MEETING WITH DR. LUKASIK, 10:30 A.M., 21 NOVEMBER

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01495R000500080027-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 26, 2005
Sequence Number: 
27
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 20, 1973
Content Type: 
MF
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01495R000500080027-3.pdf143.35 KB
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Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 Approved For Release 2005/11/23: CIA-RDP80B01495R0Q00080027-L -S 7r ?Y' 20 November 1973 MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: Meeting with Dr. Lukasik, 10.:30 a.m., 21 November 1. Attached is a memorandum outlining an IC proposal for addressing the problem which is the subject of your meeting with Lukasik, Marshall and myself. Appended to it are some previous memoranda leading up to the meeting. 2. While the main topic of the meeting will undoubtedly be the R&D on quantitative analytical methodology, Bayesian theory, etc., a second matter should be considered which is the external research of-, substantive intelligence matters. The IC has been exploring the possibility of contracting for such analytical research through a coliegium of USIB principals and other interested agencies, such as ARPA. Our objective is to avoid duplicative efforts and the stigma on analytical work that results from its being sponsored by a single agency (for instance, the three or four Air Force contracts for analysis of the radius of action for the BACKFIRE bomber, whatever their actual value, are suspect of bias). The IC staff has been active in an effort to get a pilot substantive research effort by Stanford Research Institute on comparative Soviet and Free World economics and Soviet total strategy handled in a. collegial fashion. Funding for the effort is expected from Air Force, Army, ARPA and possibly CIA. 3. Our solution to the prime question of coordinated research on analytical methodologies covers the-above question as wet L Major General, USA D/DC.I/IC 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80B01495R000500080027-3 Appiv F~-1t1923 : CIA-RDP80B01495R OER, D OCI, and D/013GI SENDER* WILL CHECK CLASSIFICATION TOP AND BOTTOM UNCLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAI. SECRET OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP TO NAME AND ADDRESS DATE INITIALS Director/OPR 3 3 z- I Rmumbs _ After-the meeting with Lukasik and Marshall, the-Director wrote the following note for?:iriforma iorx=to DDI, DDS&T,. DDM&S, IC Staff, and- NIOsK ..: Can we :approach-it as follows: A NIOs and others (OPR, etc) look for substan- tiveprojects which might be-helped by innovative research or-outside research. --B IC and DDI and DDS&T look for techniques which could help analysts. C. R&D Council keep the subject under review and -swap ideas. D. DDM&S keep D/TR informed so new ideas can be included in OTR discussions and training, The Director also circulated copies of two memos from Graham and a memo from These are attached for your information. FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER F'ROM: NAMZ. ADORR33 AND PHONE 140. DATE Deputy Director for Intelli ence 26 Nov I. L UNCLASSIFIED 'CONFIDENTIAL SECRE'T' Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 BEST COPY A VAILABLE Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 ILLEGIB Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3 Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000500080027-3