19 AUGUST MEETING OF ASD(I) INDICATIONS AND WARNING REVIEW GROUP

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M01082A000900060011-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 6, 2004
• Sequence Number: 11
• Publication Date: August 27, 1974
• Content Type: MFR

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IC 74-2020
27 August 1974
MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD
SUBJECT: 19 August Meeting of ASD(I) Indications and
Warning Review Group
1. Meeting began at 1530 in Mr. Wallace Hendersos:'s
office, The Pentagon, 3E279. Those attending were Mr. Hen-
derson (ASD(I), ?RADM Coughlin and Col. Sparks (JCS),
Dr. Adams Mr. Markham and CDR Zimmer
(State), and Purpose of the meeting was to
review the assignment an progress of tasks and reach agree-
ment for a proposed interim progress report to be briefed
to the I&W Review "Senior Group" on 16 September 1974.
2. Mr. Henderson displayed on the blackboard the five
principal study programs and assignments that had previously
been agreed upon. Additionally, a sixth proposed study area
was introduced by Mr. Henderson. The study areas and assign-
ment are as follows:
(a) IfW system support to NSDM 242 illustrative
scenarios.--JCS (RADM Coughlin)
(b) I&W system support to non-nuclear crisis
management (Precisely, an analysis of IFW activity
prior to the October Mid-East War.)--IC Staff--
(c) Interactive collection tasking/data corrlation.--
(d) IEW systems survivability analysis.--NRO.
(e) Compartmentation and Multilevel security.---
ASD(I). (I believe its to be done by MITRE under
c 11=ct to ASD(I) )
--and the new task,
(f) A comprehensive IFfW Systems Compartmentation
briefing for those elements/people who provide direct
support to the WSAG.--Mr. John Hughes
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3. RADM Coughlin was the only one prepared to give a
progress report. He distributed a proposed "work plan"
(attached) and noted that his effort would be completed in
four stages. Briefly, the Coughlin effort will (a) prepare
three illustrative scenarios and identify information nee(Is
for each, (b) identify existing and planned collection
systems to satisfy these needs, (c) compare anticipated
collection performance with information requirements, and
(d) develop recommendations to correct deficiencies.
4. During RADM Coughlin's presentation he turned to
me and remarked that he was disappointed by "the lack of
support from the DCI." I asked what he meant by that and
he replied that his people had asked for help in developing
scenarios and no help had been received. I replied that I
was unaware of any outstanding request, but if the Admiral
would cite some specific tasks I would check into it.
RADM Coughlin stated his people had undertaken the tasks
themselves and he had no new requests at this time.
Mr. Henderson broke in and commented that there was no
problem with the IC Staff, but, he too was disappointed
over the lack of CIA interest and effort in the overall
project. I reminded Henderson and Coughlin of my remarks at
the start of the meeting, to wit-due to Mr. Heyman's leave
and the press of business, the CIA repre- V25X1
sentative,was compelled to remain at the operations center
and that, for this meeting, was representin CIA as well ._ eaCAo
as the IC Sta I again asked ror specific examples Of
lack-`o support. Col. Sparks spoke up and stated that CIA
had been requested to participate in the development of the
three illustrative scenarios (Central Europe, Iran, and
Sino-Soviet Border). According to Sparks the CIA replied
that they would review and comment on draft papers, but as
a matter of policy would not initiate a contribution. I
then noted the three proposed scenarios and asked for copies
so that I could request a CIA review. Sparks replied that
they were not ready for distribution.
5. The discussion about the scenarios prompted Dr. Adams,
the senior State representative to inquire about the relation-
ships between the ASD(I) effort, the Interagency Crisis
Management Task Group (formerly under VADM King) the C&C stud-
group under RADM Corley and NSDM 242. Mr. Henaerson gave
what I thought was a rather incomplete response and emphasizoi
that the ASD(I) group should be considered "a major subgroup"
of the Crisis Management Task Group.1As such the ASD(I) effort
would be a comprehensive review of I&W requirements and asset--;
for the-entire community. I broke in and stated that I had
attended every meeting of the crisis management task group,
I was privy to all correspondence, and yet was unaware o
any such charter for the ASD(I) effort. I further stated
that the Terms of Reference for the ASD(I) effort were
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quite explicit in identifying it as a review of DOD assets
and requirements. Further, that the DCI had agreed to
participate in this DOD review and my presence was evident-_
of that willingness to cooperate. I closed with an after
thought that CIA's position did not seem contrary to this
understanding. Mr. Henderson responded that he had been ~~-
vited to be present at each crisis management task group
meeting and report on the status of the ASD(I) Review.
