CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140001-5
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RIPPUB
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S
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22
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December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 9, 1999
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 16, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 0/08/29: CIA-RDP79TO1146A9W 100140001-5 SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION US OFFICIALS ONLY CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 15 July 1952 OCI No. 6440 Copy No. ~vo This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete. coverage of all current reports re- ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. SECRET SECURITY` INFORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/29 CIA-RDP79T01146A0 10~ 1 5 A Approved For ReleaseV600/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AQ81100140001-5 SECRET THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS, 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. GENERAL 25X1X repor s t a the serv ce a tac es o- the USSR in Iran are making clandestine efforts to in- fluence Iranian Army and Air Force officers The tactic f , s o the Soviet attaches include attempts to arrange secret meet- ings with Iranian officers and a campaign aimed at discrediting the present Iranian Army and Air Force Chiefs of Staff. They are also warning the Iranians that the Russians will soon be in Iran, that they are now searching out their friends in Iran's armed services, and that they will deal harshly with those officers who not cooperate, (C 25X1A 25X1A Comment,. Despite the cohesive effects of the oil nationali- zation, th armed forces continue to be the government's primary tool for maintaining order in Iran. The armed forces, moreover, have long been a target of Tudeh penetration. While these Tudeh efforts have had some success among junior officers and enlisted personnel, the higher levels of command have not been affected. The possibility that this report may have originated with Iranian Army circles anxious to impress upon US authorities the danger of an attempted Tudeh coup and the importance of continued US aid should not be excluded. SOVIET UNION 2. New barracks being built in Letzlinger Heide training area o as rmany; IF-Fa-s been repor e a ex ra arracks Ti Soviet troops are being constructed in forested areas in the Letzlinger Heide training area of East Germany, These barracks are capable of accommodating between thirty and 1 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release 900/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146AVM 100140001-5 SECRET 25X1A forty thousand troops. (S ) Comment: In the fall of 1951, additional barracks were constructed -in the Eisenach-Ohrdruf training area and appear to be occupied on a year-round basis. This present con- struction in Letzlinger Heide may be intended to release other installations for the use of the East Germans; increase security from hostile observation; or prepare for augmenta- tion of Soviet troop strengths in Germany, or any combina- tion of these purposes. 3. Czech Government protests eleven more alleged violations of airspace: The massy In ague summarizes a 17-C-E - ore gn Office note of 7 July protesting eleven alleged violations of Czech airspace between 1 and 15 June. The note drops the allegation contained in the 24 June note that two American jets had overflown Czechoslovakia on 4 June. The Embassy intends to inform the Czechs that the two jets in fact were their own MIG-151s. The Czech note concludes with a charge that the authorities in the American Zone of Germany "intextionally and in a pro- vocative manner persist in violating sovereign Czech airspace" and with a demand for cessation? No sanctions are mentioned. 25X1A '(S ) Comment: This note adds to an exchange of charges and countercharges that has been increasing during the last three months. Both the Czech Ministry of Foreign Affairs and American occupation authorities in Germany had previously protested what each claimed to be a border violation on 4 June by two jet planes of the other?s air force. 4. Growing unemployment seen in Finland next fall and winter: Barring a substantial improvement n ore gn mar e s ere will be a significant amount of unemployment in Finland next fall and winter. This will be a direct result of the de- clining demand for the country's principal exports, wood and wood products, since the close of 1951. Prices for sawn timber have fallen by 40 percent in the last six months and both the United Kingdom and France have imposed drastic 2 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140001-5 Approved For ReIease 4900/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AQ 1100140001-5 SECRET 25X1A reductions in their price ceilings for Scandinavian pulp. As a result, the forest products industries are curtailing pro- duction all