EARLY WARNING INDICATIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80-00810A001400290005-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 29, 2002
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: May 28, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2002/07/15 : CIA-RDP80-0081OA001400290005-0
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
INFORMATION REPORT
25X1
RLT
SECURITY INFO
COUNTRY Hungary
SUBJECT Early Warning Indications
25X1A
25X1X
.SOURCE:
This Document contains information affecting the Na
tionai Defense of the United States, within the mean-
ing of Title 18, Sections 703 and 794. of the U.S. Code. as
amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents
to or receipt by an unauthorised person Is prohibited
by law. The reproduction of this form is prohibited.
REPORT NO.
DATE DISTR.
25X1A
II
28 May 1953
NO. OF PAGES REQUIREMENT NO. RD
REFERENCES
THE APPRAISAL OF CONTENT IS TENTATIVE.
(FOR KEY SEE REVERSE)
1. There.,is no indication in the AVH that the Soviet Union is making plane for war
in the near future.
2. Sources reasons for this statement are as followst
a. If war were considered imminent, the foreign intelligence sections of the AVH
almost certainly would have received directives to establish self sustained
espionage groups capable of working behind Allied&lines. The AVH has not be-
gun an intensive buildup of external intelligence-bases and facilities and AVH
directives issued in December 1952 outlined a program for the methodical develop-
ment of long range intelligence agents, which assumes the continuation of present
'advisors in the AVH. As of 15 May 1953, this had not occured.
cold war conditions.
In source's opinion, another possible indicator of the imminence of war, or of
planning for war within six months, would be the arrival of additional Soviet
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