I noted that I had seen him at several meetings.
6. Col. Sparks then invited the group's attention to
the second and third phases of his effort. He noted that
much of the proposed work would involve-analys.is.of present
aJn-d future collection syste s and asked if the .j.C Staff
wouTbe able to contribute... I replied twat we did indeed
have a division concerned with collection matters, and I
would pass his request to my superiors.
7. Later in the meeting Mr. Henderson asked for a copy
of I&W Study dealing with the October Mid-Ea-;t
War. I explained that was due to return from 25X1
leave the week of 26 August and I would advise him of
Henderson's request.
8. There was no discussion on any of the remaining
tasks other than a statement by Mr. Henderson that he would
like to have a "dry run" progress report session on or
about 9 September in preparation for the "formal" progress
report to be given to the IE,W Review Senior Group on 16
September. Henderson identified the members of the Senior
Group as Hall--ASD(I), Vest--State, Graham--DIA, Wilson--DCI/ICS,
Sitton--JCS/J-3.
9. Comment. I believe our early concerns are proving
justified. was initially identified as a DOD study
now being touted as a community review. If the present trend
continues I can envision an increasing burden upon the IC
Staff (a parade of advisors from CPAD, increased requests
for studies by briefings and more meetings, etc.).
All of this for an e fort that I believe to be of dubious
value to the DCI. In fact, after the most recent meeting
the DIA representative expressed serious
reservations about net gain for his Agency. Similar
concerns were expressed by CDR Zimmer--State, in a phone
call to me the next day. I believe we must clearly ident-_:y
the DCI's equities, if any, in this effort and use that ai
the basis for a decision to either fully commit IC Staff
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personnel or extricate ourselves completely. My own feeling;
is that there is much more to be gained by devoting our
limited resources to the Interagency Crisis Management Task
Group (now under General Sitton) and to the C&C Study Group
under RADM Corley. Further, a new NSDM is imminent,wh..ch
will require us to participate in a continuing interagency
crisis management evaluation group, and will require CIA to
participate in a senior-level support group to the WSAG. All
of these, in my view, militate against any further involverr.tant
in the ASD(I) effort.
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LcDR ?sV
Distribution:
1-IEjW Review File
1
1
1
1
1
1-PRD Chrono
1- j
1- Chrono
1-TB Chrono
1-IC Registry
(CIA/Ops. Ctr.)
4
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 TASK A - Information Needs
1. Prepare scenarios in which the United States might
reasonably employ nuclear weapons. Refer to the work con--ucted
I OPOSED WORK PLAN
N,SD'i 2112 IPdFOHINATIOi; SYSTE1N1 SUPPORT
by the NNTAP planning group and SAGA in (a) Central EurooE~,
provedf oh-IeI
Iran and (c) Soviet/Chinese border.
2. Identify situations in each scenario which would indicate
a decision is required by the NCA/JCS. Identify options
available to the decisionmaker at these points.
3. Determine the minimum essential information necessary
for the decisions in TASK J%2. Consider, the functions, tha.
must be performed, i.e., (a) situation assessment (b) fcrnula-
t. ~_on of options (c) selection of option (d) reassessment :)f
situation in order to make a ne7.. decision.
Specify range of values for the information wi.tl
to accur. ac,= , and level of det--ii.
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PROPOSED WORK PLAN
NSDM 242 INFORMATION SYSTE14 SUPPORT
TASK B - Information Sources
1. Identify existing and planned systems offering the
greatest promise for support of decisionmaking. Consider
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sensors, other.
2. Describe system performance in terms of timeliness,
accuracy, availability, communications and processIng, and
display requirements. Consider the effect of the cnviron-
.meat on system performance.
TASK C -.Analysis
1. Compare the performance of the selected systems with
L~ the information needs. Considerations include timeliness n.I
tasking, availability of resources and mission prior'iti`s.
2. Identify the major deficiencies of the in
systems. Be specific rs to location of fault, e.g , seisoz
corr,mur_icatj.onc, prc)ce:c:,i ng,, o,_, c _cplay .
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PROPOSED WORK PLAN
NSDP4 242 INFOR11A 'ION SYSTEM SUPPORT
TASK D -- Recommendations
1. Identify options for correction of the deficiencies
listed in TASK C. Estimate costs and schedules.
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