STATUS OF IRANIAN FORCES IN KHUZESTAN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP81B00401R000500070003-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 13, 2004
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 28, 1979
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP81B00401R000500070003-0.pdf253.76 KB
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Approved For Releo Central Intelligence Agency National Foreign Assessment Center SUBJECT.: Status of Iranian Forces in Khuzestan Iranian forces in Khuzestan consist of one armored division reinforced with Revolutionary Guards, three squadrons of F-5 interceptors, five batteries of HAWK surface-to-air missiles, and a few small naval combatant ships. These forces are on alert as part of a wider military alert because of the confrontation with the US. 25X1 Iranian forces in the province are capable of suppressing Arab opposition if Iraq does not increase its support to the dissidents. The government forces now there do not have sufficient manpower to protect the numerous oil installations in the area from sabotage, however. Iran could not hold the province against a full-scale Iraqi attack. 25X1 Units. The 92nd Armored Division headquartered at Ahvaz 25X1 (see map comprises the bulk of the ground forces in the province and is generally oriented to face an Iraqi attack. Subordinate armored units are located at Ahvaz, Dezful, and Hamidiyeh. In addition, an infantry brigade occupies static defenses along the border with Iraq. The armored division is equipped with approximately 320 Chieftain tanks and 250 to 300 APCs. 25X1 This memorandum was prepared by the office of Strategic Research for the Iran Task Force. Qeustions or comments may be addressed to Chief, Iran Task Force NSA and NAVY review(s) completed. 25X1 TCS 9220/79 25X1A Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0 Approved For Releas 25X1 The division has been reinforced by several contingents of Khomeini's Revolutionary Guards. The Guards have assumed almost complete responsibility for internal security, in- cluding oil installations, and have been brutal in suppressing dissent. Although we have no information on the number of 25X1 25X1 Revolutionary Guards in the province, they probably number several thousand based on the scope of their activities. Three squadrons equipped with 80 F-5 interceptors are stationed at Vahdati Air Base near Dezful. A few F-5 air- the Shah and capabilities have declined since the Revolution. Five HAWK surface-to-air missile batteries, each with six launchers, are deployed near Dezful. In addition, there are three unoccupied HAWK sites near Ahvaz. We have no in- formation on the combat readiness of the crews and equipment at the Dezful sites. Iran had achieved only a marginal ability to operate the HAWK system without US support under 0 The Navy stations only a small portion of its Persian Gulf fleet in Khuzestan's ports. Four corvettes, one missile boat, four minesweepers, and eight patrol boats were based in Abadan, Khorramshahr, and Bandar-e Shahpur between 15 and 25 November. One of the corvettes and the missile boat were undergoing minor repairs at Abadan. Capabilities. Iranian ground forces in the province are capable of suppressing internal opposition as long as Iraq does not increase its support to the dissidents. Arab guerrillas operating in small groups are mounting raids, attacking government and oil installations, and ambushing Revolutionary Guards. Government forces have reacted harshly by engaging in mass arrests, surprise searches, and summary executions, in an attempt to break the resistance. Despite these efforts, Iranian forces do not have enough manpower to adequately protect all installations. As recently as 16 November, Arab guerrillas bombed an oil pipeline near Abadan and a Navy warehouse in'Khorramshahr. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Releao Approved For Relea Iraq is supplying large quantities of arms and explosives to the guerrillas and began training Iranian Arabs this summer in guerrilla camps it maintains for the Palestinians. Soon after training began, there was a notable increase in the professionalism of guerrilla operations. Infiltration of men and arms from Iraq report- edly has increased in recent months. In the past, Iraq dispatched hundreds of special forces troops and commandos to reinforce Palestinian forces in Lebanon. Should Iraq take similar action in Khuzestan, the local Iranian forces would be hard pressed. to control the situation. 25X1 25X1 Iraq's armed forces have not assumed a threatening posture toward Iran. Were they torattack, however, Iranian forces could not hold the province. The Iraqis would likely mount an attack against Khuzestan using two reinforced armored divisions and two mechanized-divisions--approximately 1,300 tanks--with extensive air support. This would permit the Iraqis to achieve a four to one advantage in men and equipment on the ground while leavin seven divisions to hold the rest of the border. 25X1 In the past Iran counted on its superior air force and armored and heliborne reinforcements from Iranian forces out- side the province to offset Iraq's advantage on the ground. With many aircraft not operational, however, the Iranian Air Force is unlikely to be much help to the ground forces. The Army's logistic and transport systems are in chaos and probably unable to move large quantities of armor to Khuzestan on short notice. Much of the helicopter force is grounded and air defenses are likely to he weak. Iranian armored units have no mobile surface-to-air missile system like the Iraqi SA-6, leaving them vulnerable to Iraqi air strikes. The Iranians do have sufficient air power to inflict serious damage on Iraqi oil facilities. 1 -1 25X1 Because of Iran's past air and naval superiority over the other Gulf states, the defenses of Khuzestan are not oriented towards repelling an attack from the sea. There- are no known coastal defense sites or naval minefields and most military units are stationed some distance from the coast. Extensive coastal mud flats, however, could hamper an amphibious assault. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Rellase 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R0005QO070003-0 Approved For Release 2 05/01/10: CIA-RDP81 B004 1 R000500070003-0 Iranian Forces in Khuzestan Ground Forces Ahvaz Division headquarters/one armored brigade 112 medium tanks 200 APCs 18 ZSU-57/2 anti-aircraft artillery 60 155mm self-propelled howitzers Dezful Armored brigade 83 medium tanks 50 APCs 18 155mm self-propelled howitzers Hamidiyeh Armored brigade 92 medium tanks 85 APCs Air Force Vahdati (near Dezful) three fighter squadrons 60 F-5E 20 F-5IF Ahvaz 3 unoccupied HAWK sites Dezful 5 HAWK batteries Navy Abadan 1 missile boat (in drydock) 3 corvettes (1 in drydock) 25X1 25X1 D 25X1 D Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 B00401 R400500070003-0 25X1 Approved For Release Bandar-e Shapur 1 corvette 3 minesweepers Khorramshahr 8 patrol boats 1 minesweeper 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0 Military Units in Khuzestan Province, Iran ahdati Airbase ezfOl Hamidlyeh" `ti Ahvaz Airbase J& Refinery Naval based Oilfield Armored brigade Oil pipeline Infantry brigade Occupied HAWK sites 0 100 25X1 626059 11-79 CIA Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0 STAT Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/01/10 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R000500070003-0