(Classified) ESTIMATE OF CHINESE COMMUNIST CAPABILITIES FOR ATTACKING INDIA THROUGH BURMESE TERRITORY

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CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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30
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November 17, 2016
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September 24, 1998
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1
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Publication Date: 
August 14, 1963
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499Rggp1000200 1- A ONitaff 25X1X7 /05294/6--.- Estimate of Chinese Communist Capabilities for Attacking India Through Burmese Territory 14 AUGUST 1963 7 AEGIRST0 proved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/34444DP80S01499R000100020001-7 14 August 1963 SUBJECT: CHINESE COMMUNIST CAPABILITIES FOR ATTACKING INDIA THROUGH BURMESE TERRITORY THE PROBLEM To assess the maximum military force tho Chinese Communists could employ and logistically support in sustained attacks into northeast India through. Burma. The attacks considered in this paper are those the Chinese Communists have the theoretical capability to mount in addition to those described in-11111 Estimate of the 25X1X7 Chinese Communist Ground Throat Aglinst India from Tibet and Sinkiang, dated 14 August 1963, and ' Estimate of the Communist Chinese 25X1X7 Air Threat Against India," dated 17 January 1963. ASSUMPTIONS 1. Although this study does not estimate the reactions of the Burmese government to a Chinese Communist incursion, it is assumed that the Chinese would, as a normal military precaution, deploy security forces along their lines of communication. GROUP 1 Excluded from automatic Approved For Release 2000/051!ereMPIRDP;; .11499RCHilfi1 00020001-7 declassification Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 oidbmommmow 2. The Chinese would not augment ground and air forces along China's borders with countries in southeast Asia. 3. The Chinese would use port and rail facilities in North Vi(Aaam. Approved For Release 2000/0411040680S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 mOmOmiaimilmilm CONCLUSIONS A. In an attack on India through Burma jr' 1-)71.eve that the Chinese Communists would establish stockpiles on the Sino-Burmese frontier in the Hsin-chieh/Teng-cnung area using Kunming as their base of supply. Kunming is served by a rail line from Hanoi in North Vietnam and by road from .0-1r. Chinese railhead at Anshun, and these facilities could support limited op- erations in the China-Burma-India theater. The Chinese could use two principal routes to move sulTlies throllp:h Burma: (a) the Ledo Road via Myitkyina and (b) the Lashio-;mandalay-Imphal road. (Paras. 1-2) B. After essential row improvements the Chinese could move a total of 940 tons per day to support ground operations in India. We estimate that the maximum ground force the Chinese could deploy in an attack into India through Burma would be about 132,500 men, equivalent to approximately nine infantry divisions under the command of an army headquarters. The most favorable period for operations in thr nrea occurs after the beginning of the dry season in NoveMber. (Pares. 3-8) C. We estimate the force advancing over the Ledo Road would consist of one standard infantry division, four light infantry divisions, and one artillery regiment. The attack, we believe, would have the objective of destroying Indian forces, the seizure of the Digboi oil fields and the eventual link-up with Chinese forces advancing from Tibet into the eastern 3 amommftmlamw Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 `1,girffiginimme..? pert of the Northeast Frontier Agency (NEFA). We estimate the force advancing through Imphal would consist of the major elements of two light infantry divisions and one standard infantry division. This attack, we believe, would have the objective of destroying Indian forces and, together with the attac17r from Tibet, the occupation of important areas of northeast India. (Pares. 7-10) D. We estimate the Chinese could also support four independent infantry regiments, two north of Homalin and two through the Dipu pass. These units would be supplied by pack animals and porters, and could be supported up to 50 miles into India. If air supply were available, they could penetrate deeper. (Pares. 