along the line. A special committee headed by the Minister of Communica- tions and Public Works was appointed by the Cabinet on 5 June to prepare a program, for coping with the major unemployment problem anticipated for next winter. (R 25X1A Comment: The stability of the present government is not likely o be affected to any great degree by the threat of in- creased unemployment in the wood and wood products industry. The work is largely seasonal, especially in regard to timber felling, where except during the postwar boom years there has always been chronic unemployment. The situation is ex- pected to be alleviated somewhat by the inauguration of a long-term national development program for the northern area of the country which would promote development of roads and communications as a basis for eventual industrialization. 5? Hungarian refugees report frontier population slated for depor a ion: A ami y o ungarian refugees w o escaped into us r a told Austrian authorities that four hundred cattle trucks of deportees had left St. Gotthard during the last few days. They asserted that the deportations are motivated by the desire of the Hungarian regime to make a no man's land between East and West, and to prevent escapes westward. (R London FBIS Ticker, 12 July 52) Comment: Reports of deportations from the frontier area arounotthard on the Austrian frontier apparently are confirmed by this account. Deportations have been reliably reported on the Yugoslav frontier as well as from the interior. Security reasons appear to be the main ground for frontier de- portations. 6. Serious mine fire in Hungary evokes criticism of mine safety measures' u ape. newspaper repor,e on u y that a serious a in one shaft of the important Tatabanya coal. mines had been extinguished on 7 July after burning for nine days. A loss of only 120 tramcars of coal is claimed and miners assertedl have mised to make good the loss by 12 July. (R ) 25X1A Comment: A spectacular fire destroyed part of the Budapest opera ioouse on the night of 21-22 June and rumors of sabotage were reported. Approved For Release 2000/08/29 :3CIA-RDP79T01146AO011DO140D,1O Approved For Release4e00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A1 100140001-5 SECRET 7. USSR reportedly concerned over difficulties in Hungarian coal m n nga The ega- on In Budapest as learned from a fi er nt al source that lack of progress in mine mechanization is causing serious concern to Soviet and Hungarian leaders. A Soviet delegation attended the recent miners' trade union congress and visited mines. The Hungarian press during the past week has repeatedly charged three coal mining enterprises with failure to raise their coal output. The failure is blamed largely on insufficient use and poor care of mine machinery. Causes for insufficient mechanization of Hungarian mines, according to the US Legation in Budapest, are said to be the following: unsuitability of the.mines for'the use of machinery, unfamiliarity of workers and managers with the machinery, and especially the Russian habit of sending mine machinery without spare parts, (R 12 July 52) 25X1A Comment: The inability of the coal mining industry to fulfill s augmented quotas in 1951 and the first two quarters this year has brought repeated criticism. Lack of coal has plagued the whole economy this year and may possibly have led to the purging of the Hungarian Minister of Mining and Power. Further changes may result from the investigation by the Soviet delegation. Great emphasis is currently being laid on speeding up coal production in the whole Orbit, 8. Hungary to use punitive measures to force surrender of farm products; nis er o Agricultural ocuremen 1m-re--Nagy, in a repot appearing in the Hungarian Communist Party news- paper, stressed the early use of "punitive measures prescribed by law" to overcome delays in the collection of farm products during the current harvest, The newspaper also criticized the party leaders in one county for permitting many kulaks to pass as middle peasants and thus avoid the higher surrender quotas assessed against kulaksa The application of punitive measures against kulaks and other peasants failing to meet their obligations is reported in the press. Nagy recently was quoted as stating that the "backward character of agricultural production" could be "basically liquidated only by uniting small farms in large-scale co- operative farms," The US Legation in Budapest deduces from SECRET 4 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release400/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A 1100140001-5 this statement and other evidence that an early revival of all-out collectivization may be expected, perhaps in August. e LOAIH Comment: The collection of crop surrender quotas from recalc ran peasants is a problem of long standing in Communist-dominated countries. In Hungary several cases of exemplary punishment of both kulak.s and collectives have been reported recently. The government has attempted to hasten harvesting activities in