MEMORANDUM FOR (Sanitized)FROM FISHER HOWE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01495R000900060014-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 22, 2005
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: August 7, 1974
• Content Type: MF

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FOR THE CONDUCT OF FOREIGN POLICY
2025 M STREET, N.W.
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506
August 7, 1974
Intelligence Community Staff
Central Intelligence Agency
As you requested, I am providing information on our
major research projects in progress, since some investiga-
tors working on these Studies may need to interview
individuals in the Intelligence Community. You understand
that these Studies, and therefore the interviews, are not
related in any way to the Study Plan for the Intelligence
Community about which we are separately in touch.
The projects are outlined in the State Department
memoranda signed by William Galloway. The names included
in the four memoranda have had a "name check" and have been
granted a temporary SECRET clearance, unless they already
hold a permanent clearance as indicated. The draft
memorandum on the project on The Interaction of the United
States and Foreign Economies will be sent by Galloway as
soon as all name checks are completed. However, all those
listed, except Edward Hamilton, Edward Skloot and Linda S.
Graebner, have already been cleared.
Finally, a copy of the proposal for Alexander George's
Study on Minimizing "Irrationality" in Foreign Policy-making
is included for your use. As I mentioned to you, Professor
George has a current RAND clearance through SECRET.
Thank you very much for your help.
Fisher Hdwe
Deputy Executive Director
P.S. William Bacchus is overseeing this project and he
or I would want to assist further in any way we
can in Tom Reckford's absence.
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MEMORANDUM FOR:
The enclosed list of studies being under-
taken by the Murphy Commission are not
part of their Intelligence Study. For
these studies, intelligence is regarded
as a source, rather than the object of
study. As you can see, Mr. Oldenburg's
efforts on South Asia fall in this cate-
gory. There is no way for us to predict
at this time whether others engaged in
similar projects will want to talk to
Agency people, but we at least can be
forewarned. The Alex George study is
being handled through Dr. Tietjin, OMS.
Our plan is to deal with each one on
a case by case basis.
FORM GN 54 lol WHICH REPLACES
MAY FORM
i AU
BE USED.
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 "`=rv I Y UNDER SECRETARY OF STATE
FOR MANAGEMENT
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204_17S
July 17, 1974
MEMORAiI?DU I
To: M/DG - Ambassador Davis
SIP - Mr. Lord
INR - Mr. Hyland
EB'- Mr. Enders
S/S - Mr- Springsteen
Subject: Study on "The Effectiveness of
Change" undertaken for the CommOssionnzOnional
organization of the Government for the Conduct
the
of Foreign policy
Introduction and
Genes raI .Back
Lo- ound
The
National A
non-
profit
cademy for Public Admini
organization of scholars andstrati on, a
Roy W. Crawley, Executive Director., Practitioners,
ers
ajor stv'I., i1, .~r , 1 c l ,
nde- contract from the Ur'gNrt~,aki.,g a
organ on on the
za?tion of the Govez:,,;,ent for COmmissi
Policy. The stud the Conducreign
reorganize various will exam t of Fo
ine a number of
in the past of the forei attempts to
st two decades, with the goal naffair,
e community
standing the actual of bett
effects of
better under-
tors which account for those effectschanges and
unexpected. the:fac-
This knowledge , anticipated and
for the Commission should help make it
both informed b to develop recommendations whichsaree
of y past experience and which can
practicality. This stud stand the
conducted for the Commission y is one of
as background for Cos all of a number being
report. which will be.used
Timing and Format
This topic will be
studie, under the pursued throu
general direction of a number of case
pert which includes '' a panel of ex-
perts
Frederick C. ? Edmund Gullion,
Mosher, Warren Dennis , Harold Seidl-~an,
Wayne X. Thompson, and I, James W. Fesler,
investigators selected to M. Destler.
The cases and the
date are:
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 2.
