WHY WE NEED A MILITARY IN A POST-CONTAINMENT ERA

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CIA-RDP80B01554R003500310001-3
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55
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December 9, 2016
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June 21, 2001
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1
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February 9, 1973
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SPEECH
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Approved For Release 2001/08/01 :01554R003500310001-3 a WHY WE NEED A MILITARY IN A POST-CONTAINMENT ERA FOR USCG ACADEMY 9 Feb 1973 (2-5-73) Why am I here? Changes at NWC At about same time local TV highlighted your course in "MiXology" * Naval War College tries to broaden horizons of its students, but hasnt gone quite that far. One of the programs NW DOES have is that of inviting distinguished foreign military figures to speak. Several months ago late VADM M. B. Maas (Remarks on Personality) ? Stated that when Sukarno came to power in Indonesia, Dutch Navy lost its primary mission. * Was forced to reorient - Find new reason for existence. * US Navy - Entire US military may be in similar position. For past twenty-five years military policy premised on the necessity for suppressing the expansion of monolithic communism. No longer valid and no longer will sell at home or abroad. Detente now everywhere VN ceasefire SALT MBFR Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 China & USSR visits - economic trade with both Common Market East/West German moves Leads many people to ask why have need a strong U.S. military in the 1970's-1980's? Places you and me in difficult position. For all of my career, it has been accepted that being in uniform in the Service of your country was honorable, patriotic thing. For all of this time it was assumed that strong military forces were a necessary element of our way of life--there were arguments over how much and what kind of Navy, Coast Guard, Army, Air Force were needed but the underlying presumption was that military strength was a foundation of our place in the world. Today you and I must not only be able to perform our assigned functions well, we must be able to articulate why our services are needed by the U.S. of the 19701s. What are you doing to get ready for that? Are you as Coast Guard officers going to justify your role solely on the many and increasingly important protective and humanitatian functions that occupy most of your professional time. Or are you going to face squarely the fact that you are inextricably part of our uniformed military establishment. It used to be that you came into the Navy only on declaration of war--but recently we called on you for combat operations off the coast of Vietnam and you responded beautifully. Are you prepared to Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDe80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 defend this role that your seniors have just completed and like roles that may engage you before too long? Sure you would agree with me not really difficult to know why we are going to continue to need a strong military. ? Obvious cannot abruptly abandon 25 years of responsibilities we have shouldered around the world in large countries and small. ? Military power and world status are synonymous. U.S. is and wants to be a world power. ? Obvious despite enthusiasm and optimism, problems will arise - Hobbes - ? Obvious no evidence ideology and objectives of Soviet Union and China have changed; whether the contemporary practice of detente will have any permanent impact remains to be seen. (Von Ribbentrop? Rapallo?) Convincing? Will this sell to your contemporaries in-civilian life? Will they ask? ? Hasn't the world in which we could or should be the world's policeman changed? The expense of "Patrolling the beat" has become unbearable-especially with the soaring costs of today's weapons. ? Hasn't increased awareness of extent domestic problems lessened national interest in solving the problems of others? Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RD1380B01554R003500310001-3 Example Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 ? Hasn't armament building historically proven to be a spiraling competition that ends on conflagration? Someone must start to reverse the trend. The opportunity is ripe. * Hasn't Vietnam proved that our national interests do not require sacrifices of that order. ? Isn't war intrinsically bad/immoral even if peace is not "Normal" or "Usual"? If these views have merit, how do we make an argument to dissuade the older generation from their traditional opinions. Or perhaps the problem is vice versa. Or where in between? * It is much like the case of dealing with an evowed pacifist. Each pacifist's denial of the use of violence is somewhat different. - Some object only to immoral wars. - Some object only to wars overseas, but would take up arms if the United States were invaded. - Some would take up arms if the United States were invaded only if assured we had not provoked the attack. - Some would wait until his own home was sequestered. (Quartering of soldiers) - Some would take up violence only if the occupying soldier had attempted to rape his sister. 