CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

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CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0
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December 12, 2016
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June 26, 2002
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1
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August 4, 1952
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REPORT
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Approved For Ree 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000280001-0 SECRET 25X1 25X1 4 August 1952 OCI No. 6454 Copy No, 43 0 2 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports re- ceived. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. 25X1 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : - 146AO01100280001-0 Approved For ReI a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0c 00280001-0 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECSO 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW, 25X6 20 Western Ukrainians hold few local jobs.- A July editorial in Ra yans a rainy cr cize a o asts of Western Ukraine for not app6i irng oca1 people to government and party posts a The article notes that the party committees continue to re- quest experienced workers from the higher party authorities instead of "patiently training" local personnel. "In Drogabych Oblast there are only six local persons serving as Secretaries of Executive Committees of town and rayon councils, only nine local deputy chairmen, and many posts are not occupied at all." 25X1 Comment: It is evident that party and government posts in the--We-stern. Ukraine are still being staffed by imported per- sonnel from other more reliable areas, because apathy towards Communist indoctrination and a reluctance to serve in any 1 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO 0280001-0 official capacity still exist among the people in the Western Ukraine, 3. Czech Government denounces payments in kind in effort to 'tighten control over distribution: Premier n onin apotoc y has recently denounced payments in kind which are still being made as bonuses to workers in certain consumer goods indus- tries as apt to disrupt the rationing system and as unfair to workers in industries in which such bonuses are not given. Comment: The Czech Government is attempting by all means to maintain. strict control of the distribution of scarce con- sumer goods so that it can utilize them most effectively as a political weapon. 4. Finnish Foreign minister reportedly considering resigna- tion: The American Legation in Helsinki reports that Foreign Minister Sakari Tuomioja?s wife has intimated that he intends to resign his cabinet position because the combined jobs of Foreign Minister and Director of the Bank of Finland are too heavy a load, The Bank reportedly wishes to have him back full time in view of the unfavorable trend in foreign trade and the probable shift from inflationary to deflationary pressures in the Finnish economy. 25X1 Comment: Tuomioja, a political independent, is highly respec a a,n Finnish business and nanking circles, He is con- sidered to have a pro-Western orientation even though, like his predecessor in the Foreign Ministry, Ake Gartz, he is a member of the Board of Directors of the Finland-Soviet Union Society. In Naming a successor, Prime Minister Kekkonen would be guided by the necessity to appoint an individual who would not arouse the suspicion or distrust of the Soviet Union. Hungarian factory leadership reproved for preventing work- ers from taking vacations: T e Hungarian. trade union newspaper can Ju y attacked wor committees, social insurance councils and trade unions for poor control work that resulted in workers losing the benefit of their vacations. Instead of taking a 2 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For RelWe 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO 00280001-0 rest, some miners reportedly cultivated their own farms, others took temporary. employment, and some factory hands re- mained at their jobs during vacation periods in order to ful- fill the plan. The newspaper reproved factory leaders who put plan fulfillment above the provisions of the labor code re- quiring vacations with pay. Comment: This article shows unusual solicitude for the welfare Hungarian workers, who usually are exhorted to la- bor longer hours on Stakhanovite projects. It is possible that the trade union leadership is showing signs of opposition to the excessive demands made upon labor. However, the article simply may be a sop thrown to the workers. Certainly the party newspaper of the same day echoed the usual line, asking workers to fan "the flame of labor competitions" in honor of Constitu- tion Day on 20 August. 