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Manlio De Angelis, "The Transition from ICA
to AID"
Leland Barrows, "The Peterson/Hannah AID
Reform Proposals"
Chester A. Crocker, "Changes in the N.S.C.
System - 1961 and 1969"
William T. McDonald, "The Wristonization Program"
William T. McDonald, "The Herter Committee Report
and its Consequences"
Erasmus Kloman, "The Evolving Role of the U.S.
Ambassador"
Dominick Del Guidice, "The Creation of the Council
on Foreign Economic Policy
(C. I . E. P.) "
Michael Harmon, "The Creation o F the r rms Confiol
and Disarmament Agency (A.C.D.A.)"
Melbourne Specter, "Policy Planning - Improvement
Attempts"
A number of these projects will require consultation
with officers of the Department who will be contacted
between now.and mid-September. It is anticipated that
it will be possible for the investigators to obtain all
the information they require on an unclassified basis,
and the Commission intends that the report they prepare
will be unclassified.
Contacts
The panel secretary and National Academy coordinator
for the project is Melbourne Spector, telephone [phone].
The Executive Director, Roy Crawley, may be reached at the
same number. The Commission's project officer for the
study is Dr. William I. Bacchus, telephone [phone].
William J. Galloway
Executive Assistant
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 DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY OF STATE
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WASHINGTON .
July 18, 1974
MEMORANDUM
To:
NEA
INR
S/P
S/S
- Mr.
- Mr.
-.Mr.
- Mr.
Atherton
Hyland
Lord
Springsteen
Subject: Study on "The Coordination of Complexity in
South Asia," undertaken for the Commission
on the organization of the Government for
the Conduct of Foreign Policy
Introduction and General Description
The Commission on the Organization of the Government
for the Conduct of Foreign Policy has contracted with
Professors Lloyd I. and Susanne Hoebor of the
University of Chicago, to lead a major study on the con-
duct of U.S. policy towarct the Indian subcontinent from
1965 to the present. The emphasis will be on the capacity
of the U.S. to maintain coordination among a large number
of policies which impinge upon a single region. South
Asia has been selected both because of the rich variety
of issues which have arisen in the period under study,
and the substantial presence of a number of. U.S..agencies
and activities there. The goal of the study is to pro-
duce answers to the question, "How adequate are current
U.S. governmental organizational forms to insure adequate
coordination in complex settings, i.e., in those in which
many activities of high importance are conducted simul-
taneously?" Ultimately, the results of this research
project will be used, along with those of a number of
other studies, to provide background for the Commission's
recommendations.
Timing and Format
The topic will be pursued through a number of indi-
vidual case studies conducted by associates of the Rudolphs
(see attached list for names and topics), and many officers
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in the Department who have responsibilities which include
South Asia will be contacted by one or more of these re-
searchers between now and the end of September.
The Office of Security has granted name check clear-
ances to these researchers on a "need to know" basis for
access to classified material and information up through
the category of SECRET. These clearances have been given
on the explicit understanding between the Commission and
the Department that the use of such information will not
include the citation of materials or individuals. The
researchers understand that they are to read classified
materials in the Department and not ask to take them
away.
Professor Glynn Wood of the Graduate School of Public
Administration, American University, telephone [phone],
will be acting as local coordinator for the project, and
will make every effort to-provide necessary additional
information and to reduce the inconvenience to those indi-
viduals the researchers desire to interview.
The Commission's project officer for this study is
Dr. William I. Bacchus, Associate Research Directorr tele-
phone [phone].
Executive Assistant
William J. Galloway
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Topics and Persons
Diplomatic and Strategic
Philip Oldenburg, Assistant Professor of Political
Science, University of Illinois (Urbana), "The
Break-Up of Pakistan and Recognition of Bangladesh."
Roger Sack, Ph.D. student, Department of Political
Science, University of Chicago, "U.S. Military
Assistance and the Ayub Regime."