4 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 - Some would only strike a blow to save his own life. - Few would eschew violence totally. Just as most pacifists actions be between the extremes of total eschewal of violence and naked aggressiveness, so the mission of today's military lies between two extremes. One is exclusive reliance for security on military strength. The other is reliance only on good will and detente. At one extreme we support intervention at any dimly perceived threat of a communist take over anywhere in the world. On the other we accept total isolationism. As a pacifist, we are bound to end up somewhere in between. Where? - As a start, let's bound the problem on the side of the most probable use of United States military forces for which there would be national approval-consensus-This it seems to me is an overt, precipitous, unprovoked, unambiguous Warsaw Pact invasion of western Europe. Few would deny that the absorption of Western Europe into the Soviet orbit would be inimical to our national interests. There, of course, could be dispute on how much peacetime military ,force we should afford for the purpose of preventing the overrunning of Europe. That's the same issue as how much fire insurance you take out on your house. We know that we want some insurance, but how much varies with our income, the condition 5 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 of our house and our general outlook on the future. But even if we agree on some level of assurance against a major war for Western Europe, where else do we look past this extreme? What would our reaction be to a piecemeal, more subtle Soviet approach to absorbing Western Europe? For instance, a minor military' action to take possession of a portion of the northern "flank" of Norway or easternmost flank of Turkey. Would we view this as so inimical to the credibility and adhesion of the NATO alliance that we would go to war because the end result would be the same as an invasion of Europe. Or would we view this as a Sudetenland issue where a compromise or concession by us would bring "peace in our time"? A direct military grab may be too overt. What if Soviet's made their naval power appear so menacing to Norway, or Yugoslavia, or Iceland, or Turkey, that these nations believed that they could be supported by allied sea power in an emergency? If those states were about to enter the Soviet .Bloc by default would we want to be able to counter the impression of Soviet naval dominance in the area? 6 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Where would we draw the line in the Pacific? What if Soviet Maritime encirclement of China (with or without cooperation from Japan) left China so exposed that she was forced into an accomodation with the Soviet Union? Think of the impact this could have on the European scence--without China menacingly at her back, the Soviets could free sufficient resources to apply greater pressure on western Europe than she can possibly afford today. - Already our commercial trade in the Pacific basin Is almost equal to that in the European. Would we be willing to see minor Soviet or Chinese-inspired military actions chip away at our access to these markets? Perhaps a counter-coup in Indonesia, subversion in the Philippines. In the Middle East would we stand by Israel if her existence were threatened? In the Mid-east also do we not need to consider that by 1980 perhaps 40 to 50 percent of our oil energy will be imported from that area, if there are not major changes of current policies. (and they must be changed very rapidly to affect 1980) Would we tolerate to see military actions, blockades, or embargoes that would jeopardize this flow? How much pressure do we want to be vulnerable to if we cannot prevent interference with this energy artery? 