CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5
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S
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22
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December 12, 2016
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June 24, 2002
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1
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July 1, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO 0050001-5 SECRET 25X1 2?6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports re- ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. 1 July 1952 OCI No. 6431 Copy No. 25X1 State, Department review completed J!f BOX Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 BETUR14 T ARCHIVES & AECORRCS Cr. ? IM EWATELY AFTER USE n E V Approved For Rel%pe 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00W0050001-5 SECRET THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC9 SECS, 793 AND 794, THE 'TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN 'UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW, campaign renewed in Moscow: The biological warfare cam- paign, which slackened o when t e Koje atrocity charges were being emphasized, has been renewed through the medium of wall posters, Three posters given the widest circulation character- ize American soldiers as skulking away from the scenes of their bloody crimes, cringing behind the UN flag. In the background are pictures of cholera bombs, gas tanks, packing cases labelled "Made in USA" with contents marked "infected insects," etc. The captions read: "Hasten the departure of murderers f:tom Korea," "Stop the criminals"; "Reckoning -- Evil doers will not hide from the anger of the peoples." 25X1 Comment: This re-emphasis on BW charges was apparently timed to coincide with the Kremlin's propaganda play on Malik's UN speeches on the Geneva Convention. The poster captions, with one exception, embrace the themes designated by the WFTU for emphasis in connection with the anniversary of the Korean war, The use of the label "reckoning" appears to be. Moscow's first implication of the possibility of retribution. 2, Soviet Orbit reaction to.the Yalu bombings: World Commu- nist comment on the recent N omblng raids on North Korean hydroelectric targets was consistent in pointing to the raids as US efforts to force the Communists to accept UN terms at Panmunjom or break off the talks and continue the war in Korea. Moscow so far has avoided the assertion made in Hungarian, Far Eastern and French Communist commentaries that the raids were a sign of a US desire to extend the war in the Far East. 1 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Reba 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0UW0050001-5 The targets were said to be non-military installations which are "indispensable to the peaceful life of the Korean people and adjacent Northeast China Provinces." Thus, atro- city accusations were furthered, and any reference to the military nature of the targets was avoided. The Moscow press was quick to take up world public reactions, particularly Western, which showed dissension in the Western camp. A boycott of American goods in protest against the bomb- ing of the Yalu power plants has been urged at a public meet- ing or an.ized by the Bombay Peace Committee. from. 25X1 25X1 Induction of troops reported from Moscow 25X1 25X1 Comment,, This is the first evidence of inductions in the Uis spring. Induction of the bulk of the class of 1932 has been expected. Call-up of the class of 1933 cannot be accepted solely on the basis of a single instance, Al- though elements might be expected to be called up this fall, the bulk of the class would probably be called up in the spring of 1953 if the pattern of recent years were to be followed. Inasmuch as the classes presently in service are all of reduced size as a consequence of the famines of the early 1930?s9 the call-up of the normal-size 1933 class may have been advanced to maintain the over-all strength of the Soviet armed forces and prevent excessive delay of scheduled demobilizations. In this latter connection, there has been no evidence to date of the initiation of the rotation of Soviet con- script classes in Germany and Austria. This rotation, which is routine for this time of year, may have been delayed pending call-up of the class of 1933, 2 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 :` 1 1M '79T01146AO04000050001-5 Czechoslovakia said to be sending 200 representatives to25X1C stimulate trade with t e west. On 30 May Antonin Gregor, 25X1 C a he would send about 200 representatives to the West in June and July to build up Czech export trade. The Czechs hope to attract 25X1A foreign buyers with quality items and special pri ce arrange- ments for glass, textiles and machinery, 25X1A Comment: Czechoslovakia?s production of such items as glass,, textiles and machinery, which formed the basis of its trade with the West, has been very sharply curtailed under the stepped-up Five Year Plano This fact, coupled