MBFR VERIFICATION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01500R000100030007-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 2, 2000
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: May 16, 1974
• Content Type: CABLE

Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP 0B 1500R 10003QO007-4
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RUFHAU/AMEMBASSY VIENNA 2637
RUFHNA/USMISSION NATO BRUSSELS
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S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03
VIENNA FUR M n.`U~ L
GENEVA = OR CSCE DEL
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TAGS! PARM, GW
2645
BONN 07894
SUBJECT'. 7R- \LER._Lf.._ICAT-ION
RErSa (0' USNATO 2440, (B) STATE 1018499 (C)
(D) BONN 5335 AND USNATO 1832, (E) BONN
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BONN 7169a
45839
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BEGIN SUMMARY ''EMBASSY BELIEVES OPPOSITION TO OVERT
VERIFICA7ION OF POST-MBFR-I: FORCE LEVELS HAS MATURED
WITHIN FOREIGN OFFICE AND DEFENSE MINISTRY AND ALSO HAS
ENGAGED ATTENTION OF SENIOR POLICY LEVEL OFFICIALS., WE
BELIEVE GERMANS WILL AWAIT U,SQ ANSWERS TO FRG QUESTIONS
POSED IN REF D BEFORE CONSIDERING ALTERNATIVE PROPOSALS
.FOR OVER" INSPECTION IT SEEMS UNLIKELY THAT GERMANS
WILL MOVE MUCH BEYOND MBFR I NTM/EXI7--REENTRY POINT
PACKAGE ALREADY PRESENTED, SECOND PHASE MAY RPT MAY BE
ANOTHER MATTERS BUT FRG MEASURING STICK WILL REMAIN
LONGER ON POLITICAL THAN STRICT VERIFICATION CONSIDERA'
TONS; END SUMMARY
1, WE FULLY SHARE U,S,NATO VIEW (REF A) THAT THERE IS
LITTLE PROSPECT .0 SELL OCTOBER 5 U,SN POSITION ON OVERT
VERIFICATION OF MBFR I FORCE LEVELS TO FRG, DURING
THE LAST F'EW MONTHS, THE SUSPICIONS OF DISARMAMENT
COMM SSIONER ROTH AND MBFR EXPERT RUTH CONCERNING THE
POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF EXTENSIVE VERIFICATION
ARRANGEMENTS HAVE EVOLVED INTO FIRM CO.NVICTIONSu MORE-
OVER , T'HE AP 'R EH EN SI ONS OF R OTH9 RUTH AN 1) FONOFF VER IF I-
wA`iTON EXPERTS HAVE PERSUADED POLITICAL DIRECTOR VAN WELL
AND OU F OF STAT SECRETARY FRANK THAT THE FRG
Mpprrovedi-or Release 2001/08/31 SC A-EtDP8QBQ1500R000100030007-4
State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file
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TO0161832Z MAY 74
SHOULD BE VIGILANT IN OPPOSING MBF R I ARRANGEMENTS "
EITHER CONSTRAINTS OR VERIFICATION - THAT WOULD SMACK
CF A CENTRAL EUROPEAN SPECIAL DISARMAMENT ZONE LIMITED
ESSENTIALLY TO THE TWO GERMANIES. WHILE DEFENSE
MINISTRY OFFICIALS OCCASIONALLY ARGUE THE
MERITS OF OVERT VERIFICATION WITH US ON MILITARY AND
?NTELLIGENCE: GROUNDS9 AUTHORITATIVE DEFMIN OFFICIAL
ACKNOWIaEOGETHE FONOFF POSITION THAT SUCH VERIFICA-
TION WOULD bb IN PHASE Iy
2: OF LATE* VAN WELL HAS SHOWN HIMSELF TO BE PERSONALLY
ENGAGED ON THESE TSSUESQ IN MAY 3 TACK WITH DEAN, VAN
,,,;.v V CROUSLY OPPOSED 'GOING BEYOND NTM ? EXIT/REENTRY
POIN7 PACKAGE IN MBFR I, IN SAME CONVERSATIONS WITH VAN
WEU NODDING HIS A :REEMENTo RUTF"ERMED PERMANENT
t
11 L Q ! NS r- F t- 'N Ml, ~
` ,N MA`! 10 "AL n W?TH THE AME3ASSAOOR ON UNRELATED
M,ATT'E:RS, VAN WELL RAISED THE TOPIC OF CONFIDENCE BUILDING
MEASURES, MAKING THE POINT THAT IT IS OF "GREAT
IMPORTANCE" "0 THE FRG THAI CBM? S HAVE THE BROADEST
POSSIBLE GEOGRAPHICAL APPLICATION IN ORDER TO DISSIPATE
THE IDEA OF A SPECIAL ZONE4 VAN WEL!- TOLD THE AMBASSADOR
HA'' CBM qS ARE IM"ORTANY TO BONN AND THE FRG "DOES NOT
WISH TO MORTGAGE THE FUTURE OF EUROPE BY ATTACHING UNDUE
:MPOR"ANCEE TO TER` ITORY,ti'' BUT THE GEOGRAPHICAL ISSUE IS
AN ESSEN7?AL ONE TOR BONN B07H IN CSCE AND MBFRy IN
SEPARATE RECENT TALKS WI. "H EMBOF E', RUTH HAS BEEN
RECA, ! ING THE ir;OOR"'ANCE OF 7RE.A7NG 7 HE HUNGARIAN
CUJES"ION IN AN MBOR NON-CIRCUMVENTION AND/OR NON-INCREASE
