KAMPUCHEA: FAMINE FIGHTING AND REFUGEES

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CIA-RDP81B00401R001400080006-6
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RIPPUB
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S
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31
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December 21, 2016
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December 22, 2005
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6
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Publication Date: 
September 1, 1979
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REPORT
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Secret pprpwd,For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 B00401 R00140 Q88 Assessment Center Fighting, and Refugees Kampuchea: Famine, Secret NI 79-10007 September 1979 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R00140008 06-33 0 3 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 National p"iFor Release 2006/03/17: CIA-RDP81 800401 R00140 Assessment Center Kampuchea: Famine, Fighting, and Refugees Information available as of 31 August 1979 has been used in the preparation of this report. This assessment was prepared in the office of the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia and the Pacific and was based on reports submitted by analysts of the Office of Geographic and Cartographic Research and the Office of Political Analysis, National Foreign Assessment Center, and of the Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Department of State. Contributions were also received from analysts in the National Security Agency. The assessment was requested by the United States Coordinator for Refugee Affairs, Ambassador-at- Large Dick Clark. It was coordinated with the Office of Economic Research, National Foreign Assess- ment Center, and the National Intelligence Officers for USSR-Eastern Europe and China. Secret NI 79-10007 Approved For Release 2006/03/17: CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400 r~979 0s I ppro ed For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 KEY JUDGMENTS V DISCUSSION I Status of Population Population Size 1 Conditions in First Half of 1979 1 Population Distribution 2 Food Situation 2 Rice Production 2 Current Conditions 3 Prospects 3 Soviet Aid 3 Potential Refugee Trends 4 Political and Economic Trends 4 Heng Samrin/ Vietnamese Infrastructure 4 Heng Samrin/Vietnamese Reactions to Relief Efforts 4 The Vietnamese Military Presence: Fighting and Insecurity 5 The Military Situation 5 Prospects for Peace 6 Thai Attitudes and Policy 6 APPENDIX: Demographic Methodology The Long Nol Regime, July 1970-April 1975 10 The Pol Pot Regime, April 1975-January 1979 10 Estimated Population Distribution 11 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006E/MRI f-RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 National Foreign Assessment Center THE INDOCHINA REFUGEE SITUATION: AN UPDATE An Intelligence Assessment This assessment was prepared in the office of the National Intelligence Officer for China - East Asia and the Pacific. Contributions were received from the Office of Political Analysis and the Office of Geographic and Carto- graphic Research, National Foreign Assessment Center. The assessment was prepared at the request of the Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, and was coordinated with the Office of Economic Research and the Office of Strategic Research in the National Foreign Assessment Center and with the Bureau of Intelligence and Research in the Department of State. Secret NI 79-10009 November 1979 Approved For Release 2006/0W8I fWDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006R4MPI RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Vietnam has shown it can regulate the refugee flow essentially according to its own dictates. The exodus of boat refugees from Vietnam decreased dramatically following strict governmental measures taken to moderate the outflow after the Geneva refugee meetings in July. Hanoi does not seem to be preparing to resume the exodus. On the other hand, there is no evidence that Hanoi has abandoned its basic decision to rid itself of unwanted citizens, especially Chinese, and the flow of assisted departures could resume at any time. 0 Vietnam's dry-season campaign and widespread food shortages in Kampuchea have caused another mammoth refugee influx into Thailand, the worst effects of which are probably yet to come. As many as a half million potential refugees may already be in western Kampuchean provinces within reach The strong possibility that anti-Vietnamese resistance in Kampuchea will become a protracted guerrilla war means that the Kampuchean refugee problem--for Thailand in par- ticular--will also be a long-term one. 0 Approved For Release 2006/0:S1 C 1 DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006IOJJ , I DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 The number of refugees from Laos has decreased considerably since Thailand and Laos agreed in August to cooperate in preventing border crossings. Reported Chinese plans to put pressure on Vietnam by supporting resistance in Laos, however, along with other factors, could result, in future in another large refugee exodus. Thailand has said it will grant temporary sanctuary to all persons fleeing to its territory. Bangkok might reverse this policy, however, if it decided permanent resettlement to other countries was too slow or international funding of holding centers was