11-12) E. We believe the Chinese would employ about 395 combat aircraft in operations against northeast Indip. This force would probably consist of 300 MIG-15/17 jet fighters, 75 IL-28 light jet bombers, and 20 TU-2 light piston bombers. We estimate that these aircraft would provide a daily sortie rate of about 360. Approximately 120 transport aircraft would be available to support operations from Burma. (Pares. 14-18) F. We believe that the Chinese have the purely military resources personnel, equipment, weapons, and ammunition -- to conduct operations through Burma and simultaneously attack along the himalayan front. If such operations were undertaken, logistic support would require approximately 25 percent (50,000) of the nation's truck park and, on an annual basis, more than 50 percent (750,000 tons) of the motor gasoline available in all of 4 Approved For Release 2000/08/ 0 : trARoP8oso1499R000100020001-7 Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Tovissimmika China in 1962. It mould necessitate a drastic reallocation of the nation's transportation and POL resources, and the Chinese mould be confronted with extremely formidable maintenance and replacement problems. (Paras. 19-21) G. We believe that the Chinese could launch attacks from Tibet and Sinkiang with little or no warning. We believe the attack through Burma, on the other hand, would give Indian defenses several weeks of warning. Even if the Chinese could do the road rebuilding surreptitiously or under the guise of some peaceful purpose, the attacking columns would require approximately two weeks to close in their attack positions at the Indo- Burma border, and probably would be quickly detected. (Para. 22) H. The foregoing conclusions represent an estimate of the maximum feasible scale of attack across Burma against India, entailing maximum logistic difficulties and warning time. The Chinese could attack in less force with less difficulty and less warning. DISCUSSION I. GROUND OP11., TIDE'S Logistics 1. The theater of operations for a Chinese Communist offensive against India through Burma encompasses Yunnan Province in China, northern Burma, Approved For Release 2000/040406,146111e8OS01499R000100020001-7 ? Approved For Release 2000/08/30e -CIA-RDP8OS01499R000100020001-7 -S,L4Tiwn. wow and the states of Assam, Nagaland, and Manipur in northeast India. The Chinese would probably locate their base depot at Kunming which is served by road from the railhead at Anshun and by tail via Hanoi and Haiphong in North Vietnam. Forward stockpiles most likely would be established in the Hsin-ehieh and Teng-chung areas, 2. Supplies for Chinese ground forces engaged in operations in India would have to be moved over distances ranging from 800 to 1,700 miles from Kunming. The initial transportation leg would cover the route by rail between Kunming and Ipinglang, and then by road to Hsin-chieh, which is near the Sino-Burmese border some 330 miles vest of Kunming. From Hsin-chieh the Chinese could move supplies across Burma to the Indo=Burmese border via the following main supply routes: (a) over the Ledo Road via Myitkyina, and (b) over the Burma Road to Mandalay and thence by way of the Mandalay- Imphal road. Some supplies could also be delivered to Mandalay via the route through Talo and Keng Tung. Available intelligence indicates that extensive road repairs and bridging to the Shingbwiyang-Pangsau Pass section of the Ledo Road and on parts of the Mandalay-imphal road would be required before these logistic rontes could support the scale of military operations envisaged. (See map at Annex.) 3. The limiting factor governing Chinese attacks on India from Burma would be the amount of supplies which could be moved across the Indo-Burmese frontier. We estimate that the Chinese could move a daily maximum of about - 6 - Approved For Release 2000/calailio*RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 1,710 tons forward from the stockpiles at Hsin-chieh and Teng-chung. This tonnage, we believe, would be used as follows: 240 tons for engineer units, security units and forward dumping; 330 tons for motor transport; 940 tons to support grouLd operations in India; and 200 tons for air units in Burma. Composition of the Attacking Forces 4. We estimate that the composition of the Chinese Communist force could include an army headquarters to provide