BACKGROUND MATERIAL FOR 25 OCTOBER

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
30
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 4, 2005
Sequence Number: 
17
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6.pdf1.22 MB
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Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 State Department review completed NGA Review Compl6iwdloved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: ,9l RDP80B01676RO01800010017-6 Fin, ,,l Draft nar.io for Air3t:-1k,1against offensive l.- bases and bombers in Cuba. .. i-ries out Pr e , .d?nt-' S pledge to -' liminar = o f -gin` ive at tr. . and Hemi:;phi-re from Cuba and avoid:, are ern : ,oTt . oi ' _.S. mom-1ntum and position. The pledge carried our ,-'how--. th:i: U.S. h,i will to fight and to protect vital intere>'t o treat .T,?I;orta.nc vise-a-vi> Berlin) . 2. nc dirac t d , a t a if ins ive weapons , keeps focused on Soviet nuclear,--mr(-ence in Cuba in defianc's o Ov, S an r! majority of Sccurity,coi cil. 'err-,, 2, o:I.;ible one time action, may carry ::mal. i er o ,.irther ^calatidn th.-in a series of confront.zt~.ons '-a of time. Soviet decision to risk major war _kelr; to be nIeci_,ivel a ff:cted y by this, action in rn area ? k--vital. to th- _'oviots., _ P, S ; CRET -- SJNSITIVE 4. act_on will avotc danger of a growth of hands- o_:s' Cuh{,' _' Y >.;t t.:.roughout Latin America which might make Ct inc:-ea s r , J' C: i 1 '.Clll_t to s tr T e at offensive weapon' 31 P r--!'nt ~ngr of Latin n Ainericar. to support strong action probably c ',,,ot T -:t maintained fnd fini_t 2ly. 5. . i,sna1., clearly tl-_at U.S. not prepared to b main bases Cuba dos no,,i_tion.^a i.n Ea lin, NA and els where. 6. :' :?-mnnstrato to Cubans, Castro and cther : th, wsakness of position 1.n Cuba. In the absence of an strong ~{7viet rear i_c'r :. ?f 'nse of Cuba, C,'e would tint the TV ' C-.,. } of disenchantment r n,,,' s t o 'to and Ca -;trona.nd Cuba .n r- I ':inc lon the Sov'. +r- Union. 'j:. woul~ ,w,saken any t:,. ndanc'" - rely on Soviet; el_sewher- in wort 7. Remove; t-:iry thr.cat to from Crib. n t r~rr; t-r,r..?. 8. Don . _ '.hch^v a ?oc'; i _ble heap victor-. t-' 17'071h SUCcCssful m?inf ni'- n FfcnsiV,. W a' o Cu apon,; in JU!~a . Approved For Release 2005/06/1 Approved For Release 2005/06/14 ,CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6 Final Draft TOP SECRET - SENSITIVE DISADVANTAGES 1. This action,may force Khrushchev to react st-ongly and could result in some type. of war. ir;hchev will n.at order launch of a missile from Cuba unless he ,.s ready for war essentially on other grounds. There is greater likelihood of a riposte in kind. However, it is unlikely that the risks of major war are greater than through escalati_n of blockade. .2. There is remote possibility that some local Soviet commander in Cuba may order firing of a missile. 3. Adv -.rse effect on U. S. image of initiation of use ,of force against a small country. This can be minimized by making attack selective and focused on Soviet offensive weapons. At same tine there would be positive increments to our image from, demonstration of clear willingness to take on the Soviets in protection of our vital interests. 4. Unless carefully handled could damage long-range U.S.-Cuban relations . 5'. May not totally eliminate offensive weapons thus calling for follow up at-vacks and/or invasion, unless full aid unlimited international inspection is agreed to. Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CJA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6 .Final Draft ECRET -- S NSITIVE ,7EQUISIT_; FOR D :CI ~IOZ1 1. `Tto of U.3, rcsolut 7_on in Security Council- 2. Evidence that Soviet:; hav^ continued build-1. p of n;~ ;tang offcn ivc capabili'--y in Cuba in defiance of Presidontial warning and OAS resolution. ^CTTO"ITS PRIOR OR SIT_ULM-NEOUS TO STRIKE 1. I:'hi.te. Hou: e statement . that. offensive build-zfp cont:L_nuing, a. dangerous and provocative act, which incraa ;e Urav .ty of s'ituation. Repeats warning for those engaged' '_n thl- work. 2. Delivery of. copy of I.,hite House statement to Cuban rcpr.3sentative at UN., Evacuation warning (as long as militarily fear } b1 i= to personnel in ll~strike areas by leafl:it drop. A strike plan dies igned to,accomplish mission with.minimum damage to non-military trrgets. 4. Inform OAS .(Chairman) shortly in advance of str~l.I" . 