DECEMBER 29, 1959 MEETING OF THE NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE COUNCIL AND THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL

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December 16, 1959
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Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676R001100010011-9 A.~C+ PAPER---PRTVTT.EGED ..-- T"or L ithorized Persons Only NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE COUNCIL 7 f WASHINGTON 25, D. C. MEMORANDUM for Honorable Allen W. Dulles, Director of Central Intelligence Subject: December 29, 1959 Meeting, of the National Aeronautics and Space Council and the National Security Council 1. You are invited to participate in a -joint meeting of the National Aeronautics and Space Council and the National Security Council in the Cabinet Room of the White House at 2:30 p.m. on December 29, 1959, for the purpose of considering the enclosed draft of U. S. Policy on Outer Space. An additional agenda item related to this policy and of interest to you will be a report on a comparative study of U.S. and US`:R capabilities in space science and technology. 2. A financial annex for the tnolicv paper is in preparation .and will be forwarded as soon as it is available. raij~' tyn W. Phillips rr_ `ng Secretary Enclosure: Final Draft, dtd. 12J16/15 Copy No. 1. !'Ili. doci1 1'i2 i' efr.? S'A fit Seri" Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP8QB01676R001100010011-9 Alproved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 SECRET U. S. POLICY ON OUTER SPACE December 16, 1959 National Aeronautics and Space Council SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP80BO1676ROO1100010` Il-9 SE I 1 Adproved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676R001100010011-9 U. S. POLICY ON OUTER SPACE Table of Contents Pat GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS-------------------------------------- 1 SCOPE OF POLICY ------------------------------------------ SIGNIFICANCE OF OUTER SPACE TO U. S. SECURITY------------ 1 USE OF OUTER SPACE---------------------------------------- 4 General--------------------------------------------- 4 Scientific Research and Exploration----------------- 4 Operational Applications of Space Technology-------- 6 Manned Space Flight and Exploration----------------- 7 INTERNATIONAL PRINCIPLES, PROCEDURES, AND ARRANGEMENTS--- 8 OBJECTIVES ------------------- -------------------------------- 10 POLICY GUIDANCE ----------------------------------------------- 11 PRIORITY, SCOPE AND LEVEL OF EFFORT---------------------- 11 PSYCHOLOGICAL EXPLOITATION------------------------------- 11 RECONNAISSANCE SATELLITES--------------------------------- 12 MANNED SPACE FLIGHT---- ------------------------------ 12 INTERNATIONAL PRINCIPLES, PROCEDURES AND ARRANGEMENTS---- 12 SECURITY CLASSIFICATION----------?------------------------- 14 ANNEX Ae The Soviet Space Program-------------------------- 15 - ii - Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676R001100010011-9 SECRET GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS SCOPE OF POLICY 1. This policy is concerned with U.S. interests in scientific, civil, military, and political activities related to outer space. It deals with sounding rockets, earth satellites, and other space vehicles, their relationship to the exploration and use of outer space, and their political and psychological significance. Although the relation between outer space technology and ballistic missile technology is recognized, U.S. policy on ballistic missiles is not covered in this policy. Anti-missile defense systems also are not covered except to the extent that space vehicles may be used in connection with such systems. SIGNIFICANCE OF OUTER SPACE TO U.S. SECURITY 2. Outer space presents a new and imposing challenge. Although the full potentialities and significance of outer space remain largely to be explored, it is already clear that there are important scientific, civil, military, and political implications for the national security, including the psychological impact of outer space activities which is of broad significance to national prestige. 3. Outer space generally has been viewed as an area of intense competition which has been characterized to date by comparison of Soviet and U.S. activities. The successes of the Soviet Union in placing the first earth satellite in orbit, in launching the first space probe to reach escape velocity, in achieving the first "hard" landing on the moon and in obtaining the first pictures of the back side of the moon have resulted in substantial and enduring gains in Soviet prestige. The U.S. has launched a greater number of earth satellites and has also launched a space probe which has achieved escape velocity. These U.S. activities have resulted in a number of scientifically significant "firsts." However, the space vehicles launched by the Soviet Union have been substantially heavier than those of the U.S., and weight has been a major point of comparison internationally. In addition, the Soviets have benefited from their ability to conceal any failures from public scrutiny. 