MURPHY COMMISSION STUDY ON US POLICY TOWARD INDIA AND PAKISTAN

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80M01133A001000080051-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 4, 2005
Sequence Number: 
51
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 30, 1974
Content Type: 
NOTES
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80M01133A001000080051-4.pdf142.41 KB
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2bocl - ~1- 7 L-jA Approved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80M01133AO01000080051-4 30 December 1974 Note for the DDI SUBJECT: Murphy Commission Study on US Policy Toward India and Pakistan 1. The attached tome is the product of the studies done by and under Professors Rudolph for the Murphy Com- mission. Rudolph sent me a copy, stating that "comments are most welcome". I do not propose to make,any. 2. The present document consists of an 81-page study by the Rudolphs themselves, done in the finest style of political science, plus a series of separate, more factual, studios by other academics. A short section on "intelligence" begins on p. 18 of the Rudolphs' own paper. More or loss incidental references to intelligence matters appear in the section on "coordination as centralization", p. 30ff., including quotations that are claimed to be st.iLemonLs meclc~ by Mr. Helms in WSAG meetings. We did not furnish any .uatorial of this kind; I assume it comes from NSC file:,. 3. The Rudolph:,' paper is basically an attack on Kissinger, his outlook, which is described as " lobal parochialism", and the way he does business. I _j 25X1 tells me it has raised hackles at State, and can see why. I do not see any "problems" for us here, however. 4. The Agency so far has also had contact of some kind with three of the authors of the individual studies included in the Rudolphs' document. They are Messrs. Stephen P. Cohen, Philip Oldenberg, and Robert Rich. Their contributions are marked with a check in the table of contents. 5. I am also attaching some informal comment from I I As he notes, we would like to have the "big ack, if oossibl_e_ Bill Parmenter DDOCI Attachments: a/s 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80M01133AO01000080051-4 L)U l PProved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80MQ1133A001000080051-4 0 & 1 /att 25X1 1 IC Staff w/R. Cook's paper att. only 1 DDOCI Chrono w/R. Cook's paper att. only:Also MComm.file 25X1 DDI:OCI:WPARMENTER:da:'I27Dec74 Approved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80M01133A001000080051-4 Approved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80M01133AO0100008e05?er 2 7., 19 7I Some Though-:;s on "The Coordination of Complexity in aouth Asia." 1. I've glanced through the first 181 pages of this document and found them rather interesting. he "studies," beginning on page 82, were more factual than the report at the beginning of the book by the hud,lphs and, consequently,, made for more exciting reading. Almost made me nostalgic for the excitement of 1971 in SOA. The Hudolphs, in turn, took me back far beyond 1971 -- to about 1947 and Pot Sci 201. You might try this on your zither: "1'he diffi- culties that arise from synchronic and from diachronic time al-e better man- aged if cosmological pluralism as a world view and insulation and decentraliza- tion as forms of organizational structure and relationships are preferred to cosmological monism and centralization." -- p. 22. 2. The reports that I read are aimed primarily at reviewing and analyzing foriign policy planning toward South Asia as it existed in 1971 and recom- mending changes in those procedures. State and DOD are treated in considerable detail out, appropriately, CIA is given peripheral treatment. 3. 1 found no serious factual errors as regards CIA or the intelligence cow- munity. I am puzzled by Badalph's statement on pale 32 that Helms, at a ;gild me ting on. -L 11ecomber, referred to "four small" airfields when discussing the t.--vets of the Pak air at-pack the preceding day. Our djit 'ep of quoted, without dispute, ::r6, dandhits charge that eighi, irfi ds had been attacked. ( I no longer have the draft briefing for ti.e T?:3AG meeting for the 1}th. ) would. a1.so di.s,)ute :tudalph's statement or the same page that ''Al'ter the fact, CIA analysts wond )rod whether Pakistan esc .laced hostilities from one; local to the international level to save a deteriorating situation by bringing in thud powers or to win a decisive military victory from which to bargain," We concluded from the beginning of the attack that it was designed to bring other powers or the UN into the act. In a special report for Kissinger, dated 6 December, 30A branch examined in detail the start of the war and concludes that Pakistan eeca3,ed hostilities on that date, not in an attempt to gain a quick victory, but in order to force the issue before the UN. r'ina.lly, Oldenburg, on paves 170-172, writes of "weathervaiing" -- slanting analysis to meet the preferences of the top loaders, I can't speak for DI-.A or 1N F, but as far as OCI is concerned~we never slanted our reports in 1971 to conform with what we knew to be the biases at 1660 Pennsylvania Avenue. All of the above is of little import, of course, but I include it to keep the record straight. 4. This report is of sufficient interest that I would hope that the bra oil might eventually reco~ve a copy for retention. Uhlze d rapt 1,!ZA 0CI 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/03/24: CIA-RDP80M01133AO01000080051-4