PREDICTED ACTION AFTER RATIFICATION OF PARIS AGREEMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80-00810A006200100005-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 18, 2008
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: March 23, 1955
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2008/07/18: CIA-RDP80-00810A006200100005-0
ULAJJIrIUAIIVIV S-E-C-R-E-T
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
INFORMATION REPORT
COUNTRY East Germany
SUBJECT Predicted Action after Ratification of
Paris Agreement
PLACE
ACQUIRED
DATE OF
INFO.
TNN DOCSNENT CONTAINS INFONYATION AFFECTINS THE NATIONAL DEFINSK
OF TNN SNITIS STATES; NITIIFII TNN NSANING OF TITLS IS. SECTIONS 703
AND 764. OF THE E. S. OCH. AS ANIMUS. ITS HIANfISSION ON NITEL-
ATNN OF ITS CONTENTS TN *5 NECSiPT BY AN ONASTNOIII2SO PIRSON
IN FMIINNI/ND M LAN TNE#IPEODNCTION OF TNN FONT IS PNONISITED.
REPORT
CD NO.
DATE DISTR. 23 March 1955
NO. OF PAGES 1
NO. OF ENCLS.
(LISTED BELOW)
SUPPLEMENT TO
REPORT NO.
THIS IS UNEVALUATED INFORMATION
liter the vistifiastion of 00 poet by pro *"B tie GIB will Joe lolaia
1?he er riz rrrt tyf a na.f'erre . army in t! != strati 't?r `tri 11 to It division$
not equipped with heavy tanks or heavy aircraft; close cooperation with25X1
Poland and Czechoslovakia will be established and a state of "national
emergency" necessitating the organization of a workers' militia and
premilitary training proclaimed. The national army will be placed under
a rolitical command, but universal military service w. s not envisaged
for the time being.
Z.4. Other measures which will probably be taken in the event of an
implementation of the Paris agreements conedrn passenger traffic to
"Test Germany and Berlin. Permits for journeys to Berlin will be
issued only on application and no inter-zonal passes will be made out
for young men. No general traffic ban will be imposed, but security
measures along the zonal boundaries and on the periphery of Berlin may
be exrected to be tightened. It is feared that the Sovietization of
]04 a`sw !tfl Si ed. Subversive activities in West Germany
will be tI1fl t", I Mb amain target in this respect will be the
IF i - s believed that the reeent conference-(>f
ler" Unions in Warsaw was of greet importance
f -*Mri~r !fi i'tr and Italy.
The ) Carman POW stiva lodes with rising aw.isty upon the efforts
"Is" to s 'emre the retifi"tiea of the Perie agreeseats in 'Nest European
parliaments. It is generally feared that the ratification of tris
treaty wi'l lead to the organi Miss of an East German national army
and to a tightening of the political regime. In the opinion of any
'ast Germans such a development would kill any inclination of the
Soviets further to negotiate with the ':lest, would freeze the partition
of Cermany, and lead to the sealing off of East Germany from the "Vest.
LI
Approved For Release 2008/07/18: CIA-RDP80-00810A006200100005-0
 Approved For Release 2008/07/18: CIA-RDP80-00810A006200100005-0
1.1
COUNTRY Not 1Nro
'SUBJECT Predicted Action after Ratification of
Paris Agreement
PLACE
ACQUIRED
DATE OF
INFO.
REPORT
CID NO
VIATE OSI Tt. 23 March 19,55
NO. OF POM 1
X14. CIF ENCLS.
(U*TED snow
`? LEM ENT TO
REPq% NO.
THIS DOCUNNNT CONTAINS INPOENATION Af ECTING THI NATIONAL DEFTEST
Of THE UNITED STATES. WITHIN THE MEANING N TITLI 141. SECTIONS 798
AND 754. Of THE U. N ODDS. AI AMENDED. ITS THANIMISSION OH EEPEL-
ATION Or ITS 0ONTENTS TO OE ENOEIPT BY AM UNAUVNGIH23D PINION
IS PSONIDAD By LAW THE EEPUODUOTION or THIS Pon IS PHONIUISD.
1.
THIS IS UNEVALUATED INFORMATION
Alter thltratifica ed the pact by France, the GDR will proclaim
the organization ""'tnltional array in the strength of 8 to 10 divisions
not equipped with heavy tanks or heavy aircraft; close cooperation with
Poland and Czechoslovakia will be established and a state of "national
emergency" necessitating the organization of a workers' militia and
premilitary training proclaired. The national array will be placed under
a rolitical command, but universal military service ---a not envisaged
for the time being.
2. Other measures Mhich will probably be taken in the event of an
implementation of the Paris agreements concern passenger traffic to
1'eat Germany and Berlin. Permits for journeys to Berlin will be
issued only on anpltoation and no inter-zonal passes will be made out
for young men. ro general traffic ban will be imposed, but security
measures al"ng the zonal boundaries and on the periphery of Berlin may
be expected to be tightened. It is feared that the Sovietization of
East Germany will be accelerated. Subversive activities in 'w'est Gerrany
will be intensified, and the main target in this respect will be the
infiltration of the DGB.
3. The East Ger an population looks with rising anxiety upon the efforts
made to srcure the ratification of the Paris agreements in :rest European
r.ariirments. It is generri;.y fearer' thr:t the ratification of this
trer..ty wi'l lead to the organization of an Last German national army
and to a. tightening of the r~'itical r4gine. In the opinion of -.f--n"
'?cat Gcr*ans such a development would kill any inclination of the
Soviets further to negotiate with the '.rest, would rreeze ti:e rapt' tion
of. Gerrrny and lead to the serling off of East Germany frog.: the :est.
CLASSIFICATION a c c,&&.T
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
INFORMATION It 111101110 ~O 14
CLASSIFICATION
X NSRB
X FB1
Approved For Release 2008/07/18: CIA-RDP80-00810A006200100005-0