ECONOMIC - ELECTRIC POWER

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 14, 2011
Sequence Number: 
238
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 14, 1952
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3.pdf598.58 KB
Body: 
09A000600140238-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: 50X1-HUM 03 0m I$ X CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY REPOKI ;az0 O'AQIY Approximate basic figures on the progress of electrification in USSR dur- ing and after World War II are as follows: oan Production G 1 Table 2. Tctal Electric r Table . USER i of Industry n Power Output Kw-b per 000 1 8i'.lions Percent Percent Percent Percent of Pre- , Rubles of Industrial f of of Pre- Billion of o 40 Yr cedin Year KW-h 19+0 ceding Yr Production Year Rubles 19 g 1940 138 100 1940 47.0 100 340 1941 -- 1941 -- - 194,,> -- - -- 1942 -- 1943 -- - 1943 -- 1944 1944 -- -- 19+45 -- -- 1945 -- -- 1946 1n. 74 1946 37.9 8o -- 372 1947 124 90 121.5 1947 46.7 101 125.0 377 8 1948 146 lob 118.0 1948 55.8 119 119.5 3 2 8 . 1949 172 l24 11.8.0 1949 66.6 L42 119.3 7 3 92 1950 204 148 118.0 1950 60.0 170 120.0 3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Co rio. DATE OF : INFORMATION 1940 - 1950 DATE 01ST. 1d/ : r 19 NO. OF PAGES 1.0 SUPPLEMENT TO REPORT NO. THIS IS UNEVALUATED INFORMATION JQI IILI u I.w Ny nNN1 VVCU IVI I\GIGQJG .U I I/VV/ IY L,In-I\Vr Uu uuUu ,n uuc,uu I'PU ) ,- ) '8l ~`~J~ a 'S1 Yi AA. A y~'.,. ti _ ~H h'.cMn 'P aR R ?'?.r 1}5 e :.P,ii YT d ~e '~ 0 ~a.~ d u~lt gun. =fib ni o ~';nH 'h. z~iV~) P, yP,~. N rA m.RSA. S-$-C-E-Z-T Table 3. Capacities of Electric Power Stations 1940 10, 500 1941 6,830 9 '- 1942 6, 1943 7PAOO 1944 7,00 1945 8,4O 1946 9, 3 1947 11,300 1948 13,700 1949 16,700 1950 20,100 Percent Percent of of Pre- 1240 cedl Yr 100 -- 65.o 65.0 65.0 101.0 70.5 107.2 75.0 106.8 80.0 106.3 88.5 110.7 107.6 117.7 130.5 121.2 159.0 121.9 191.0 120.3 Capacity Lost Dux- in;Z War Capacities Added Avg Rated CKZ operating 3s er Tr in thousands of kilowatts) -- 600 10,100 4,170 500 -- 430 500 -- 500 -- 500 -- 500 -- 900 8,7 0 0 4,350 2,000 70 ^ 9,960 2,400 12,100 4,600 -- 3,000 14,700 4,530 -- 3,4O0 17,830 4,490 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Baku EPS Georgian WS Armenian EPS 2. Northern CCuucccus Gro%nyy-Ordzhonikidze BPS Baksany-Mineral 'nyye Wyly EPS Krasnodar RPS Nowrrossiyak FPS Nekbach-Kala EPU f7n.? kop EPU T4tsnse EPU 3. Ukrainian SSR Dnepr EPS Donets EPS Rostov EP3 Khfr'kov BPS Kiev EPS Odessa EPS Nikolayev EPS 4. Cxi.mean ASSR Sevastopol' EPS Ke rch EPU Added During At End Postwar 5-Tr of Plant i2 LO 230 -- 25 255 25 280 325 580 155 -- 155 55 210 110 265 116 -- -- 116 20 136 130 246 81 -- -- 81 31 31 6 6 28 28 10 10 30 30 . 10 10 18 -- 1.2 30 i0 10 6 6 6 -- -- 6 81 187 268 _ 6 25 31 6 18 12 28 10 20 10 30 30 24 54 6 12 25 37 6 930 9^.0 122 122 9000 900 175 175 226 226 50 50 161 181 50 50 96 96 20 20 40 40 10 10 43 43 18 18 23 23 6 6 34 34 5 5 Xdjoins page 4 here? 7T7 8,99 685 860 202 252 111 161 52 72 30 k.0 50 68 Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Table 4. Capacities of Electric Power Syatens ( s) and Electric Power Units (EPU) From 1940 to 1950 ?[?ate3 at Lost Re c e m End of End of Idring Before ning of Aid in a~l 1940 War 19x6 1946* i2'6 2- 17 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 fA-d,,,ins page 3 here) Moscow EPS zaroslavl' US ivanov6 EPS Kalinin 8PS Gor'kiy EPS Voronezh-Lipetsk EFS Zurek EPU KX:zan' EPS Tambov EPU Eryansk US Leningrad EPS Murmansk EPS Karel EPS Arkhangel' e:. EPU Kuybyshev EPS Saratov' FPS Stalingrad EPS Aatrakhcui' EPU 15 15 5 5 36 36 10 10 1.,267 86 420 -- 120 -- 96667 80 -- -- 80 15 15 10 10 290 -- 25 315 79 55 25 49 10 10 5 5 36 -- -- 25 40 40 12 12 22.5 99.5 25 59 95 -- 25 120 49 -- 12 61 130 105 25 50 22 -- 12 36 dAdjoins page 5 632 984 67.5 167 