ADDITIONAL COMMENTS ON PERSPECTIVES FOR INTELLIGENCE, 1975-1980

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M01082A000800110007-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 6, 2004
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: July 1, 1974
• Content Type: MF

J U L 1974
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : GFA-RDR..8DM0 J12A Q$00110007-9
ORD 2458/1/74
1E 0RA dDt;M FOR: Executive Assistant/DD/SP-t
SUi)JECT . Additional Convents on Perspectives for Intelligence,
1975-1930
1. In foniulating our long-range plans for R&D work we have identi-
fied world food production, supply, demand, control, and distribution as
likely future problems important to the Intelligence Community. We
recommend that additional consideration be given to them in "Perspectives
for Intelligence, 1975-1980,"
2. As world population and affluence have increased and food con-
sumption has outpaced per capita production, global food reserves have
decreased. The equivalent grain reserves as a share of the total grain
consumption has decreased from 26% in 1951 to 10% in 1973 (8% projected
for 1974). Low, food reserves leave the world in a dangerous short-term
position in the event of adverse crop years. "Moreover, climatologists
predict with high confidence that average earth temperatures will decrease
in future years leading to a reduction in crop yields of as much as 30%.
3. The food problem could be emphasized in the paper by adding the
following:
Page 3, first sentence: change to read "The changing balance
between the world's supply of and demand for natural resources
and food and the increase in population will strain the world's
political, economic, and -social institutions."
Page 9, insert after first full sentence and before last
sentence of paragraph 8: "Food shortages triggered by
regional crop failures and/or long-term climatic changes com-
pounded by shrinking world food reserves could cause dispro-
portionate deaths and economic and political upheavals for
some of the Third World nations."
/s/
25X1
Director of Research & Development
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP80MO1082A00080011.0007-9
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