INDIAN AMBASSADOR HAS INTERVIEW WITH STALIN

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
18
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 19, 2005
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6.pdf524.52 KB
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Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 INDIAN AMBASSADOR HAS INTERVIEW WITH STALIN There is an apparent relationship between India's recent efforts to achieve peace in Korea, its attempts to gain Communist China's admission to the United Nations, its critical attitude toward President Eisenhower's Seventh Fleet announcement and the inter- view granted by Stalin to Indian Ambassador Kumar. P. S. Menon on 17 February. No information regarding the nature of the inter- view is available. In two audiences given to Menon's predecessor, Radhakrishnan, in 1950 and 1952, Stalin displayed an interest only in inconsequential matters. This suggests that the latest interview, like the earlier ones, was intended to win Indian support merely by granting its Ambassador an unusual honor rather than by appealing to it with specific arguments. State Department review completed 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 K. P. S. Menon is a career civil servant who was educated at Oxford, and who has the reputation of a middle-of-the-road man. He is believed to be pro- Western and completely loyal to Nehru. He is not related to Krisha~ Menon, who sponsored the Indian UN resolution for a Korean settlement, and who is suspected of being susceptible to the Soviet line. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 INTERNAL T IRANIAN SECURITY Continuing deterioration of Iranian situation, confusion in Tehran highlighted by: 1. The oil problem. Mossadeq told Ambassador Henderson that on 21 February he would: a) tell Majlis there is no hope of oil settlement. b) recommend sale of oil to anyone including Orbit. 2. Mossadeq's charge~Q amt ~t British don't want a settlement, are trying to overthrow him, using fanatical religious groups, +Communist-front organizations, and the tribes. Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 3. Tribal unrest: a) numerous reports of unrest. b) intrigues appear aimed primarily at strength- ening tribes' position against government rather than overthrow of government. 25X1 d) No indication of unified tribal plot. Concerted tribal effort might result in breakdown of in- ternal law and order. (1}Soviet contacts among tribes, especially Kurds, long reported, evidence slim. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 e) Imminent failure of oil negotiations and continuing internal decline will not necessarily arouse tribes to action. ~.3 "~~ 4. Mossadeq threatened to throw up his hands and re- sign: a) He has threatened to do this before. b) His death or removal might furnish occasion far unified tribal action, especially if successor gavernment is leftist, revolt is foreign-backed. 5. Shah has said he would abdicate, Reportedly in same 1 breath he might take control of government in emer- gency. Latter unlikely in view of his record of indecision and weakness. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 6. The Iranian situation is highly dangerous. For the moment events have brought all of the elements back into a temporary focus, which may be pre- liminary to ti. f final disintegration. This is not the first time in the past two years when Iran's collapse seemed imminent, but the situation now appears more explosive than at any time in immediate past. Approved For Release 2005/06/09 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 LATIN AMERICA LA considers self "forgotten continent" Compare recent aid Europe and LA. They feel US takes for granted LA will give raw materials at our indicated prices as we want them. They buy manufac- tared goods at ever increasing prices. Peran and Company out to show US we are wrong and that LA can get free of "economic servitude" to USA. Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 LA economic and political condition mast Certain exceptions are Mexico - Peru - Uruguay - Venezuela But these are affected by the others These trends highly dangerous to U8 - (~.ow Communists take advantage of Radical -_~? _ Dictatorships 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 -3- LATIN AMERICA (Contd) (Bas1C reasons i'or situation) Basic revolution taking place - .L~taM ~a~ Radical - nationalists based'on left-wing elements taking over. Inexperienced in government - gutted economy Examples are: Peron - Argentina Ibanez -Chile Arbenz - Guatemala Paz -Bolivia Only army keeps same elements from power in Peru - Venezuela Consequence of these Trends (1) Economic Nationalism / (2) Regionalism ~ ~ 7~.L~"'~~-~-4~. (3) Neutralism (~+) Growth of Communist influence Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 (1) Economic Nationalism LA tries remedy of hasty self-sufficiency programs like Argentina They also try import and marketing controls This affects LA-US trade (3.5 billion each way) Also affects US supply vital raw materials Figures are: LA supplies 20~o Free World petroleum 34~ tungsten US copper imports (nearly 50~ US requirements) Nationalization Bolivian tin threatens US supply Nationalization Chilean copper is only threat sti11 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 -5- (I1) Regionalism Based largely on Yankeephobia -led by Argentina Peron attempting eeonamic bloc with Paz of Bolivia and Ibanez of Chile Peron labor attaches try persuade others to abandon ORIT (ICFTU) and loin Peronista ATLAS (anti-US) Peron endangers hemisphere solidarity (Rio pact etc.) with regionalism Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 -6- (III) Neutralism Keep out of US-Soviet involvement Enthusiasm for Korea waned, only Colombia sent troops .~i ~ilaterel military assistance pacts: US approached 9 countries with following results; Completed Cuba Peru Chile Colombia Ecuador Pe-~~ Ref used llominican Republic Mexico Brazil Uruguay LA (20 votes) support of US in UN sometimes precarious Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 ( IV) Communism Thrives on economic nationalism, regionalism and neutralism Not numerically strong, generally operates through fronts Only Guatemala is really dangerous "Dissident" co~aies have Peron's ears Strategic materials go to Orbit 15,000 tons Chilean copper in year ending May 52 (1 year Czech requirements) More LA delegates attend commie conferences 30 delegates to Moscow Economic Conference Aug 52 90 delegates to Peiping Peace Conference Oct 52 200 delegates to Vienna Peace Gonf'erence Dec 52 Argentina talks trade with USSR (Stalin interview) Soviet Missions Satellite Missions Argentina Argentina Mexico Brazil Uruguay Ecuador Mexico Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 -$- Special Situation Argentina Peron gutted economy but has built personal. power and leadership toward "third position" bloc. Since 4 November Peron puts out friendly feelers But basic position change unlikely Brazil Despite fundamentally sound economy Brazil faces crisis due to excess purchasing,, unfavorable trade balance. Curable but needs watching 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 GUATEMALA Political situation outgrowth 194la, revolution against pro-American Ubico "dictatorship." First Arevalo then Arbenz established leftist dictatorship to TMfree" country from military dictatorships social baclcgrounds, economic colonialism, under basic anti-Yankee slogan. Commies infiltrated government and political parties now dominate organized labor despite anti-Communist attitude individual laborers. They have effective alliance with President Arbenz though control only !~ out of s6 votes- in Congress. Mar~r others of 56 crypto Communists. Both pro-government papers use party line. Director ma3or radio station pro-Commie. Director National Election Board and Social Security institute Commies. Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Arn;y basically anti-Commie but loyal to 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 25X1 CONCLUSIONS US surprised at UK, French short-sightedness in Middle East, North Africa But we have had situation at our door - vitally affects us US stock started downward in 19+6 (end OPA) If trends continue Good Neighbor policy hurt and vital material supply threatened. 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6 Approved For Release 2005106109 :CIA-RDP80R01443R000100040002-6