order to secure the maximum planting of fodder crops. Replanting is reportedly satisfactory in only one of the nineteen Hungarian counties at the moment. Increasingly strong indications have pointed toward the revival of all-out collectivization very soon. 25X1 C 9. Poles acquire industrial diamonds through Belgian agent: Accor ng o thee-Polish begat on in Brussels has recently been acquiring industrial diamonds of all types for cash payments in dollars. An Antwerp diamond merchant who also acts as purchasing agent for the Russian Trade Delegation in Brussels has been buying the diamonds for the Pnle= ' .s_.s ---- r ec (S 25X1A Comment: Great efforts are being exerted by the Polish Governmen , in the face of Western import controls, to secure by extra-legal methods goods for industry which are impossible to obtain through normal trade channels, 10. Polish Government recruits women to help the manpower shortage: e o s overnmen as nit u e measures o recru large numbers of women for work in industry, the building trade, transportation, and communications. The American Embassy in Warsaw reports that various ministries are issuing instructions for fixing percentages of women hi:red 9 usually more than half of the total number of workers. Polish women will replace many male lathe and drill operators, railroaders, packers, waiters sales 9 clerks, publicists and cashiers. (R 25X1A Comment: In his recent speech to the Seventh Plenum of the Cen Committee of the Polish Communist Party President Bierut drew attention to the manpower shortage in Poland, and the need to undertake new measures, such as the recruitment of SECRET 5 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A0011 W1 4T 1-.f' Approved For Release" 900/08/29: CIA-RDP79TO1I 46A 1100140001-5 SECRET women for work outside agriculture. The Polish Government is apparently losing no time in putting Bierut's proposals into effect. 11. Rumania continues collectivization drive- The American Legation in Bucharest repor s e arr va 0 42 Soviet agri- cultural experts who apparently constitute a planning group for further socialization of agriculture. During the past week, Scanteia, the official party news- paper, mentioned an "existingl,, t6 kolkhozes," which means an increase of 35 since the beginning of May. As part of the anti-kulak drive the official organ of the Rumanian Union of Working Youth, discussing a cabinet decision on the new school year, insisted that not a single kulak's child should be granted a scholarship or exempted from payment of school fees, 25X1 A (C ) Comment: These events, in addition to almost daily announcements of punishment meted out to kulaks, are further indications of the continuing collectivization drive in Rumania. At the same time, members of the Legation have ob- served much uncut grain and no increase in the amount of agricultural machinery being utilized in the chief grain- growing areas of the country. 12. Purged Rumanian leaders still in evidence: According to the Amer c ega ion nuc cares ., eo ar orgescu, de- posed Rumanian Minister of the Interior, apparently continues to live under close guard near two members of *e Le at ion, Vasile Luca is seen walking alone daily by 25X1C 0 fM=M 25X1C reported that he saw Ana r enter the Foreign Office with several men on 10 July. The Legation also reports that former Soviet Ambassador Ka`-taradze left Bucharest by plane on 11 July. The fact that he was seen off by the new Rumanian Foreign Minister, Simion Bughici, and other high officials and Orbit diplomatic colleagues, may indicate that he is not in official disgrace. 25X1A His destination was not known. (C 25X1A R ) Comment: These reports serve to dispel for the time being he?reports in the Western press that the purged Rumanian leaders have committed suicide or been sent to the Soviet Union. 6 15 Ju l y 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release00/08/29 :5A-P79T01146A1100140001-5 13. Yugoslav propaganda broadcast alludes to need for revolu- tion in an a: a Belgrade in a roe cas o -Its ome au ence commenting on the oppressive and depraved conditions in Albania, mentions the desirability of a popular internal revolt against the Communist regime of Enver Hoxha. (R FBIS Belgrade, 10 July 52) Comment: Yugoslav propaganda attention to the need for an internal-revolt is notable in light of the strong Yugoslav capabilities for the subversion of the Hoxha regime by means of a palace revolution disguised as a genuinely popular up- rising. Marshal Tito is organizing and exploiting a large number of Albanian refugees in Yugoslavia, and he has reportedly made contact with Albanian exile leaders abroad in an attempt to assume the leadership of the struggle for Albanian "liberation," However, there are no clear indications that Tito will seriously attempt to disturb the status quo in the Balkans at the present time. 14. Belgrade continues to pursue economic reorganization and decen ra 1za ion: 1 3 , 1 1 , ng o Amer can o c a s, he major reorganize on and further decentralization