operational control along the axes of advance, lightly equipped infantry divisions for the initial phase across the mountainous jungle terrain along the Indo-Burmese border, and an operational reserve consisting of standard infantry divisions, with their organic medium artillery and some tanks, to be employed on the Assam plain. These ground units could readily be provided from the two armies located in the Kunming Military Region, supplemented as necessary from China's strategic ground reserve. Operational Considerations 5. Prior to the initiation of the attack) these troops probably would be staged in Chinese territory near the Sino-Burmese border. Forward movement from the staging areas would have to await necessary road repairs. We believe that essential improvement of the Ledo Road would require the employment of six engineer regiments and take up to one month. Three engineer regiments would probably be sufficient to make the necessary improvements to and maintain - 7 - Approved For Release 2000aitilaadakilikaaP8OS01499R000100020001-7 ' Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 amino.")PIM the Mandalay-Imphal road. After essential road repair, it is estimated that the attack forces could close in their attack positions at the Indo-Burma border in approximately two weeks. 6. An offensive during the southwest monsoon (May-September) would be extremely difficult, but not impossible, to support logistically. The most favorable period for military operations in the area occurs after the beginning of the dry season in November. Refer to Annex D for a detailed discussion of the climatic effects on ground and air operations. Avenues of Attack 7. We estimate that the Chinese would utilize two major and two cross country avenues of advance into northeast India. One major avenue leads from Pangsau Pass through Ledo and across the Digboi oil fields to Dibrugarh; the other is via Imphal, Kohima? and into Gauhati. Cross country trails lead from Bhamo via Indaw and Homalin to the Indo-Burmese frontier and from Kun-shan in Chamdo district through the Diphu PIss to Walong in Eastern Assam. 8. In simultaneous advances over the two principal avenues of attack into India, the Chinese could employ and logistically support a force estimated at 118,500 troops, organized into approximately eight infantry divisions under the command of an army headquarters.* Tables of personnel * the daily through-put capacities of the Ledo Road and the Mandalay- Imphal route required to support this force are 520 tons and 320 tons, respectively. - 8 - Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 imimoupieutmi Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 and equipment for the-army'keadqnerters and for the Standeird'infantry division are sliown in Annexes B and Co respectively. Over the two cross country trails, the Chinese could support four independent infantry regiments (14,000 troops). 9. Along the northern axis leading to Dibrugarh (via the Ledo Road) the Chinese force could consist of one standard infantry division and four light infantry divisions with one additional artillery regiment (74,000 troops). Chinese objectives in this attack, we believe, would be the destruction of Indian Army forces, the seizure of the Digboi oil fields, and the eventual link-up with Chinese operations from Tibet into the eastern pert of the Northeast Frontier Agency (NEPA).* 10. In the advance toward western Assam (via the Mandalay-Imphal route) the Chinese could employ the major elements of two light infantry divisions and one standard infantry division (44.500 troops). This attack and the attacks from Tibet would probably have the objective of destroying Indian forces and the occupation of important areas of northeast India. 11. To assist forces attacking on the Imphal route and from Tibet in the Rime area, the Chinese could support pack animal and porter supplied units from roadheads at Homalin in Burma and KUn-shan in China. Approximately 50 tons would be available at each place to support two infantry regiments 25X1 X7 IF?MMTSWiate of the Chinese Communist Ground Threat Against India from Tibet and Sinkiang," dated 14 August 1963 - 9 - Approved For Release 2000/01JLL-hAIRDP80S01499R000100020001-7 ? Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 iriii 30-50 miles north of Homalin, and an additional two regiments from Hun-shan through the Diphu Pass to the Walong area. These units could penetrate deeper if air supply was available. 