7 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Aren't there numerous other potential situations visible even today in which it is imaginable that breakdowns in world stability could possibly endanger U.S. interests? (e.g., the Yugoslavia succession, Soviet-inspired Cuban meddling in the Western hemisphere, or even severe economic competition with Japan or the Common Market. After all, we are talking about not only the tolerance level for employing military forces in combat, but their use as instruments of national influence. The military support and shield we provide for Japan, for instance, is one of form of insurance against too strong an economic position. Our military guarentee in Europe is perhaps our greatest claim to any influence in European affairs now those countries are economically and politically strong. Finally, we cannot overlook our potential for relying on military forces to deter the outbreak of conflict simply by their presence and implied capability. They provide the President one, among numerous, methods of signalling his intent. Yet, one should not (and cannot) use military power to deter without a willingness and capability to employ it. There are those who would argue that any brandishing of military force is bad. No issue worthy only of brandishing is vital to U.S. interests and brandishing may be only the 8 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 precursor to use. There are those who would say that most of the situations I have hypothesized as potentials for employment of military force are not concerned with U.S. vital interests either. They are not concerned if Soviet interference in Yugoslavia, for instance, should tip the fine balances in Eastern Europe and impact on the Middle East. They would never feel concerned at events in small countries like Viet Nam or even our Latin American neighbors. And well they may be right. To return, though, to my analogy with the individual pacifist, what I am suggesting is that somewhere between fighting another Vietnam and defending Western Europe against a major invasion, there may be a threshold point for U.S. military involvement. How large and what kind of a military establishment we require today is in large part a function of where our intuition tells us that threshold will lie 5-10 years from now. We have been talking about the tolerance level, the threshold, for actually employing military force. In practice, there likely would be more instances of relying on the existence of our forces to deter the outbreak of combat rather than actually employing them. However, one should not (and cannot) use military power to deter without a willingness and capability to employ it. 9 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Thus, the case for having military force in the 1970?s and 1980's rests on the uncertainty of events that could impact on U.S. national interests. The risk in not having enough military force available lies in the possibility of suddenly being confronted by some interference with our interests which we cannot prevent because our forces are inadequate, e.g., - Persian Gulf oil - Fishing rights - Mineral imports But there are risks in having too much insurance also. The obvious one is cost--the lost opportunities to spend on other programs or to reduce taxes. With military insurance, there some also see a risk that our having military force will lead to its use, both because of our past habit of reliance on it, and because of pressures from within the military establishment. There is a thin barrier between brandishing a sword and striking with it. The answer to the first objection on costs lies in a judicicious balance in our allocation of resources. I for one do not believe that this need be a major problem. We are by far the wealthiest nation in the world. We can afford what we need for military defense and for domestic Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDH0B01554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 well being. We need to sort out our sense of priorities as a nation. We in uniform must help in doing this by being explicit in stating what levels of military force can do what for the country. If we overestimate or think exclusively of goals that the country has rejected, we will not help the process of resolving priorities. I am confident, though, that the people of our country do recognize that our responsibilities call for a strong military capability and will support guns and butter too in reasonable proportion. The answer to the second risk that comes with military insurance--the unnecessary use of military force because you have in firm civilian command of all national assets--military and non-military. If, as some believe, we have relied too heavily on military power in the past several decades, the answer is to learn better how to employ our economic, diplomatic, psychological and other national assets. Premptorily eliminating the bass drums is not the best way to prevent their dominating the orchestra. The proper orchestration for the United States in the next decade may call for a lesser military element, but let us not tie the President's hands by denying him any option of choice. Surely we can be rational enough as a nation not to call out the military unnecessarily without eliminating 11 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 our insurance policy entirely. There are simply too many uncertainties ahead. Within this broad framework, I see the roles for both our Navy and our Coast Guard expanding over the next decade. As