of the state's economic control machinery is being rapidly effected and is resulting in considerable confusion. All Economic Ministries and Councils, with the exception of the Ministries of Finance, have been abolished at both the Federal and Re- public levels. The Ministers and Presidents of these abolished economic agencies will retain their individual authority and form a "Collegium of Ministries" which will apparently serve as the governing body of the new Economic Council. Press reports indicate that reorganization at the Re- public level is being expedited. Some 100 industrial and agricultural directorates have been abolished, and their personnel assigned to local industry and government. Despite or because of this widespread decentralization, the National Bank retains its recently strengthened controls over in- 25X1A dividual industries as WfRIAI over the entire economy, (S Comment: The Tito regime describes this reorganization as on y a- nterim measure on the path to pure Marxism. Yet the birth and development of this program of compounded idealism and empiricism will be costly in terms of economic efficiency and personal security. Recent reports from American observers note that this administrative reorganization has created a considerable degree of economic anarchy and confusion among those officials who fear the consequences of a withering away of the state apparatus, SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/29 :ILIA-RDP79TO1146AO011991A9991A Approved For Release'*000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146AW 100140001-5 SECRET 15, Clemency demanded for Japanese war criminals: The Japanese overnment is un er Increasing pressure to obtain some clemency for Japanese war criminals, according to Ambassador Murphy. The Diet opposition is making this a political issues a tactic which has evoked widespread grass roots response and has forced even Liberal Party Diet members to attack the government for inaction. Japan?s Foreign Minister Okazaki has expressed fear that unless an early reply is received from various governments approving paroles for-54 of the war criminals, including eight convicted by the United States, he may not be able to prevent the Cabinet from passing a resolution calling for immediate release of all war criminals, (C 25X1A 11 July 52) Comment: Under the terms of the peace treaty, Japan must get t e consent of the Allied nation which imposed the sentence prior to granting parole or reducing sentence. In an election year the Yoshida government cannot afford to ignore what appears to be an organized campaign to obtain amnesty for Japan?s war criminals. 16. Panikkar reportedly considers Peiping potential world menace: a recent rep ace n lan m ass. or to elping, Panikkar, is reliably reported to be convinced that Chinese Communist leaders are "unalterably determined to push the Communist revolution all the way." 25X1 He also told that a fully unified and armed 25X1A China w a great menace to the world," (S 2.5X1A Comment: Panikkar's reported opinions on both these questions have varied widely, While Panikkar has sometimes seemed aware that the Chinese Communist leaders are militant Stalinists with no good will toward any non-Communist governments he has often misled his government and the Indian public by encouraging the view that Chinese Communism is primarily an expression of Asian nationalism. 8 15 Jul 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140Oy01-5 Approved For Release 00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1I 46A 91100140001-5 SECRET sties i,n en sin were oraerea to select 1, 0 "reform-through- labor"4.prisoners for transfer to Manchuria, according to a 17. Chinese employ forced labor in Manchuria: Chinese author- 25X1C The prisoners were to range rote 20; to 45 years of age with sentences of 12 years or more.. It is said that these prisoners are part of some 15 000 25X1A 19. 25X1X 25X1X who are;., being sent from all parts of China o open u new9lands to cultivation in northern Manchuria. (S t 25X1A Comment: The use of forced labor in China has been ad- mittey-the Communists, who prefer to employ the euphemism of "reform through--labor." The prisoners are employed through- out the`. country, with the Communists apparently drawing on those with longer sentences for transfer to outlying provinces in the northwest and northeast. The number of persons serving forced labor sentences is undeter!ined, but numerous reports suggest that there may be several:,hundred thousand. 18. 25X1CCh1na importing its largest radio transmitter from Comment: This transmitter substantially exceeds in power anything -lnown to be operated by the Chinese and it could pro- vide additional facilities for overseas propaganda broadcasts. 