12. In addition, by using surplus tonnage available on the Ledo Road at Shingbwiyang and at Myitkyina, the Chinese could support small parties of lightly equipped infantry operating on the Indian frontier north of Putao and west of Shingbwiyang. We have no intelligence on the tracks and trails in these areas but from World War II experience we believe this is possible. It is considered that the employment of these additional troops, the number of which cannot be accurately estimated, would not materially affect the Chinese capability to achieve their overall objectives in Assam. II. AIR OPERATIONS 25X1 X7 13. In the " Estimate of the Communist Chinese Air Threat Against India," dated 17 January 1963, 290 tactical aircraft were estimated as constituting the air threat. Of this number, we believe 100 aircraft would be based in Sinkiang for operations against the Ladakh-Jammu-Kashmir area, and 190 would be based in Tibet and southwest China for operations against northeast India. In support of operations through Burma we believe an additional 205 tactical aircraft could be employed against northeastern India, The 395 aircraft which could operate against India's eastern front would probably consist of 300 MIG-15/17s (including 40 N2G-17D f;-diewalkaso Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 ' Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 soomummiss, all-weather aircraft), 75 IL-28s, and 20 TU-2s. Locations of all aircraft are identified in Annexes E and Fl and logistic requirements for this force are noted at Annex G. 14. There are 19 airfields within Chinaand 12 within northern Burma which could be used for the employment of Chinese Communist air forces in support of attacks against northeast India. Because of operational and logistic factors we believe only six of the former and two of the latter would be used for combat support of these attacks. We believe that logistic capabilities are sufficient to support two fighter regiments at Myitkyina South and one fighter regiment at Namponmao. A, program of improving existing forward airfields in Burma and the use of airfields that may be captured in India would permit continuing forward deployment of fighter/ground attack aircraft to the immediate vicinity of the active battle area. 15. Jets based at Myitkyina South and Namponmao would be the only fighters that could be employed in a ground attack role. From these two bases in Burma, the fighters could provide close support to ground forces generally within anareaembracing Imphal, Dibrugarh, and Sadiya in India (see map at Annex). The TU-2 aircraft, in attacks from Nagchhu Dzong airfield in Tibet, could also provide support to ground forces as far south as Imphal. The IL-28s would have the range to conduct bombing attacks and reconnaissance over northeast India and jet fighters on combat air patrol could cover all of India east of East Pakistan and Nepal. - 11 - Approved For Release 2000/06?9441146.16DP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 "Semwswiwile 16. It is estimated that these Chinese Communist aircraft would provide a daily sortie rate of about 360. A likely mixture for this number of sorties would be 65 ground support and 225 air defense/combat air patrol sorties by jet fighters, with the jet light bombers conducting 55 sorties per day, and the piston light bombers conducting 15 sorties per day. 17. We believe that approximately 120 light and mall transport aircraft could be utilized in supporting operations through Burma. The 30 IL-12s, 16 IL-1481 and 28 C-46s of the Thirteenth Air Division could deliver about 132 tons of material daily from the Chengtu area to the airfields at Myitkyina South and Namponmao as long as airborne operations were not conducted else- where. In addition, T LI-2s and 3 0-475 of the Thirteenth Air Division could operate from Kunming or Mandalay and 35 AN-28 could be located in Burma as follows: 10 at Singkaling Hkamti South, 10 at Kolemya, and 15 at Katha. The AN-2s would have the primary mission of supporting the ground forces. III. THE EILIJECT OF BURMA 0 TIONS ON CHINESE COMMUNIST MILITARY CAPABILITIES FROM TIBET AND SINKIANG 25X1 X7 18. In the 1111111Estimate of the Chinese Communist Ground Threat Against India from Tibet and Sinkiang," dated 14 August 1963, we estimated that to sustain the operations described in that study for one year would require about 40,000 trucks, and approximately 600,000 tons of motor -12- aill.1141NIMIND Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved ForRelease2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 GMEPROPPISIMOT gasoline. We then made the following judgment: "An effort of this size probably could not be supported if China were involved in significant military activity elsewhere." 