4. From the political and psychological standpoint the most significant factor of Soviet space accomplishments is that they have produced new credibility for Soviet statements and claims. Where once the Soviet Union was not generally believed, even its baldest propaganda claims are now apt to be accepted at face value, not only abroad but in the United States. The Soviets have used this credibility for the following purposes: a. To claim general superiority for the Soviet system on the grounds that the Sputniks and Luniks demonstrate the ability SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 RET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 if the system to produce great results in an extremely short 9,1~riod of time. b. To claim that the world balance has shifted in favor of Communism. d, Ti create a new image of the Soviet Union as a technologically powerful, scientifically sop?isticated nation that is equal to the U,S. in most respects, uperior in others, and with a far more brilliant future. 1 zLrCate a new military iY..age, of :ire: vast manpower YIvm Communist nations nr.w backed by w:eapo i.ry that is as 'T tintifictlii advanced as that of the w'2!.. t. sLperior in the ml-,s aiY fiwld., aad superior in quantity in a_I fields. a.. Soviet efforts atready have achieved a c nsiderable degree success, and may be expected to show fu:ther gai is with each nota.i) e space ace science and oechno Logy, There is -Yvid(ente that a cons iderabie )ortion of world Leadership and the world publi,:: expects the United States to "catch up' with the Soviet Union, and further expects this to >e demonstrated by U.S, aAlity to, e ~:.ai Soviet 8p-acre payloads and to match or surpass Soviet accomplishments. Feila::a;e cc satisfy such ear,ectations may give rise c'.) the belief that the United States is '"se;;or i best," thus -ransi . rring to the Soviets addit ona_i increments c prestige and _redib:ility now enj~ -dyed by the United State's, 1. to the layman, nsnr.A spac flight and tipioration will p w n ant the tru fi, u st r outer space and henc the ultimate goal rs space activities. No unmanned experiment can substitute for m.etrtneG space exploration in is psychological efitec-_ on the peoples o) f the wcr?ld. There is reason to believe that the Soviets, atter getting an earlier start, are placing as much emphs9is on their manned :;Pacoe Flight program as is the U.S. SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 .SECRET 8. The scientific value of space exploration and the prestige accruing therefrom have been demonstrated. The scientific uses of space are a patent factor in the derivation of fundamental information of use in most fields of knowledge. Further, the greater the breadth and precision the knowledge of the space enfironment, the greater the ability to exploit its potentials. 9. Among several foreseeable civil applications of earth satellites, two at present offer unique capabilities which are promising in fields of significance to the national economy: communications and meteorology. Other civil potentials are also likely to be identified, 10, The great importance of certain military utilization of outer space already has been recognized; however, the full military potential of outer space remains to be determined by further experience, studies, technical developments and strategic considerations. Space technology constitutes a foreseeable means of obtaining increasingly essential information regarding a potential enemy whose area and security preclude the effective and timely acquisition of these data by foreseeable non-space techniques. Space technology is being further utilized with the intention of more effectively accomplishing other military functions by complementing or extending non-space capabilities. In addition, as space technology and resulting uses of outer space expand, new military requirements and opportunities for development of new military capabilities are likely to materialize. 11. Space vehicles may also have important application and may play a key role in the implementation of international agreements which may be concluded respecting the reduction and control of armaments, cessation of atomio, tests, and safeguards against surprise attack. 12. Outer space activities present new oppo'r'tunities and problems in the conduct of the, relations of the U.S. with its allies, neutral states, and the Soviet bloc; and the establishment of sound international relationships in this new field is of fundamental significance to the national security. Of importance in seeking such relationships is the fact that all nations have an interest in the purposes for which outer space is explored and used and in the achievement of an orderly basis for the conduct of space activities. Moreover, many nations are capable of participating directly in various aspects of outer space activities, and international participation in such applications of space vehicles as those involved in scientific research, weather forecasting, and communications may SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 EGRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 essential to full realization of the potential: ties of such .