25X1 X stabs I .y o the Tam government. The consensus of these reports is thatk while Tam's close relationship with the French has won him an enduring unpopularity, the attitude of the Vietnamese popu.lat. on.has changed somewhat during the first month of his premiership from one of intense hostility to one of.watchful waiting.:. says Tam government cannot was told by the 25X1X that the government of Nguyen Van Tam,is widely unpo ular.and cannot last long. The Consul comments that the view is significant since he is "perhaps. the most cautious man in Indochina." (C 25X1A 12 July; 52) ' Comment: Conflicting reports have been received on the SECRET 9 15 July 52 Approved, For Release 2000/08/29 CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Releas 000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146k 1100140001-5 SECRET 20. Vietnamese information chief reportedly seeking downfall of prime minister: says tHa Minister of In mat ion ao s owed him a secret direc- tive from Tam to all ministers to consult with their French "opposite numbers" before taking any major decision or action. 25X1X believes this disclosure is part of a campai n b Giao to discredit Tam and to secure his ouster. (S 25X1A Comment: Although this information has not been authenti- cated-,-IT is consistent with Tam's long record of close collaboration with the French. There have also been reports that Bao Dai, whose personal entourage includes Giao, named Tam premier in June in order to ruin his reputation and to prepare the way for a more truly nationalist government. 21. Burmese Army attacks on civilians continue: During the past month there has been a rash of serious breaches of disci- pline in the Burmese Army, according to the American Embassy in Rangoon. The most recent incident was the destruction of a village in Arakan resulting in the death of 61 civilians, including 51 women and children. Commander in Chief Ne Win is personally investigating this incident and the War Office has issued strict orders designed to prevent such actions in the future. believes that over-all disci- pline in the army is good, but that such deeds are to be expected occasionally from isolated garrisons manned by inex- perienced officers. (C 25X1A Comment: Numerous Karen and Burmese villages throughout lower Burma have suffered the same fate as this Arakan village during the last four years. These brutalities are partially responsible for the continued hostility towards the government. 22. Increased insurgent activity in Burma reported: The American massy in Rangoon reports that insurgent operations highlighted press and military reports during the past week. Karen nationalists blew up.Rangoon's main water supply line for the eighthtime in two years and destroyed two railway bridges. Burmes,e Communist rebels were reported to have con- ducted serious raids along the Rangoon-Mandalay railway. The Embassy comments that the insurgents "are making hay" against lightly-held areas while government forces are being redistributed. (C ) 25X1A SECRET 25X1X 10 15 July 52 Approved For Release. 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140001-5 Approved For Release 000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AW1 100140001-5 SECRET Comment: This report indicates that the prediction by high Burmese officials that the main insurgent groups would be de- feated by the end of the rains is highly optimistic. 23. Burmese Supreme Court approves nationalization of minority lands: The Burmese supreme Courl as ruled that the Lana. NCa ionalization Act is applicable to the semi-autonomous frontier states where very few Burmans live. The American Embassy in Rangoon comments that this finding is an assertion of the Burmese Government's authority bver large land-holding in those areas, and that it is encouraging to groups desiring their division. (C ) 25X1 A Comment: This decision by a court which has only Burman members comes at a time when there have been indications of growing resentment among the frontier people toward the Burmese Government. Agitation for land reform in areas inhabited by ethnic minorities has been conducted chiefly by Burman Socialists and Communists. 24. Burma wants to purchase arms in United States: The Ameri- can Em assy in Rangoon, as been reliably informed that the Burmese Government is prepared to allocate ten million kyats (slightly more than 2,000,000 dollars)for the purchase of arms and ammunition in the United States. These arms are to be used by the police and village militia. The Embassy is anticipating an official approach. (C ) 25X1A Comment: The Burmese are currently making a strenuous effort to buy military equipment, particularly small arms. There have been reports that small arms entering Burma are issued to irregular forces controlled by the Socialist Party and that they have thus become a source of increased instability. 25. Ceylon seeks US rice supplies to alleviate critical shortage: Ceylon is facing a rice shortage wHich is expected To read- crisis proportions in August. British and Ceylonese officials are convinced that the United States is the only possible source for emergency supplies, and Britain is pre- pared to authorize 20 to 25 million dollars for the purchase. The American Embassy in London favors supplying rice and wheat: flour to Ceylon for the furtherance of goodwill in Asia. (C 25X1A I SECRET 11 15 July 52 Approved For Release. 