25X6 25X1 7a Poles contemplate a public trial for General Bor-Komorow- ski:A Po s Government broadcast announcing a commemoration ceremony on 1 August for those killed in the Bor uprising de- manded a public trial of General Bor and other underground leaders. Josef Rokicki's book "Lights and Shadows" is quoted to condemn General Bor. 25X1 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO 0280001-0 SECRET Comment: The Communists consistently have called the famous Warsaw Rising of August-September 1944 the "Bor Up- rising" in an attempt to place the blame for the destruction of Warsaw and the annihilation of many thousands of its in- habitants on General Bor-Komorowski. These attempts have not proved successful, however, in removing the impression which still persists in Poland that Stalin and General Rokossowski's units of the Red Army were responsible for the catastrophe, by their refusal to send help until it was too late to pre- vent the brutal suppression of the rising by the Germans. The fact that a public trial is contemplated for General Bor and his Home Army associates suggests that the belief is still strong among the Polish people that the Russians were responsible, and that the Polish Communist leaders consider it necessary to take unusual measures to counteract it. Correction: The last sentence of Item 8, page 5, in the Current i~n.fel1igence Digest of 1 August, should read: "It is not unlikely, therefore, that discharged service men are being 25X1 alrected to essential industries." Comment: Marshal Tito contends that the USSR, aided and abetted y "reactionary" enemies in the West, is attempting through fabrications and other devious means to isolate Yugo- slavia from the West. The relaxation of Soviet-Satellite border pressures on the Yugoslav frontier, the appearance of stories in the Western press questioning the authenticity of the Cominform break, And conciliatory treatment accorded to Yugoslavia at the June ses- sion of the Danubian Commission, lend some credence to Tito's theory, 4 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 5X6 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Reld*Ab 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00=0280001-0 12, Syngman re-election Korean cured: yngman ee s re-election on August for a four-year term is a foregone conclusion, according to US Ambassador Muccio. His controlling position over the majority of social and patriotic organizations throughout South Korea, as well as the support of the government's propaganda machine, will as- sure Rhee an overwhelming majority. A fairly sizeable protest vote may develop, nevertheless, with the majority of these votes going to Cho Pong-am, former National Assembly vice-speaker. Cho has waged the most . spirited campaign against Rhee while the two remaining presi- dential hopefuls have done little more than advance initial declarations of principles to the press. In the important vice presidential race no less than nine candidates are registered with Yi Pom-sok, widely con- sidered South Korea's second ranking politico and rated as the pre-election favorite. Yi's control of the Liberal Party and his influence in the Taehan Youth Corps give him a tremendous advantage over the other vice presidential aspirants. Stumping the countryside extensively, his major campaign technique has been to sew up the unanimous support of rural organizations. It has become increasingly clear, however, that Prime Minister Chang Taek-sang and the new Home Minister, Kim Tae-son--undoubtedly under Rhee's instructions--have been diligently trying to stop Yi's election, It appeared to Embassy officials on 1 August, however, that only a public disavowal of Yi by the President could prevent Yi from win- ning a plurality of the vice presidential votes. 13. French official reports on Chinese economy and morale: The former French Consul General at Shanghai, w o -e na in late July, sees "no hope" for foreign trade and business interests in China. He states that the Communist administra- tion is effective, but that commerce and industry are "com- pletely ruined." He also reports that the Chinese populace is apathetic toward the regime and toward the Korean conflict in particu- lar. F7 I 25X1 6 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Reldimob 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00 0280001-0 SECRET Comment: There is no evidence that the strength of the Peiping regime has been seriously reduced by the current economic depression. The depression is acute among private businessmen, but agricultural production and the output of state-operated heavy industries are at comparatively high levels. Other sources have also reported popular apathy in China recently. 14. Portugal willing to bargain with Peiping on Macao: The American massy in Lisbon reports-that Foreign Ministry officials fear that Chinese attacks on Macao this week have been directed from Peiping, and are directly related to re- strictions on the Macao-China trade. A Foreign Ministry spokesman intimated that Portugal would be "quite willing" to make trade concessions in order to retain Macao. He asked for "understanding" on the part of the United States. Meanwhile, the Lisbon government has instructed Macao authorities to avoid incidents but to fight back when attacked. Comment: The Portuguese Government has firmly resisted American pressure to halt all strategic exports to China because of the "very serious consequences" this would have for Macao. Accordingly, it has applied for presidential exception from the provisions of the Battle Act for a select number of strategic goods. 15, Chinese resume food shipments to Macao: 25X1 I Ia ~qu~ier on me crana-M cao border as of ugust. No information has been received on the progress of negotiations between the Portu- guese and the Chinese Communists, but food is again coming into the China and prices'are dropping. 