&.ctivities. In addition, an improvement of the i-rternational position >f the U. S. may be effected through U. S. leadership in extending '.nternationally the benefits of the peaceful uses of outer space. The !:act that the results of arrangements in certain `ields, even though *ntered into for peaceful purposes, could have miiitary implications, may :ondition the extent of such arrangements in .hose fields. i,ene xa i 1?, As further knowledge of outer space 14 obtained, the Advantages to be accrued will become more apparen?::. At the present ?:ime,, space activities are directed toward technoi.ogical development and scientific exploration; however, it is anticiaated that systems will be put into operation, beginning in the near future, that will ,sore directly contribute to national security and well-being and be f ir.:.ter?nationai benefit. i4.: Present and planned outer space activities will require ..he use of the following classes of vehicles: aa. Sounding Rockets* - Vehicles that are launched ~tical y or in a ballistic trajectory to heights well utslde the earth's atmosphere and return -o earth. 1,. Earth Satellites - Manned and unmtinned vehicles .hat orbit the earth. c. Space Probes and Interplanetary Space Vehicles - ned and unmanned vehicles that escape tie earth environm+2nt -) Traverse interplanetary space. it is not possible to foresee all the uses of outer space, ut the ability to identify and develop such uses will be significantly aallaenced by the breadth of the exploratory scientific research which s ur_dertaken. ific Research and Exploration 3 Space technology affords new and unigae opportunities for Jmaneuiate and long-range scientific observation, experimentation, and Sounding rockets have also been defined as those vertically un hed rockets that do not penetrate outer space beyond one narta radius, approximately 4000 statute miles. Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 a " SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 exploration which will add to our knowledge and understanding of the earth, the solar system, and the universe. Immediate opportunities exist in many areas, including among others: a. Atmosphere - Study of the structure and composition of the earth's outer atmosphere. b. Ionosphere - Measurement of the electron density of the earth's outer ionosphere and its temporal and spacial variations. c. Energetic Particles - Measurement of cosmic ray intensity, radiation belts, and auroral particles and their variations with time and space in the vicinity of the earth and moon. d. Electric and Magnetic Fields - Measurement of the magnitude and variations of the earth's magnetic field and the associated ionospheric electric currents. e. Gravitational Fields - Study of the detailed motion of existing and special satellites with the object of determining a more detailed picture of the earth's and moon's gravitational field.. f. Astzronvmy v Preliminary investigation of the moon; and measurement of spectra, especially in the ultraviolet and X-ray regions, including the brightness and positions of interesting regions of the sky. g. Bich Sciences - Investigation of the effects of outer space on living organisms, especially those which have most application to the manned exploration. of outer space. h. Geodesy - Measurement of the size and shape of the earth, and location of land masses and water. 17. Future possibilities for scientific research and exploration include: continuation on a more sophisticated basis of the measurements of atmospheres, ionospheres, electric and magnetic fields, and expansion of such measurements to Mars and Venus and ultimately throughout the solar system; astronomical observations from points beyond the earth's atmosphere; manned and unmanned exploration of the moon and the planets; advanced experiments designed to test certain predictions of the theory of relativity and other theories relating to the fundamental nature of the universe; investigation of the occurrence of biological phenomena in outer space. Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 ECRET `c. All op} l_..: titans at We t?chi promise of early ,c_-pea aticna i utility for Mil poses are based on the earth satellite These cnf,ense program or the cl'ui ian `_ ,ra av. New j these appiiCatl'ons, but the full extent cl t:t ec iv.e ext:ens ion of an i-:xis ting a LVi_ m.V Lt it^siraole activity. Jr is expected gnat aural WtLcal and social implications has "Yet to of dE pplications are aesigned to enhance rnili :ary Lape fated requirements of the Military Services anni e . vei.Sped for use as operational systems. 