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO01100140001-5 Approved For Release4000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A 146AW1 100140 SECRET Comment: This is the second rice crisis Ceylon has ex- perienced is year, having resolved the first by borrowing Burmese rice from Japan. Ceylon has been unable to compete for rice with the larger consuming countries either in price or with offers of dollars. Although Britain is critically short of dollars, Ceylon's position as a heavy net contributor to the sterling area dollar pool strengthens its claim on common dollar holdings in its present emergency. NEAR EAST - AFRICA 26. British Middle East army units to hold maneuvers with the Arab Legion in Jordan:- r an: -Jordan Has agreed to permit units o e British a East Land Forces to hold their annul maneuvers this autumn in Jordan in con unction with the Arab Legion. (S )25X1A Comment: British units from the Canal zone staged a parachute dropping exercise with elements of the Arab Legion in Jordan last May, and the usefulness of the operation may have encouraged the larger scale plans for this fall. In recent years the British have tripled the amount of their annual sub- sidy to the Arab Legion, which they consider the best native fighting'force in the Middle East. 270 Agreement on Tangier reforms reported: The American Diplomatic Agent In anger reports a ere seems to be general agreement among the powers represented on the Committee of Control as to the nature of the changes to be made in the administration of the International Zone. The two chief Spanish objectives, command of the gendarmerie and revival of an independent intelligence bureau under Spanish control, are expected to be met. In addition, two new deputy administrator posts will be created, one to be assigned to a Spaniard and the other to a British representative. The number of Italian representatives on the advisory Legislative Assembly will be restored to three. (C 25X1A Comment: These changes are essentially those which France an pain were reported last month to have agreed upon. 12 15 Jul 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release*600/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146AQ 01100140001-5 SECRET WESTERN EUROPE 28. Continued strife in the Trieste Communist Party reported: During a meeting o the Central Committee o t He ommun s arty of Trieste on June 16, Vittorio Vidali attempted to justify the purge of an undisclosed number of members for deviationism on the grounds that he had been ordered to reorganize the party along military lines. Vidali revealed one of the principal causes for party dissension by stating that it is necessary to place international Communist objectives ahead of national feelings. 25X1C states that recent purges in the Stalinist in Trieste and Vidali's intransigent attitude since the Triestey elections have created "strong discord and dissidence" in the party hierarchy. This has reportedly resulted in the postpone- ment of the annual P ress from July to December. (S 25X1A 25X1A &M ) Comment: The relatively poor showing of the party in the predom na e-y Slovene hinterland of Trieste and its equivocal stand on the independence issue provide fertile ground for con- tinued intra-party strife. Moreover, a major shift in party policy from a mass appeal to the militant, hard-core approach may indicate preparation for the formal abandonment of the cause for independence for Trieste and closer relations with the Italian Communist Party. 25X1 C ca a Th - - - -- --- e of the' suggesting that the Federal Republic uu ~vY1C`' `'untrol commission lied telephone and telegraph cable betw pay een oBerlin~~andoWest eGermany. believes that this suggestion repre- sent; w ac c by Soviet auth iti or es in their Berlin haras- sing campaign. He feels that the suggestion should be rejected, since the Allies have always avoided any inference that the Soviets could demand such payment. (S 25X1A Comment: Early in June, both the British and American Governments were dunned by the East German Government for 18 mil- lion dollars for the use of the cable during the last seven years. Should the cable be cut because the Allies refuse to pay, West Berlin could, without too much inconvenience, use radio facili- ties to communicate with West Germany. SECRET 13 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140001-5 Approved For Release 00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AAW 100140001-5 SECRET Meanwhile, the Allies have learned that another threatened harassing measure is not likely to be carried out. After care- ful investigation, engineers now believe that if East German authorities should block West Berlin's sewage outlets, East Berlin's sewage would be equally affected. 