NFAC CONTRIBUTION TO DCI ANNUAL REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M00596A000300040001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 3, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 21, 1978
• Content Type: REPORT

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NFAC CONTRIBUTION TO DCI ANNUAL REPORT
I. 1978 in Intelligence
B. New or Altered Emphases in Analysis
Significant new demands on and problems for intelligence analysis
required a shift in the emphasis of analysis in several substantive
areas. These areas ranged from traditional intelligence concerns, such
as the strategic balance and China, to newer global preoccupations, such
as the changing oil picture and the state of the world economy. In 1978
changes in the African and Middle Eastern situations also led to shifts.
in analytic emphasis, while recently quiet areas such as Indochina,
Afghanistan, and Iran became subjects of renewed attention.
The Strategic Balance'and Perceptions' About It
Increased attention, as well as some alteration in analytical and
presentational methods, has been prompted in part by developments in the
USSR and in part by US policymakers' needs. Rough strategic equality
and continued Soviet force modernization have confronted intelligence
with more sophisticated and more complex issues revolving around the
relationship between Soviet and US/NATO strategic capabilities. Ongoing
Soviet R&D programs in both strategic offensive and defensive systems
have focused additional attention on the breadth and continuity of these
Soviet efforts and on. the uncertainties attached to our projections.
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