Gerald Heeger, Assistant Professor of Political
Science, University of Virginia, "U.S. Policy
Toward the Bhutto Regime."
Stephen P. Cohen, Associate Professor of Political
Science, University of Illinois (Urbana), "Strategic
and Military Dimensions of U.S. Relations with Asia."
Economic
Harirnder Shourie, M.A. student, Co.-Limittee on Interna-
tional Relations, University of Chicago, "The Uni--~
States, the World Bank and South Asia."
Anthony Moulton, Ph.D. student, Department of Political
Science, University of Chicago, "The United States,
IDA and South Asia."
Susan G. Hadden, Assistant Professor of Political Science,
Oakland University, Rochester, Michigan, "Assessment
of a Bi-Lateral Economic Policy; AID's Program in Sup-
port of the Rural Electrification Corporation."
Stanley Kochanek, Professor of Political Science, Penn-
sylvania State University, "U.S. Commercial Policy
Toward South Asia."
James Bjorkman, Research Staff Scientist, Health Policy
Project and Ph.D. student, Department of Political
Science, Yale University, "PL 480 Program AID in U.S.-
South Asian Relations."
Cultural and Humanitarian
Charles Lenth, Ph.D. student, Department of Political
Science, University of Chicago, "The Peace Corps in
U.S.-South Asian Relations."
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 DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY OF STATE
FOR MANAGEMENT
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I
04.74
July 22,. 1974
MEMORANDUM
To: T - Mr. Maw
C - Mr. Sonnenfeldt
S/P - Mr. Lord
.INR - Mr. Hyland
S/AJ - Ambassador Johnson
PM - Mr. Vest
S/S Mr. Springsteen
Subject: Study on "The Adequacy of Current Organization
for Security Policy (Defense and Arms Control)"
for The Commission on the Organization of the
Government for the Conduct of Forei n Policy
Introduction and General Background
Under cc..tract from the Commission on the Organizati: n
of the Government.for the Conduct of Foreign Policy,
Professor Graham T. Allison, of Harvard University, is
leading a major study on the adequacy of current organi-
zation for the conduct of policy in the Defense and'A rms
Control Area. He will be assisted by a number of other
scholars, listed below. The objectives of the project
also include assessing performance, and developing spe-
cific changes in the current organizational arrangements
that would provide a more effective.-system for the formu-
lation and implementation of foreign policy with respect
to defense and arms control matters. The results of this
study, together with a number of others also being under-
taken for the Commission, will be used to provide back-
ground for the Commission's recommendations.
Timing and Format
This topic will be pursued through a number of indi-
vidual case studies of specific decisions and projects,
conducted by associates of Professor Allison. While a
complete list of individuals and topics has not been set,
it will include the following, with additional researchers
and topics to be added later:
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 2.
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A. "The Making of Defense Budgets." Professor John
P. Crecine, with others possibly to be added.
B. Weapons Acquisition.
1. "The Size and Mix of U.S. Strategic Forces
in the 1960's." Professor Allison (has .
full clearance from DOD to TS), and Frederic
A. Morris.
2. "MIRV." Allison, and possibly one other
to be added.
3. "ABM." Morris, and possibly one other.
4. "Trident." John Steinbruner (has full
clearance from DOD to TS).
Note: Cases in this category seem least likely
to require State Department consultation,
but some may be desirable. One or two
additional cases may also be added.
C. Formulating Strategic Doctrine: "Nuclear Op--
tions." Professor Henry S.. R.owen,..Stanford
Business School (has full clearance from DOD
through TS). .
D. Managing Alliances
1. "Troops and Costs: Offset Agreements, 1966,
1967, 1969." Gregory F. Treverton.
2. "The Production of Weapons Jointly (Skybolt). "
Richard.Neustadt (has full clearance through
TS from DOD), Jay"Philip Urwitz.
3. "The Production of Weapons Jointly (MLF)."
Neustadt and Steinbruner.