25X1 Comment: I contradicting 25X1 earlier t s, e on 30 July that food shipments from China to Macao had been stopped. Although the resumption of food shipments on 1 August relaxes Communist pressure on Macao, the threat of a new embargo will assure Portuguese complaisance in negotiations with the Chinese. Macao depends on China for most of its food, and the Communists could starve the colony into surrender. Approved For Release 2002/08/21: CIA-RDP79T01146A001106A13$1-J2 Approved For Rel 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00;0280001-0 25X1 C 16, Viet Minh re orted weakening in South Vietnam: Desertions f k l o ey personne from e Minh security units in South Vietnam are increasing, F- I 25X1 25X1C I Deserters are going into French service or into hiding. In the western sector of South Vietnam, the source states, serious resistance to French operations is impossible because of the weariness and indifference Viet Minh troops. Comment: Actually there has recently been an increase in Viet nh guerrilla warfare in this sector, However, if this report is true, the French may soon be able to shift Some forces north to the Tonkin delta. 25X1 C 17, USSR-Indonesian trade discussions conducted in Bangkok: Soviet Embassy officials have had discussions with the Indo- nesian Minister and his commercial staff looking to the signing of a barter trade agreement. The USSR reportedly offered capital goods in exchange for rubber, tin, and coconut oil and allegedly is sending trucks and passenger cars to Indonesia for demonstration. Apparently no under- standing has yet been reached. 25X1 25X1 25X1 C mission are unknown. 25X1 orce o ree regiments training in cently entered northern Burma. Their exact 1 Burma: Tfie American rmy ac e n Bangkok as een old 1 :1 that 1,000 Burmese Communist troops, 18. Chinese-trained Burmese Communists reportedly enter 25X1 C These reports are unconfirmed. A military training program for unknown numbers of Burmese Communists and Kachins has been under way in China for some time. 19, Burmese Defense Minister renews offer to repatriate 25X1C Chinese ?~_,......B.S 2b)1 1as Informed the American Embassy in Rangoon that Burmese Defense Minister Ba Swe is renewing his offer to Taipei to Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280t01-t6g 52 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00 00280001-0 repatriate Chinese Nationalist troops through Rangoon, and in- tends to begin military operations against the Nationalists in the fall unless they are evacuated. The Embassy comments that Ba Swe is apparently sincere, but that his timetable appears to be optimistic and the repatriation of such a large number of troops who have no effective leadership seems impractical. Nevertheless, the Embassy feels that a solution is urgent because an open con- flict between Burmese forces and the Nationalists would brio serious repercussions for local anti-Communist Chinese. Comment: Burmese Commander in Chief Ne Win'recently announcedat he was planning an all-out campaign against the Nationalists, who number 7,000 to 10,000. A concentrated Burmese attack on the Nationalists would greatly benefit the Communist and Karen insurgents. 20. Communist military activity in Malaya apparently de- creasing: During the week ending 24 July, Malayan police c asua es and the total number of Communist-inspired inci- dents were the lowest in 19 months, This fact, coupled with low civilian casualties, reflects a continued trend toward riot activity. Comment: A document captured during the spring of 1952 a m ed the deterioration of the Communist position in Malaya and directed a reduction in military activity and the indoctrination of a wider segment of the population. NEAR EAST - AFRICA 21. Defection of Liberal deput eliminates Greek Government majority: The par amen ary majority o the LiberaI-011C coa on disappeared on 30 July with the resignation from the party of a Liberal deputy from north-central Greece. The Liberal-EPEK coalition now controls 129 seats, exactly half of the membership of parliament. Former Prime Minister and Greek Rally supporter Papan- dreou, who reportedly engineered the defection, told the US Embassy that another deputy would leave the Liberal Party 25X1 9 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Ret%*e 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AOO 00280001-0 within a few days. In Papandreou's opinion, this will force the King to dissolve parliament or compel the government to rely on the eight Communist-controlled EDA deputies in order to remain in office. 25X1 Comment: Unable to vote the government out of office, the opposition Greek Rally is trying to bring about its fall through defections. The King is strongly opposed to Marshal Papagos, the probable victor in new elections, and may prefer to rely on the EDA deputies rather than dissolve parliament. 22. Maher reportedly threatened to resign over question of Egyptian, rmy contr. : Egyptian rime M n s er All Maher reportedly threatened to resign on 30 July over the army's insistence that two of its candidates be appointed to cabinet posts. As a compromise, however, one of the army's candidates was made chairman of the new "Purification Com- mittee," and the other, Colonel Mohanna, became Minister of Communications. 25X1'. 