CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01146A001100160001-3
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RIPPUB
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S
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12
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 29, 1999
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 17, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 0/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A0 146AGW1 0016 SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION US OFFICIALS ONLY CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 17 July 1952 OCI No.. 6442 Copy NO. 28 0 This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports re- ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100160001-3 le 5~ Y Approved For Release 00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AQ 1100160001-3 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. 1. Ambassador Kennan comments on Soviet policy in Rumania% Ambassa or ennan, in commenting on the-Bucharest assignment of A. 1. Lavrentiev, says that Moscow is placing the situation in the hands of its ace troubleshooter for the Satellite area. ...In the Ambassador's opinion, Rumania's strategic position is the key factor. The Kremlin would like to make the Dobrudja area a direct defensive responsibility of the Soviet army, but leave the Western area a Rumanian responsibility in order to avoid Soviet military contact with the Yugoslavs. Ambassador Kennan feels that the appointment of Bughici as Rumanian Foreign Minister signifies a virtual Soviet take- over of the Bucharest Foreign Ministry and that Rumania is quietly being changed into a Soviet constituent republic, al- though for the present without formal incorporation. He notes that Lavrentiev was previously assigned to Rumania in 1940 to arrange for the separation of Bessarabia and Northern Bukovina and their subsequent annexation by the USSR, The Ambassador concludes by noting that while three Deputy Foreign Ministers have recently left Moscow, only one replace- ment has been announced. In his opinion this may presage a shake-up in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in which Vishinsky's position will bear watching. ( 25X1A 2. Local. party officials criticize their Republic party sec- t e Ta z i Republic entral retaries. the June plenum of Zaommittee, a party secretary of the Stalinabad city committee criticized the secretaries of the central committee of the Communist Party of Tadzhikistan for failure to pay sufficient attention to industrial problems and for "uansatisfactory :election of executive cadres," (U Joint Press Reading `:1 vice, Pravda, 18 June 52) 1 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Release 10/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A01 00160001-3 Comment: There have been other recent instances of the work 05T-"secretaries and members of the Buro of the Republic Party organization by officials of lower party units. In the June plenary session of the Belorussian central committee a secretary of the Mogilev city party committee criticized the Belorussian Party Buro for not yet having implemented a 1949 decision of its own. In the June plenary session of the Kirgiz central committee a secretary of the Talas Oblast stated that "responsibility for errors and distortions on the ideologi- cal point is borne primarily by the secretaries and the Buro of the central committee of Kirgiz Republic. This procedure seems to represent a definite pattern of criticism on the Republic level. It may well be that these local party officials were actually selected by representatives of the All-Union Central Committee organs to speak out against their Republic Central Committee. EASTERN EUROPE Orbit reportedly to dump lumber on European market: Soviet Orbit lumber an woo pro ucts wi soon be dumped on the European market, according to persistent rumors in Austrian trade circles. The volume of Austrian lumber exports in the first half of 1952 is running about 10 percent below the same period in 1951. 25X1A Comment: It is unlikely that the USSR will undercut world market prices, which are currently about 30 percent below 1951. The Russians have been reluctant to increase timber exports in 1952 trade agreements with western countries unless strategic goods were offered in exchange. 4. Failures charged in mechanization of Hungarian coal mines: A par ty i.rec a campaign o uncover failures in mine mec an- ization in Hungary has revealed that machines are lying idle or awaiting repair in seven coal mines inclbding the important Tatabanya mines in northwestern Hungary. The directors of two "model" enterprises stated that the machinery was unsuitable because of soil moisture. Mine technical leaders and rightist Social Democrats were charged with causing miners to boycott machinery in one northwestern mine. Much of the machinery is Soviet-made. 2 17 4016 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO0160001-3 Approved For Release 000/08/29: CIA-RDP79T01I 46A '1100160001-3 The Soviet delegates to the recent Hungarian miners union congress stated in a recent interview that the mechanical back- wardness of Hungarian mining was comparable to that of Russia in the earl period of the First Five Year Plan. 25X1A ) 25X1A Comment: These developments indicate increasing concern probably Sooviet-inspired, over the failure of the mines to meet coal demands of the Five Year Plan. The widespread disuse of Russian-made machinery implies that it is unsuited for the damp soil conditions prevailing in Hungarian mines. 25X1X 5. 7FX1X -desires strategic talks with the United States: 25X1X that American-Yugoslav conversations on strategic and operational questions were "highly desirable." 