INTERIM FY-75 KEP STATUS REPORT

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01500R000200280010-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 28, 1998
Sequence Number: 
10
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 12, 1974
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01500R000200280010-2.pdf317.59 KB
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Approved For F elease 000/08/30: CIA-RDP80B01500 6 882 0010=2 Copy 4 of. 20 INTERIM FY-75 KEP STATUS REPORT I. BACKGROUND On 12 August 1974 FY-75 KIQs were distributed to the Intelligence Community. On 23 August USIB and IRAC were enjoined to proceed with the development of production and collection strategies for each KIQ. .These instructions, the FY-75 KIQs (accompanied by an introduction which outlined the DCI's intention to evalu- ate the Community's, and individual agency's performance on each KIQ) and two subsequent DCI memoranda gave rise_ to a group of IC collection and production strategies--- perforce the objectives against which performance was to be measured--which were neither commonly structured, nor uniform in level of detail and precision of expression. Because of this inconsistency, and philosophical differ- ences concerning the evaluative approach to be taken, Guidance and Instructions for Performance Reporting and a Listing of FY-75 KIQ Objectives jointly developed by the NIOs and the ICS were distributed to the Intelligence Community on 9 and 30 June 1975, respectively (Tab A and Tab B).* On 1 July the FY-75 KIQ performance period ended and the Community was requested to provide performance data on 1 August 1975 as set forth in the 9 June reporting instruc- tions. Ih. FY-75 KIQ PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT DATA As of 24 October, NIOs have provided 63 of the 69 KIQ performance reports required by performance reporting" instructions--three reports in August, 39 on the last day of September, and the remainder on 10 and 20 October. Performance assessments on four KIQs will not be completed; KIQ relating to treaty compliance has been split into two.) Although late, NIO assessments on the whole have been carefully drawn and generally are responsive to reporting instructions. *Not attached. CIA-RDP80B01500R000200280010-2 Approved For Releas 000/08/30 :'CIA-RDP80B015.dkdJ 0Og0278 010-2 - 25X6A Individual assessments show considerable- variation-in completeness. "In some instances narratives 'are inconsistent with quantitative judgments.set-forth.in accompanying annexes. In many cases, assessments make little, or no, reference to precursor collection and' production strategies. Performance reports on KIQs associated with Soviet olic and intentions (Substant;ive Objective I); (Substantive Objective IV) do not address per ormance and collector contributions with respect to the specific production and collection objectives set forth in pertinent strategy reports. Assess- ments of Community performance on Latin American KIQs (Substantive Objective IV), while carefully drawn, use. language which makes it difficult to determine differences in Community achievements on the five KIQs concerned. These inconsistencies and discrepancies inhibit comparison of performance between KIQs and among- collectors/producers, and render. more difficult the task of relating outcome and performance to resource expenditures. Community production agencies CIA (DDI), INR and DIA have provided the full range of production data required for the KEP, the final increment of DIA data being received on 23 October. Despite detailed producti'Dn performance data provided by IC production authorities, it has been extremely difficult--almost impossible--to measure Community production performance given the differences in aproach, precision of .expression and level of detail in production strategies; NIO focus on interagency production (in some instances depart- mental/agency production was virtually ignored); and the inherent difficulty of capturing and quantifying KIQ- related current intelligence efforts. Among collectors, CIA/OEL's contribution on 24 October leaves only Special Navy data outstanding. (Special Navy 25X1A1b CIRIS-75?input. Some portion of this should be KIQ-related.) All data-'-NIO assessments, and-collection and . production information--has been.entered into the automated data base. III.