with the reluctance of the Czech Government to permit any number of representatives to go into the West, makes it doubti I that the government is actually preparing such a move. At present, Czechoslovakia appears to be emphasizing illegal means of obtaining essential strategic raw materials and foreign exchange. Czech chemical plants in. Slovakia reported to be producing 25X1C poison gas: tree chemical plants in central Slovakia are producing poison gas, possibly for all the Satellites. One plant, located in Likier, is stated to be produci Soviet chemists. Comment. Earlier reports, 25X1A 25X1 C have cla ?1m that poison gases were being produced in Slovakia, especially at Novaky and Zemianske Kostolany, Mention was also made of the production in these plants of the nerve gases Sarin. and Tabun. None of these reports have been confirmed, The Likier plant is known to produce wood distillates, such as methanol and alcohol. At present, however, no poison gas is known to be manufactured from wood. 6. Hungarian coal miners' absenteeism provokes party ire: The Hungarian party newspaper criticizes the management o the Diosgyor coal mines for not getting better results during the first quarter, although conceding that they fulfilled their quota. The article lays particular blame for under- production on the so-called "amphibious" miners who own farm land in the country and work in the mines. Severe penalties are threatened for miners who stay home to do agricultural 25X1A work. Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5July 52 Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000050001-5 SECRET Comment- The elimination of the "amphibious" miners is a dec ark ed object of Hungarian planning policy. Construction of housing facilities in the mining towns, now assertedly in progress, must come before the problem is solved, Meanwhile, the basic lack of manpower that afflicts the economy is illus- trated by the order to "everyone who can move" to work on the harvest, and the concurrent injunction on miners to cease working their own fields. 7. Hungarian kulaks punished for failure to surrender fat hogs,, Me Hungarian trade union newspaper reports on 26 June that three kulaks were sentenced to prison terms and fines for failure to surrender fattened hogs. One peasant had his property confiscateda 25X1 Comment,, Pressure by the Hungarian Government to secure fulfi m.nof surrender quotas from reluctant peasants has been growing. On 21 June the Minister for Produce Collection told a meeting of the chairmen of the executive committees of the Budapest Municipal Council and county councils that any arrears in produce collection would cause serious damage to the economy. Sanctions already have been applied against six collectivized villages which failed to deliver their quotas. The application of sanctions against kulaks completes the picture of a toughening demand for fulfillment of the Plan in all sectors of Hungarian economic life. 8. Possibility of new party triumvirate taking over in Hungary- Brno Gerog 60 25X1C party lea er of ungary, Jozsef Revai, party ideological leader, and Mihaly Farkas, Minister of National Defense, have moved their homes to a new location in the vicinity of that of party leader Rakosi o Unusual Security measures have been taken in the area of their new residences, believes that the move may be connected with rumors of the establishment of a trium- virate composed of Revai, Gero, and either Gabor Peter, Chief of the State Security Police. or IstvanKovacs, Polit-, Comment,, There are. no firm indications that such a triumvirate will take over in the near future, but political changes would not be unexpected in view of the Soviet-inspired criticisms and arrests for failures to fulfill planning targets that have been in progress.since May. 1 July 52 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000050001-5 SECRET Revai was rumored in May to have returned from Moscow following treatment for his seriois heart condition. His illness would appear to exclude an active political role. The purge of Rakosi has been forecast repeatedly, especially since Stalin failed to send birthday greetings last March. 90 Soviet repatriation continues in Rumania.- On 26 June, the Rumanian press and radio announced tat Soviet consular officers in. Rumania are extending repatriation formalities. Soviet citizens who came to Rumania between 1941 and 1945 were told to address all inquiries to the Soviet Embassy in Bucharest or the Consulates at Constanta, Cluj, or Iasi. A diplomatic source has informed the American Legation in Bucharest that Russian mechanics and low-level technicians, as well as some groups from the West, are being sent home. 25X1 states that one Bucharest hospital has been instructed, for unspecified reasons, to compile a list of all Russians (including Bessarabians) on its staff. 25X1 Comment: All natives of Bessarabia and Northern Bukova.na ecame Soviet citizens when the USSR annexed those territories and are therefore subject to forcible repatria- tion to the Soviet Union. Thirty-one Italians were suddenly ordered to leave Rumania earlier this months These moves may be connected with the evacuations from Rumanian cities and unconfirmed reports of considerable unemployment. 