1h e apl.: expected to be available earliest. art as :Al ws tier space that now ..aiy or cii llian -.nplications ulticnaleiy r'e to survive in either will either have W L Ling activity, te:e ceation of a new L~ will be gained Lr military, ecenorr.ic, ermined. Military i ~ities by fulfillin,= a currently being i..ations that ate a, Sa c . i i t 5 , rj;C't p .-,vide weather' zi.at: on a global scale, maki.nc use rt such shniques as television, ptics., inlrared c.eteci"o''c's anc .a'c1al. WO eiatiO:n on cla;'ud cover, .a-arm locations, plecip1 tatio:. tai ".i? to i ark _ '-"o, heat C_7alance and _er vapor would permit impr-sad wratneo i recasting, including Dliii warnings., useful in a variet'1 of (:.v, ac".tivitie5 such av 1'lx'cl-cta! , iod.o triot and ianso'?rta`:LOt ativities, and wcuia we a t,!t" '.. 11'4f. rY?Cidt l: ,a to 'eW r ,711 r3t ~. peratioual needs. 13a ..:tTdaT~-'4.i~a Sa--,aILI" "v' , .' r improve and at nd e.ciet"ng w ..?iLOW, a i r r the MLLitar? r:.wive ,. such sysi;?eod. w':..li pr vile m o- :'.tt:ivte' g abal s .n . , 5 , i AA , , control, and -r C L L af,f; , s Will ;anted --ugh m;,? v p' mp'.e sa;rt,l. j, o. r, _ x y'a4en;i 45. s g cdpacivy, any a, r eiiahility. Duerr w:.rlo:wid- t ^iission r vci e " ,, Naili}':.f l :iC Sai:l[lie SMOM6 .x vide gi- oa1.. weather iap.abilii i:r: Tana, s:a u r vehicle:e which pe mi t a'_ ur Ot OM rmtrar ion T p i s. ; in the Casio M111W;cv., v.`' P .a:L. c-, a u,.:J b, pt.sible. 'ice lsi c dja is . ~ Ll Wt 1 Sa nice systems 'Y;.? ffdijpink. da: i t ec"oncmic,, ary and no 11s Lici imps, t"tarcr end L. ~ p. -rid'e ge:acx tic it data s.:oh as tb-s_, r,e, _lr: 1 i m mi. tie operas: ions. Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 ' iA.nni-n.atit'n oLL the ac'cL ttiv3tlLd _ LI, Ja sec..a LLy. u at t & s api;'ea 1 pet ) LULL I' )r i t ; ai runcLi aS. (a.) tac i.1LaLil g i kli!: j ional c ,a:pera,. a T ,., a ,d Zrs4. .L r.., ite per .., di.t::u. ( j.r, vidtt a four;} ~'lr 3ur_rm Itt: re.-pecLittg in tit i;ufldl pL Jicall5 ar'i y ate ::tiv, i ;S, Fut lee devcwi.plr, uL make it desLrai4t' ,p 3e pe,:L,,rMk,1 u V is the at. pi eS oZ 2D, 4i.nIA'fi1 St:at,Cs s'Lpremacy' lei er :nil L. A. Wup-erioorit1 in ..lltC Spiaoe ~C W~a y+ Oct energetically a itt titer space by the L .S., based upon s tip .e i ai i rOgLeSS, dresign ti a) !.a> aC...,.i_:L' kr.o.aiedge, military stre.ngtil, - tat wa s i e i which may be de`t L ec iix? -fit a t _ida~ ti: space; L i1P._ t4 and Lh r is agft app L iE_+ tt..:e*3 in 3.eLaLed matters. ana t- -I- (I; ii;ternati )nally ~peaatic rs Xs; (b) liabi it' reservation of ad problem of Lerferenee between nd landing: of t rritory of 0L`.,er ki;ie eXpi iuaLiO:L dlt ~y ,L lent if lc. and LAat enna cemenE- .I '-apabiii.'_ les, and advantdieuus )Li ate interrrat--;.)nai and deer tnstra` e u?-. necessarily spacer _ ;ivl Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 POLICY GUIDANCE PRIORITY, SCOPE AND LEVEL OF EFFORT 32. Commit and effectively apply adequate resources with a priority sufficient to enable the U.S. /at the earliest practicable time/1 to achieve the objectives as stated in paragraph 31. 33. Relate the resources and effort to be expended on outer space activities to other programs to ensure that the anticipated gains from such activities are properly related to possible gains from other programs which may be competitive for manpower, facilities, funds or other resources. 34. In addition to undertaking necessary immediate and short- range activities related to outer space, develop goals and supporting plans for outer space activities for the longer range, through at least a ten-year period. 35. Study on a continuing basis the implications and possible consequences which United States and foreign exploitation of outer space may hold for international and national political and social institutions. Critically examine such exploitation for possible consequences on activities and on life on earth (e.g., the use of nuclear energy for auxiliary or main power sources or for other applications in outer space which may affect health, or other outer space activities which may affect weather or other factors relating to activities and life on earth). 36. Periodically evaluate and compare the space activities of the U.S. and USSR with a view to determining, in so far as possible, the goals and relative rate of progress of each country's program, PSYCHOLOGICAL EXPLOITATION 37. To minimize the psychological advantages which the USSR has acquired as a result of space accomplishments, select from among those current or projected U.S. space activities of intrinsic military, scientific or technological value, one or more projects which offer promise of obtaining a demonstrably effective advantage over the Soviets 1Budget wants to delete. Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 SECRET M vie;; and to present U.S. outer space prugess n the mos s= ta.r as is consistent with solid achievement is the over-all cram, stress these projects in present and future programming. W. Identify, to the greatest extent posslo e, the interests asuizatons of other Free World nations in cute space with - "-S.