4. "Base Agreements: Okinawa, 1967, 1969."
Investigator to be added.
5. "Security Assistance (Aid and Sales): Taiwan.
Henry B. Miller
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r
6. "Commitments and Expectations." Thailand
1961, 1970." Earnest May (has full clear-
ance from DOD through TS).
E. "Establishing Arms Control Positions: SALT."
1. "SALT: 1968, 1969-72, 1972-74." Burton E.
Rosenthal.
2. "CBW: 1967, 1969." Investigator to be
added..
1. "Reorganizing Decision Making: Strengthen-
ing Unified Commands." Investigator to be
added.
2. Several other cases to be added later.
While this project will focus most intensively on
units of the government other, than the Department of
State, it is .cvcrtheless likely that a number of the
investigatorswill desire to conduct interviews with
otticers of the Department. A name check has been com-
pleted by the Office of Security for researchers listed
on the basis of which they may consult documents within
the State Department and discuss matters through SECRET,
on a not for attribution or citation basis. Certain re-
searchers already possessing full clearances through TOP
SECRET are so indicated.
Contacts
General information on the project and the Commission
can be obtained from Peter L. Szanton, Research Director,
or William I. Bacchus, Associate Research Director, both
at 254-9850. John Treat of the Commission Staff is acting
as local coordinator for the research project and will be
largely responsible for making necessary arrangements.
He can also be reached at 254-9850.
William J. Galloway
Executive Assistant
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WASHINGTON
July 25, 1974
To: ARA-LA - Mr. Kubisch
S/P - Mr. Lord
INR - Mr. Hyland
EB - Mr. Enders
S/FW-COA
S/S - Mr. Springsteen
Subject: Study for the Commission on the Organization
of the Government for the Conduct of Foreign
Polic on "The Making of U.S. Policies Toward
Latin America: The Variables Affecting "Routine'
Relations"
Introduction and General Background
Dr. Abraham F. Lowenthal, of the Center for
International Studies of Princeton University and the
Council on Foreign-Relations, is undertaking, in asso-
ciation with several colleagues, a major study for the
Commission on the Organization of the Government for the
Conduct of Foreign Policy. This study, which employs
Latin America as a geographic focus, is intended to
assess the relevance and utility of those "routine"
activities which form the bulk of U.S. relations with
most countries and of the means by which they are con-
ducted. The results of this study, together with those.
of a number of others also being undertaken for the Com-
mission, will be used. to provide background for the Com-
-mission's recommendations.
Timing Wed Format
This topic will be pursued through a number of indi-
vidual case studies of specific decisions and projects,
conducted by associates of Dr. Lowenthal. The individuals
and their projects include the following, with the possi-
bility that one or two additional case studies will be
added at a later date:
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Dr. Edward Gonzalez, UCLA, "The 200-Mile Fishing Rights
Controversy."
Mr. Gregory F. Treverton, Harvard, "The International
Petroleum Company
(IPC) Case."
Mr. Harry Weiner, Harvard, "The Role of Non-Governmental
Interest Groups in U.S.. Policy
Toward Latin America: Brazil's
'Fifth Institutional Act'."
Mr. Harry Weiner, Harvard, "Personnel Skills and Require-
ments in the Middle-Range
Bureaucracy."
Mr. Robert Pastor, Harvard University, "Sugar Politics:
Domestic Causes
and International
Consequences."
It is likely that all of these researchers will desire to
consult with officers in the Department who are knowledge-
able about one or more of the topics in question, at sortie
time between now and November. The Office of Security has
granted name check clearances to these researchers on a
"need to know" basis for access to classified material and
information up through the category of SECRET. These clear-
ances have been given on the explicit understanding between
the Commission.and the Department that the use of such in-
formation will not include the citation of materials or
individuals. The researchers understand that they f.re to
read classified materials in the Department and not ask to
take them away.
