ADDITIONAL FACTORS IN WESTERN EUROPEAN OPINION RELEVANT TO FAR EASTERN ISSUES

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1
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RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 21, 2003
Sequence Number: 
32
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Publication Date: 
October 15, 1955
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1.pdf384.41 KB
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t~ 7-539) Approved t Release 2O3 J FWIWP80B0W6R004200110032Ct7-OiS C) ADDITIONAL FACTORS IN WESTERN EUROPEAN OPINION RELEVANT TO FAR EASTERN ISSUES October 15, 1955 State Dept. review completed Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1 Approved.,or Release 2003/05/08: CIA-RDP80B6id76R004200110032-1 CONFIDENTIAL TABLE OF CONTENTS WESTERN EUROPEAN OPINION RELEVANT TO FAR EASTERN ISSUES Page Foreword 1 Highlights 2 Communist China and U. S. Policy 4 What About Formosa 9 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1 ApproveddG.dr Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BOOd76R004200110032-1 CONFIDENTIAL FOREWORD This report provides a supplement to "Opinion Trends in the Afternath of Geneva," September 23. It presents an interpretation of Western European opinion since Geneva on a number of Far Eastern issues and problems. The data in this report are taken primarily from poll data drawn from USIA's Barometer Surveys -- particularly from the comprehensive August survey. The cooperation of the USIA is gratefully acknowledged. Nelson A. Rockefeller October 15, 1955 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1 CONFIDENTIAL Approved%F~r Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B76R004200110032-1 `3 ESTERN EUi1.OPE AN OPINION ON FAIR 01'.~ ST,Z RN 'ISSUE'S 1. #Iighlights 1 number of questions in the .l lwgust survey were directed at Way Eastern problems - Formosa, general views toward Nationalist and Communist Chinese, and most importantly - U. ". policies. The U. S. -Chinese Communist ':.mbas:.adorial talks in Geneva had already started when these questions were asked. Judging from the over-all response to Far Eastern problems, as well as from responses to specific ? issue questions, it appears that: ',:.f estern Europeans, as a whole, are interested in Formosa and the ? problems associated with Nationalist China and Communist China only to the extent that they feel an actual eruption of these problems - meaning involvement in war - is imminent tVith fear of war in the Far East at a low point, most Europeans have little real interest in the problems. Perhaps the most significant feature of this over-all disinclination to feel really concerned about the Far 'East is that tr e: tern European opinion seems more willing to, accept U. S. actions without undue criticism. Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80 01676R004200110032-1 CONFIDENTIAL CONFID i:NTIAL Approveder Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B0T6R004200110032-1 _3- .`ithin this context, %J estern .uropean opinion -- favors Communist China's admission to the UN. -- is about divided on whether the U. S. should oppose by force of arms a Communist attack on F ormosa. -- overwhelmingly prefers. "not to take sides" in a war between "Communist and anti-Communist powers" or, more specifically between the U. S. and Communist China. -- would rather see Formosa put under UN control than remain under Nationalist China or go to Communist China. -- holds a very unfavorable opinion of both Nationalist China and Communist China. In contrast to the widespread sense of alarm that spread through \ estern urope last February over the flare-up in the Formosa ,.traits, most people now feel that the chances of war breaking out in the Far East are iairly remote. In three major countries -- Great Britain, France, and est Germany (the question was not asked in Italy) -- an average of only 6 %%% of the general public -- 5/,, of the upper level - opinion leader ship group -- thought the danger of a Y ar Eastern war has become greater in the last few months. 32%6 (general sample) - 42 e(u per level) -- thought the Approved For s 2PS3~%SaCIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1 CONFIDENTIAL Approved' r Release 20& / 1 t? K F t 80BO*76R004200110032-1 2. Communist China and U. S. Policy In the net, responses to a question dealing with whether the U, S. is being ',too tough, " "too conciliatory, " or "about right'' in its rela- tions with Communist China -- indicate somewhat greater favorable than unfavorable reaction to U.S. policies at the present time. Britain Vest Germany France All er Up p All Upper All Upper %p p ~ /p %o To py0 Too Tough 32 36 16 24 20 17 Too Conciliatory 7 7 8 10 7 9 About Right 30 35 27 32 15 22 No Opinion 31 22 49 34 58 52 100 100 100 100 100 100 Apart from the large percentages in Germany and France who have No Opinion on this question - a possibly significant feature of these responses is the virtual split in opinion in Britain and France between those who think U. S. policies are "Too Tough" and those who think they are "About Right. " jx=hile these responses certainly do not underrate the underlying ' touchiness" of opinion toward U. S. Far Eastern actions, they probably reflect - in the net - a better balance of support for U.S. actions toward Communist China than has seemed to prevail for some time -- certainly better than last February. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1 Approved~figr Release 2003/05/08: CIA-RDP80B04 76R004200110032-1 CONFI : :NTIAL - 5 - On whether or not Communist China should be admitted into the United Nations at this time -- pluralities in all four of the major countries 'feel that it should be. Composite Results ALL Should be Should not admitted be admitted No Opinion / ! / / / / / / / / / / / / ! / / 1171 ##################### ##################### f 38% 20% 42% l! l! l l l l f l 7/ f f f l l 1 1; ~'~~'~'~'~'~'~'~~~'~'~ ################ ] fll!lll!llllllllllllll! '~~'~'~'~'~~''~'~'~'~'~ ################~ 43% 26 0 31 % However, note the large percentage in both groups -- particularly among the general public -- who hold no opinion at all on this important question. Whether this is a symptom of basic disinterest in the Far eastern problems or a carry-over of the kind of lack of interest in non-crisis "issues" that seems to characterize over-all 'Western . uropean opinion at this time* is difficult to say. That it may be in part the latter is indicated by responses to a series of questions of an ascending order of "crisis. " See Additional Factors in Western European Opinion, October *see- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1 Approver Release 2003/05/08,: CIA-RDP80Bb4676R004200110032-1 - 6 - To the question: If Communist China should attack Formosa, do you think America should oppose the attack by force of arms, or don't you think so? Composite - Four Countries Should not Qualified Should oppose oppose answer No Opinion lllllll 11 l ******~'~'~' ~' ## %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% I l i l I l I l l I l II '**************** ## %%%010%%%%%%%%%%%%s 26% 30% 4% 40% l l l / l J l / / / / l / l ***~'************+ ## I3PPEk I/ 1 1 11 I /./ l l l l l l l l I l l l I ##1 %%%%a%%%%%% 37010 31% 4% 28% To the question: In the conflict between the Communist and anti- Communist powers in Asia, do you think (survey country) should take a side or not take a side? Which side? (Britain, West Germany, Italy - not asked in France) Com- Anti- 1% P// *********:##### # ####################### *********I################################# 17% 63% / ***********~'* #######################~########## %%T UP P .R [i,i*************I ################################# %% 1% 25% 63% 11% CONFIDi NTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1 Approveddr Release 200aD$DEl& M80B04676R004200110032-1 To the question: If it should come to a war between China (Communist) and the U.S., do you think this country should take a side or not take a side? Which side? Composite - Four Countries C H I N No A U. S. Not take side Opinion ######## r; rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrirrrrrrrirrirr % ########, rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr%%%%%%%% ALL 2% 18010 62%0 ...~ 18% ######### 111 1 1111 r r r~ 1 11 1 1 r r r %%%T? UPPER ######### rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrirrrrrrrrrrr%%%%% 1?f0 22% 6670 11% -- As can be seen from the responses to this series of questions -Western European opinion, as a whole, responds relatively favorably to a situation calling for somewhat abstract support of "rights" over "wrong" as reflected in the question as to whether or not the U. S. should oppose a Communist attack. But these scruples are apparently abandoned in situations calling for "personal involvement." As indicated, a lar e majority prefers Not to Take Sides. -- Note also that the "softness" of opinion - as indicated by the extent of No opinion response - decreases as the degree of personal involvement called for by the situation increases. Approved For Release 2003 055RFfDMALB01676R004200110032-1 Approver Release 200';R g> p 1W- 80B04$76R004200110032-1 On the ultimate "crisis" question -- "If it should come to a war between China and the U.S. do you think this country should take a side or not take a side? Which side? -- there is a relatively encouraging degree of support for "siding with the U. S. " among better informed British groups as compared with other sectors of European opinion. Britain Other Countries All Upper All UT 1p r %o - oho 0/0 0/0 Side with China 2 3 1 - Side with U.S. 35 44 12 15 Not take side so 47 67 72 No opinion 13 6 20 13 Surprisingly enough - considering the high propensity among Western Europeans generally for not taking sides - British opinion leaders almost split between "siding with the U.S." and "not taking sides." This may of course be a reflection of far greater interest in Far Eastern problems in Britain than elsewhere but it would also ?eem to indicate that in spite of criticism of U. S. Far Eastern actions - occasionally (last February!) reaching a crescendo - better informed Britains show a relatively high degree of support for the U.S. in a "crisis." Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B01676R004200110032-1 Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80B 76R004200110032-1 French opinion on the "crisis" question confirms other indicators of rather massive popular "disinvolvement" from the Far East and its problems: France All Upper % O Side with China 2 - Side with U. S. 5 8 Not take side 71 76 No opinion ZZ 16 It seems perfectly clear from their response that Frenchmen are fairly unanimously agreed not to get re-involved in Far Eastern 3. d hat about Formosa? Western European opinion as a whole plays "safe" in the disposition of Formosa -- fairly sizeable pluralities would rather see Formosa put under: UN control than go to either Nationalist China or Peiping. Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1 Approver Release 2Q&f(QbMP8076R004200110032-1 Composite- Britain, West Germany, France (Not asked in Italy) Should Remain Should With' go to Be put Chiang Communist under UN Kai-shek China control No Opinion 117111 1 ***** ###################1%%%%%%?lo%%%a%%%%%'10 11111 #################### %%%%%%%%%%%?1?%%%% 12% 9%o 36% 43% But the exten t of No Opinion - 43% - indicates the basic lack of interest in the problem. On a follow-up question, a majority of those who thought Formosa should be. put under UN control felt that if the island could not be put under the UN it should remain with Chiang Kai-shek. But this represents a heavily diluted token of positive support for continued Nationalist control of Formosa. Perhaps a clearer indicator of the underlying lack of interest of the Western Europeans in the Formosa problem appeared in responses. to " Who do you like ? " questions. Only a minuscule percentage registered "Good Opinion" toward either Nationalist China or Communist China. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2003/05/08 : CIA-RDP80BO1676R004200110032-1