SOVIET-PAKISTANI RELATIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP81B00401R000600160005-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 2, 2005
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: August 1, 1980
• Content Type: IM

Mr Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 B00401 R000600166 Bret 25X1
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Soviet-Pakistani Relations
Top Secret
PA80-10346C X
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Soviet-Pakistani Relations (u)
Summary Moscow appears to have become increasingly irritated by Pakistan's support
for the Afghan insurgents. and its role in mobilizing Islamic opinion against
the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. Over the last six months, the Soviets
appear to have been groping for ways to curtail Pakistani support for the
insurgents without expanding their own problems in the region. Islamabad,
however, has not responded.
This intransigence has led Moscow to step up its diplomatic and propaganda
pressure against Islamabad and undertake small-scale military actions.
Moscow is constrained, however, by a number of factors from escalating its
military pressure against Islamabad-the risk of widening the war, further
alienating both Muslim and West European countries, driving the United
States closer to China, and reviving the US-Pakistani alliance. But should
the situation in Afghanistan deteriorate swiftly and Soviet military
operations be threatened, Moscow may feel compelled to act more forcefully
against Pakistan.
This memorandum was prepared bIOffice of Political Analysis. It was 25X1
coordinated with the Directorate for perations, the Office of Strategic Research, and the
National Intelligence Officers for USSR and Eastern Europe and for Near East South Asia.
Information available as of 24 July 1980 was used in its preparation. Comments and queries
are welcome and should be directed to the Chief, Southwest Asia Analytic Center, OPA,
Top Secret
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