inadequate, or if domestic pressures became too strong. The attitudes of other ASEAN countries toward first asylum will depend on the rate of new arrivals vis-a-vis departures to countries of permanent resettlement. A resumption of the large-scale refugee exodus from Vietnam might result in increased attempts to prevent refugees from landing, The flow of boat refugees from Vietnam to Hong Kong has decreased. Hong Kong and China are cooperating in preventing the entry into Hong Kong of persons posing as refugees from Vietnam. Approved For Release 2006/0S 'PGV1TRDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006 1R 1 -RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Present Vietnamese Policies: Boat Refugees 1. The mammoth outflow of boat refugees* from Vietnam in the period January-June 1979, which totaled almost 60,000 during May, has slowed dramatically. The refugee total was less than 9,000 in both August and September, clearly demon- strating that Hanoi can reduce the flow as and when it sees fit. Since mid-June, the government has implemented effective measures to diminish the exodus, particularly of Chinese, by turning off its "refugee machine" and by publicizing the harsh punishment meted out to offenders, including the death penalty for organizers and the shooting of escapees on sight. Increased land and sea patrols, and restrictions on boat building, also help prevent departures. Adverse weather may have been a factor at first but is so no longer. Several reports even indicate the government is refunding exit permit fees previously paid by Chinese. Refugees report increasing difficulty in bribing officials to facilitate departure. Recent escapees typically have been ethnic Vietnamese in small groups of friends and relatives using * See NFAC Intelligence Assessment NI 79-10004 of July 1979, entitled "Indochina Refugee Situation," and PA M 79-10292 of June 1979, entitled "Vietnam's Refugee Machine," for background on the current situation. Appendix 2 contains monthly statistics on Indochina refugee arrivals in 1979. (U) Approved For Release 2006/0A% 81 -WDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006e FF -RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 D small boats, avoiding contact with the authorities, and departing clandestinely from southern locations. 2. Vietnam does not, however, appear to have changed its basic policy of intending to expel most of its Chinese, and there are reports of continued registration of Chinese for departure and of assertions by Vietnamese officials that the moratorium is temporary. Hanoi fears the Chinese represent a Fifth Column in the conflict with China and, furthermore, comprise an economic class that does not fit in with sociali- zation plans. Desire to emigrate by ethnic Vietnamese unhappy with the government's policies, especially deteriorat- ing economic conditions, is expected to remain high for years to come. At present, the weight of international opprobrium, spearheaded by complaints from the ASEAN countries, keeps Vietnam from once again opening up the floodgates. Its future actions, however, will depend upon its own perceived interests, especially in the field of internal security, and will not necessarily be responsive to external pressure. 3. Vietnam is loudly publicizing, for propaganda purposes, a legal immigration program of orderly departures run in conjunction with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). The numbers involved so far are small--about 100 people a week fly out of Ho Chi Minh City Approved For Release 2006/01fCbbP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/OjZIZDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 on charter flights--and Hanoi has dragged its feet on im- plementation. There is no evidence that Hanoi has established new refugee processing centers, although the government could use the large number of existing military camps as, holding centers if necessary. At the moment, most of the paperwork needed to acquire an exit permit is completed well before the departure date, the immediate predeparture steps take little time, and those permitted to leave apparently stay in their homes until shortly before departure. Some would-be refugees may be trying to leave under the orderly departure program rather than risk a hazardous and clandestine boat voyage. Approved For Release 2006/d C-k DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006 jjRj4=RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Thailand's Refugee Problem: Disaster in Kampuchea, Less Urgency in Laos Kampuchea 5. Vietnam's dry-season campaign, coupled with widespread and severe food shortages, has created yet another potentially disastrous refugee situation in Thailand. Actual numbers are confused, but possibly as many as 200,000 refugees in various stages of malnutrition and ill health have fled to Thailand in recent weeks. Perhaps 200,000 others in various locations just across the border in Kampuchea may soon flee to Thailand; upwards of 100,000, for instance, are reportedly gathered inside Kampuchea across from Aranyaprathet. We estimate that several hundred thousand more Kampucheans in the western and southwestern regions contiguous to Thailand may be facing famine and military pressure and thus also represent a pool of potential refugees. In sum, up to 10 percent of Kampuchea's current population, estimated at 5.7 million, could seek refuge in Thailand. Pol Pot 6. The refugees fall into the three groups: forces and their supporters; Khmer Liberation Movement forces (non-Communist resistance groups) and their supporters; and Kampuchean civilians with no ties to either group. Large numbers of Kampucheans also cross back and forth Approved For Release 2006/0 /1'7-x1alh-kDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006 B1 -RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 into Thailand to barter for food in a flourishing Thai trade or to obtain relief supplies. Volunteer agencies based in Thailand have access to these enclaves. Refugees report severe food shortages in western Kampuchea; they say it is no longer possible to find edible vegetation along the border area and that many will be unable to survive without relief assistance. 