19. We believe that the Chinese have the purely military resources -- personnel, equipment, weapons, and ammunition -- to conduct operations through Burma and simultaneously attack along the Himalayan front. However, the attack through Burma would require approximately 10,000 trucks and, on an annual basis, nearly 150,000 tons of motor gasoline. Thus, if the Chinese were to launch attacks simultaneously into India from Tibet, Sinkiang and Burma, approximately 25 percent (50,000) of the nation's truck park would have to be used, and, on an annual basis, more than 50 percent (750,000 tons) of the motor gasoline available in all of China in 1962 would be consumed. 20, Although the Chinese could, if they wished, make available the motor transport and gasoline required to support these offensives, to do so would necessitate a drastic reallocation of the nation's transportation and POL resources. Motor and air transport would have to be redistributed from other military regions and the civilian economy wuold be stripped of all but a minimal level of these modes of transportation. Neny organizational and managerial problems would arise, and it is questionable whether the military or civilian transportation agencies could cope with these prOblems. Furthermore, if this transportation effort, which would be taking place over - 13 - Approved For Release 2000/91101/0101MROP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/0MMTIMIM0S01499R000100020001-7 extremely long and difficult roads and in areas far remote from industrial bases, were to continue for long, the Chinese would_ be confronted by extremely fornddible maintenance and replacement problems. 21. We believe that the Chinese could launch attacks from Tibet and Sinkiang with little or no warning. We believe the attack through Burma, on the other hand, would give Indian defenses several weeks of warning. Even if the Chinese could rebuild the roads surreptitiously or under the guise of some peaceful purpose, the attacking columns would require two weeks to close in their attack positions on the Indo-Burma border and would probably be quickly detected. Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 4fi1mimitimPri 1 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Annex A DAILY RESUPPLY REQUIREMENTS FOR SELECTED CHINESE COMMUNIST ARMY UNITS (Short Tons Based on "Light Combat Rates" At 85% TOE) Unit Class I (Rations) Class II and IV (General Supplies) Class III (POL) Class V (Ammunition) TOTAL (All Classes) Army Hq (Including 5.2 4.7 9.9 0.6 20.3 Command & Staff and Combat Support elements) Inf Div ( Standard) 24.6 22.3 28.0 54.0 128.9 Inf Div (Light) 23.6 21.5 3.1 28.0 76.2 I Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 ANNEX B 0 H -I-) TABLE OF PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT, ARMY HSADQUARTERS AND COMBAT SUPPORT ELEMENTS (AT 100% TOE) d 0 4-3 m o rd o H m H O a+) 2 w g O-4 0 H 174 ,-I q-I CD d 0 to w H H o o x o w w et:3 rt:i Personnel: Total Cmd Grp & Staff Arty Regt Sig Bn Gd Bn Rcn Bn Eng Bn Officers 783 403 207 38 54 42 39 Enlisted 4355 1581 1290 257 356 428 443 Total 5138 1984 1497 295 410 470 482 Equipment: Gun }lbw, 152 mm 12 12 Gun, 130/122 mm 12 12 Mortar, 160 mm 12 12 LM, 7.62 mm 72 27 27 18 SMG, 7.62 mm 785 71 203 64 66 339 42 Carbine, 7.62 mm 2144 298 1075 158 212 37 364 Pistol, 7.62 mm 562 257 146 33 64 31 31 Truck, Cargo, 6x6 105 90 15 Truck, Cargo, 4x2 173 157 15 1 Truck, 1/4T, 6x4 12 7 5 Truck, Ambulance Truck, Radio Van 1 1 Motorcycle 30 24 2 2 2 Bicycle 24 24 Cart Horse 96 24 12 12 48 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Annex C TABLE OF PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT, INFANTRY DIVISION (STANDARD) (AT 100% TOE) Total Cmd Grp & Staff Chem Co Sig Bn Rcn Co Engr Bn AT Bn AA AW Bn B A N D Ord Plat Arty Regt Tk- A/G Regt Inf Regts (each) Personnel: Officers 1819 210 9 41 10 39 54 57 1 1 207 134 352 Enlisted 15,766 