25X1 10. Rumanian purge continues: Three more high officials of the Rumanian Government have been dismissed. Gogu Radulescu has been replaced by Marcel Popescu as Assistant Minister of Foreign Trade; Marin Bianu has been replaced by Alexandru Ion as Assistant Minister of the Interior; and Alexandru Voi- tinovici has been succeeded by Anton Tatu-jianu as Prosecutor General o The Swiss Charge has informed the American Legation in Bucharest that the private secretaries of both Radulescu and Foreign Trade Minister Barladeanu -- whose fall is allegedly imminent were arrested two weeks ago when the Customs Director Bogdan, was reportedly discharged, 25X1A Approved For Release 2002/08/21 :SCIA-RDP79T01146AO011000500d1- my 52 Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0(PW0050001-5 SECRET 25X1 C Comment: Marcel Popescu has been in charge of Rumanian trade re Talons with the USSR, 25X1 CI and has often been in Moscow. Bianu follows his former chief, Teohari Georgescu, in being purged from the Ministry of the Interior. The dismissal of Voitinovici as Prosecutor General follows last month's reorganization of the Rumanian judicial system. On 24 June the press hailed the new court system as a means of liquidating "right-wing deviations" and speculators, kulaks, and others who have not been receiving "just punish- mento" 6 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 . Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00050001-5 12, New approach regarding Americans in China suggested: The American Consul General i ongg' g notes a on y r Americans imprisoned in China have been released in the past six weeks. He suggests that the new Indian Ambassador to Peiping be requested to make a new approach, pointing out that Chou En?lai?s "earlier assurances" have not been made good. 25X1 Comment.- Chou toldi almost all 25X1 imprisoned miss ovaries, not specifically imprisoned Americans, would be released by the end of June. About 100 missionaries, mostly Catholics, have left China in the past month. At least 1,010 remain, and more than 100 of them are still in jail, Approximately 50 Americans are in prison or under house arrest. 13, North China railroads overloaded repor: on e at railway station 25X1 o c a s to d an Embassy staff member.that they had orders not to accept any freight for three weeks o knew 25X1 of no unusual activity which might have tied up the railways, 7 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 Approved For Rele a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO0400050001-5 SECRET but thought the ban could indicate important military movements or be connected with deliveries of recently harvested grain, 25X1 Comment: Heavy military movements may well have caused thisan,` The Communists previously have not interrupted commercial freight traffic during the harvest season. 25X1 15. Communist agency in Hong Kong finally agrees to register: The Hong on g rant o e inese ommunis official news agency agreed last week to register under the colony "s press ordinance. 25X1 Comment: The Hong Kong government ordered the news agency in pry o register but twice extended the deadline when the Communists offered excuses for not registering. The Communists evidently have hoped, by a combination of stalling and implied threats, to avoid registering their agency. As this report states merely that the agency had "agreed" to register, not that it had in fact registered, this hope may not yet have been abandoned. 160 China,seeks increased trade with Pakistan: March and April reports to arac a rom e a s an massy in Peiping revealed Chinese approaches to the Pakistanis for increased trade between the two countries. In their conversations with the Pakistanis, the Chinese deplored the Western trade embargo and asserted their willingnes with a untr on a "mutually beneficial" basis. I SECRET 25X1 8 1 duly 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0000050001-5 Comment. China?s imports from Pakistan--mainly cotton--have een larger thus far in 1952 than imports from any other non-Orbit country. These imports have caused a large drain on Peiping?s foreign exchanges since exports to Pakistan have not been appreciable. The "mutually beneficial" basis envisaged by Peiping for its trade with Pakistan would entail an expansion of its exports rather than imports 17. French colonials seen losing grip in Indochina: 25X1 Commenting on _a eep rn twe6n He o ne co on als and the more progressive elements among French administration officials in Indochina, a long-time in Tonkin has expressed the belief that colonial-minded French Interim High Commissioner Gautier's controlling influence cannot last much longer. He adds that the ultraconservative group to which Gautier belongs is controlled by major French financial interests, particularly the Bank of Indochina, whose objective is to have "their man" in control on the day of reckoning," to ensure being paid in something more substantial n Vietnamese national bonds. 