ECONOMIC - FINANCE, INTEREST-RATE POLICY, CHARTS

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8
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RIPPUB
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R
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 9, 2011
Sequence Number: 
367
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Publication Date: 
November 13, 1953
Content Type: 
REPORT
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 CLASSIFICATIAN RESTRICTED SECURITY INFORMATION CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY INFORMATION FROM FOREIGN DOCUMENTS OR RADIO BROADCASTS REPORT CD NO. DATE OF COUNTRY China SUBJECT Economic - Finance, interest-rate policy, charts HOW PUBLISHED Weekly periodical WHERE PUBLISHED Shanghai DATE PUBLISHED 3 Jul 1952 LANGUAGE Chinese x ?CU~IrT ....... ........... ........... N ....... .lr x ..m l ? n x r Tx. mr.re o. n. un.onno .+>rn.u o T.afu. ~ c>o..'u ..lxo.>. n>rr?.r,n n.or >. rtr.. ? r OF - r cant T> a..ttlIT av AN r . T.>?. It* I o ta. H . rt[x l Tx. ur.>o m..>r o T.., .> . .f I.a.nn.>. DATE DIST. 13 Nov 1953 NO. OF PAGES 9 SUPPLEMENT TO REPORT NO. Ching-chi Chou-pao (The Economic Weekly), Vol III, No 26, 1952, pp 510-513 harts are appended./ China's interest-rate policy is complex and many-sided, as one would ex- pect in a New Democratic economy comprising five different components. Cne aspect of the interest-rate policy is to be seen in the relationship between state banks and public enterprises. State banks provide circulating capital to public enterprises to enable them to carry on production and trade. To en- courage public enterprises to make exhaustive use of their own capital, to prevent their using excessive amounts of state bank capital, to promote the practice of coat accounting, and to accelerate business capital turnover, the state banks must charge a certain rate of interest on loans to public enter- prises. The interest rate increases as the loan period increases. Another aspect of the interest-rate policy is seen in the relationship between state banks and private enterprises. When state banks grant loans to private enterprises, the objective is to allocate credit to control the de- velopment of private enterprise according to plan. Different private enter- prises can be stimulated, maintained, or suppressed through the granting or withholding of loans and through controlling the amount and duration of loans. Thus the interest-rate relationship is designed to bring the private sector of the economy under the direction of the socialist public sector. The interest-rate relationship between state banks and individual pro- ducers (farmers and handicraftsmen) is designed to guide them toward cooper- ative production. Moreover, the interest-rate relationship between private banks and private enterprises is governed by state banks and is an outgrowth of state economic policy. DISTRIBUTION I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 STAT Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 When Shanghai was first liberated, there was a period when the People's Bank did not exercise strict control over the market interest rate. From 1 June to 5 September 1949, each time the interest rate had to be changed it was necessary for those engaged in financial operations to consult the finan- cial market for approval. Consequently the People's Bank occupied a compara- tively passive position.. At this time, private finance capitalists were closely linked with speculative capital, and naturally were unwilling to in- crease interest rates in order to bring down commodity prices. Therefore, the interest rate posted by the financial market was far different from that on the black market. Within a short time large amounts of capital collected in underground financial organizations. The black-market interest rate dominated the legal interest rate, and served as a sensitive indicator of the availability of capital. On 6 September 1949, an interest-rate committee was established under the auspices of the finance industry The 21-man committee, including two representatives of public banks, met daily to decide that day's interest rates on loans and deposits. This system continued until 25 November. On this date, the method of independent deliberation was abolished and replaced by the direct intervention of the representatives of the state bank. Each day the committee convened to adjust the interest rates on the basis of a systematic policy. After the interest rates were determined, they were tot graphed to tank: throughout the entire country as a basis fc: adjusting interest rate: in all parts of the country. But because commodity prices rose suddenly during this period, the interest-rate committee could not com- pletely control the situation by means of raising the interest rates. The underground interest rates consistently exceeded those set by the committee by from 20 to 100 percent. In the period from 26 November 1949 to the end of February 1950, the state bank not only strengthened its leadership over the interest-rate com- mittee but also itself turned to a policy of systematically adjusting the interest rate.. Throughout this period of fluctuating commodity prices, the state-bank