MEMORANDUM FOR THE DIRECTOR FROM PAUL V. WALSH

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M00165A002600110031-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 14, 2004
• Sequence Number: 31
• Publication Date: April 25, 1977
• Content Type: MF

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Attached are two NSA reports that we
represent analytic efforts. The first is
that disagrees with CIA analysis and goes
TAIea of net threat assessments.
Orig by D.Lawrence/25 Apr 1977
Distribution:
Orig -.DCI (w atts)
1/- ~~CI (wo atts)
~I - ER (wo atts)
- DDI (w atts)
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13 April 1977
STAT
SUBJECT: Development of Analytic Techniques
1. The development of analytic techniques for intelligence
purposes has been an activity of high priority in the DDT area
for several years. The areas ticked below represent subjects which
engage substantial DDI analytical resources:
-- Our strategic and economic research offices have
used innovative approaches to complex intelligence
problems.
-- The Methods and Forecasting Division in the Office
of Regional and Political Analysis studies analytic
techniques employed by academia and industry, and
then tests, adapts, and applies selected techniques
to the needs of political intelligence
We could brief you on the specifics of these activities if you
would like.
2. Some ORPA techniques are quantitative-and computer-based
procedures; other use the collective expertise of CIA analysts, e.g.,
3. These analysts keep in close touch with local research
institutes and the academic world.
STAT
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 STAT
STAT
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4. The DDI is not fully equipped to tackle "experimental"
projects, but we are aided by the Office of Research and Development..
ORD manages:
5. We agree that we must continue to pursue ways of improving
our analytical techniques and indeed will be devoting substantial
effort and funding in our program planning.
6. Attached is a rather full description of the work being done
on exploratory research in ORD.
2
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 STS,
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MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director
Attached is a short answer to the DCI's
interest in our analytical techniques. A
more complete answer would probably best be
done via a briefing.
A/DDI
Date 14 APP 1977
5-75 oI EU OIT1ONS IOUs
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Next 6 Page(s) In Document Exempt
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77.7Qg.J
MEMORANDUM FOR: Mr. Knoche
FROM : Admiral Turner
SUBJECT : Intelligence Analysis
1. Along with your continuing efforts to improve our
analytic capabilities, I would like to encourage work both within
and outside the Agency in the refinement of existing analytic
methods/techniques and the development of new ones.
civilian sector.
2. Research on better ways for doing analysis is a logical
area for Agency people to work cooperatively and openly with
individuals and civilian academic institutions on a common
problem. This type of activity can help restore trust and con-
fidence in the Agency, while benefiting both government and the
STANSFIELD TURNER
Admiral, USN
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