Contacts
Get-rral information on the project and the Commission
can be obtained from Peter L. Szanton, Research Director,
or William I. Bacchus, Associate Research Director, both at
254-9850. Mr. Robert Pastor, one of the researchers on the
project, is acting as local coordinator for the study, and
will be largely responsible for making necessary arrange-
ments. He can also be reached at 254?-9850.
William?J. Galloway
Executive Assistant
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TO
FROM
SUBJECT: Study on "The Adequacy of Current Organization:
Interaction of U.S. and Foreign Economies,"
undertaken for the Commission on the Organization
of the Government for the Conduct of Foreign Policy
Introduction and General Description
The Commission on the Organization of the Government
for the Conduct of Foreign Policy has contracted with
Mr..Edward K. Hamilton, President, Griffenhagen-Kroeger, Inc.
public management consultants, to lead a major study on the
adequacy of current organization for the conduct of policy
in the Economic arz.a. Mr . Hamilton will be assisted by
number of consultants, all employees of Griffenhagen-Kroeger,
as listed below. The objectives of the project also include
assessing performance, and developing specific changes in
the current organizational arrangements that would provide
a more effective system for the formulation and implementation
of foreign policy with respect to economic matters. The
results of this'study, together with a number of others also
being undertaken for the Commission, will be used to provide
background for the Commission's recommendations.
Timing and Format
This topic will-be pursued through a number of individual
case studies of specific decisions.and projects, conducted by
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 ass 09j dcF r Fl ea 2MB11dt23 : Q' O13Q 4 5 OQOM1c s
and researchers is as follows:
1. The decision to terminate AID development lending
to India (1971),Joan Hochman.
2. The suspension of AID's "additionality" rule
(1969), William Seelbach.
3. The dollar devaluations of 1971 and 1973,
Elizabeth Stabler.
4. One decision dealing with the effort to enter
into trade with the Soviet Union, possibly the
1967 proposal for an East-West trade bill,
Edward Skloqt.
.
The imposition of import quotes on Canadian. oil,
.(1970), Katheryn Voight.
The suspension of all import quotas on oil (1973),
Katheryn Voight and Linda S. Graebner.
Two key decisions dealing with international
monetary reform: (a) the decision to favor the
creation of a man-made reserve assist (1965);
and (b) the announcement of post SDR-U.S.. objectives
(1972) .
8. The development of the U.S. position during the
textile dispute with Japan (1970-'71), Peter
Henschel.
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9. The evolving role of the President's Special
Trade Representative. Anne Rightor-Thornton.
10.. Two domestic tax decisions with substantial
implications for foreign economic policy;
(a) President Johnson's decision not.to propose
a tax increase in 1966; and
(b) President Nixon's decision to announce
"new economic policy" in 1971.
While this project will focus most intensively on
units of the government other than the Department of State,
it is nevertheless likely that a number of invesf-igatc.-s
will desire to conduct-interviews with officers of the
Department. A name check has been completed by the Office
of Secretary for the researchers listed, on the basis of
which they may consult documents within the State Depart-
ment and discuss matters through SECRET, on.a not for
attribution or citation basis.
Contacts:
General information on the project and the Commission
can be obtained from Peter L. Szanton, Research Director,
or William I. Bacchus, Associate Research Director, both
at 254-9850. Elizabeth Stabler of. this project's staff,
is acting as local coordinator for the research project
and can be reached at 232-3236.
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i
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Title of Proposed Study: Minimizing "Irrational-ltyrr
in Foreign Policy-mnatinq
Introduction
Alexander L. George proposes to undertake for the.
ColrLmission on the Organization of the Government for the
Conduct of Foreign Policy a study on minimizing "irrationality"
in foreign policy making.