25X1 Comment. Since assuming his duties as Minister- Resident to Indochina in April, Letourneau has appointed a new group of y6ung French officials to key advisory positions in Saigon, replacing some old-line colonials. In any event, the small group of conservative business interests holding a stake in Indochina are no longer capable of exerting a major influence on the National Assembly?s Indochina policy. 18. Burmese Government seizes propaganda material from ` pro-Communists-. T e uni?mses ~ vernmen as can ~scate pro Burma Trade Union Congress (BTUC) upon their return from_the Peiping May Day celebration. The American Embassy in Rangoon comments that this action is a reversal of the government?s previous policy to- wards Burmans returning from trips to Iron Curtain countries and that it indicates resentment at the dP1 w,cra tAQ ? excessively 25X1 9 5 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001- Approved For Re a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0e 00050001-5 20. oppositi Comment. This incident is the latest of a number of recent ind cat1.ons that the government has adopted a policy of firmness against its Communist as well as non-Communist Burmese War Office concerned over lax discipline in aj:?my. Reports of epre atron aga nit elv any y i `sciplined Burman troops in Arakan has caused the War Office to commence an investigation and to admonish field commanders to intensify training in discipline. The American Embassy in Rangoon comments that although the rapid expansion of the army appears to have outstripped the supply of competent officers, it believes that the Defense 25X1 Minister and the Supreme Commander are seriously attempting to establish good discipline and esprit de corps. Comment. This is the latest manifestation of ill. discipline among Burman troops, which has often been cited as one source of continued hostility towards the government. The Defense Minister and the Supreme Commander in the past have condoned, if not encouraged, excesses on the part of regular and irregular government forces, Indonesian President's summer palace attacked. Presi- dent Sukarnomount nn pa.ce near an ur , n es Java , was heavily attacked by 600 fully armed and uniformed Darul Islam troops on the night of 21 to 22 June. The dissidents withdrew after a four-hour attack during which they partially penetrated the palace grounds. A government announcement stated that the army suffered ten killed and several wounded. I eported repeated clashes in the area xes en s palace from 18 to 22 Junes F _J 25X1 I I arm asualties were quite high, 25X1 Comment. The Darul Islam (DI).,. a fanatic Moslem organization, has appeared increasingly ambitious in recent months and during the past eight weeks has been unusually active in West Java, Government forces reportedly were alerted for planned DI coordinated attacks upon large cities in West Java on 22 June, the Moslem New Year, and Djakarta police claim to have foiled a DI plot, also scheduled for 22 June, to assassinate high government officials and to create 10 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Rel'e 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0100050001-5 SECRET NEAR EAST-AFRICA 21, Mossadeq reportedly belligerent toward Shah and Cabinet: Prime n s er ossa eq adopted an arrogant a i- 1u a .ward the Shah during his first meeting after his return from The Hague, 25X1 Mossadeq reportedly stated: "With me lies the road to heaven; without me lies the road to hello" 25X1 25X1 C in his first 25X1A general disorder. However, attacks upon the President's palace appear to be the only efforts that achieved any measure of success. meeting with the Cabinet, he also showed anger toward his Finance Minister for not obtaining sufficient revenue. The Prime Minister expressed dissatisfaction with the government's propaganda department for not having given sufficient support=, to Iran's mission at The Hague. F 19 25X1A I _T Comment: Mossadeq exhibited a similar attitude when he re ahrne to Tehran last November after addressing the United Nations General Assembly in New York. 22, Israeli-Syrian meeting proposed to relieve bord 25X1 Pr inister Ben Gurion has confirmed that Israel would tension: American Ambassador -av s repo rts tHaT Israeli meet with Syrian representatives to discuss settlement of the disputed Lake Ruleh area. Ben Gurion reportedly had not been briefed on the effect that resumption of drainage work by Israel on the east bank of the Jordan would have on Israeli- Syrian relations. He also stated that his government did not wish to provoke an incident and expressed interest that the matter was regarded as so important by the American Embassy. I I Comment: United States representatives in Tel Aviv and Damascus recently warned of the danger of Syrian-Israeli hostilities if Israel resumed drainage work in the demilitarized zone east of the Jordan. The Lake Huleh area was the scene of bitter fighting last year, SECRET 11 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00 fl0050001-5 King Farouk requests Sirry Pasha to succeed Hilali Pasha as Egyp s Prime i er - n une ing reques a usse irryn s"i o form a new government in Egypt, following the King's acceptance of Hilali Pasha's resignation from the premiership. 