-sponsored activities and accomplishments. 39., Develop information programs that wrii xploit fully U.S, .apace activities on a continuing basis; espec lily develop programs er overseas the psychological impact at Sov et outer space 4h. At the earliest practicable date, suujet to limitations sed by the President, use reconnaissance sac~lJ Les to enhance the iligence effort. atioliEd to civil purposes. Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 nsider the extent to which t.,niurataLic . obtained through it;ary use of space, as ::n the case of ir,::onr xissance sateiliL.es; ANNED SPACE FLIGHT ~ me P' th;: earliest practicable time, - ~-i,.a- , ed with manned aa.d exploration, starting with the recovery rom orbit of a mare,=:?d ' iLE,RRNATICNAL PRINCIPLES PROCEDURES AND ARRANGEMEII'S '!tinue t support the pr'Lncip. e thhdc to use wcof outer space ar- corcerncu, r exploration and use by all, and in t consider as a possible U.S. position the ri.gnt T. s{ice. of orbital space vehicles or objects n carnage (b) where the U.S. contemplate q(-ihicles and significant adverse internal seek to develop measures designed t.t.ogt; and (c) consider the usefulness of ,r= emsrts respecting ceiesiiai bodies. 'on(iuct a study of the implications} 10 tag ?ession peaceful uses of outer spat:-w ;is.--Kpression in a manner that would best serve i., so tar as peac , .c i .Lrr space is f.r:o'e Ls connection: .,1 transit through equipped to intl military applications sonal reaction is nimize or count orac ternationa1 Utne national secu r i r_y n a view Lo deli in in; fie interests of C E . Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 :iC3IA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 45,1 Taking into account, among other factors, the relationship of outer space capabilities to the present and future security position of the United States, study- a. The scope of control and character of safeguards required in an international system designed to assure that outer space be used for peaceful purposes only; include in this study an assessment of the technical feasibility of a positive enforcement system and an examination of the possibility of multi-lateral or international control of all outer space activities. b. The relationship between any international arrangement to assure that outer space be used for peaceful purposes only and other aspects of the regulation and reduction of armed forces and armaments. 45.2 Considering fully the relationship of space capabilities to the present and future over-all U.S. military posture, ensure that no international agreements might be reached which would result in a net disadvantage to the United States by sustaining or enhancing over-all. Soviet military capabilities while restricting those of the United States., In this connection, study the relation- ship between any international arrange- ment to assure that outer space be used for peaceful* purposes only and other aspects of the regulation and reduction of armed forces and armaments, 46.2 Ensure that any inter national agreements which would place major restrictions or limitations upon military use of outer space are accompanied by enforceable and positive guarantees of compliance with such agreements. In this connection, study the scope of con- trol and character of safeguards required in an international system designed to assure that outer space be used for peaceful* purposes only; include in this study an assessment of the technical feasibility of a positive enforcement system and an examination of the possibility of multi-lateral or international control of all outer space activities. *This does not necessarily exclude military applications IState, Budget, NASA, NSF and Spec. Assistant to the President for Science and Technology proposal 2Defense/JCS proposal Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 the i.n ~ecest o> establishing an suLe 1v a .vompiishrlent 4-i space flight operations, re se illdizaLed, seek international afire 'ome for..n Cr identification and ra_gistLs_i t `he ner advantage tc natio ..ai s* curie Ar. damage caused by space vehicles; (c) es nLies for space vehicles and the reia :.eo p s ayo. ission; (d) avoidance of interteren:e be F S*'ee t; and (e) the re-entry and landing of spact c 3.her cY design., On the 'cerritory ci path-r na Lor s i.oaa basis fc pure the desirability on such problems si of spac*_ vehicles Liab~ ity fir cation of radi .~ of termination of space vehicles and err hicles, -hrou,gh ;() seek to vnc:ease international L.uopt L: a. in seled.ced ;; i.=,ies rmlating to the peaceful exploration and Est: of ouer spae such means as: a) Arrangements within the =_ ar :work of the ational scientific community including the at -,.,i?-tee on space d he net 3UVd.LLL : 0,Ater space W La.Y t.dYCLII':Y, Li E: SA-Viet Uni in< LnV t ?nai.s.iriia cl fangeme;.tu C 31 _ ar.d mul ti-lateral arrangemennLs wy 1 the U,S, and rtm: t or consui tation and agrees :ant t' spe: ?