25X1X agreed that Britain and France should be included. He 25X1X added that M government also wished to consider the participa- tion of Greece and Turkey, but he stressed that he did not wish to deal with an "organization." ) 25X1A Comment: Yugoslavia has clearly indicated its wishes to avoid irec contact with NATO. This is the first official Yugoslav statement of willingness to engage in talks which presumably will lead to limited joint planning. 3 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100160001-3 Approved For Releas 000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AW1100160001-3 SECRET 6. Possible change in Japanese Communist strategy indicated: The lack of widespread Communist violence in Japan on July, 30th anniversary of the founding of the Japanese Communist Party, supports recent indications of a possible shift in party strategy away from militant tactics, according to CINCFE. These indications include a reported Communist directive to avoid violence on the anniversary day, and a speech by a pro- minent Communist urging the crowd to refrain from action which might provoke the police. The authority for this shift, according to CINCFE, may be a message which appeared in the Cominform Journal on 4 July from Kyuchi Tokuda, fugitive JCP leader. The message criticized the party?s "struggles by force" and its negiect of such forms of struggle as election campaigns. (S CINCFE Telecon, 16 July 52) Comment: The publication of Tokuda's message in the Comin orm Journal shows Soviet endorsement of a policy emphasizing peaceful activity. This may represent a recognition of the unfavorable consequences to the Japanese Communist Party of the recent disturbances in Japan, Moreover, this development supports previous indications of a possible general shift of emphasis from military to political action by other East Asian Communist movements. Break between Rhee and Home Minister Yi indicated: Home Minister Yi om-so was reporte y g ven a severe tongue- lashing by President Rhee at the State Council Meeting on 16 July. According to Ambassador Muccio, the President made it plain that he alone is running South Korea. Muccio also reports that, at the same meeting, Rhee made the extraordinary state- ment that he is no longer leader of the Liberal Party and has no connection with it. The Ambassador comments that Rhee may be encouraged by his recent victory in the political turmoil and feel safe enough to shake free of dependence on the party which he originally organized with reluctance. Having done so it would be easier 25X1A to disavow and remove Yi from power. ( ) Comment: Recent reports from Pusan, perhaps inspired by Yi, have in icated that he might be Rhee's running mate in the coming presidential-vice presidential elections. 4 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Release4000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146A1 100160001-3 SECRET 25X1A Yi's control of the police, his power in the Liberal Party, and his supporters in the Youth Corps make him the second most powerful South Korean politico, 8, South Korean Government impedes implementation of US-ROK tungsten agreement: Since the signing of the US-ROK tungsten agreemen ovethree months ago, the Korean Government has consistently impeded implementation of this program for in- creasing the production of tungsten in South Korea and its export to the US. Notwithstanding the fact that South Korea will derive considerable needed foreign exchange from the operation, Rhee,according to the the US Embassy, has hamstrung fulfillment of the agreement by failing to select an American management company which would be mutually acceptable. Such a company, specifically called for in the agreement, is to install machinery, initiate mining operations and train Korean nationals for future operations. The President, however, now maintains that a management company is not necessary, and he has attempted to replace it with a group of four or five US engineers, headed by a crony of Rhee's, American observers state that this unauthorized action is undoubtedly motivated by Rhee's desire to avoid any business- like controls, which would be instituted by a management company, in order to siphon off a certain amount of profit for South Korean political "insiders." Meanwhile, it is estimated by US Army authorities that it will take at least a year after the selection of a management company to import and install the necessary equipment to begin the mining operations. (C 9, Peiping Radio urges Japanese Communists to be militant: Peiping Radio, commenting on a 30tfi anniversary of the Japanese Communist Party, asserts that the militant program adopted by the JCP in October 1951 is "the only way out" for the party, (R FBIS - 15 July 52) 25X1A Comment: This broadcast should be viewed against the background of the current Cominform Journal, in which the fugitive Secretary General of the JCP rebukes the present party leadership for paying "insufficient attention" to poli- tical forms of action. 5 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For ReleaseO000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146 146AGO1 10016 SECRET The apparent conflict between these messages is reflected in several Asian countries. "Armed struggle" is still offi- cially prescribed as the "main form" of Communist action in East Asia. Nevertheless, several Asian Communist movements have shifted their tactics in the past year to emphasize political rather than military forms of action. The shift now extends to all Communist movements in East Asia outside the mainland. Burmese Communist chief reported retreating toward India The leader of The Burma Communist Party, akin Tfian Tun, with 300 followers is reliably reported to have crossed the Irrawaddy River about 100 miles southwest of Mandalay in late June. The report states that the Communists have proceeded toward the mountains of western Burma and that if they are blocked in an attempt to escape by turning to the north, they will try to reach Manipur Province in India. If not interned, they will later infiltrate