LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT FROM ALLEN W. DULLES

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80B01676R004300020002-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 25, 2006
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 13, 1959
Content Type: 
LETTER
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP80B01676R004300020002-3.pdf250.33 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2006/07/28: CIA-RDP80BO1676R004300020002-3 1959 The White House Washington 25, D. C. TheP Dear Mr. President: With your note of 5 March 1959, you sent me some TOP SECRET memoranda from Prime Minister Macmillan. outlining certain statements which Khrushchev had made to him relating to atomic weapons is missiles. These memoranda were considered in Executive Session of the United States Intelligence Boar have reached unanimous conclusions. E quote below a summary of these conclusions, and attach the full text of the agreed paper giving more detailed comments. a. A careful scrutiny of Khrushchev's remarks leads us to believe he was utilizing half-truths concerning Soviet nuclear capabilities in support of his political objectives. We note that the line taken by Khrushchev is consistent with previous Soviet statements deprecating the possibility of limited warfare using small tactical nuclear wespeaetas. Khrushchev was probably trying to maintain pressure on the 'West to further the Soviet line at Geneva, i.e., that an elaborate control system to detect small yield tests is unnecessary; to talk down the concept of limited war, particularly with small nuclear weapons, and to engender concern over the "nth" country problem. MORI/CDF Approved For Release 2006/07/26';-- -a -R?P80B01676ROb4 T . S . # 165202 Copy .9 of G Copies Approved For Release 2006/07/28: CIA-RDP80BO1676R004300020002-3 b, Kbr*sbche.vls statement that the Soviet Union is d in megaton weapons than in kiloton and that it did not believe in the concept local wars with tactical nuclear weapons is only partially ur estimates. The Soviets have demon- strated a strong interest in megaton weapons for strategic purposes,, but a wealth of intelligence also supports their considerable interest in the development and-use of small yield weapons for tactical. naval and air defense purposes. C. Khrushchev's statement that the Soviets had more than enough atomic weapons and that they were reducing their investment in the production of fissionable material is contrary to present estimates. Considerable evidence .bee continued expansion of the Soviet fissionable production for military purposes. While we be-- viets have enough nuclear weapons to launch a, sizeable strategt c attack against the United States, its Allies and its overseas bases, we do not believe that their present stockpile is sufficient to satisfy all their require- meats for tactical weapons and particularly for air defense. d. Khrushchev's statement that they presently had a aterrnediate range ballistic missiles from mobile platforms at targets in turope, North Africa and Asia and that they were pretty near the point of being able to fire ICllMa also from mobile platforms is essentially in agreement with the U. S. estimate on Soviet missile capa- bilitlees. We caarasiider that the ICBM can be rail mobile. but will require certain r ainimum fixed facilities at each launching as ite. e. Khruslhchev's indicated desire t weapons or information for making them, from spreading to additional countries including the Chinese is in accord with our present estimates. T.S. # 165202 Copy " of (o Copies Approved For Release 2006/07/28: CIA-RDP80BO1676R004300020002-3 Approved For Release 2006/07/28: CIA-RDP80BO1676R004300020002-3 I should be glad to discuss with yof or atu+ l%rnent if you feel any rtfon is required. DCI Encl. (All/copies filed in office of DD/I Distribution: Copy # 1 - The President Copy #2 - DCI w/basic Copy #3 - DDCI Copy #4 DDI Copy #5 - AD /SI Copy #6 - ER Rospectfully yours Allen W. T.S. #165202 Copy 3 of 6 Copies Approved For Release 2006/07/28: CIA-RDP80BO1676R004300020002-3 SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION REGISTRY SOURCE W: . Letter +c; the e President L CIA CONTROL NO. 165202 DOC. NO. DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED DOC. DATE COPY NO. of 6 LOGGED BY NUMBER OF PAGES HS NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS ATTENTION: This form will be placed 'on -top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intel- ligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to -the document until srch time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. Access to Top Secret matter is limited to Top Secret Control. personnel those individuals whose official duties relate to the matter. Top Secret Control Officers who receive and/or release the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of custody in the left-hand columns provided. Each individual who sees the Top Secret document will sign and indicate the date of handling in the right-hand columns. ~~- REFERRED TO RECEIVED.. RELEASED SEEN BY OFFICE SIGNATURE DATE TIME DATE TIME SIGNATURE AND OFFICE DATE c Reg . 3/16/ 59 3/16 159 wK. NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detachod from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate spaces below and transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for record. DOWNGRADED DESTROYED DISPATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA) TO BY (Signature) TO BY (Signature) WITNESSED BY (Signature) BY (Signature) DATE DATE OFFICE DATE FORM NO. 1 APR 55 USE PREApprovedli"oV Release 2006/07)~g :Ug P80BO1676.ROO4,300020002-3