25X1 Comments The political situation in Cairo is still confused, and it is not yet certain whether Sirry will succeed in forming a cabinet. Sirry's appointment as Prime Minister, if successful, would bring into office another moderate, independent leader with a pro-Western outlook, Hilali's resignation after only four months in office, however, serves to emphasize the serious obstacles which any Egyptian Prime Minister must face. Any new government will be under great pressure to achieve Egypt's aspirations in regard to the Suez and the Sudan. Nationalist anti-British activities, which were at a minimum under martial law, may at any time increase and lead to serious disorders. In domestic affairs, the next Prime Minister will inherit the problem of corruption in the government, against which Hilali made no progress. The country's economy has deteriorated this year, not only because of Egypt's dispute with Great Britain, but also because of the diminished world demand for cottons Moreover, the new Prime Minister is likely to be hampered by the same palace political maneuvering which is said to have been mainly responsible for Hilali's resigna- tion, Bolivia supports special United Nations session on Tunisia: o v a as notified thie e retary inera o i-Fe a e- -Nations that it favors a special session of the General Assembly to consider French activities ip Tunisia. As of 27 June, the United States had sent one of the four negative replies, as against 20 supporting the session. Thirty-six countries had n I t indicated their position. Comment: Bolivia's action indicates that the new re- volutionary government may be somewhat less cooperative than its predecessors, which tended to follow the lead of the United States in voting in the UN. At present it appears doubtful that the necessary 31 countries will support the special session. SECRET 25X1 12 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 Approved For Rele 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000050001-5 SECRET 25X6 Moscow Economic Conference a propaganda success: At the r une d scuss ons, COCOM members generally agree t at the Soviet-sponsored World Economic Conference was a "well- conceived" propaganda move to neutralize Western security controls. None of the COCOM countries has approved any of the trade agree- ments made at the conference,and specific transactions will be acted on only when export licenses are requested. No constructive proposal was made to combat the propaganda gains of the Moscow conference, nor was any plan offered to meet additional Soviet propaganda moves of this type, All delegates except the French agreed with the Belgian delegate that the "challenge" to Western security controls should be met by making the Western position clear, although the dele- gates added that publicity on controls is the responsibility of each of the COCOM countries, Several of the delegates restated their desire for an expansion of East-West trade compatible with mutual security 13 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 Approved For Refuse 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000050001-5 interests. The Norwegian and Danish delegates called for "criti- cal" examination of further additions to the international lists. Comment- Initial discussions on the World Economic Confer- ence were meld by COCOM in early May. Last week?s meeting was designed for the exchange of more precise information and sug- gestions for counterpropaganda moves 27. French Government plans systematic prosecution of Communist _ All Party ea ers o top F?r_eanc ommual st arty -ea ers w l be roug t to trial on charges similar to those facing Party Secre- tary Duclos, according to the Minister of Justice, although prepa- ration of the prosecution may take as long as a year. No classified documents have been found among the material seized by the government, but sufficient evidence has been un- earthed to show a systematic gathering of information of military interest. Only a fraction of the ton of papers taken at Toulon alone has been analyzed to date. 25X1 Comment: The French Communist Party is vigorously pushing a welorganized campaign throughout France calling for the release of Duclos, who was arrested while directing the anti- Ridgway riots in Paris on 28 May. Communist leaders are confident that no incriminating material has been found, but the party press is hedging by ac- cusing the government of planting false evidence among the documents seized. 