710 134 283 129 443 364 376 37 37 1290 590 3791 Total 17,585 920 143 324 139 482 418 433 38 38 1497 724 4143 Equipment: How, 122-mm 12 12 Gun, 76-mm 12 12 Gun,AT,57/76-mm 39 12 9 Gun,AAAW,37/57-mm 12 12 Mort,120-mm 39 12 9 Mort,82-mm 81 27 Rd l Rf1,57-mm 27 9 Rd l Rf1,75-mm 27 9 AA,90-mm 54 18 AAMG, 12.7-mm 39 12 9 HMG, 7.62-mm 135 45 LM, 7.62-mm 378 9 18 117 SMG, 7.62-mm 3499 112 18 18 112 42 77 4 203 156 919 Cbn, 7.62-mm 8717 225 116 213 364 297 33 1075 280 2038 Pistol, 7.62-mm 1867 169 7 36 7 31 45 2 1 146 181 414 Flamethrower link Unk Tank, med 32 32 Armd Recon Veh 3 3 Aslt Gun, SU 76/ 12 12 100 Trk, Cargo,6x6 382t 6 Unk 15 25 90 12 78 Trk, Cargo,4x2 107 70 10 15 12 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Cmd Grp Total Staff Equipment Cont'd: Trk, 1/4T 36 8 Trk, Ambulance 4 4 Motorcycle 25 Bicycle 12 Cart 396t 45 Horse 780t 135 Annex C AA A Tk- Inf Chem Sig Rcn Engr AT AW N Ord Arty A/G Regts Co Bn Co Bn Bn Bn D Plat Regt Regt 1 5 4 6 5 6 2 12 15 117t 33 45t 189t Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 - Approved For Release 2000/08/MMWDP80S01499R000100020001-7 ANNEX D THE EFFECT OF CLIMATE ON GROUND AND AIR OPKRATIONS IN THE INDIA-BURMA AREA I. GROUND OPERATIONS 1. Southwest Monsoon. Mid-May through September is quite warm and humid. Day temperatures are in the 80's (0F.) and 90's, lowering to the 60's and 70's at night, except cooler temperatures are common at higher elevations. Relative humidity averages 80 percent or more much of the time. Cloudiness ranges 8/10 or more during the morning at most places, with convective clouds in the afternoon and evening covering 7/10 or more of the sky. Precipitation generally averages from 10 to 20 inches per month, with some exposed slopes receiving more than 25 inches. Thunderstorms are common in the spring and the southwest monsoon seasons. Their frequency is determined by local conditions; at some locations thunderstorms occur on 50 percent of the days in some months. This season would clearly be the most unfavorable one for most military operations. 2. Autumn. Mostly during the month of October, is the transition season from the wet southwest monsoon to the dry northeast monsoon. 3. winter inches broken The Northeast Monsoon. season. Precipitation is per month at most places. November to about mid-March is the dry at a minimum, averaging less than two Cloudiness is usually scattered to with little diurnal variation. Temperatures are mostly in the 60's and 70's during the day, dropping to 40's or 50's at night; freezing temperatures may occur at higher elevations. Relative humidities are generally high in the morning, averaging 70 percent or more at most locations and lowering to a minimum during the afternoon and evening. This would be the most favorable season for most military operations. Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S014866000100020001-7 Excluded from automatic downgrading and 4 .4,4 Approved For Release 2000/08P80S01499R000100020001-7 ANNEX D 4. Spring. Generally from mid-March through mid-May is the transition from the dry winter to the wet summer. Over much of this sector, temperatures reach a maximum just before the onset of the southwest monsoon, averaging a few degrees warmer than in the summer. Thunderstorms are common with the advance of the southwest monsoon. II. AIR OPERATIONS 1. Weather conditions are least favorable for air operations during the southwest monsoon season, when cloudiness and precipitation are at a maximum. Convective-type clouds are predominant with frequent layers of middle and high clouds. Cloudiness is generally most pre- dominant over the southwest slopes and peaks of the mountains. Thunderstorms and showers are frequent in this season. Aircraft icing is most hazardous near 15,000 to 18,000 feet. Flying conditions are generally worse during the one or two expected tropical storms per season in this region. Winds aloft are mostly southerly, shifting to southeasterly at about 10,000 feet. 2. Weather conditions are generally favorable for air operations during the northeast monsoon season. However, strong westerly winds above 20,000 feet are sometimes present. Aircraft icing may occur at times above 10,000 to 13,000 feet, but is usually not a major problem since cloudiness is at a minimum. - 2 - Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 sidaldiumw Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Annex