BRIEF FOR ARMS CONTROL NEGOTIATIONS WITH COMMUNIST CHINA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01495R000100020003-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 1, 2005
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: October 8, 1970
• Content Type: MF

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MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence
SUBJECT Brief for Arms Control Negotiations
with Communist China
1. On 22 July Philip Farley, Acting Director of
the United States Arms Control and Disarmament Agency,
passed to us a paper prepared in response to a Depart-
ment of State request to examine arms control subjects
the U.S. might discuss with the Chinese Communists at
Warsaw, asking for Agency comments on the draft. The
paper was discussed by representatives of the State
Department, the Pentagon, the NSC, and the Agency on
9 September, and as a result of this discussion the
paper is being redrafted in NSSM format with no change
in substance. This redraft should satisfy certain
presentational problems outlined in paragraph 2 below.
USACDA desires formal comments from the Agency by
15 October. Our recommendations are set forth in para-
graph 5 below.
2. We had no trouble with the paper. In general,
we find it thoughtful, well reasoned and long overdue.
There are, however, certain improvements which can be
made in terms of presentation. USACDA has set forth
a number of approaches to the arms control problem as
it relates to the Chinese Communists in pell mell order;
these various proposals are not really a "package" and
need not. be dealt with as a seamless fabric. Moreover,
the timing factor is likely to be an important one, and
this problem is not dealt with in the paper as it now
stands.
_,3' Of course we cannot be certain how exactly the
Chinese will react to any or all of these proposals. Much
will depend on context--on how the talks develop, on what
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other subjects come under discussion and whether or
not progress is made in dealing with them, and on how
precisely the arms control issue is raised in the talks.
These are at this point all imponderables, and it is
therefore impossible to tell at this point if the Chi-
nese will bite. It seems fairly certain, however, that
they will be interested in most if not all of the pro-
posals canvassed in this paper.
TnTegree with Mr. Farley,
acting director of USACDA, that the idea of mutual renun-
ciation of force declaration is the most promising of the
several proposals--with the proviso that it is presented
in a bilateral, rather than a multilateral context. The
idea of a Peking-Washington "hot line" might also be a
one-shot, rather dramatic sweetener as an opening gambit.
4. We would tend to doubt that the idea of drawing
Chinese scientists into a series of "private" arms con-
trol discussions similar to the Pugwash meetings of the
mid-1950's is likely to go far. We do not believe that
ideas discussed in such a forum would "perculate up" in
China today. In addition, it is unlikely that Chinese
scientists would be allowed to discuss disarmament mat-
ters with U.S. scientists unless a very high-level decision
were made in Peking--and this in turn would depend on
progress-in the official talks. This seems to us the
forum in which US ideas on arms control should be raised.
5. Apart from these minor caveats, we find the
paper useful and concur in its thrust and in its conclu-
sions insofar as they relate to the Chinese view of the
problem, to Peking's likely reactions, and to the past
history of the subject in the Sino-US context. .4rL.--lar-ger
-policy--matters"' of course, the- Agency can take--no-position.
We recommend the Agency concur in 'the paper.
Chief, China External Branch,'FE/OCI
Recommendation contained.in paragraph 5 is APPROVED:
Deputy Director for Intelligence Date
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