28. Reappraisal of US economic policy toward Italy considered essent a o estern de ease plans may be wea ene and the success of moEratic forces in the forthcoming Italian general elections may be seriously jeopardized if under-utilization of Italian resources continues, according to the Office of the Special MSA Representative in Paris. that country, 25X1 Over-all reappraisal of American economic policy toward Italy is therefore considered essential at this time in view of the growing unemployment and unused productive facilities in Comment: American observers estimate that Italian defense efforts wou d utilize only one quarter of the hard goods capacity Approved For Release 2002/08/21 :CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001 1 July 52 Approved For ReloVe 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00W0050001-5 of Italian industry. US military orders in Italy will not in- crease this total significantly. New procurement standards must be worked out, if high-cost Italian industry is to be utilized for Western rearmament. 29. Argentine revolt may be attempted in September: President Peron s too well entrenched and too well prepare for a suc- cessful uprising to be effected within the immediate future, 25X1C Plans for a large-scale revolt are being made, however, and the next attempt is tentatively scheduled for September 1952. 25X11 I plotting was continuing behind the scenes and that an assassination s always possible. 25X1A Comment: This confirms other reports that Peron has taken rigorous security precautions; his assassination, however, could precipitate a bloody revolt of doubtful outcome. In early June one of the principals in the September 1951 revolt reportedly returned to Argentina clandestinely, but whether he is connected with the large-scale revolt planned for September is not known. 30.. Colombian Congress nominates ?spina Perez for president: Both houses o the a onservat ve o om an congress unan - mously approved a resolution on 24 June proclaiming ex-President Mariano Ospina Perez the Conservative Party's candidate for the 1954 presidential election. Members of Congress reportedly hope that Ospina will soon assume leadership of the party and end the strife between Gobiernista and Alzatista factions, Comment: Because he has remained above party strife, Ospina z is the one man who can command the support of practically all Conservatives. During his administration he tried to conduct a bipartisan government, and retired from of- fice in 1950 respected by Colombians of all political factions. He recently expressed a decision to return from Europe and resume an active role in Colombian politics, 25X1 25X1 15 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Reese 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AODU00050001-5 SECRET Senator Gilberto Alzate Avendano?s willingness to forget his-own ambition for.the presidency in 1954 is apparently a recognition of his inability to win. It is also another indi- cation that the Conservative Party may soon present a united front o 31. Seizure of bus line by Cuban Army may have serious political repercuss ons o res ent a sta s first e s wi t uba ?s influential and well-organized labor forces came as the Cuban Army took over the government-operated bus line in Havana, reportedly in order to improve the service and purge its labor union. Several union leaders, including the union?s chief, Marcos Hirigoyen, one of Cuba?s most influential labor leaders and also head of Accion Revolucionaria Guiteras, a politico- terroristic group, have been arrested. Leaders of the non-Communist national Confederation of Cuban Workers, with whom the union is affiliated, are reportedly negotiating with the government for a settlement. If they are unsuccessful, there may be a general strike involving other CTC affiliates which, desire to express their dissatisfaction with the government's delay in settling disputes. Ambassador Beaulac reports that in view of the recent re- 25X1 organization of the politico-terroristic groups in Cuba a 25X1 _ general strike could create an explosive situation. F I 32. US Embassy lists_ possible reasons for Venezuelan break with USSR: ThUnited States mbassy at acas believes that 'ehezue a's decision to break diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union was not based on any single consideration. As factors possibly contributing to the government's decision, the Embassy notes (1) a long-standing desire to put an end to diplo? matic relations, (2) the hope of reducing Communist activity during the pre-election period, (3) the country's closer relations with Cuba, (4) a desire to show particular friendship toward the US in view of the various current negotiations between the two countries, (5) the highly-publicized action against the Communists in France, (6) a desire to counteract propaganda about Commuaists in the Venezuelan Government, and (7) the hope of diverting attention omestic political situation. SECRET 16 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Refe 2002/08/21 :' CIA-RDP79T01146A000050001-5 Comment: The Venezuelan Government has still offered no public exp .nation of its action other than the "rudeness" of the Soviet Embassy staff in dealing with the arrest of the Yakushevs and the "unacceptability" of a subsequent Soviet note. The weakness of this explanation makes it appear probable that domestic political considerations and the desire for inter- national approval weighed heavily in the decision to break relations. 