1. Objectives
The proposed study will follow closely the general
purpose and scope of Study II.C, "Minimizing Irrationality,"
which was briefly described on page 13 of "The Coiunission's
Studies Progrcun" (3/21/74). To this end four interrelated
objectives are set forth for the proposed study, as follows:
A. Identify a.nd Differenti-ate Sources of "Irrationality"
ii_I.rY at?on a.li.t `.~!r is -? ter to s ly app lied to a variety
of quill' -ifferent behavioral phenomena. The proposed study
will. avoid a narrow psychiatric approach to this problem.
Instead, it. will draw more broadly upon relevant work in
political, behavioral, and psychological sciences in order
to identify the variety of situational factors and behavioral
patterns that can interfere with optimal procedures of
search, evaluation, and choice in policy-making.
Impediments to "rationality" in policy-making can emerge
(a) from certain dynamics of individual behavior; (b) from
dynamics of small group behavior that affect the performance
of policy-making tasks by advisers and staff personnel; and
(c) from organizational and bureaucratic behavior in complex
organizations such as the Executive Branch. Impediments to
rationality often arise from these three sources during the
course of efforts to cope with stressful experiences encoun-
tered in decision-making and policy implementation.
The study will draw together in a detailed, systematic
way available knowledge regarding the variety of maladaptive
ways with Which individlual.s, small groups, and organizations
often attempt to cope with different kinds of stress. The
following sources of maladartive adjustments to stress will
be examined:
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(1) Maladaptive responses to "cognitive stress" and
"value stress" generated by the intellectual diffi-
culty of dealing with the well-known limits on the
ability to evaluate the expected consequences of
policy alternatives in order to decide which course
of action, is "best";
(2) Naladaptiive ways of coping with stress generated
in international crises and when making fundamental
foreign policy choices in non-crisis situations by
the perception of major threats to important national
(and personal) values;
(3) Maladaptive adjustments to stress generated by organi-
zational and role conflicts experienced by individuals
occupying key points in the policy-making system;
(4) Maladaptive ways of coping with the psychological
and physiological effects of fatigue;
(5) Maladaptive responses to "secrecy" on the part of
those who do and do not have access to highly classi-
fied information (including the related question of
i,io nOvet se mr -i.t is 6ifferentia]_ acce.,; ' n nppie on
the working alationshiL ^ of those participating in
the policy-making system).
B. Trpact on Policy-making Tasks
While knowledge of the sources of possible impediments to
rational policy-making is of some value, it cannot easily be
utilized to prevent the occurrence of potentially disruptive
individual, small group, or organizational dynamics. Rather, the
emphasis must be on neutralizing, or compensating for, the adverse
impact various sources of "irrationality" can have upon policy-
making. Accordingly, the proposed study will attempt to indicate
in some detail how different kinds of impediments to "rationality"
manifest themselves at what points in the search for effective
policies and their implementation.
The study will draw together available knowledge of this kind
with the expectation (1) that it will serve to sensitize parti-.
cipants in policy-making to the problem, thereby improving their
ability to recognize in a timely fashion the intrusion of disrup-
tive factors on policy-making tasks, and (2) that it will help
those who specialize in developing and managing policy-making
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systems to devise strategies for timely and appropriate
"interventions" to prevent such factors from having a dap-aging
effect on the search for effective policies and decisions.
C. Implications for tbnitor. i-ng and Managing the Policy-
-making Process - - - -
Having identified the types of "malfunctions" a policy-making
system can suffer via intrusion of different kinds of "irrationalities",
the study will indicate ways in which the. tendencies toward such
intrusions might be countered. Such reco n nd.ations will c-ahasize
means of monitoring the policy-.marring process in order to obtain
timely identification of e 1ercgent_ malfunctions and to undertake
appropriate corrective or countervailing actions. These critical
role tasks must be infused into the definition of roles to by per-
f_orrned by certain participants in the policy-making system.
Thus the study will focus most closely on minimization of
"irrationality" through close monitoring and effective r are a~rnl
of the day-to--day workings of the policy-making syste:~-m. This is in
sharp contrast to the traditional practice of relying upon periodical
structural reorganization of the policy-making system whenever
sufficient dissatisfaction with its performance has accumulatel
i'ii`. reCO;imendation of certain a L-:r luct.ural oha- oe Js not prE'_~:S..uded,
1 loweve_.r .
