Possibility of Major Soviet Move on Germany

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80R01443R000100250002-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 12, 2000
• Sequence Number: 2
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80RO1443R000100250002-3
Po sibil1ty of Major Soviet Move on `e;rry y
officials !
Moscow by daylight.
arrival;
impression
Press reports state that on or i' iatel.-: prior to 30 June
over 20 high-ranking Soviet Officials in Ea ; t Germs were
recalled to oscow; Nigh C? issi.orrer Semenov believed
- On 1 July, Pavlov (France) paid a far ll call on President
Auriol and was reportedly scheduled to leave " oday or
Air Ax? in East Uarri airj up to 116 aircraft believed to !,
k (UX) and Zarubin (U) left for
et Ambassador to Pola
yet arrived in Warms.
Soviet light-beer units are being withdrawn from the 21t{a
On 30 June, We
IL-28 t s in the
STATINTL
NSA
TATINTL
hen airfield, a base for 60 of
t was reported vacate
NSA & DIA Declassification/Release instructions on File.
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80RO1443R000100250002-3
o or three days iet. bassadors and
Ir posts suddenly to return to Moscow,
York 3 June; trip to
urgency - left Berlin at night shortly after
uai custom is to stop over nigh, u and fly to
 Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000100250002-3
DISCUSSIONt
The sudden and coincident presence in Moscow of the Soviet
Ambassadors to U.S., UK,, and France,,, together with Aan?:'assadors
from Turkey, Iran, Pura* the Charge from Greece (no Msnbasrador)
and Viehinsky appears to be more than the sux ner vacation, sick wife
cover stories will sustain. The recall to Moscow at the same time
of 20 or more high Soviet officials,,$ possibly including Seiner ov, is
additionally curious and may indicate that Germany is the topic of
discussion. In this connectioa# Beria's absence on 27 June from the
Bolshoi later might be explained by his desire for a first-hand
look at the German situation preparatory to these discussions-
there is no evidence to sustain this hypothesis, but it is not wholly
unreasonable; Beria is known to have been concerned with German
problems prior to 1950.
Soviet aircraft have flown in numbers from. the Soviet Zone
back to the USSR before, notably in October 1951 when over 303 Milts
left in the space of two weeks. It is a different matter when a large
number of planes leave under such circumstances as those present in
Gem now, particularly when German forces have recently
demonstrated their ineffectiveness.
USSR may be preparing a major step on Germany - an offer
of free elections and unification if neutralized a rv -+osal for
new fours-power talks on Ger any,, or, STATINTL
a unilateral withdrawal of forces.
This last possibility would place Western powers in a highly
embarrassing position, wreck Adenauerts chances in the September
elections,, induce France,, out of fear of united Germany to revive
the Treaty of Friendship with the USSR and, thus, pretty effectively
ruin all prospects for EDC.
Approved For Release 2001/08/31 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000100250002-3