E AIRFIELDS AND AIRCRAFT ORDER OF BATTLE IN TIBET AND SOUTHWEST CHINA Distance to Airfield Name Border (NM) Coords Elevation ft. Length ft. Surface Estimate of Participating Aircraft Tactical Ftrs Bombers Trspts 1. Lhasa 180 30o30'N 14,000 13,000 Asphalt 60 Mig 15/17s 910051E (AMSL) 2. Nagchhu 220 31?33'N 15,000 12,000 Crushed (20 Tu-2s Dzong 91?43'E (AMSL) Rock (25 I1-28s 3. Yushu 220 32?53'N 12,500 8,000 Crushed 30 Mig 15/17s 96?47'E (AMSL) Rock 4. Kantzu 270 3137'N 11,500 14,000 Crushed 100 12'E (AMSL) Rock 5. Chengtu/ 360 30?44N 1,640 4,600 Macadam Feng-Huang-Shan 104?00E (AMSL) 6. Kuanghan 370 30o57,N 1,640 8,300 Macadam 104?20'E (AMSL) (30 I1-12s 7. Chengtu/Wenchiang 315 30o43,N 1,700 7,500 Concrete 30 Mig 15/17s2/ 25 11-28s (28 C-46s 103?57E (AMSL) (16 I1-14s 8. Chengtu/ 310 30?035'N 1,640 7,200 Concrete Shuangliu 103 57'E (AMSL) 9. Chengtu/ 350 30?16N 1,640 5,000 Macadam Taiping SSU 104?01'E (AMSL) 10. Hsinching 340 325'N 1,500 7,000 Macadam 103?51'E (AMSL) 11. Hsichang 195 27?55'N 5,000 4,900 Macadam 102?13E (AMSL) 12. Peitun 130 25?27'N 6,420 6,600 Macadam 100?44E (AMSL) Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 I Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Distance to Airfield Name(Cont1d)Border (NM) Elevation Coords ft. Length ft. Surface Annex E Estimate of Participating Aircraft Tactical Ftrs Bombers Trspts 13. Paoshan 65 25(?)04'N 5,490 4,900 Macadam 99 09E (AMSL) 14. Mangshih 25 24?24'N 3,020 5,600 Sod 98?31'E (ASL) 15. Kunming 230 25?00'N 6,240 9,500 Concrete 60 Mig 15/17s27 25 I1-28s 102?45E (AMSL) 16. Mengsa 40 23?43N 4,500 8,000 Sod 99?37'E (ASL) 17. Ssumao North 85 7'N 2247'N4,120 6,800 Macadam 100 57'E (SL) 18. Menghsi 10 N 22o00 480o ' , 4,300 Sod 100?16'E (AMBL) 19. Mengtzu West 215 2354'N 4,720 8,200 Concrete 30 Mig 15/17s2/ 103 19'E (SL) a/ Includes 10 Mig 171) aircraft. Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Airfield Name Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 AIRFIELDS AND CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRCRAFT ORDER OF BATTLE IN NORTHERN BURMA Distance to Indian Elevation Border (NM) Coords ft. 1. Putao 15 27?20'N 1,490 97?26E 2. Singkaling 30 250281N 600 Ekamti South 95?41'E 3. Namponmao 125 25?21'N 470 ) I 6. Bhamo 4. yitkyina 135 2522'N 472 M 5. Katha South 140 100 96 19'E 97 21'E 24?16'N (0 24(?)09'N 320 360 97?15'E 0 7. Kalemyo 4o 23011N loo 94 04'E 8. Mongmit 150 23?006'N 600 96 39'E 9. Lashio 210 22?58'N 2,450 97?45E o 10. Gangaw 50 22,11'N 700 94-08'E 11. Mbnywa 115 o 22013'N 260 95 05,E 12. Mandalay 160 21?56'N 250 96005E Annex F Length ft. 97?17'EGood Surface and run- way con- dition Estimate of Participating Aircraft Tactical Ftrs Bombers Trspts 6,000 4,200 clay, Fair Gravel, Good 10 AN-2s 0 % 0 6,600 Asphalt, 30 Mfg 15/17s (Includes 10 Mig 17-Ds) 6,000 Asphalt, Good 60 Mig 15/17s 5,280 Laterite, Good 15 AN-2s 6,060 Asphalt, Poor 4,2oo Laterite, Good 10 AN-2s 5,280 Gravel, Fair 4,500 Bitumen, Good 3,600 Gravel, Fair 4,900 Gravel, Fair (7 Li-2s 4,000 Bitumen, Fair (3 C-47s (These aircraft would also operate from Kunming) Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 o -,-1 +3 cd 11 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 AIR LOGISTICS-TACTICAL AIRCRAFT Airfields & Aircraft Mission A. CHINESE AIRFIELDS 1. LHASA 60 Nig 15/17s with Air Tech- nical Battalion (ATB) & Maint Personnel 2. NAGCBEU DZONG Air Defense/ Combat Air Patrol (CAP) POL & LUB A/C and Rolling Stock Annex G Common Use Items Total Includes Snort 0 Ammo & Bombs Tech Supplies Personnel Tons +, 0 0 +) O ? rd 0 H ? d +) O d F-1 W 0 84 8 2 10 104 .H ri CH W d w rd F-1 ? W d H OH O C.) X 0 0 M 25 I1-28s with Bomb/Rec 137 Air Technical Battalion (ATB) & Maint Personnel 20 Tu-2s with Air Technical Battalion (ATE) & Maint Personnel 3. YUSHU Ground Support 18 30 Mig 15/17s with Air Defense/CAP 42 Air Technical Bat- talion (ATB) & Maint Personnel 40 3 6 186 1 20 2 3 1 5 TOTAL 3338-j 1 TOTAL 52' Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 I Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Airfields & Aircraft Mission POL & LUB A/C and Rolling Stock Ammo & Bombs Tech Supplies Common Use Items Includes Personnel Total Short Tons Annex G 4. CHENGTU/WENCHIANG 30 Mig 15/17s with Air Techni- cal Battalion Air Defense/ CAP 42 4 1 5 52 (ATB) & Maint Personnel 25 IL-28s with Bomb/Rec 137 4o 3 6 186 Air Technical Battalion (ATB) g, Maint Personnel TOTAL 2382/ 5. KUNMING 60 Nig 15/17s with Air Techni- cal Battalion Air Defense/ CAP 84 8 2 10 104 1 cu 1 (ATB) & Maint Personnel 25 I1-28s with Bomb/Rec 137 4o 3 6 186 Air Technical Battalion (ATB) TOTAL 29o1/ & Maint Personnel 6. MENGTZU WEST 30 Nig 15/17s with Air Tech- Air Defense/ CAP 42 4 1 5 52 nical Battalion TOTAL 522/ (ATB) & Maint Personnel Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Airfields & Aircraft B. BURMESE AIRFIELDS 1. MYITKYINA Common POL & LUB Use Items Total A/C and Includes Short Mission Rolling Stock Ammo & Bombs Tech Supplies Personnel Tons 60 Mig 15/17s Ground At- with Air Tech- tack, Air nical Battalion Defense, (ATB) & Maint CAP Personnel 64 20 2 10 96 Annex G 2. NAMFONMAO 30 Mig 15/17s Ground At- 36(14)2/ 7(2)/ 1(.5)2/ 5(3)/ 49(19.5)2/ with Air Tech- tack, Air nical Battalion Defense TOTAL 145f/ cn (ATB) & Maint Personnel 25X1 X7 a/ This 333 tons is provided from the 500 tons referred to in para 25 of the Estimate, dated 17 January 1963. bi This tonnage provided by truck from Hsining-Lanchou railhead. It is not a restrictive factor in this problem. s/ This tonnage is not a restrictive factor due to proximity of major railhead. Approximatedly 350 short tons per day are required and available to support these air operations out of the total tonnage deliverable daily to Kunming. Figures in parentheses indicate Mig-17D requirements. They are parts of rather than additions to the totals. This breakout included here to distinguish Mig-17D air defense mission from ground attack mission of remaining 20 jet fighters. f/ With the exception of the first 6-8 days of operations or during the rainy season when certain road systems may be temporarily inoperable, this tonnage will be provided overland by truck. During periods when air supply is necessary, it will be accomplished largely by Thirteenth Air Division aircraft operating from the Chengtu airfield complex. Approximately 132 tons could be delivered daily from this railhead location using 30 I1-12s, 16 I1-14s and 28 C-46s on a 50% serviceability basis. In addition, 7 Li-2s and 3 C-47s, operating from either Kunming or Mandalay, could easily supply the remaining 13 tons. Another factor favoring adequate tonnage at these two fields is that transports probably would be able to operate about 25% more flying days than the fighter aircraft they were supporting. Approved For Release 2000/08/30 : CIA-RDP80S01499R000100020001-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/ZteslikIpP80S01499R000100020001-7 Sha ? tn Sa n ?Trad /e1/41 , ?..= KATMANDU AS1 NAGCHHU DZONG T INGHA' ? - YO-SHU*A ' = yang_pang a_c \ \ 9 E 7- ? h - 2hi,k zatse ong Gyangtse. Tseth'ani Lh-sa 1 1;0Y 13 HUTA :NT 41A- ? KE?/- 'N., ro4pAK.4-3\-, - COMMUNIST CHINESE AIR THREAT TO NORTHEAST INDIA ?????? 0 AIRFIELD 6000/ OR MORE IN LENGTH 0 AIRFIELD 2000/ ? 6000f IN LENGTH JET LIGHT BOMBER RADIUS (Bomb load 4400 lbs. except at Nagchhu Dzong, where it is 2200 lbs.) JET FIGHTER INTERCEPT MISSION (Two external fuel tanks) PISTON LIGHT BOMBER RADIUS (Bomb load 3300 lbs.) JET FIGHTER GROUND ATTACK (Allowing 5 minutes for low level combat, but carrying only one 550 lb. bomb) 50 100 200 300 Nautical Miles 50 100 200 300 Statute Miles agOINNIN Gauhati PAKIST 4"...??? 8 x x) ?scabk, I.Batang ""s":d. , e 'r?Tr.h ( _ \ ked.--..,{--- ?,,,,,s-? . , , ,:z. / 1 , \ (x,,-/-SiN / GKALING y /1 : ,..\,..-/ RicAMTI SOUTH .--- \ .1 --' /0 \ ,?? MYITKYINA',j( , / (\r' ./ tlYittP 1 )K . SOUTH.J i ro4"NAMPONMA ', ? re- 13a3.___ 0 Katha's "-- ' \ ! Wan-t'in KATHA \ ??,." A-pa Kan-tzu ? )S Z E , G CH'ENG-TU/ "?al NG-TU 0l5Nan-ch'ung ..9 WEN-CHIANG,. , ',.; sui-ning? 1,.) \ ?,- s,...,,..i.,. .--- 30 JF 30 IL-12 ...?...?-an 25 JIB , 11, 16 IL-14 - ! Tatsieniu../. - ? 28 C-46 (K'ang-tiefg) Lo-Shan 3, .1- Nei-chiang ' ? Wu-t'ung-ch'iao ID 7 K A !NI S LT ( , ? . , (/'?'"--..;) S il. E N 5 1 , 1 ,,Kuang-yilan `,.......? 1 `---v-"'` ,. ? Mien-yang \Nlir N Yen-yuan ? .Li-chiang \ Ta-li - ? Chittagon Lasb?hClio-:? Akyab! 111111 1111111 - - Agandalay 0 MYingYaNdMANDALAY ? 7 LI-2 U R .Prome Li _c47 ? Hsi-ch'ang SHui-h ci Chan-i. N A? . K'UN-MING K'UN-MING \?n-lung -O,m126: ilia' N N AN ? ' Tzu-kune (Tzukhu-ching) Tsun-i ? r' KWEIC4-10W 0 Kuei-yang ?. Amstinn. ? Yu-ch'i K'ai-yuan ? Kou, f'dhi Pu-erh _MENG-721/.., (Nnig-erh) WEST Cao Bang J? Lc Ka: ? 1...? Dong Dangi'"'\?: ?NORTH __VIETNAM ng-tzu '