5. Arrange for hnbassadors to notify Latin American heads of state at zero hour, 6. Inform NATO Allies and others at appropriate tine. 7. Letter to X, delivered at zero hour, describing ac'.:ion and indicating regret 'that continuation of work at offcns i_v 2 sites had forced action, limi_teci.nature of operation, our i Efort to limit personnel losses, and calling for immediate consultations .to reduce world-wide tensions. Approved For Release 2005106/14: CIA-Rb 80B01676R001800010017-6 PAP SECRET - SENSITIVE FOLLOW UP ACTIONS 1. Continuation of close air surveillance. 2. Be prepared to hit SAM sites and airfields if .reconnaissance planes attacked. 3. Immediate report to Organ of Consultation (OAS) and adoption of resolution requesting Soviets to evacuate offensive forces from Cuba under international inspection. 4. Report to UN Security Council explaining limited nature of operation and requesting immediate despatch of .UN observer team to Cuba. 5. Maintenance of blockade extended to include POL until clear evidence is available that offensive bases have been eliminated. . 6. Major Presidential address including special massage to Cuban people. 7. Appropriate leaflet drops over Cuba. - Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 -P- SECRET October 25, 1962 POLITICAL PATH ? This path has several branches, both as to the forum in which negotiations are carried out, and with regard to the steps to be taken. With respect to the forum, we are already in the UN and this could be combined with private approaches on the side. We could follow up the U Thant proposals in order to get into prompt discussion with the Soviets. This is almost essential since the Soviets will almost certainly not put forward or in- dicate agreement to proposals publicly made. Another method would be to propose or have someone such as U Thant propose a direct meeting with Khrushchev. He has publicly indicated his readiness for such a meeting ire.-- his letter to Bertrand Russelland could not have been expected, at this stage, to have made proposals directly to the President for fear of a rebuff. It would be difficult, however, for him to refuse an invitation from the President. A direct meeting would have to mean the continuance of the quarantine and would be difficult for us unless there was progress on proposals to ensure a standstill under UN control. It would probably involve discussions over Berlin or, as a minimum, our missile base Turkey. A prompt proposal for an agreement to a meeting Approved JgRl~elease 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 II f, ~1 ' < Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Q'SECRET with Khrushchev might defer or avoid strong Soviet reaction to our stopping one of their ships. As a background for political action that would have any hope of success, it would be important to minimize, so far as possible, any forceful action against Soviet vessels in carrying out the quarantine. Approved For Release 20,QM.DP80B01676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 ET _XQP-SECR Theloilowing political actions might be considered: 1. Aproposal in some forum to withdraw our missiles from Turkey in return for Soviet withdrawal of their missiles from Cuba. This might be expressed in generalized form, such as withdrawal of missiles from territory contiguous or in proximity of the territory of the other. .2. An alternative approach might be to have a proposal for the UN to send teams to Cuba and Turkey to take control over the missiles there pending the outcome of negotiations. U Thant might be put up to advancing such proposals. SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 - Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6 TOP SECRET Approach to Castro ? An approach would be made to Castro through a Latin American representative in Cuba, probably the Brazilian Am- bassador, pointing out that Cuba was merely being exploited in the interests of the Soviet Union and that any of the possible paths by which the Cuban crisis can be expected to develop will result in the overthrow of his regime, if not its physical destruction. It could be pointed out that President Kennedy has stated that only two subjects were not negotiable between the United States and Castro: military ties to the USSR and aggressive actions of any kind in Latin America. If the Castro Government considers it has no free- dom to act because of the presence of Soviet technicians, we would be prepared to undertake to deal with this problem. We would have to give some assurances, regardless of whether we intended to carry them out, that we would not ourselves under- take to overthrow the regime or support others trying to do so. Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6 "Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010017-6 GONFIDENTIAL DENUCLEARIZATION TRACK 1. It may take as much as 24 hours to persuade the Brazilian Government to sponsor our resolution in place of theirs in the Organ of Consultation and the United Nation;. A telegram to Ambassador Gordon and conversations with the two Brazilian Ambassadors here would initiate action. 2. With Brazilian sponsorship it should be possible ir. 24 hours to secure action close to unanimity by the Organ of Consultation on the resolution. Telegrams to our Ambassadors in each of the Orgarof Consultation countries, as well as Ambassadors here, would be utilized to secure support. 3. Immediately the Organ of Consultation has acted the Brazilians should submit a similar proposal to the United Nations for approval. ' There is attached a draft resolution which we would ask the Brazilians to sponsor. It is possible that the above 48 hour schedule could be cut, and, if approval is given tonight, the Organ of Consultation might act Saturday morning. Approved For Release 2005/06/'ONJM01676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 WHEREAS: CONFIDENTIAL The Council of the Organization of American States Actin,; provisioially.as Organ of Consultation in its Resolution of October 23, 1962, recognizing that "Incontrovertible ev _dentle has appeared that the Government of Cuba, despite repeat;ed warnings, has secretly endangered the peace of the Cont:vnent: by permitting the Sino-Soviet powers to have intermediate a rd middle-range missiles on its territory capable of carrying flue e ar warheads" called for "the immediate dismantling and withdrawal fro C m uba of all missiles and other weapons with any offensive capability; the e The establishment of nuclear missile capability on the territory of an American Republic which did not possess such capability at the date on which the Inter_ American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance came into effect creates a situation which would endangerkthe peace and security of the continent and is thus inconsistent with the purposes and principles set forth in the Charter of the OAS; THE COAS/OC to Decides that no American Republic referred to in the preceding paragraph shall establish or permit the within its territory of n7aclear he missiles or missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads; CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 D R A P 1 'i' r e : E, E s: R 11 RR f/ei Yor ,ls = h 6.. relieve acki11- m nr@nnga7 offers nnggibi-..'it i hp l nf, i Cuban si aati.on., Tt Appears to ? aartment that of -waricrarr PI rt., -, w.,_~ n-pen for disposal problem c2reatef b,* build-un Covi } nf-T'r n i Cuba, this perhaps most attractive and feasible fa,A 'nll ri ncr -, t-, ,r::. (a) Assuininp, Communists will be wil l in??! absrdnrm n' r*,r nuclear base i_n face our n ruress without reauiri-no nuiii i r'n , which is our present nPaoti.&tir_P nosition. nroposa one would o f'wr s:,itr.artiv'r, facersavi"-a v out f'o,? ,,,,,: ..~ particularly trine 41,nee rrnserFt nrnno~-a]. Is bona f'-',OF TA 4,.i:-4 4 Cuba cOu _G aceQIlt; on arnnivr`.ra t.hcztr r31wf~r_ -i f7 to qa T, 1 _ ake entire $'"nn roiC t:!?I` 't'fmn "o-z- t'! Whje&, thew .r! siI- nrert- h. stirQ : Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 _a piospeea: it .davana and Moscow did not find a way ~_o arArE)ve the offensive installations. 7. s persuasive sit of movement towar ,9.001001x7 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY `~Q~KOY'Q~~Ull4'L~ THE CRISIS USSR/CUBA Information as of 0600 25 October 1962 PREPARED FOR THE EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL. FURTHER DISSEMINATION OF INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT AUTHORIZED. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 TOP SECRET r A { 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/06/14: CIA-RDP80BO1676R001800010017-6 Approved For Release 266 66/1 -:'I _DP 800010017-6 No change has been noted in the pace of construction activities at the identified MRBM and IRBM sites. The es- timated dates of operational readiness for these sites re- main as previously reported. (Two MRBM sites are believed already operational, three others will probably become operational today, and the sixth on 28 October. Of the three IRBM sites, one may become operational by 1 December and the other two by 15 December.) Photography I Irevealed no new missile sites, and no additional m , missile transporters or erectors at already identified sites. There is increasing evidence of camouflage at several sites Among the Soviet ships formerly en route to Cuba whi