REQUEST FOR PERMISSION TO USE OSR MILITARY EXPENDITURE ESTIMATES IN OER'S SOVIET GNP PROJECT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01495R000600170040-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 17, 2005
• Sequence Number: 40
• Publication Date: December 24, 1974
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Relea,.e 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R0006-00170040-7
24 DEC 1974
Project
tor for Intellience
asibn to Use CSR ili ta:
Estimates in C'?'' a Soviet MIT
1. ar sending you a memorandum (attachment A) that
outlines two alternatives for reporting soviet defense ex-
penditures in the Soviet C!P project. As you know,
jest is to b unclassified, and some defense values will
2. The mwwrand + cou aree esthete, of pay and allow-
ances of employees of the USSR Ministry of Defena that Wet
coca iled from open sources with. the OBR estimates. It also
contests estimates of Soviet industrial prt ;'action and G P
that (a) use 03R estimates of production of military machinery
or (b) assume that military machinery output behaved in the
sar way as civilian machiuaryr production, In most p
estimates of G'`W and industrial production are ucl the
whether OSR classified or CRR contrived estimates are us
3. Nonetheless, we recommend that
declassified sa that they can incur
estimates. To Publish CIA estimates of
military components that rely on either ubl ous estir tes in
the public doin or equally dubious assumptions about the
rowth of military hardware production would not q
with an ac ader is audience -- those most interuste
C31.0 project. Via have given CSC a copy of this s -razdus
do not like the idea of using military atir tes that
rely on unclasaif ed sour 3 but do not want to declassify
their peatinsats at this time. The O SR views are set out in
attachment D.
4. As a %now, the gaostion of declasgify-
ary est tos also applies to the "burden" paper.
present draft of the paver is published on an tznclauai
basis, V-10 disclosure f CIA estirtea would
Approved For Release 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000600170040-7
 Approved For Release. 2005/11/23 : CIA-RDP80BO1495R000600170040-7
substantially greater than that proposed in the C! project.
Attachment c lists the R estimates that appear in the
burden paper.
15. We hope that we can got a determination on
f classified military estimates in the national accounts
fairly quickly because they are being put together now,, and
we read to settle on the l.itary Components. As for the
burden paper, CIA estimates sit be used. If we publish
the burden paper, the question is whether or not to
it.
Distribution:
Orig. & 1 - Addressee
1 - Chief, OSR
2 - OD/OER
OER/D/u
(24 Dec 74)
Approved For Release 2005/11/23 CIA_RDP80BO1495R000600170040-7