0FUR1';ES r',GREEMEN IN ORDER -'UR`"HER 70 DILU"`E THE AREA
PROBLEM.; T'H;S SAME GERMAN SENSITIVITY ON THE AREA ISSUE
ALSO COMES THROUGH IN THE EVER MORE CAUTIOUS COMMENTS
OF RUTH AND ROTH ON STAB =1 `: ING MEASURES 'BONN 5334)
T N ALL OF OUR RECENT CONTACTS, THREE POINTS HAVE
M, ER A'L Jt:.U AS HE GRAVAMEN OF GERMAN THINKING. r IRS
G yVF_N PO I I GAIL IMPLICATIONS AND THE PACT THAT REDUCTIONS
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REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN
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STATE MESSAGE 1
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FM AMEMBASSY BUNN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2593
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INFO RUDTC/AMEMBASSY LONDON 6966
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RUFHNA/USMISSION NATO BRUSSELS 2646
RUFHGV/USMISSIUN GENEVA 3543
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5 E C R E T S E C T I O N 32 OF 03 BONN V7894
AND CONSTRAINTS WILL BE LIMITED TO U,So/SOVIET FORCES
ICJ PHASE I SHE r.E SE;UULD BE ONLY AS_MUCH! ,-LFIC,77,IAN
AS N"C'S'AP ;; , H NON. A5 r 0C H AS L-~ SE CGND,
.?. :..._
` CN6?. t .C? F-07 MEEK II HILL BE QUI IEr DIFFERENT THAN
MBFR I. THUS PERMITTING SOMEWHAT MORE ELABORATE
ASSOCIATED MEASURESd INCLUDING VERIFICATION, IN PHASE
II: THIRD, THE FRG NEEDS U,Sc ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS
CONCERNING NTM~ EXIT/REENTRY POINTS AND RESTRICTIONS OF
VERIFICATION -10 GERMAN TERRITORY BEFORE CONCLUDING
DE:FINI T ' 'ELY "HOW LITTLE VER IF?CAT ON YIS WE
DO NOT EXPEC`7 f G- n ' VEMENT ON THE SUBSTANCE OF
VERIFICATION ISSUES BEFORE THE USG IS IN A POSITION TO
INFORM THE GERMANS WHETHER AND TO WHAT EXTENT EXIT/
REENTRY POINT ARRANGEMENTS, AS SUPPLEMENTED BY NTM, ARE
OR ARE NOT OBJECTIVELY ADEQUATE FOR MBFR I. IT SHOULD
BE NOTED THAT-FRG IS ALSO ENGAGED IN ITS OWN STUDIES ON
THESE MA TERS, BONN ALSO WILL WISH TO HEAR FURTHER FROM
THEL14S., CONCERNING THE NTM PARTICIPATION AND ROTTERDAM
QUESTIONS,
THE NECESSITY OF ADDITIONAL OVERT MEASURES FOR PHASE i,
WE WOULD EXPECT THE FRG TO MAINTAIN ITS POSITION THAT
FURTHER.VERIF;CATION OF POST-WITHDRAWAL FORCE LEVELS
SHOULD BE DETERRED UNTIL MBFR IIa VAN WELL AND ROTH
STRONGLY WISH TO AVOID BUNDESTAG RATIFICATION PRO-
CEEDINGS IN CONNECTION WITH THE FIRST AGREEMENT AND FEAR
THAT Ifni7RODUCING MOREPOST?.WITHDRAWAL VERIFICATION IN
THE FPG COU'- IN POLITICAL TERMS RECUiHE BUNDESTAG
ASSENT AND THUS ENGENDER A POTENTIALLY FRACTIOUS
P A R L. I A M E= N T Approved For kelease 2001/0W3t : ?I4R@P$0B01500R000100030007-4
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6, THE GERMANS DO NOT BELIEVE THEIR PROPOSALS DISPENSE
WITH OVERT VERIFICATION ONCE WITHDRAWALS HAVE BEEN
ACCOMPLISHED, THEY THINK THE NTM'EXITJREENTRY PACKAGE
IS OBJECTIVELY SUFFICIENT AND POLITICALLY TOLERABLE
FOR MBFR I, AND, IN ANY CASE, REPRESENTS THE OUTSIDE
LIMITS OF SOVIET READINESS TO COMPROMISE, IN THIS
SENSE, AND GIVEN THE FACT THAT AN M,BFR I COMPACT WOULD
NOT ENTAIL VERIFICATION OF SOVIET TERRITORY, THE
GERMANS PROFESS NOT TO UNDERSTAND WHY THE US. IS
PRESSING FOR FURTHER OVERT INSPECTION.
7. AS MENTIONED BY U,S.NATO IREY A G> PARA 6y, ROTH AND
OTHER FRG AUTHORITIES OCCASIONALLY HAVE REFERRED TO THE
GONCEP U~ INSPECTION BY CHALLENGE, BUT 'THE GERMAN
IDr A IS TO CRANK UP SUCH A CHALLENGE MACHINERY ONLY AFTER
`~JE'POR- ING MBFR - I I VERIFICATION. BUT SOME
GERMAN OF'rICIALS ARE SKEPTICAL AS,TO WHETHER MBFR II
S E C R E T
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WILL EVER ARRIVE, AND PENDING MBFR II, BONN IS ARGUING
AGAINST PUL,IT'"CALLY ENTANGLING ENGAGEMENTS REGARDING
GERMAN TERRITORY
HILLENBRAND
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