25X6 31. French politicians see Pinay?s downfall certain this year: A c:on ent a survey by m asst' arcs s ows at spokesmen for the major French political parties are unanimous in the belief that the Pinay government will fall before the end of the year. These politicians expect a similar rightist- dominated coalition to replace the present government when the failure of Pinay?s economic policies becomes more apparent. They envisage no fundamental change in foreign policy, but agree that Schuman will not head a ministry; Bidault is mentioned either as his successor or as the next premier. .(C 11 July' 52) 25X1A 15 Jul 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : tlA-RDP79T01146AO01 1 001 40001-5 Approved For Release00/08/29: 146AQW, 100140001-5 SECRET Comment: Although Pinay has so far successfully confounded his criti'cs, his program stops short of the drastic reforms necessary to stabilize the French economy. Dissatisfaction with Schuman has become increasingly vocal in France during the past few months. Bidault's appointment to the Foreign Office would assure continuity of the program for which he and Schuman have carried the responsibility since 1945, but his failing health makes his political future uncertain. 25X1X 25X1X Conference: u1a1L.Lu-iionea is of Moscow Economic oviet nistry o Trade official has implied ethat tthestrade a proposals made to France by Nesterov, leading Soviet delegate at the Moscow Economic Conference, were not based 25X1C and were.only so much propaganda. alines there seems to be some friction be adds that Ministry of Foreign Trade. The USSR has since the nconferenceet refused to act on French requests for Soviet grain. The American Embassy in Moscow comments that should France, Italy, and Pakistan fail to obtain Soviet commodities offered at the conference, there might be an exploitable case against the USSR if it sponsors another international economic conference. The outcome of British-Soviet and British-Chinese trade deals could be decisive in the final ev Conference. (C of the Moscow Economic ) 25X1A Comment: This is the first indication from a Soviet source that The :scow Economic Conference was not concerned with the realities of Soviet trade relations outside the Orbit. This report contrasts sharply with the initial French enthusiasm over the value of the Moscow Economic Conference as a means to improve French-Soviet trade relations. The French Government reopened trade negotiations with the USSR as a result of an offer of grain to the French delegation. 33, Austrian East-West trader seeks import rolllin m permit for steel g o ann ase gru er, ustr a s most notorious curer o scrap metals for Orbit he chasers, has approached the Austrian Government for an import urper for a 00dolla secondhand Swedish rolling mill. Them mill, nowlatythe?smallrscrap iron processing plant which Haselgruber zone several months ago, is held under bondcpeSd in the Se the permit. pending issuancce of of SECRET 15 15 Jul 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00110014~001-5 -Approved For Relea 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO114 001100140001-5 SECRET 25X1A Despite Socialist opposition, the Austrian Government is reportedly inclined to approve Haseigruber's application. The 25X1A American Embassy in Vienna will file a strong protest. (S Comment: Hdseigruber, whose international operations suf- fered a setback last year with the trial of some of his collabo- rators in Germany, is again frequently reported as the organizer of dubious deals. Because of his good connections with the Soviet occupation forces and perhaps with the People's Party, and because of his usefulness to Austrian buyers as an intermediary with the Russians in Austria, he has so far escaped Austrian prosecution. The Socialists, who are frequently critical of shady deals in the Austrian scrap market, may be expected to carry their oppo- sition to the public through the party press. 34. De Gasperi expected to push for substantial revision of Italian a ec ore awo n order to ma retain a war ng majority 7557 The hard--pressed centrist parties after the 1953 parlia- mentary elections, Premier de Gasperi is expected to use the threat of drastic revision of the electoral law to force the minor democratic parties to accept a somewhat less extreme pro- posal. The two proposals have been submitted for De Gasperi's study by a special committee of the Christian Democratic Party, the American Embassy reports. The first would give three-fourths of the seats in Parliament to the bloc winning an absolute majority of the popular vote. Should no bloc obtain a majority, a new election would be held for the top two contenders. The second and more drastic proposal would permit proportional representation for all parties in cities with populations over 150,000 but else- where would provide for single-member constituencies. According to the Embassy, the first system would give the Christian Democrats 52 percent of the seats and double the present strength of the minor democratic parties, giving them 22 percent of the seats. The remainder would go to the extremist parties, with the Communist-Socialist bloc being reduced to less than half its present strength. The second system, on the other hand, would result in the virtual extinction of the small parties, whose candidates would be restricted to a few cities. The Communist-Socialist bloc would probably enjoy much the same strength it has now, while the Christian Democrats would still get an absolute majority. 