25X1 C 25X1 C ]both Maher and the Army Committee behind General Nagib have approved plans for purges in all political parties, and that the Army Committee even considered executing former Prime er Nahas, a Wafdist. Comment: This and other recent reports strengthen the impression that the largely unknown army group which forced Farouk's abdication continues to be the determining factor in the present situation. Any action against the Wafd is certain to arouse determined opposition from that party. Colonel Mohanna reportedly held his cabinet post only three days. His appointment appears to have been an army maneuver to "legalize" his position on the Regency Council. of the Bey would remove 1children from the Residency officials in Tunisia consider alternate drastic measures: French es ency officials are cons ering alter- ative drastic measures to be applied if the Bey continues to block the proposed administrative reorganization. Deposition 25X1 C 25X1 10 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00400280001-0 Palace entourage, but such action would be a last resort be- cause of the probable Tunisian reaction and world opinion. The alternative measure would be tol the Bey 25X1 I land appoint a Council of Regency. The French are not en us astic about this possibility since more problems might be created than solved by the elderly triumvirate of princes who would have to be appointed. The Residency is also extremely concerned at the virtual standstill of administrative machinery, caused by the Bey's refusal to put his seal orl routine decrees. This situation is growing more serious daily because the temporary budget under which the administration operates expires on 1 October. The American Consul General believes that a prolonged stalemate would increase the probability that the French would take one of the alternatives mentioned. D Comment: The Tunisians would not in the present Bey's lifet mmee accept a successor. 25X1 11 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0 Approved For ReFepse 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0000280001-0 SECRET 244 East German Alert Police now reported to number 82 0000 American military authorities n Germany estimate that continued recruiting has raised the strength of the East German para- military Alert Police from 70,000 on 1 June to at least 82,000 by 30 July. Reportedly, individuals are now being recruited between the ages of 16 and 30, the bfsic trainipg period has been extended from four to six weeks, and theirecruiting campaign has procured about 34,000 men since 1 April. Recruiting is expected to continue at the Same rate. While each of the 24 Alert Police units consists now of about 3,000 officers and men, the Police must undergo extensive training before it attains any significant offensive capability. 25. Fear of military service of East German refugees- The recent mass flight of refugees into Est Berlin was tout ed off by widespread rumors, that the Berlin sector crossing points would be closed on 1 August and by fear of induction into the East German labor and military organizations. Refugees now average 1,000 a day, five times the daily average last spring. Communist sensitivity to this exodus has been demonstrated by the modification of the propaganda slogans for the rally of Communist youth in East Berlin on 3 August. When the rally was first announced on 19 July, the appeals for youth participation emphasized the "overthrow the Reuter government" theme. This theme was altered on 31 July to "eliminate" the Berlin refugee settlements, near future. American officials believe that the east and west sectors of the city will be completely separated in the The West Berlin police and the 12,000 Allied troops in the city should be able to handle any incursions from East Berlin. 25X1 26. Closing of Allied autobahn to Berlin expected: Both the West German Transport Ministry and( American officials now believe that the Helmstedt-Berlin autobahn will probably be closed for "repairs" around 1 September. Cranes and repair materials are being assembled near the Elbe River bridge, and a German truck driver was recentl told by a Russian officer that the road would soon be closed. 12 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Rel@e 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A000280001-0 SECRET Comment: Although the closing of the Helmstedt autobahn wouldoc all highway access to Berlin by Allied natiols, three roads would still be available for German use. This move would come at a time when canal traffic to West Berlin is expected to be severely restricted because of "repairs" to the main canal and low water in the secondary canal. Soviet authorities have not yet replied to the Allied request for five additional daily trains to Berlin to compensate for the closing of the main canal. 27 a 25X6 28 o French "anti-Communist" peace movement seeking British and American labor support: Leon Jouhaux, the prominent rent. oc a st trade union leader and head of the recently formed "anti-Communist" peace movement, Fighting Democracy, plans to visit Great Britain and the United States in September in order to solicit labor backing, which he considers indispensable to the new movement's success. Reportedly he has the support of President Auriol and eight Cabinet Ministers and is scheduled to meet American labor leaders at a dinner in Washington arranged by Ambaspador Bonnet. According to Louis Dolivet, a promoter of Fighting Democracy who gave this information to American Embassy officials, Jouhaux intends to block the circulation of a left-wing manifesto against the German contractual agreement, and hopes with the aid of British labor to organize demonstrations against oming World Peace Congress in Vienna. 