RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MID-RANGE DOCUMENTS AND LONG-RANGE PERSPECTIVE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80M01133A000800090006-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 16, 2004
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: September 11, 1975
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2004/10/28`:.dIk:4DP80M01133A0008000 0"4( -
hCI/1C 75-1036
11 September 19'.
SUBJECT . Relationship Between Mid-Range Documents
and Long-Range Perspective
1. The concept of an NFI Planning Process is good,
however, major problems remain to be solved with regard to
the organization and functional relationships which surrount.
the "arrows" in the diagram. Success of the overall proccs:;
will depend largely on how the "Arrow Mechanisms" are char-
acterized.
2. The. following thoughts contribute to characteri:;ink,
the arrow mechanism between the mid-range planning docufent:;
(i.e., DCI Perspectives, DCID 1/2) and the I,on -lZange
Perspective for Intellifence: 1980-90. On one hand it i!'
clcaria-f tie long-range document is to be used to devei op
more tailored long-range views and related resource i_mplica
tions in the individual Functional Plans. These views, in
turn, will feed the development of the next. annual iteration
of the long-range perspective. Conversely, little atter.tio~
has been paid to the question of how the long-range persi3ec :i~. c
should impact the mid-range perspectives and vice versa.
The problem is depicted diagrammatically below.
MID RANGE LONG RANGE
DCI Perspectives = } Long Range
DCID 1/2
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3. Part of the arrow mechanism concerns the rela.t:>>)ii -
ship between the DCI Perspectives and the DCID 1/2. Althou_h
both documents arc 5-year planning documents there is Litt,
commonality between the two documents. This, in part, add,;
to the confusion as to how they are to be utilized. The
following alternative suggestions are proposed:
a. Combine the two documents so that the DCI
Perspectives contain priority numbers.. In this ca;(,
the subjective judgments would be complemented by
priority numbers. Incidentally, the resource i_mpli'
cations now contained in the DCI Perspectives should
be transferred to the individual Functional Plans.
b. Standardize the country/subject categories
between the two documents. This would facilittite the
use of both documents.
c. Publish the Perspectives first then dei-ive
the priority numbers for DCID 1/2 from the Perspect Or("s.
Both documents should be published prior to fiscal
guidance issuance.
d. Standardize the country/subject categories
of both documents with those in CIRIS or vice versa,,
so that cost data can be readily available for east-
country/subject category which, in turn, has. a
priority number.
e. Convert the priority numbers to relative
values. This will be most important in succeeding
years as the individual Functional Plans seriously
begin to grapple with resource allocation duesLior_!.
4. The following preliminary ideas contribute to
characterizing the arrow connection between the mid and leitg-
range documents.
a. Develop the mid-range view before dove lop iug
the long-range view. The long-range view should inpact
to a lesser extent the mid-range view.
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b. As an input to the long-range view extrrcpol:3tc.
(using system dynamics or scenario building for exa,?J e)
the mid-range views. This is depicted below:
1_.1VIKG.
C:~t7t ~t ~o'-'GI
-5 V
i-: 1.1 A v', c:e ,('
C v "1- 't fvi%E
.c.... l,xtrapolate the DCID. 1/2 priority:number;
(or-relative values) to the long-range period.
5. These thoughts which are confined to one part of
the overall planning concept and others should be developed
and closely examined as progress is made to install a
comprehensive NFI Planning Process. The effective implements-
tion and ultimate success of the Process will depend lar?ely
on illuminating the details surrounding the "arrows" in
the concept paper diagram.
Distribution:
Orig -
Gen.
Rumney
1 -
Mr.
Seidel
1 -
Mr.
Boginis
I
1 -
Col
Hutchins
.
1 - IC Registry 3 - R&AB Files
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