THE COMMUNISTS' ABILITY TO RECOUP THEIR TET MILITARY LOSSES

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80R01720R000200140002-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 7, 2004
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 1, 1968
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80R01720R000200140002-9.pdf611.68 KB
Body: 
Approved For Relea S iC:R.EJ 1; e 2004/05/05: CIA-RDP80R0 Ability to ecou Ct Ir?t roeiiiction uoE. ss ]q 1 ?;@ riclvf.'' ^X~L7:'1i1?:~ c 7T;_ 9eL't in the 1 . ' c.viOnr-2 bearing on the al7ilit 7 of the CO=",.!uni st- to replace their military losses sustained in the t of ens?ve r''+e are a'3le to bffcr only a very -c^.?lotus the to frame within -rhicT, night accoTnoli h a u l r ecover Lr in nu hers of ':.?"cops. 7...?, .~ 2. , At a It appears that ta h'?Ir T.`i1 e then no longer than six rnontt~~s. ;'h =.s r;sr,tznes t a he rate of corihat. *.?:ill h? 'sustained at normal level u, b t '-hat no new ground e`fort on a .:scale l iho that at sot will be mounted. It :i s r,-??_ ; tirel? t7gfi ihln, however D that 'i:1' ey n ha r o c --0 to accomplish lull recovery in a much ?thortOY and that `,iithin six ronths their troon tr^7:C 'Ol l' !io : `.f'i'i{ 3 T7i~' ,: or andun wag pr od:2 cd b,'., C! 'l ? 1 j wa i 1n ~r.J:7,; ropar 8cf btu t7l Of Z-o o j ~~r cent 2 inl y % .nnt incIuu l Fi ^tl~,- to rit'tnr or"cm-1 -'ationa1. ^T.e:"ertts t1i ?':lQ tinr;Ai1(".t to in _ C? i_ 3zl c t in Vietnam acjree that none are included . '''e no,,, 11=-,i in acttl? ,+ ?'?~l l x' 1 ~ the :C'l iLTi}? t i ': at1e a I c jo effort ''l .!?c Lit no the i.r:-(~ t:? . t :s -,~ nor to Tot to fill r';1I1~''., an~l n.7,.l.T i.. l.Cl) c^_:I7,1 1, ';(_ rers for logistic support, particularly o-C,Ille:i ,t a2:~n1r~cl youth. 1~ n'? of the Pn ro 1 the r f!en ivo were individuals virtn;717-l_?; t ?~'_ ^ from etroe corfr'.r i ani7 pres`:P`l into f:he attac',,` `"iv t he 'nengyp. Fve iitnesses, noreovcr, e- -type ? i c t lne i ?"o t that l_a c7n numbers o CtV_.l 1c n 1. ;yet use c, +>~tl c roops" in n:an of th..? is "i cl.T: ^'c-saslts . +na3. r Of tt-oe available evidence "?nos not '17TOV?(.C a good er..,-)ncjh hare fro:-1 rihi.lcil to c? n a tenuous percentage to the total nu C'or er it _,lit S j' ? e t ose aL ove who in j i'7X('ual in a n )-c ca-,e casual_tie . Approved For Rel Approved For Re 1720R000200140002-9 for oy.anp ('?, S119c' e cc .>ualtie L^~, -~~ V Ln 7.7.i iti~1-CiV1i_i al^^ ahOr , etc, ??~..v have tn a1-o l" 7'j pe r cent of he tatai i ~?i`i r f'V3_i o CC'_ y 1?oweve ?_n ica t~'.> .`:uc ca ual ~. e ray have Y_'l?r :. .^> of t le tot,-'I losses iri ^C~;"1(l 10. {fit erefore, in c doIn ting ease for jl.=d i.ng the r#?Cuperat Ve ah7l 7 tt,, we c in on v acce' t the reeozted '_?;1,. figure as it tan(2s- questionable as it is--and View future en my t na- bilities c ga3 nst: it.. In contras'` with the of view of the US r)ilitary in Viotnari, that the or:e:^.y' losses an(! canabil 4i to recoup should be wo-Lched ` .,.?e ; r=) l d -ir?^"t_ ,,.a. his offensive military Sti~'?~ t ?, i~. `he st r i ... - ~.~ actor from he incline('; to juc.?e t ese f paint of his total orcanized ran-tower 1?ase. this reason, "_' (;V.? control. offer-3 a for ;Out'. '?J.F ttnat:t ? 3 total -ponulaticn of '-c)ut 17 Ili. n , ::'orC than lax rillion Ii're in rural are --- i:1 71`?~r.~ .. out id 7i ??'"ovinCe? ~i:i l_< 13` ;