interest rates rose to keep pace with the black-market interest rates and increased the pressure on speculators. When commodity prices were falling and leveling out, the interest rates were reduced correspondingly, thus lightening the burden on industrial and commercial enterprises. This policy was not without a stabilizing effect upon the market. However, to being ,iown commodity prices, various kinds of policies must be applied. It is not enough merely to rely upon the single policy of systematically adjust- ing the interest rate to bring down prices. Therefore, there was no way to avoid commodity price fluctuation during this time. In March 1950, control of the entire country's finance and economy was centralized. In April, monetary controls were applied and both currency and commodity prices were basically stabilized throughout the nation. This was a turning point for the state-bunk interest-rate policy. Up to this time, the state bank had considered how to apply interest rates so as to stabilize the market. After this, the state bank considered how, on the basis of stabi- lized currency and commodity priced, to reduce the high interest-rate level throughout the nation, so as to lighten production costs and commodity-flow expenditures; and how to utilize the interest rate to lead and to stimulate business reconstruction and to achieve the tasks set by our state economic policy. From Marcn to June 1950, the interest-rate committee issued monthly ad- justments in interest rates. At the same time, three objective factors oper- ated to bring down the interest rates: (1) underground financial organizations had all but been destroyed; (2) currency and commodity prices throughout the Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 whole country had become stable; and (3) because the whole country's interest rate was under the centralized direction of the main office of the People's Bank, it was possible to supervise the equalization of the interest-rate levels of the various areas. Because of these three conditions, the People's Bank, afte. March 1950 could make great strides toward equalizing the interest rates of banking groups in ether areas with the interest rates of this city. This process was successfully completed in June 1950. With the coming of 1951, the nation's interest rates, under the central- ized control of the main office of the People's Bank, were progressively low- ered according to plan. The interest rates were first adjusted in March, the state bank reducing its interest rate simultaneously on public loans and de- posits. But to stimulate long term savings by the people, and, at the same time, to encourage production and to promote the exchange of goods between town and country, it was decided to make the interest-rate reduction on private loans greater than that on private deposits. Although the bank's rate of profit was reduced, the increased volume of loans and deposits resulted in a greater surplus. I4ie second adjustment was made in May. For nearly a year, the interest rate or, loans by local banks had remained unchanged from that laid down by the banks themselves in June 1950 - - a monthly rate of .30 to .39 percent. During this interval, deposits had nearly doubled, commodity prices had been stabi- lized for a long time, and the bank's interest accumulation had expanded. Consequently, it was time to readjust the interest rates on private deposits and loans, and reduce the differential between them. In July, to welcome the autumn harvest and to stimulate production and the interflow of goods between town and country, the interest rate was lowered again. In December, the interest rate on locally issued loans and on parity deposits was lowered; but, to encourage workers to put their year-end bonuses into savings, the rate on fixed deposits was not changed. On 1 January 1952, the state bank again led our banks to reduce the inter- est rates on loans and on current deposits. On 1 March, the rate on fixed de- posits was adjusted; at the same time the state bank progressively lowered the interest rate on private loans on 5 March, 15 March, and 17 March. Each time an adjustment was made, different interest rates were set ac- cording to the type of industry, the type of management jtate, public-private, private7, the circumstances facing management and labor-management relations within different enterprises, the length of the loan or deposit, and the type of loan or deposit. In this way, the requirements of state economic policy were m.t and the Interest rate wan applied so as to guide enterprises, promote managerial efficiency, and guarantee a reasonable profit. At a time when the value of money had been stabilized, it was necessary also to utilize the inter- est rate to encourage the conversion of deposits from parity-deposit units to currency, from current to fixed, and from short-term to long-term. Each time the interest rate was adjusted, the requirements of the state's economic policy were substantially revealed in the complex interest rate structure. Following the Three Anti and Five-Anti Movements, currency and commodity prices attained over-all stability throughout the nation, the prices of some commodities fell, the black market was swept