2 33. Venezuelan police reportedly see widespread Caribbean agains overn ng un a: 25X1C reports tha Venezuelan opposition leaders, froups in Mexico and Guatemala, and exiles from the Dominican Republic and Cuba are involved in a plot to overthrow- the Venezuelan Government. The Communist groups are said to have'received "instructions from Russia" to give priority to the overthrow of the Venezuelan and Colombian Governments. This decision has reportedly been accepted by "the various Caribbean exile groups," since they all feel that Venezuela would offer a good base for subsequent move- ments against other dictatorships. According to this report, a campaign against the Dominican Government will be initiated soon to divert attention from the preparations for action against Venezuela and Colombia. gI 25X1A 25X1A Comment: Although the Venezuelan Government is genuinely appre eive about the activities of its outlawed opposition, and thus tends to accept alarmist reports, many of its allega- tions of international conspiracy and of collaboration between Communist and non-Communist groups seem designed to enlist out- side sympathy and help. The recent concentration of Caribbean exile activity in Central America and the addition of Cuban "liberals" to the ranks of the "outs" have led to increased rumors of attacks on the dictatorships of the Caribbean area. SECRET 17 1 July 52 Approved for Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100050001-5 5X1 C Approved For Re a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO 00050001-5 TOP SECRET 25X1 1 duly 1952 CIA No,. 49722 Copy No. 46 TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT TO THE CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST 25X1 25X1 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SFCIRRT 25X1 Approved For Relea - A001100050001-5 Approved For Reese 2002/08/21 : 146AGQAI TOP SECRET THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS, 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW, . Chinese battalions in Indochina reportedly repulsed: The ten C inese Communist battalions which recently crossed into northwestern Tonkin are reported by the American Charge in Saigon to have returned to China after suffering heavy losses. The mission of the force was to cooperate with the Viet Minh against French-supported guerrillas and in cutting river communi- cations. The Sino-Viet Minh units are said to have suffered near- ly 400 casualties, and a French official has stated that eight Chinese prisoners were taken. 25X1 Comment: The Chinese force, estimated at between 2,000 and 3, men, is the largest yet reported to have crossed into Tonkin, and is the first known to have suffered casualties there. 2. Arabs request Germany pay Israeli reparations to Arab refu- gees: Nance or enauer Has received a letter from the Chairman the Arab Higher Committee for Palestine protesting the proposed reparation negotiations with Israel. The letter requested that any amount the German Government may desire to pay as reparations to the Jews be paid instead to Palestinian refugees "in compensa- tion for part of their losses." The German Government has not yet decided how to treat the request and is seeking to avoid publicity lest it adversely affect current negotiations with Israel. The Syrian delegate to the United Nations has informed the US delegation that Syria and the other Arab states will probably raise the question in the United Nations of using German reparations to 1 1 July 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Rd%wte 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AOQJO00050001-5 TOP SECRET 25X1 Israel compensate Arab refugees from Palestine. Comment:- Syria, Lebanon and Iraq previously requested the United Staates, Britain and France to support the use of any possi- b:le German payments to Israel as compensation for Arab refugee claims against Israel. The three Western powers have replied that they do not consider the two matters related and have added that' this does not, however, affect their attitude on the question of compensation to Arab refugees from Palestine. 3. Belgians apprehensive over future of their country's economy: The recently arr ve American Ambassador in Brussels s ayes that many Belgians, including government officials, are seriously con- cerned lest anticipated world economic developments have an adverse effect on the country's economy. Belgium feels that its competi- tive position might suffer under more difficult market conditions, an.d fears that there will be a general downturn in the free world's economic activity even before the rearmament program is completed. Belgium also believes that the policy of trade liberalization is losin support anion the other European countries. 25X1 2 J u l Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100050001-5 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100050001-5