this winter's fuel crisis brought painfully close to home, our own nation is becoming increasily reliant on overseas sources for oil. Other minerals essential to industry must also be imported. As the Soviet Navy increasingly makes its presence felt throughout the ocean's of the world, we must be prepared to defend this trade. Beyond this, the role of the sea in our daily life is expanding exponentially. Man will tap the many economic and recreational resources of the oceans to a dramatic new degree in the years ahead. There are fewer laws and precedents to govern this development than on land. This is where we both come in, primarily you in the Coast Guard. Much of the responsibility for regulating, policing and ensuring the safety of our new reliance on the sea will be yours, but always backed by the implicit fighting strength of our total naval power, the United States Navy and when needed the United States Coast Guard. Together we have great challenges ahead and great opportunities for service to our country. 12 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 WITHIN THIS BROAD FRAMEWORK I SEE THE ROLES FOR OUR COAST GUARD EXPANDING OVER THE NEXT DECADE. ? AS OIL IMPORTATION INCREASES THE COAST GUARD ROLE IN POLUTION CONTROL BECOMES MORE CRUCIAL. ? CONSTRUCTION OF SUPER TANKERS AND OTHER SEAGOING BEHEMOTHS REQUIRES EVEN MORE STRINGENT INSPECTIONS PRIOR TO SAFETY CERTIFICATION. IP AS OUR ECONOMY SHIFTS EVEN MORE FROM BULLETS TO BUTTER THE AMERICAN WILL FIND MORE LEISURE TIME WHICH WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN PLEASURE BOATING AND THE COAST GUARD'S HUMANITARIAN MISSION. THUS AS THE UNITED STATES LICKSt ITS WOUNDS AFTER A WAR EXPENSIVE BOTH IN LIVES AND MONEY, A SERVICE WHICH ANNUALLY RESPONDS TO 40,000 CALLS FOR HELP,SAVES 3,000 LIVES AND RENDERS ASSISTANCE TO 2 BILLION DOLLARS WORTH OF SHIPPING, FINDS ITSELF A SECURE FUTURE. Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDEMB01554R0035003$060/,37 3 WHY WE NEED A MILITARY IN A POST-CONTAINMENT ERA FOR USCG ACADEMY 9-Feb-1973 Why am I here? Your Sup't Honored G at our USMC Ball 40 Drowned by Marine ? Your and had las word with CG March ybe this is.Admiral Thompson's Revenge -4A19-4 /VW At kbout same time local TV highlighted your Course .in 'Mixology" co Naval War College tries to broaden horizons of its students, but hasn't gone quite that far. One of the Programs NWC DOES have is that of inviting Distinguished Foreign Mil figures to speak. Several months ago late VADM John M.B. Maas (Remarks on Personality) ? Stated that when Sukarno came to power in Indonesia, Dutch Navy lost its primary mission. ? Was forced to reorient - Find new reason for existence. ? US Navy - Entire US Military may be in similar position. Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80 1554R003500310001-3 ?27 A ? proved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 - : - Approved For Release 2001/08/01 ?,CIA-RDP80B01554R003500310001-3 7_ Approved For Release 2001/08/01 :,CIA-RDF'80B01554R003500310001-3 ? ?-? Ap roved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R00350031 001-3 r-- A ? proved For Release 2001/08/01 :ICIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 For past twenty five years military policy premised on the necessity for suppressing the expansion of monolithic communism. No longer valid and no longer will sell at home or abroad. Detente now everywhere VN Ceasefire SALT MBFR -Lb 0/1 China visita/pd Economics moves Common Market East/West German moves Leads many many people to ask why have a strong military in the 7A7O's-l's? ()r ( Don't wish to seem an'ORACLE" but it should be clear \ hy we need military forces, despite the apparent eclips,? 0 yip \ monolithic communism. ? Cannot abruptly abandon 25 years of responsi- (i,,i-o-4/17-,/ A4,W a'01;L-v, A ? Military Power and world status are synonymous. A ',:(T L.) G? L."), Despite enthusiasm and optimism, problems will arise. 24 - Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-R9P80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 No evidence ideology and objectives of Soviet Union have changed; whether the contemporary practice of detente will have any permanent impact remains to be seen. (Von Ribbentrop? Rapallo?) Convincing? Will this sell to yourcontemporaries in civilan lifeIill they ask? ? Hasn't the world in which we could or should be the world's policeman changed? has become unbearable.- es Hasn't increased lessened national interest The expense of "patrolling the beatI' (g1-11131)14.4 e awareness of domestic problems in the problems of Others? Hasn't armament building historically proven to be a spiraling competition that ends in conflagration? Someone must start to reverse the trend. The opportunity is ripe. e Hasn't Vietnam proved that our natiOnal interests do not require sacrifices of that Order. (Hindsight?