~ titer:lat >nal -u- OIL the United Nations in ~ , . ti n ill the exploration anc use or o,ater ypm and in s r infra :"s r"?_ S in_g ..:.r s:~nl ~Au - s ija,: e act - w_ L L i)dvelop means and Lake app ?:pt-atr -,Las alts to in nL. re d,s the USSR in. making the sciertifL, an technological LLt :: -- from its cu>:.er space progzaw a.:. 1 Wit: he wcr d at availability and use or sc?lePt-i iC and .. ugicai aLin. ; sec.crLty L.1as:.s i Lt. g~ :aunt j ? ne Lead acciieved by tbl.: UJS? So L )i ter spa-,t r%>l l '- -' --e ;~he a6varLta#?,es the t . s . f rum C; Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 ,SECRET THE SOVIET SPACE PROGRAM 1. Soviet Objectives: The USSR has announced that the objective of its space program is the attainment of manned interplanetary travel. At present, the program appears to be directed toward the acquisition of scientific and technological data which would be applicable to Soviet space activities, their ICBM program, and basic scientific research. While the space program was undoubtedly initiated to serve scientific purposes, one of the primary underlying motivations which continues to give it impetus is the promise of substantial world-wide political and psychological gains for the USSR. Military considerations may have little bearing on the decision to develop certain types of space vehicles, although the successful development of these vehicles may result in military applications. Thus, it can be concluded that the Soviet space program has four major objectives. These objectives will have varying priorities as the program itself progresses and as new political and military requirements develop: a. Manned space travel b. Scientific research c. Propaganda d. Military applications. Of the above, it appears now that flight test priority has been on the scientific and propaganda objectives rather than on man-'in-space or military applications. 2. Back round: Russian interest in space flight dates back to 1903 when a scientific paper was published entitled: "Investigation of Universal Space by Means of Rocket Flight," by the eminent Russian scientist Tsiolkovsky. Several other Russian actions took place during the succeeding years to the present which have been identified as at least partially associated with a space program. These have included the founding of the Soviet Institute of Theoretical Astronomy in 1923, establishment in 1934 of a government-sponsored rocket research program, flights of animals in vertical rockets since the early 1950's, and systematic investigations of moon flight problems starting in 1953. The establishment in early 1955 of the Interagency Commission for Interplanetary Communications was indicative of the Soviet realization that theory and capability for space flight were both feasible and that accomplishment of a long cherished ambition was within sight. Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B0l676R001100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 RET 16 icrity: The Soviets have demonstrates nat they are v J1 Lng a well-planned space flight program. The importance attached .!1--.s program is illustrated by the high quality o the scientists to its direction, by the broad range of tac icies and specialists gaged in its implementation, and by the wealth of neoreticai and appiied saarc being conducted in its support. However, te numbers of space actually launched over the past few years hive not been as .nerous as had been expected and it is apparent tha their actual A.. program is proceeding, at a fairly deliberate ace. While there direct evidence on the priority or the over-al Soviet space program Fir, the military missile program, it is beizev?a that any interference :ween the two would be resolved in favor of the mi site program. To date ;,sever, there is no indication that the space prc:ogr -m has interfered with missile program. t;apabiiities; The Soviet Union dramatica iy demonstrated its 'et, and capability in space flight with the oft, Ling of two earth I.- es in the fall of 1957, and a third in May I?ao. These were w4'd by the launching of three lunar associated enicles in 1959. indicates that the Soviet space program has been built on the zdaF_ bn of military rocketry and guidance systems with military and Eicies probably engaged dually in supporti.g tests or military ._ issiles and space experiments. Thus, alt oough these first its were doubtlessly undertaken for the tu-tnerance or scieentiiic e and for whatever psychological and poi.iLic ii advantage wouid the Soviet military, by intimate participaci n of its nardware, =nxl, and facilities, has been in a position cc utilize immediately :krnwledge for the. enhancement or the Soviet mi Lary position and The realization of more advanced space rojects, particularity )vt, ving manned flight, must be preceded by s vast amount or 'ic anad technological. work directed towards t i~e development or space vehicles, the determination of basic c. erational requirements rittati:Dns, and the