away, and speculation was rigidly contained, The state bank, on 26 June LT952/, opportunely put into effect a sharp reduction in the Interest rate, cutting interest on loans to industries by 28 to 50 percent, cutting interest on loans to commercial enterprises by 1.9 to 39 percent, and suitably reducing the interest on deposits. This marked a great achievement in the state bank's control of interest rates. With the elimination of the five evils and the disappearance of profiteering, the timely RESTRICTED Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 large-scale reduction in interest rate by the state bank had a decidedly posi- tive effect in guaranteeing a reasonable profit to enterprises, and in stimu- lating production and trade between town and country. The adjustment of the interest rate on this occasion was marked by the following characteristics: 1. Because of the stabilization of currency and commodity prices, and even the reduction of some commodity prices, following the Three-Anti and Five-Anti Movements, the reduction in interest rate was the largest to date. 2. The managers of industrial and commercial enterprises were not the only ones to benefit from the sharp reduction in interest rates on industrial and commercial. loans. Because of the lowering of costs in production and trade, the people could benefit from lower commodity prices. The overall re- duction in commodity prices resulting from the Three-Anti and Five-Anti Move- ments led to an increase in the value of money and to an increase in the value of interest payments. Therefore, it would have been unreasonable not tr, make a corresponding reduction in the interest rate on deposits. More- over, since the state bank was supplying industrial. and cormiercial loans at a lower interest rate, it was necessary to reduce the interest paid on deposits in order to cut down on expenditures. But to stimulate long term savings by the people, the reduction in interest rate on deposits was not so great as that on loans. As a result the differential between the interest on loans and that on deposits was the narrowest to date. 3. Parity-deposit savings had been initiated during the inflationary period of the past. With the stabilization of commodity prices, especially after' the successes achieved in the Three-Anti and Five-Anti Movements, their utility gradually disappeared.. Therefore, when the interest rates were adjusted this time, the occasion was used to suspend parity-deposit savings. h. When savings are deposited for a relatively long period, in general they will satisfy business requirements for relatively long-term capital. In the past there was no differentiation between interest rates on savings deposit and fixed deposits, so that some capital for industrial and com- mercial enterprises flowed into savings. This enlarged the proportion of current deposits in savings deposits, advanced the turn-over date of savings deposits, and shortened the average turn-over period on savings deposits. Wien tn,: interest rate was adjusted ttiis time, the interest rate on savings deposits was made sightly higher than that on fixed deposits. Hereafter, savings deposits should become more stable, and the contents of savings deposits should become more self-evident. 5 Formerly, when a loan's due date was extended, the renewal interest rate. was calculated only on the period of the loan's extension. There were soc:e who capitalized on this opportunity to avoid paying a part of their inter- est, thus causing loss to the state. When the interest rate was adjusted this time, it was decided that whenever a loan's due date is extended in the future, the renewal interest rate will he calculated on the period extending from the first day of the loan right down to the new due date. This is a more thorough method of computing interest. 6. Formerly, the interest rate on deposits paid by the state bank was the same as that paid by local banks. However, to promote loans, the interest rate on private loans made by the state bank was lower than that of the local banks. When the interest rate was adjusted this time, the now rates were applied equally to state and local banks, so that the costs of industrial and commercial enterprises could be standardized in the various areas of the country. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 7. Formerly, interest rates were varied according to the type of industry, to the period of the loan, and to the type of management ,ublic, private, etc_7. When the interest rate was adjusted this time, detailed standards were provided so that variations in the interest rate could be made on loans within the same industry and for the same period of time. Depending on whether the enterprise is directly concerned with the national economy and whether circum- stances exist for improving business operations or labor-management relations, different interest rates can now be charged to enterprises within the same industry. In this way, the interest rate can be used effectively to lead and control our enterprises. The period of the past 3 years, during which the state bank has controlled the interest-rate policy, has been one of turning from reconstruction of the national economy to development of the national economy. During this period, the management of our enterprises has turned from the old blind, extravagant, independent system to the new planned, rationalized, and collective system of management. At the same time, deposits have been converted from parity de- posits to currency, from current to fixed, and from short-term to long-term. The interest-rate policy, in combination with other economic policies, has had decisive effect in bringing about these changes. The attached charts show the changing interest rates on private loans and deposits of the Shanghai State Bank since liberation. 