25X1 13 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Relse 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00W0280001-0 SECRET 25X1 C 25X1 C Comment: In mid-July the Embassy showed considerable skepticism:abcut the effectiveness of Fighting Democracy as an anti-Communist force. American officials in Bonn reported on 24 July that, ac- cording to a German Socialist leader, AF of L representatives in Paris intend to attack Fighting Democracy and Jouhaux for his "collaboration" with it. 29. France's arguments for trade treaty with Poland deviate from 3.n ention to maintain trade ties with Poland partly for political considerations is not consistent with the agreement in COCOM to judge each trade treaty on its strategic significance and economic advantages. He predicts that France?s position will probably be upheld by most of the COCOM countries, and adds that COCOM con- currence in French arguments for the export of List I items may lead to pressure for greater flexibility in COCOM reviews of other trade agreements. COCOM principles: m assador nn in Par s states t it F inc Iss The Ambassador points out that the proposed French-Polish agreement is more advantageous to Poland than last year's. Furthermore, France's argument that it should maintain access to Polish coal for emergencies is not valid, since previous Polish behaviour suggests that coal deliveries would probably be cur- tailed in emergencies rather than increased. The Ambassador states that a United States offer to be an alternate source of the French argument. supply in the event of an emergency would reduce the force of 25X1 25X1 C 30. Austrian Socialists charge nationalized bank buys political support: The ustr an Socialist Party is 25X1C Preparing a "relentless campaign" against the Union of Independents (VdU) on the basis of evidence that the VdU is being subsidized by the Creditanstalt, Austria's nationalized, but People's Party-dominated, banks 25X1 C 25X1 C 25X1 C Comment: A strong Socialist attack upon the VdU involves the danger of promoting VdU?People's Party relations with cor- responding hazards for the Socialist-People's Party coalition. 14 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0 25X1 C Approved For Relate 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79TO1 146AO0400280001 -0 SECRET 25X1 C Although the People's Party remains publicly aloof from the VdU, some People's Party leaders maintain contact with the VdU and have taken steps to preserve the VdU as a functioning party. The People's Party and the VdU recently defeated a Socialist resolution calling for reforms in Austria's two large nationalized banks, both of which have been accused of illegal diversions of foreign exchange, including ECA dollars. The VdUQs support of the People's Party was considered somewhat unusual at the time in view of the former's frequent allegations that the latter is the party of corruption. 31. Belgian Prime Minister disturbed by controversy over con- script on per o : T e eig an Prime minister 1ears t hit recent imonstrat o~ ns against retention of the 24-month conscription period are wrecking army morale and can "definitely lead to a general strike," American officials in Brussels believe that the gravity of the situation is indicated by the Prime Minister's asking them to urge Socialist leaders to cease agitating the issue. The Prime Minister states that unless the other EDC countries adopt a 24-month military service period before the Belgian Army maneuvers end in late September, Belg ium will reduce its 24-month period, Comment: Since there is no possibility that France and Italy will 'nose their 18-month conscription periods at this time, the issue for the Belgian Government has become one of announcing the reduction at such a time as to avoid further popular disorders and to minimize the cabinet's loss of prestige. The 24-hour national protest strike for 9 August, announced by the Socialist Federation of Labor on 2 August, is unlikely to have effects much more serious than those of the sporadic token strikes which have already occurred. 4 Aug 52 25X1 C Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00400280001-0 SECRET 25X1 C 330 Peron reportedly desires to resign; army-labor clash seen likely: Presiden aasires to resign, rgentine he 25X1 C An army coup is expected in 15 to 30 days when crowds viewing Senora de Peron's body have cleared the capital. Brigadier General FLlomeno Velazco, former Chief of Federal Police, has reportedly been designated as Peron's successor. The US Naval Attache in Buenos Aires comments that a clash between the army and organized labor seems likely, but Peron's desire to resign seems doubtful. 25X1 Comment: There are no other indications that Peron desires to res although he probably anticipates increasing difficulty in preventing a clash between labor and the army, which objects to labor's powerful political role. Little is known of General Velazco's activities during the past three years, although they have included governorship of the Province of Corrientes. He has, however, apparently maintained contact with some of the retired army officers involved in the September 1951 abortive revolt. 