creation of an environment n: equipment capable .asi.iining human life in outer space. Since such a program embraces +7ua y .il fields of science and engineering,, the rollowing areas particularly examined for evidence of Soviet tc .hr~ical capability: idde_d nissiles, (including vertical rocket launchir s), re-entry venicies iniues, propulsion, guidance, communication:, space mecicine, wer supplies, and celestial mechanics. t .lie firm association fields with a space program varied considei o:y, it is noted Late of Soviet art in all the sciences re(aired in a space i, is such that no scientific or technical ?7ari Hers of magnitude ,lii -)-?n noted. Four areas deemed critical to a si .ce program have ezc l.y? received considerable attention by the UssR; e.g., development rocket-engine propulsion systems, vertical ocket flights with _ -y(including recovery devices), space medi.cfnt and celestial c :s. (here are indications that Soviet adsvan< -d thinking and study Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl676RO01100010011-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27 i.7CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 in astro-biology apparently have been de-emphasized in favor of providing an artificial environment within a vehicle suitable for manned space flight. 5. Future Capabilities: a. There is no firm evidence of Soviet future plans for the exploration of outer space with either unmanned or manned vehicles. It is believed they will continue and expand their scientific research with further unmanned earth satellites, lunar probes (including satellites and soft landings), solar and planetary probes. Manned experiments will probably be conducted in earth satellites, circum- lunar flights and soft landings on the moon. It is expected that all manned flights into outer space will be preceded by similar tests with animals, unless for political purposes the Soviets attempt a high risk program. Man-in-space programs are confronted by many problems or hazards, the most immediate of which are recovery and life support over extended periods. While data which might lead to solutions or better understandings of both can be obtained from instrumented packages which are orbited and recovered, accomplishment of the same test with animals would provide data of more direct application to subsequent attempts with man. b. The dates estimated for specific Soviet accomplishments in space represent the earliest possible time periods in which each specific event could be accomplished. It is recognized that the various facets of the space flight program are in competition not only among themselves, but with other priority programs, and that the USSR probably cannot undertake all the space flight activities described below at the priority required to meet the time periods specified. At this time it cannot be determined which specific space flight activities enjoy the higher priorities and will be pursued first. c. No attempt has been made to estimate manned space missions beyond the earth-moon realm. The time periods in which the successful development of sub-systems essential to planetary flight activities can be brought to fruition and integrated into a complete space flight system cannot be foreseen. d. Similarly, considerations of military applications have been limited to earth orbiting types of space vehicles. Missions beyond this realm are considered only in the scientific or exploratory sense because we believe they cannot be successfully accomplished in the time period considered. 6. An estimate of a possible Soviet space development program is as follows: Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 SECRET 'SECRET Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 1LE SOVIET SPACE DEVELOPMENT PLWAIM nd the milicary tTllssile program as :ell as within the space :m itself makes it unlikely that all if these objectives will he ic..hao' snrciAed time periods. Inhia: 2_3 -ears after the beasibili v demons ration. ,::a: le, mil=tariiv useful vehicles w;uld>e Satellires:-The dates shown are We earli st in .asi_lail?icy d:?monstrati',ns could aegin . raabl=:y (inc udir.:s biological) satellites 1959 ;, Satellites - The specified Lme petit s for 1 ampl?'shn~rcrts are predicated on the Sav d-:ts a?:z ? ro iou.ly s.r.ecerstjt 1v a(c;_.mpli!.hed a :au )c r dy.lar V h =. 1 4 ..., y~hic: rs-- War 1.... 1 i 1 La4. CAPA11iL1TY DAA..;.. rep r ? s 'nt. t.-he Bar i ies t possib t u C i e 1 r "d in which each r..cu l.. by s'v: ss:uliv accomplished. Ho.erJ'i:I r.ompetitinn between t1'# -d s:' and C:mmunications?__ is 19- J.960 009- 1940 lb 19-190) 19-x9- 190) Mid-196U-mid-196, 1 "a 2 vear 19x3 ac?c.t 1910 190.5 about 1970 i r Approved For owe ee OE T02 CI-F~~b1 8MB016- H ROD1-v666110011 _CJS at rempt6d a tew 1 RE ,f.OO z unds, W orbit satellites 1919 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80B01676RO01100010011-9 SECRET 09, HV GS II 91 IF Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP80BOl 676RO01 100010011-9 SECRET