THE SOUTH VIETNAMESE VIEW OF NEGOTIATIONS: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B00023A001000010005-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 12, 2006
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: October 27, 1967
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2006/0
The South Vietnamese view of N.~iations
F Ie `respects
This me orande em mines the attit
South Vietna se f-over t toward r tiatioi
both general and specific termn.
discusses the basic ingredients. of th
and certain politicl factors which
ome into play. in the second section we
t
to estimate C 7 reactions to three sets of alretv-
stancos in w! is talk with anti ri t be held.
The attitude of South Vietna 's litaxy gov
ern nt toward a negotiated. sett .e nt is do ted
by three co iderati ss participation ir.. any talks
in which its ftture is at stake; rejection of N T
claia to authority over any portion of iti terrfi -
tory or people y and quairantees against C tni; , t sub
version followinq a withdrawal.
In addition to these
for a settle nt, the def
a o!
cooperation in the event of pre
tween the O and Hanoi would depen
the bombing campaign in the North
of reciprocal action by Tumoi, and on
which the talks were hold.
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first section
Vietnaa ose Vi;,?
nt i
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TCV -..
titter of South V to ' V .Uta q
t ad a wmotiatwl seethe sat of the wax
inated by three ideti ss r too ai .
ata 4 aW1 party to any talks in
a futmze is at stasFk it should
wle the authority of the Nat
r4tieft o South Vietnam (m I
for a pea
e niAtter
June 106 S,
bt ii,t
their ear
p' a . te, they
their i ss
anywhere
ec d t tie
rith it+ l es
istwwo n. and
leaders ammivton
t & n coti atet -
=tr , but since
'tialltti s voul+ :
past ? ar profpss4id
* entati s of Hanoi
they Na d ,-
ast any ti
f i, t r has ultod
f .lo m pressures whiob have -fir ce
Ise to take note of p;>,i.. , as ira ti
in s amridemm thaw A%-*-' gain
ea
.
and -li.?tis climate has inpro"d. It does nott how.
rs, Appoar to mark w~y A ntal i r e o aatt ttid+ .
an to terror s
t, i. of all tom..
. Viets 2) South Viet t-
'etn#1 cf.fai 3) a graft*.
! v o at, a f
greater
IL i4.:asv
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 Tim MRST
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1+ad, the 1.u- a z:,. as
1 * jrc , may Prove 0
I *Un&
u
7. oat has pomed no a tto
VALtraj eo t 1U!
=0 f a StOP towazd talks,
tromly a i to the
nogetAstims t i it
ti .. is a 1 ted AL
*t1 ?s In tho peace
41ity of ota a t4v?
A . * party. i.. *t
1i ct i o m rt
" role in aer "em's
+a1 : aft .f'
that ha" 00atribt t4be troo
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 TOP SUMS`
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8. Another fact which should be noted is that
South Vietnam's new constitution gives the National
Assembly the per "to determine declarations of
war and the holding of peace talks." Apart from
the militant Catholics, the predominantly civilian
assembly is not likely to be more recalcitrant to-
ward negotiations than the executive. South Viet-
nam's leaders might try to exploit this constitutional
provision, however, should they feel that negotiations
might jeopardize their own interests.
9. In the final analysis, the degree of South
Vietnamese cooperation in any approach to a settle-
ment will be governed by the considerations mentioned
earlier, i.e.,, by the extent to which Saigon believes
its essential interests are protected. These require-
ments would of course became decisive in the event
that US-DRV talks moved from preliminary to substan-
tive questions. But they probably would strongly in-
fluence the ms's willingness to cooperate even in the
first stage of any talks.
10. South Vietnam's basic requirements for a
settlement may be modified, of course, if the strategic
balance alters significantly over the next year or so.
In this event, N cooperation would depend on the
extent to which its assessment of the prevailing situa-
tion accords with our own. Another factor which could
assume more importance under changing conditions is
the degree of confidence Saigon has in US motivation.
This has not been a significant problem so far,, largely
because the military leadership has assumed that US
policy in to pursue the war until it can be brought to
a conclusion on favorable terms. Should the GM inter-
pret any future diplomatic moves on our part as
signifying a retreat from this policy, its attitude
toward negotiations would become increasingly in-
transigent.
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 TOE` 1?"
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Uoul*v we .,
1# with the r * .. ..
' inw ix-
Oates of i s 1
Ankol the toll jug o X - 1 -
. s mr -i ;, i e thola
Oi r p 2 uj* first tt"O
#a ti- toward a sattlowat L.**. that tE.
k
tint n subs
o
it
to
the
41
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1st -
NMI* an
e i of tho three imc' r ;l
Alaimix* po Uti fallout in
A*s 10;
the W-VU choose t tse not to *Lou%
t the Wks * b C-f t U em. S
,
nt wed tho - i
ii acurso of tA* disc ,
4014 i opt a
S. , t4* - mj4bt
thA
talker.
A S
try"q dtoerw4it the frt wcml4
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tU* ` ..rst P LAO*, t: *q as b iri
Ut thaa a;..-- 'fit t440 u tic
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YM have
path
C &9 tit t*
84 oarAitUmm, the we,
OS f^OW
fare d i-
y ,iUt to talk
the LT :r the WO&4jtiM&,, the OW r
itrobably would Pr*Z r to do as a *..: 1 to V--
. v disaw . rather than t tl of .-
L4 4 not to
s* of aotion would
?d. th t outright. ..is actAca mit
a *4 a Lett a ice:,
81]~Villty Would b* to o taus rim th*
of S* i9 then. A9* n, VhIch alt r s'
Chan* would be influor4ad y the v
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