12 12 50 109 75 195 50 111 80 130 12 46 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Xlrak $PS 0rsha E 6. Central Rrgion of Llu'opean ASR 1, 2,100 25 111 25 105 31 41 50 .365 50 99 25 30 25 61 24 49 28 40 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 dkdjoins page 4 here] Ural BPii Orek BP-0 Chkalov EPU Ufa EPU laragonda EPU Tashkent BPS Fergana BPS BaLkhash EPU 11. Western Siberia Oa:ak BPS Novosibirsk BPS Kemerovo-K:1sretsk BPS Chisrenkhovo EPU Irkutsk EPU U1i n-Udinek EPU Chita BPS 1Caoberovsk EPU Kowsomol?ak EPU Vletdivoatok BPS Dotal !total Capacity of electric potter atations of all sys- tems and unite fic7 Grand total for Ui3SR 970 -- 400 1,370 50 -- 50 100 15 -- 24 38 20 -- 24 44 30 -- 50 80 18 -- 12 30 50 -- 25 75 20 -- 24 44 60 260 10 20 20 10 -- 100 160 -- 150 410 -- 14 24 -- 36 56 -- 12 32 -- 12 22 1,300 75 50 50 1 50 234.5 25 25 24 50 50 7,691 4,009 2,900 11,300 11,700 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 2,670 175 89 94 230 60 106 56 56 51 106 106 13,971 6,129 20,100 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 S-E-C-R-E-T The following notes are the author's explanations of how he arrived at the figures in the above tables. Table 1. Gross Production of Industry The figures given for 1940 are based on newspaper reports. I C.- plan will be fulfilled and that the average increase will be 18 percent. The table indicates that gross production for industry in the USSR during the post- Production in the fourth quarter of 1947 exceeded average quarterly pro- duction in 1940, indicating that the level of total production in 1947, al- though still below 1940, was close to it. A rough estimate for 1947 is 90 percent of 1940, i.e., 124 billion rubles. The estimate of 102 billion rubles for total production in 1946 is ar- rived at on the basis of the percentage increases in 1947 over 1946. The in- crease in 1947 over 1946 was 12 percent in the first quarter, 18 percent in the second, 26 percent in the third, and 30 percent in the fourth quarter. The average for the year was 21.5 percent. The gross production for industry of 204 billion rubles for 1950 is the official plan figure. 'T' fi es for 1948 and 1949 are based on the assumption that the 1950 The figure given for 1940 is close to the actual output figure of 47 bil- lion kilowatt-hours. The plan calls for 80 billion kilowatt-hours in 1910, according to Czecho- slovak newspapers. Approximately the same figure will be ar ived at if the planned production of electric power in the RSFSR for 1950, 56 billion kilowatt- hours, is divided by the ratio of the production of the RSFSR to the production of the entire USSR. Electric power production during the postwar Five-Yea Plan has increased ]..7 times over produ-tion in 1940, whereas industrial production for the same period has increased only 1.5 times. This phenomena is explained as follows: 1. In 1940, the supply of electric power to other than war industries was strictly curtailed. Guasequently, the communal economies, agriculture, arid railways practically did not receive electric power. The 1950 plan not only does away ritr.power restrictions, but also provides for the extensive electri- fication of railways and agriculture. 2. Industries requiring a large amount of electric power, such as those producing aluminum, magnesium, nickel, electric steel, copper, atomic energy, products of electrical chemistry, and others, have been developed extensively. F'or these reasons the number of kilowatt-hours per 1,000 rubles of the gross production of industry has risen from 340 in 1940 to 392 in 19;0. Production figures for electric paver in 1946, 191(, 1948, and 1949 are based on postwar increases in gross prod,,ction for industry and tncreaseF in o-s? - production - power consumption per unit of Q=- for industry. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Table Capacities of Electric Power Stations The 10.5 million kilowatts given for 1940 are approximate. The plan for 1950 calls for 20.1 million kilowatts. l is ';zechoiilov'as newsko:pers reported an increased capacity of 11.7 million kilowatts for the years 1946 - 1950 inclu- sive. in, 1950 .Dome reserve capacity was planned, As a result, the hours of utiliza- tion of the established average annual capacity decreased from 4,653 in 1940 ar e o of power output for the same period was 170 percent, This is explained by the fact that in 1940 the power stations had to operate at maximum capacity, whereas Approximately the same result would be obtained if 7,060,000 kilowatts, the increased capacity in the RSFSR according to the official plan, is divided by the ratio of the RSFSR's total electric power capacity to the capacity for the entire USSR. The total capacity of USSR electric power stations curing the period of th Five-Year Plan increased to 191 percent of 1940, while the increase th E r during 1947 and 194? indicates that planned gross production was exceeded. For instance, in 1947 it was 21,5 percent over 1946 production, and in the first quarter of 1946 it was 32 percent over production during the first quarter of 19'?+7, whereas the planned average yearly increase dewing the Five-Year Plan was fixed at slightly above -.6 percent- Is -- resuit of these achievements, the completion of the Five-Year Plan in 1+ years was decided and will probably be accomplished. Any question regarding the possibilities of exceeding the Five- Year Plan for electrification must take the fciiowing factors Into considera- tion- confirmed by the fact that information avaiiaoie on ice - .Jv, agrees with the calculated figures. However, the checking of the above-given figures against newly obtained information is necessary. The com rehensive information available on the performance of dustries the assumption that the yearly addition of newly constructed capacities averaged Figures for the capacities of electric power stations during the war years to 4,490 in 1950. 1 Although the general plus: ben exceeded as far as production is concerned, construction, which also inciudta construction of power stations, power-consuming industries, and clec'..rifi..ation of railroads. is behind the plan's requirements. 2. Consequently, the reserve capacity is still unavailable and electric power is still rationed, especially for coL=uric:i needs and railroad transport. The figures giver; in the table will probably be close to the actual figures and changing them on the basis of the completion of the Five-Year Plan in 4 years is not advisable. It is doubtful whether the figure!, given for the 'rive-Year Plan under "Capacities Added," will bo realized. Just before the outbreak of the war, production of equipment for electric power stations, and also the working ca- pacity of construction organizations, wee barely ;ufficieut for the annual construction of electric poser stations with a total capacity of over one mil- lion kilowatts. A program of adding 2 or 3 million kilowatts a year is an enormous task for the .ESR, involv?ng many difficulties. The following should be taken into consideration regarding the location of ..he electric power stations built during the postwar Five-Year Plan. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP80-00809A000600140238-3 The plan reflects the prewar decision of the government to build mainly medium-capacity electric power stations and not concentrate much capacity in a single,point for military reasons. The construction of new industrial enter- prises in large cities is prohibited. These rulings apply also to the con- struction of electric power stations, with the exception of TETs, which are essential for beating in large cities. Is buiidi