- FY-75 PERFORMANCE.ANALYSIS A'proposed Table of Contents for the FY-75 KIQ- Performance Evaluation Report has been developed (Tab C), A IA-RDP80B0150OR000200280010-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 CIA-RDP8OBO1 %gORggggQ(%80010-2. and software has been prepared to aggregate and manipulate the 8500-odd records now stored in the data base. Selected information is being extracted from the data base to .prepare performance summaries. for use as attachments and annexes to the Report. Trial run aggregations of data now.within the data base provide some tentative indications of Community performance on the FY-75 KIQs. COLLECTION AND PRODUCTION STRATEGIES The 69 FY-7S KIQ collection and production strategies identify 462 internal objectives/goals for the year--279 explicit collection and production objectives associated with 26 KIQs, and 183 combined collection/production goals associated with the remainder. KIQs and KIQ objectives. associated with FY-75 Substantive Objectives II--Soviet capabilities to project power outside the USSR;'and IV-- political and security situations, or crises affecting U.S. interests--represent 65% of these totals. DCI Substantive 0 jectives No. of KIQ O bjectives for FY-1975 KI s o a I - Soviet policies and intentions 5 7 26 6 II - Soviet capabilities to project 25 .36 178 39 III - Chinese policies ..and capabilities 5 .7 11 2 IV'- Political/security situations and crises 20 29 122 26-. V - Internatl econ policies 8 12 82 18 A itional KiQs 6 9 43 TOTAL 69' 100 462 100 APPMM.W IA-RDP80BO1500R000200280010-2 .Approved For Releas 00/08/30 : CIA-RDP80BO150O 0020029001.0-2 PERFORMANCE REPORTING In the 63 performance assessment reports received thus far', NIOs have judged that one KIQ (#58--changes in composition. and location of petrodollar assets)'was Completely Satisfied; three were Almost Completely Satis ie (#- -fit policies/activit es re Europe, ME an Indian Ocean areas; #51--LA policies and activities; and #53--Panama's intentions re Canal), and that 38 others were Substantially Satisfied. The Community thus appears to be batting a little better than .600 in fulfilling the FY-75 Substantive Objectives. With respect to individual Substantive Objectives,.NIOs concluded that about 40% of the KIQs associated with Objective II and 30% of those subsumed under Objective IV were. satisfactorily answered. No. of KIQ DEGREE OF ACHIEVEM ENT Substantive Objective KIQs Reported Comp Alm. Cam Sub- stan Part Lgly Unsat .lm of Unsat Unsat I S 1 3 1 II 25 16 7 2 III- 2 1 1 IV 19 2 11 6 . V 8 1 5 2 Other. 4 3 1 TOTAL 63 1 3 38 l8 .Although two-thirds of the KIQs were satisfactorily fulfilled, and only three were Largely Unsatisfied (#11- .Soviet nuclear weapons technology objectives; #28--Pieta non-nuclear war capabilities; and #34--China's nuclear .capabilities), NIOs concluded that the Community's performance was Almost Totally Unsatisfactory on 28 'of,the. 462 individual collection an pro uction objectives. against which the Community's achievements were assessed--about 6%. While the number of Largely Unsatisfied, Almost Totally Unsatisfied, and Unsatisfied objectives is a very . small proportion of the total,. and therefore may not be wholly believable, the number of collection 'Unsats' was more than double that of production; 37 vs. 22. In four Approved For Release 2000/08130 : CIA-I DP80B0150OR000200280010-.2 SC-03499-75 Approved For Relea a 000/08/.30 :.CIA-RDP80BO150 000200280010 2 25X1A1a of the 63 assessments, KIQs were considered to have been Substantially achieved despite more than 30a of inter-. nally specific objectives being Largely Unsatisfied. Approved .For Release.2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP8OB01500R000200280010-2~ 25X1 Al a Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200280010-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80BO150OR000200280010-2 Approved For, Release4000108%30 ; CIA-RDP80BOl 500 00200280010-2 -, TAB C FY-75 KEP REPORT Table.of Contents Executive Summary I.. Introduction PIrrpose (Process & Report) Process Description & History Report Organization (Contents of Report) II. Performance Analysis A. General Methodology Data Sources Limitations B. Summary Aggregations Consumer Satisfaction KIQ Achievement Collection Objectives $ Contributors Production Objectives & Contributors C. Production Performance D. Collection (& Processing) Performance E. Problems III. Expenditures Collection Production .NFIP,Implications IV. ? Summary ?& Conclusions Attachments & Annexes. 1. FY-75 KIQs 2. Strategies & Commitments 3. Performance Reporting Instructions 4. Performance Data (by Substantive Objective) Approved For-Release 2000/08/30: CIA-RDP80BO1500R000200280010-2