SNIE 10-6-65: PROBABLE COMMUNIST REACTIONS TO CERTAIN US ACTIONS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 1, 2012
Sequence Number: 
60
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 2, 1965
Content Type: 
SNIE
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5.pdf149.3 KB
Body: 
Declassified and Approved ForRelease2012/11/06 : CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 -414rf -T70=P--5=E=C=R=5=T- ODECITIVE T94185854-e CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 2 June 1965 SUBJECT: BRIE 10-6=65: PROBABLE COMMUNIST REACTIONS TO CERTAIN US ACTIONS Page Para. Line 3 3 CHARGE SHEET Suggested CIA new paragraph 3. 3. Hanoi's decisions, however, probably have been and will continue to be influenced Aarits estImdbe of tbo likely course of the war in the South and its doctrinal conviction that it is in a better position than its US and South Vietnamese adversaries to sustain a prolonged and grinding struggle. It probably thinks that, given present VC military strength and the political fragility of the Saigon regime, Communist forces in South Vietnam are moving toward victories which could crack their adversaries' will to continue the struggle. If so, Hanoi might feel that punishment from the air would be an acceptable price to pay for the early achievement of its political objectives, and the vindidAtion of its doctrinal belief in the inevitable success of a "People's War." p-o -r 13-13-0-11-E-T CENCITIVE Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T SENSITIVE Page Para. Line 8 9 Add. new sentence to end. of paragraph. " Peiping might, however, make threatening troop movements and, air deployments in South China with the objective of deterring the US from further bombings." - 2 - T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T SENSITIVE Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 ces Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 nr.sit4 Pit CI IN /4.4(cdc 6 4- P vrtk 11-- crf- mui 6s? Cpro pc:v*4 41I f) c,11?1:1-ei 4- t-iamoi% Lere) 1 t(t_cTd hp CO Vt 11? te411? Cit0.11-1\ei f-r.) eS f f t.e c?,) (4 V pc",s t\ eta.? ita* 1,e 11-?, a 040 C c4Vee4r0 it .\r-J L4 j owl -"Of Cvirt 0 sc-- rrirt.41` p 0 pleLl Lti Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 Noe .1w (//-t 11-"i O V- e c-), n4-riticg ?11 ttt (2-(1 0,),111 6, rc? //iNtf `-(-) p C t- 1p o ? - floc `1\:2,5 02, Nkfc. (\ (kcal NY V cic P\ ,N,4 frt47 p i`o C6?411(11?0. 10("e th,;?) .) f lecvte-1`7., p.0 l 1--Qc nor- --(--(17 6 6 C iz rci 64/ fl-t-i- i I jo o vIcl ikm 1-1/P o c9V 0g'e ( ye; ;col 0 V IL , c.......r....__,? cl 0 f o-00, vu GI /\ cc, Lrt --1---e e,-, Yo?-'), (5 V 0 'Iv )C) (-' t- C 'tS (e Awct 1/1c," wav lz-e4 dl ,,ev . ( 105 S ikl-VN?1 1-tfiZ ) f(4t'. -v-? (1_ N.it t ) 1-441 r. ekd t-Vt,(1 j) s - lAs eArrt 01 6-111h6-0- IN? Rivkl ti .) " U-T- di() 11 1-14 Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/11/06: CIA-RDP80R01720R000500020060-5 .?r. ttte r\ (0" C e. Vo '5) 1-(4 S )(ea i'`m o vi