D. Variation in Executive Operating Styles
The study will take into account that each executive is likely
to have a somewhat different notion as to the kind of policy-making
system and procedures he wishes to create around himself, feels
comfortable with, arr_1 can utilize. This observation has become
part of the conventional wisdom in recent years, but its full 1st-
plica.tions for the design and management of policy-making systems
remains to be determined. This objective is of importance not
only for Study II.C but possibly in other studies undertaken by
'the Corrmi-ssion as well.
It is questionable wisdom to try (as specialists in organi-
zation and public administration have advocated in the past) to
impose a single standardized model of policy-making on each execu-
tive. The proposed study, it will be noted, is entirely consistent
in this respect with the observation on page 4 of the Co:rr,iission`s
Studies Program to the effect that organizations "should be de-
signed to fit the operating styles of their key individuals, and
not vice versa."
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Accordingly, the proposed study will move in the direction
of developing somewhat different models of policy-making that
arc appropriate to the distinctive management ''styles" of
different executives.
II. I~ethodoloc~/Approach
A large body of relevant empirical and theoretical work in
political, behavioral, and psychological sciences will be
from _
screened and evaluated fthe standpoint of the objectives
of the study. Several detailed appraisals of this kind have
been made in recent years by the principal investigator and
other scholars. The proposed study will draw upon them and
supplement with additional library research and consultation
with specialists in these several fields in order to expedite
the search for relevant up-to-date high quality material.
Where appropriate and feasible -? and in consultation with
the CommissionTs research director -- the principal investigator
will arrange to interview current and former foreign policy
officials in order to obtain additional information and judgment
bearing on t a j ec gives of the s Ludy .
The principal investigator, plans to draw into the study the
contribution of a number of part-time consultants. A prelim-
inary conference will be held in mid-June with some six special-
ists. to help plan the study in more detail.
The principal investigator will be responsible for request-
ing specific inputs to the study from consultants and for inte-
grating them into the final report.
III. -Personnel
A relatively large number of specialists will be contacted
during the course of the study. Some will be asked for specific
inputs on a consulting basis. Decisions on this will be made
after the planning conference, and will depend of course on ho,:
much time the persons in question have available, what they are
interested in doing, how well it will contribute to the objectives
of the study. Among those who have indicated interest in attend-
ing the mid-June planning conference and who have some available
time for possible consulting during the summer are Charles Hermann,
Ole Holsti, Robert Jervis, Richard-.Smoke, and John Steinbruner,
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In addition, Graham Allison and Irving Janis (?) -- bath
currently at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral.
Sciences at Stanford -- will sit in on at ].east p a.s Schelling, Lincoln Bloo.,,lfield, Doris Kearns,
David Ilatmburg, Chris Argyris, Eugene ti,ebb, James NNNIarch, Richard T.
Johnson.
IV. Administrative arrange rents
Alexander L. George will direct the study and will be the
principal investigator. He will work, virtually full time on
the study fret mid-June to the end of Septeter, and one or tVD
days a week as necessary thereafter until corpletion of the
final report tof?.wai d.s the end of December.
The contract will be administered by Stanford University.
V. Finished Product
The filial 1 E 7 ~Y t will ref lc.ct th,: ob c j. V e o f r 1 f-i it
aril -discuss the rel evant S e terials ants findings in considerable
det:ail.- The report will include a general statement of conclusions
and recornesndations of approximately 10-20 pages. The report as
a whole can be expected to be well over 100 pages.
VI. Schedule
a. Final project outline -- July 15
b. detailed progress report -- August 1.5
c. a substantial review draft -- October 15
d. final report -- December 20.
[This schedule is tentative and permits of some adjustments.]
VII. Budget
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