1. Changing Interest Rate on Private Loans of Shanghai State Bank Since Liberation (Figures in yuan indicate monthly charge per 1,000 yuan) Adjustment Date Public Utilities Industry Communications Education Commerce Agriculture 1949 30 Jun 150 150-210 240-300 18 Jul 250 250-350 400-500 11 Aug 200 200-300 320-400 22 Aug 150 150-210 240-300 11 Nov 300 300-400 500-600 24 Nov 6oo 600-8oo 1,000 7 Dec 450 450-550 700-800 16 Dec 360 360-450 600 21 Dec 270-360 270-360 450 1950 1 Jan 270 270-360 450 9 Jan 180-240 180-240 300 16 Mar 150-180 150-180 240 5 Apr 144 144 180 144 6 Apr 120 120 150 120 13 Apr 112 112 140 112 14 Apr 110.4 110.4 138 110.4 15 Apr 108 108 135 108 17 Apr 100.8 100.8 126 100.8 18 Apr 96 96 120 96 19 Apr 91,2 91.2 114 91.2 20 Apr 86.4 86.4 108 86.4 21 Apr 81.6 81.6 102 81.6 22 Apr 76.8 76.8 96 76.8 24 Apr 72 72 90 72 25 Apr 67.2 67.2 84 67.2 2 May 62.4 62.4 78 62.4 5 May 57-6 65 72 57.6 8 May 55-2 62 69 55.2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Public Adjustment Date Utilities Industry Communications Education Commerce Agriculture 1950 10 May 45.6-55.2 51-62 57-69 45.6-55.2 11 May 38.4-48 43-54 48-6o 38.4-48 13 May 31.2-38.4 35-43 39-48 31.2-38.4 15 May 24-31.2 27-35 30-39 24-31.2 21 May 24 27 30 24 1 Jul 24 27 30 18 21 Jul 24 27 30 21 21 Nov 24 27 30 16-18 1951 3 Jan 24 27 30 16-18 1 Mar 27 27 30 18 16 Jul 27 27 30 18 1 Aug 25.50 24 25.50 18 16 oct 25.50 24 25.50 18 1952 1 Jan 25.50 24 25.50 18 1 Mar 25.50 24 25.50 18 15 Mar 24 22.50 24 18 17 Mar 23 22 23 18 21 Mar 25 Jun 23 (See Chart Iv) 22 23 18 II. Changing Interest Rate on Private Deposits in Shanghai State Bank Since Liberation (Figures in yuan indicate monthly interest per 1,000 yuan) Adjustment Date Given Deposit 1949 30 Jun 18 Jul 11 Aug 22 Aug 11 Nov 24 Nov 7 Dec 16 Dec 21 Dec 1950 9 Jan 16 Mar 1 Apr 3 Apr 5 Apr 6 Apr 11 Apr 13 Apr 14 Apr 17 Apr 19 Apr 21 Apr 25 Apr 5 May 10 May 12 May 13 May 15 May 19 Jun Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 STAT ' 1951 1 Jan 16 Jul 1952 1 Jan 21 Mar 25 Jun ( See Chart III) 7 6 5.1 4.5 4.5 III. Interest Rates on Private Deposits in Shanghai State Bank (25 June 1952) Items 1. General Deposits Current Fixed period of 1 no 2. Savings Deposits Current Lump deposit, lump with- drawal after 1 month Lump deposit, lump with- .90 drawal after 3 months Lump deposit, lump with- drawal after 6 mo 1.05 Lump deposit, lump with- 1.20 drawal after one year and longer Deposit of principal for payment of interest 3-mo period 6-mo period One year Same for fixed period of 2 no Same for periods above 3 mo Old rate was 1.05%; same for fixed period of 2 no Old rate was 1.35%; same for fixed periods of 4 and 5 no Old rate: 1.35%; same for 7-11 mo Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 3. Finance Business Deposits Joint deposit reserve fund .60 Old rate: 1.05% .6o Old rate; .90% Transfer deposits Add 20% to monthly interest rate for general deposits IV. Interest Rates on Private Loans of Shanghai State Bank (25 June 1952) 1. Secured Loans to Industrial, Communi- cations, Education and Health Enterprises 2 months 3 months or longer 2. Secured Loans for Trade 1 month 2 months 3 months and longer 3. Bills of Exchange 4. Import Loans 5. Export Loans 6. Large Scale Water Conservation Loans 7. Small-Scale lister Conservation Loans 1.05 to 1.35 Old rate for less than 3 months: 2.1%; for 3 months and longer: 2.2% 1.5 to 1.65 1.35 to 1.65 1.65 to 1.80 1.8 to 1.95 1.35 1.5 1.35 ?75 Old rate for less than 1 month: 2.2%; for 1 month and longer: 2.3% Old rate: 1.95% Old rate: 1.95% Old rate: 1.8% 8. Urban Handicraft Industry Same rate for indus- Old rate also same as Loans trial loans that for industrial loans Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8 Item Monthly Interest Rate (~) 9. ?rivate Agricultural, Forestry, Fishing Same rate for industrial loans Old rate also same as that for industrial and Livestock Loans loans 10. Marketing of Marine Products 1.35 Old rate: 1.5% 11. Industrial Association Call Loans 1.5 Old rate: 2.4% 1. Whenever a loan is secured on a deposit certificate of the bank, the interest will be computed according to the above listed interest rates, pro- vided that it is at least 10 percent above the interest rate paid on the original deposit. 2. The renewal interest rate on an extended loan will be calculated for the period beginning with the date of the loan and extending up to the new due date. For example, if the original term of the loan is one month and it is extended over another month, the renewal interest rate will be that for a 2-month period. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/13: CIA-RDP80-00809A000700140367-8