34. Guatemala buying munitions in Europe: Hubert F. Julian ar- rived In Geneva on- -30 July with over ,000 from the Guatemalan 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0 Approved For ReI?rape 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A00p0280001-0 SECRET Governments The money, which will be put in a special account in Geneva by the Rexim Company, will be drawn on as munitions are purchased. Julian is now regarded as the chief buyer for the Guatemalan Government. Comment: The Guatemalan Army has long felt the need for 25X1 more equipment, but presumably feels it politically inexpedient to request US military aide Some army leaders are seriously concerned over the position of the army vis a vis Communist- dominated organized labor which is reportedly well armed. The army has dealt with Julian, a US citizen long engaged in international arms deals, several times in the past two years. When Julian was in Guatemala last May, he reportedly signed a contract for $200,000 worth of arms and ammunition with the Guatemalan Minister of Defense. Rexim is an international trading company with headquarters in Switzerland. It reportedly acquires munitions from war surplus stocks in Italy and from Spain. 17 4 Aug 52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0 Approved For Rel a 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A004.400280001-0 TOP SECRET 4 August 1952 CIA No. 49762 Copy No, 4 9 TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT TO THE CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This digest of significant reports has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Office of Current Intelligence. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current reports in CIA or in the Office of Current Intelligence. Comments represent the immediate views of the Office of Current Intelligence. L., Approved For Release - UP 7 910-1 46A001100280001-0 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Rely 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001 0280001-0 TOP SECRET THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECS, 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY,MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW, 1. Mao Tse-tung re ortedl 0 25X1 p y pposed to new offensive in Korea. Mao Tse- ung is oppose to a aunc in a new ammunis offensive in Korea 's icy was to " down" American troops in Korea wit MminimumlChinese losses A request last February from the commander of Chinese forces 25X1 in Korea, for five additional armored divisions and 500 more aircraft, was rejected by-Mao on the above grounds, accord- ing_j Comment. Although this information supposedly reflects :nfot clear whether It is tnus ailed to re o t th p r ese develop- ments at the time, or invented them for conversational pur- poses. or has, been In any case, Mao Tse-tung?s opposition to a new offensive in Korea has been inferred from the fact that no such offensive has been launched. The Chinese commander in Korea may at one time have sought a southward commitment of Communist air power, but it is improbable that he would seek a specific number of air- craft. The Korean terrain does not permit the deployment of an armored division as such. 2. Bao Dai?s income revealed as $6,000,000 a year- On the basis o in ormation from o ci.a sources, Ambassador Heath estimates that Bao Dai's annual cost to Vietnam is roughly $6,000,000, or about six percent of the national revenue. TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 1CIA-RDP79TO1146A0011002bo4O'g052 Approved For Rel&Te 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A0O00280001-0 25X1 25X1 over Comment.- Considerable information is available on the genera sagreement between the Defense Minister and President Sukarno. The failure to improve internal security and the de- terioration of conditions in West Java have increased senti- ment for an authoritarian government led by Sukarno. In addition to his normal allowances, Bao Dai recently requested $450,000 for a trip to Paris. Letourneau,who contends that Bao Dai is indispensable, at least for the time being, has not pressed him to economize, a - arentlyfearin that he would threaten to quit. 25X1 Comment- Since Bao Dai's return to Indochina in 1949, he has s owniimself more concerned with personal pleasure than with affairs of state, despite the heavy financial burdens of the war which are borne almost entirely by France and the United States. He has exercised his broad, though ill-defined powers, in a desultory and irresponsible fashion and has opposed the establishment of representative government. There is little evidence that Bao Dai's permanent with- drawal from Indochina would be regretted by the 'Vietnamese. 3. Indonesian President and Defense Minister in conflict 25X1C Commun.-ists n army: told Ambassador Cochran that 25X1C numerous Communists have infiltrated the army, but that the Defense Minister, the Sultan of Jogjakarta, was resisting President Sukarno's efforts to purge them. F_ I 25X1C 25X1C I the "Cabinet situation was tense,"and that the Defense Minister might rest n and cause the government's fall. 25X1 C 2 4Aug52 Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146A001100280001-0 5X1 C L Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T01146AO01100280001-0