16 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Releas 00/08/29 : CIA=RDP79TO1146M01100140001-5 SECRET The Embassy observes that if the minor democratic parties agree to the first proposal, they will try to reduce the winning bloc's majority in Parliament from three-fourths to two-thirds. (Factual data from: S 25X1A LATIN AMERICA 35. Haiti charges American mismanagement in SHADA sisal corpo- ti ra on: trong criticism has been launched In i against Viand its American management following a recent announcement that the corporation is in financial difficulty and that the government may have to take over credit payments due 'the Export- Import Bank. The government has pointed to tax and rent conces- sions and other advantages on the one hand, and to high sisal prices on the other hand in its charges of incompetence. The management has countered by pointing to the sharp decline in world market sisal prices and to increased operating costs. The Haitian Government reportedly wishes to terminate the present management in which the United States is indirectly involved and to propose Haitian administration of SHADA with American technical assistance, possibly under the Point IV program. The departure of a Haitian delegation to Washington to discuss this proposal has been postponed pending the arrival of an Export-Import Bank mission for an on-the-s 25X1A 17 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO01100140001-5 Approved For Release 000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A 146AW1 100140 TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION US OFFICIALS ONLY TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT 15 July 1952 CIA No, 49731 Copy No. 4 8 TO THE CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST (including S/S Cables) Not for dissemination outside O/CI and O/NE. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the !immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SE CR E T SECURITY INFORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release` 00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AQA1 100140001-5 TOP SECRET THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS, 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. EASTERN EUROPE 1. Czechoslovakia attempts to rent West German tank cars: Czech- oslovakia s repor a y.negotiatng to rani tank cars f six months from a West.rjgpman firm, (S' 25X1A ? FOR CRITICAL, ;SSE URITY 9 25X1A ttEASO S this report is no to be further transmitted within the United States or beyond the borders of the United States without the express per- mission of the releasing office?) Comment: These cars would probably be used for shipments, now sus an sally behind schedule, of crude oil from Austria to Czechoslovakia. Czechoslovakia has the capacity to build this number in a relatively short time, but increased production of tank cars beyond present levels would require some diversion of plant capacity and materials from other produc.tion,probably mili- tary. NEAR EAST - AFRICA asxea LOAMA m on 10 July what the American attitud e would be if the present Greek Government were fo*ced by the detection of a few of its supporters to depend on the Communist front faction in Parliament to stay in power. 25X1X said Lord Mountbatten had advised him that he would not receive opposition leader Papagos during his forth- coming visit to Greece unles terview were approved by King 25X1A Paul. (S 25X1X Comment: The question was undoubtedly stimulated by cu:rren opposition attempts to cause the government's fall be- cause.o.f the defection of its parliamentary supporters. The British, however, have tended.. to. side. with. the government and the Palace TOP SECRET 1 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 Approved For Release``00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146,0 1100140001-5 TOP SECRET against Papagos9 who is favored by the United States. The refusal of Lord Mountbatten to interview Papagos will spur Greek efforts to exploit any difference of opinion between American and British re- presentatives in Greece, TOP SECRET 2 15 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100140001-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100140001-5 UNCLASSIFIED when blank-TOP SECRET when attached to Top Secret Document-Automatically downgraded or declassi- fied when filled in form is detached from controlled document. .CONTROL AND COVER SHEET FOR TOP SECRET DOCUMENT DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION SOURCE DATE DOCUMENT ECEIVED LOGGED BY ATTENTION: This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. 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