-- s-e7EaTar- to require atthe e Isn't war intrinsically bad/immoral even if peace is not "Normal" or "Usual"? Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA3RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP801301554R003500310001-3 If these views have merit, how do we make an argument to dissuade the older generation from their traditional opinions. Or perhaps the problem is vice versa. (fr sio It is much like the case of dealing with an avowed pacifist. Each Vacifist6 denial of the use of violence is, somewhat different. - Some object only to "immoral" wars. - Some object only to wars overseas, but would take up arms if the United States were invaded. - Some would take up arms if the United States were invaded only if assured we had not provoked the attack. - Some would wait until his own home was sequestered. (Quartering of soldiers) - Some would take up violence only if the occupying soldier had attempted to rape his sister. - Some would only strike a blow to save his own life. - Few would eschew violence totally. The current trend to eschew vio e ce is not *Iiie. I 7-' ., 1 -7ieWk-4, recommend to you Herman,Mouk's The Winds of aptly protrays the Aod of the nation late 30's and / early 40's - be ter perhaps than any on-fiction. What would have ppened if the Japane had not struck at Pearl precipitous move do /to to home a; 4 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 ,igsauld-th-6-EaTITel7iThave -war-E7775777- ,4,m_we CAA .2-4 A s,The mission of today's mobilfie-a---b-6hina the 6Ij .litary lies be ween two ext;-emes. 4).,t i..6,4VAt - o d pot ?support intervention at &* ,J,4, 4f-410,,,o ILh1.-1-rtatiop will not an sh I 0-, `4 1^i any dimly perceive threat of a communist take over anywhere 01 14 9A in the world._Oat do_Z-Jaalle-ve-t4-11--Et -accept, total 4-J / isolationism. / ()" - As a start, let's bound the problem on the side of most probable cg_acTrrence?,i-ri;ShKuse of United States ax, tAL"" `-?41 military forces/07 an overt, precipitous, unprovoked, un- ambiguous Warsaw Pact invasion of western Europe. Few would deny that the absorption of western Europe into Soviet -5"e- la would be inimical to our national interests. Thereo of course, could be dispute on how much peacetime. military force we should affor 777'? overrunning of Europe. for the purpose of preventing the .44,4 ceiN.4.1 If we maintain a considerable military ".A.4 force solely t combat this iAprobable event, who argue th t any other m4tion can ;be adequately m?hereby. Before we a cept this "1 sSer included case" assumption, we should exa ine some other potential thresholds for theuse there are those of military force, 5 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80B01554R003500310001-3 Ap ? roved For Release 2001/08/01 : Cl 54R003500310001-3 , A ? proved For Release 2001/08/01: CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 001 -6 PL,4 . U What would our reaction be to a piecemeal, more subtle approach to absorbing Western Europe? t. A20,4, dirct military grab of a portion For instance a 4A4-4-1-4' of the "flank" llortherniiorwayoreasterrunostmrke . t.? _ _Would this belviewA'A as as,Sudetenlan9,'issue wher a con- ( r\ by us would bring "peace in our -bite"? 4Would _It-4' ? cession ? jpe view adhesion aa- the fix-s'1 stin ;educing the credibility and of the NATO alliance and thereby leaA inevitably f ?OA" a.?) (PV. (9.4 e end result as an invasion of Europe? A dir ct military grab may be too overt. Soviet naval power appear yf so great to%orway, tQwt.119.....aam What if or Yugoslavia, or Iceland or any \of the C;.(3,Asta1 mid-east nations, that/!2 s9ne nation believed ,-ts cats were not support by 7 allied selyower. If at state's percep ion of isolation LOyvA became LAA4 hia 0- CA-U/Y Where would we ko0 entertUV the SAoviet Bloc by defaut. tfift$A4-- -&,n1,4..44,19/ kwpwcz (2/4a, draw the line in the Pacific? What if 14v Soviet Maritime encirclement of China (with or without cooperation from Japan) left China so exposed that she was forced into an ,ccomo4Ation with the Soviet Union? Woul& _ _ ,z7 nyct-tt av.e 4 Pe,,,tra,? orMat. this-aot free_sufficj.ent S.weiet resources to apply greater pressure on western Europe than she can afford today. 6 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Ap roved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-R 54R003500310001-3 / C 917 C /411- rkeeee-7 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : IA-RDP80601554R003500 10001-3 Ap roved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 ? Apiproved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 Ap roved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDF240B0003500310001-3 Approved For Release 2001/08/01 : CIA-RDP80601554R003500310001-3 ? - Already our commercial trade in the Pacific 'bOo basin is almost equal that in the European. Would we be willing to see minor Soviet or S-eviet-inspired actions chip away at our access to these markets? ct,StActi,