditional suppliers in Europe cannot furnish more than 9 million tons,,- Less than one-fourth of the other 6 million tons, for which France looks to the US, was obtained in the US in the first half of 10,51. Meanwhile, vital French steel production is at only 80 per cent of capacity, The Office of EGABs Special Representative in Paris estimates that foreign demands upon the US for coal in fiscal year 1952 might rise as high as 30 million tons at a cost representing about three-fourths of total US foreign economic aide The Office of the Special Representative and the chairman of the OEEC agree that the coal shortage is due to political rather than technical fac- tors, but the OEEG chief was cool toward ECA1s suggestion that he spark a movement by the European themselves to evolve a solution. 7. Schuman, adds Moroccan question to Washington agenda: French Foreign Minister Schuman plans to add the Morocco question to the agenda for his bi- lateral talks with Secretary Acheson, A memorandum outlining France&s policies 25X1 3 4Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For Rise 2005/01/26: CIA-RDP79T01146A400070001-1 TOP SECRET 25X1 25X6 9. and practices is now being drafted. Because the foreign office believes that US officials want future French policy to be built around the nationalist Istiqlal party, the memorandum will disparage the party and point out that Istiglal rule would result only in civil war and chaos. The French will draw heavily on the paradox of US and USSR support of Istiglal, and stress the 'advantages to the West of a coopera- tive Morocco it case of war." The memorandum will not contain an over-all plan for the progressive independence of French North Africa a policy long recommended US diplomats. Comment.. French sensitivity over US influence in their Moroccan pro- tectorate has become an obsession. No US diplomat has ever suggested that French policy be built around the Istiglal party, which does not have US of- ficial support but also has rejected all Communist overtures. The US has repeatedly urged that the French adopt a concrete program looking toward greater autonomy for Morocco -- a policy similar to the granting of independence to the Philippines. These recommendations have been rejected by the French, who hope to maintain hegemony in this strategic area by repressing all inclinations toward political growth on the part of the native population. LATIN AMERICA. Attitudes of Latin American delegates to the Japanese Treaty Conference..' Each of the twenty Latin American republics .plans to send a delegation to sign the Japanese treaty at San Francisco, according to Depart- ment of State cables. Each supports the US in principle although some, particularly Peru and Venezuela, have expressed concern that the wording of the treaty does not make absolutely clear their right to retain Japanese property which was seized during World War II. TOP SECRET 4 4Sep51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1 Approved For ReIe4e 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00(0070001-1 Following,-Department of State's assurances that all the points raised are covered by the treaty, the Peruvian Foreign Minister told the US Ambassador in Lima that he has instructed the Peruvian delegate to sign "with no reserva- tions." The US Embassy in Caracas reports that the Venezuelan Foreign Office seems satisfied with the Department's comments, although the possibility of a declaration of interpretation at the conference still exists. Until specific assurance to the contrary is received, it must be considered that Peru also might make such a declaration, TOP SECRET 5 4Sep 51 Approved For Release 2005/01/26 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000400070001-1