COMMENTS ON OFFENSIVE MISSILE STRENGTH IN CUBA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01676R001800020026-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 19, 2010
• Sequence Number: 26
• Publication Date: November 5, 1962
• Content Type: IM

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/19: CIA-RDP80BO1676RO01800020026-5
25 YEAR
RE-REVIEW
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
Office of Current Intelligence
5 November 1962
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM
SUBJECT: Comments on Offensive Missile Strength in
Cub a
1. We believe that the Soviets intended to de-
ploy a total of five missile regiments in Cuba, two
at San Cristobal and one each at Sagua la Grande,
Guanajay, and Remedios. Our estimate of a planned
total of 80 missiles in Cuba (48 MRBM, 32 IRBM) is
based on relatively firm intelligence on Soviet mis_,
sale operational concept. According to this concept,
each regiment commands two sites, each site contains
four launchers, and each launcher has two missiles
providing an initial launch and a single refire capa-
bility. This means a total of eight missiles per
site and sixteen missiles per regiment.
2. This pattern was substantially realized at
n-_i
all of the MRBM -44--- A
n
San Cristobal sites and 10 at Sagua la Grande. The
por ers at four of the six MRBM sites
vorvmore+ath
,
an
one missile per launcher, leads us to believe that
the Soviets intended to follow normal doctrine and
provide two missiles per launcher at each MRBM site
in Cuba.
3.
UWJ' Pxuoanly is incomplete because of
Soviet efforts at camou age an
concealment. In short, we believe that there almost
certainly are more BM missiles in Cuba than the 33
4. On 4 November, Kuznetsov in conversation
with Mr. McCloy alluded to the presence of 41 Soviet
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missiles in Cuba (presumably either MRBM or IRBM or
both). Although we cannot substantiate the Kuznet-
sov statement, the number used would accord with our
estimate that about seven ships carrying at least
six missiles and missile transporters each have ar-
rived in Cuba. If we assume that the number of mis-
siles actually delivered was 41 or 42, then 7 or 8
have not been detected to date.
5. Regarding IRBMs, we observed some missile
support equipment at Guanajay. Although we do not
believe any appreciable quantity of IRBM equipment
reached Cuba, we cannot rule out the possibility
that a few IRBMs did arrive and remain undetected.
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