back into Burma, 25X1A 25X1A Comment: This unconfirmed report indicates that the Burmese Amy during the past months has successfully dispersed large concentrations of Communists in their base area of north- central Burma. The reported route of Than Tun's flight suggests an intent to circle around Burmese forces and establish a new Communist base in upper Burma near the China border. Other reports, however, state that Than Tun fled eastward into the Shan foothills after government forces over- ran his headquarters in the Pyinmana area in May. Recent Communist raids on towns and communications, in central Burma and elsewhere in the country, are evidence that the party still maintains organized forces, : 6 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Releas 00/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1I 46 1100160001-3 SECRET 11, Belgrade condemns Italian Trieste appointment: The authori- tative Yugoslav news organ, or a, condemns Rome's appointment of Professor Diego de Castro to the post of political adviser to the Anglo-American Military Government in Trieste, It charac- terizes the appointment as "one of the groB -Yugoslav provocations" undertaken by Italy, (R FBIS 15 July 52~5X1A Comment: Yugoslav officials associate De Castro with Italian Irredentist elements. He is a member of the National Liberation Committee, an organization dedicated to the liberation of Italians residing in Istria. It will doubtless provide a basis for continued Yugoslav intransigence on Trieste, Rome's appointment of De Castro was leaked through the press before A.M.G. had the opportunity to accept or reject him. Both the British and American Ambassadors informed Premier de Gasperi on 11 July that the appointment of De Castro might prejudice Italian-Yugoslav relations on Trieste. De Gasperi refused to withdraw the nomination. 7 1'7 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For ReleaseV000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AU 146AW1 100160 SECRET 25X1X 25X1X makes unusual plea for US aid: o rants as strong y urged that the Hite States re- corisideX?,its decision not to finance French military production to`the extent requested by Defense Minister Pleven in Ma o He twice expressed his personal disappointment to 25X10 during.-the Bastille Day reception. notes that very rarely inter- 25X1A venes insmatters of this nature and interprets his action as an 25X1A indication of the government?s "serious concern." Comment, intervention highlights the Frenc Government?s reluctance to publicize its bad budgetary position., 140 Economic Commission for Europe believed hoping to seize the?ECE secretariat may be planning to seize the initiative in East--West trade gained by the Soviet Union as a result of the Moscow. Economic Conference. The delegate recommends a firm stand against a proposed September meeting on East-West trade, fearing that such a conference might develop into a series of25X1A fruitless meetings. Comment: in June that hoped that meetings between Western and Eastern European trade experts might result in intensified bilateral negotiations rather than a general conference on trade. Myrdal holds that the.p"roposed meeting would test the genuineness of Soviet trade offers and would also offset the propaganda benefits of the Moscow Economic Conference. e merican elegateto t e conomie.Commission for Europe believes that Chairman Myrdal of 8 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Releas 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146 146)WO1 10016 TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION US OFFICIALS ONLY TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT 17 July 1952 CIA No. 49745 Copy N6e 4,^G TO THE CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST (including S/S Cables) Not for dissemination outside O/CI and O/NE. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Ruse 20001 2%y&,I RDP79T0'6A001100160001-3 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. to Figure for Communist POW's willing to be repatriated Communists o`n 13 July that the final screening of all POW's who would resist repatriation had been completed. The new figure is 83,000, broken down into 76,600 Koreans and 6,400 Chinese. 25X1A Comment: The previous figure submitted by the UN on the basis! o ncomplete screening was 70,000. It is not expected, however, that the revised figure will prove any more acceptable to the Communists since the major gain is in the number of Koreans while the principal stumbling block in the negotiations is the future disposition of the Chinese. 2, British approval of NATO Southern Europe command reorgani- zation'su ject to reservations,. ritis approval in the Stand- ing 'roup of the proposed changes in the ground and air force command structure of Admiral Carney's Southern Europe command under SHAPE is subject to strong reservations by the British Chiefs of Staff. Britain retains the right to review the whole question in the light of future developments, particularly when the settlement of command arrangements in the Middle East and the Mediterranean comes up. The Chiefs of Staff hold that the proposed changes are only a partial solution of the southern flank command problem, and point out that naval command arrange- ments are still unresolved. 25X1A TOP SECRET 1 17 July 52 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO01 100160001-3 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79TO1146AO01100160001-3? TOP SECRET '!NCLASSIFIED when blank-TOP SECRET when attached to Top Secret Document-Automatically downgraded or declassi- fied when filled in form is detached from controlled document. CONTROL AND COVER SHEET FOR TOP SECRET DOCUMENT DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION REGISTRY SOURCE c CIA CONTROL NO. 9 y- DOC. NO. DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED DOC. DATE COPY NO. 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