7. Current Vietnamese/Heng Samrin policy is apparently designed to deny food and medical supplies to Kampucheans, except civilians under their direct control, who live in contested areas, not only in areas close to the Thai border but also in the central and northeast regions. Vietnamese troops have reportedly seized food and medicines from Kampuchean civilians. Vietnamese military strategy seems aimed in part at driving Pal Pot guerrillas and their supporters over the border into Thailand. Over the long haul, these guerrillas may be able to form the nucleus for an anti-Vietnamese protracted struggle, which means that the problem of refugees from Kampuchea will also be a long- term one. 8. The influx of refugees from Laos has decreased from approximately 6,000 to 3,000 per month since Thailand and Laos agreed in August to cooperate in preventing border Approved For Release 2006/0 f G&WIFTDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 7 - Approved For Release 2006 URgT-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 crossings. Vientiane's recent decision to suspend forced agricultural collectivization may also have contributed to this diminished flow. The Laotian Government reports that several thousands of refugees have returned from Thailand--a figure that is probably exaggerated--and has given re- T_ assurances that returnees will not be treated harshly. 9. The basic causes of the refugee exodus have not been removed. The government may resume forced agricultural collectivization following the 1979 rice harvest. Further- more, Vientiane reports a projected 1979 shortfall of between 70,000 and 80,000 tons of foodgrains. These economic factors, possibly combined with departures caused by political frustration, could once again increase the rate of departures. In the future China's apparent plans to put pressure on Vietnam by supplying resistance groups in Laos could step up fighting there and result in an increased refugee flow. Reactions and Policies of ASEAN States Thailand 10. Earlier in 1979 Thailand took a hard line against Kampuchean refugees, at one time forcibly repatriating 48,000 to an uncertain fate. On 19 October, Prime Minister Kriangsak announced a major policy change, stating that, for humanitarian Approved For Release 2006/0 d1KB F DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006kI14-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 reasons, and in view of the high level of international assistance, Thailand would henceforth accept for temporary asylum all Kampuchean refugees and would abandon forced repatriation. 11. Bangkok intends to transfer newly arrived Khmer refugees away from the immediate border area to temporary holding centers to be constructed in Prachinburi, Chantaburi, and Surin Provinces with UNHCR support. Some of these holding centers have already started operating, but so far they are little more than open fields surrounded by barbed wire where conditions are bad. Thousands of refugees reportedly fled back into Kampuchea to avoid being sent to these rear camps. After a few weeks in these centers, the refugees will be transferred to a "national refugee center" to be created by expanding a small existing camp in Trat Province at the southern end of the border into a facility capable of accommodating up to 300,000 persons. However, priority is being given to the temporary holding centers, and it may be some months before the "national center" is operational. Thailand also wants to set up a relief task force, composed of government and international volunteer relief agencies, to bring order to emergency relief efforts at present hampered by lack of central coordination. Thailand has recognized the need for additional medical assistance, and promised to permit more foreign medical personnel to operate in refugee - 9 - Approved For Release 2006/0381ZC 'ffDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 20061 /(1 -RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 camps. It has also called for a United Nations factfinding mission to monitor the Thai-Kampuchean border. 12. Thailand continues to cooperate with international organizations in sending food and medicines to refugees inside Thailand and across the border into Kampuchea. It also permits the use of Bangkok as a stopover for Red Cross and UNICEF supply planes en route to Phnom Penh. Bangkok has stipulated that it will retain full control over all relief efforts in the border area and insists that some aid must go to Thai villagers displaced by the refugee influx. 13. Bangkok continues to discourage refugees from Laos from entering and to try to repatriate those who evade checkpoints. Thai leaders have stated, however, that they will not forcibly repatriate Lao refugees, although in June provincial officials reportedly sent back several hundred persons. At the Geneva meetings, China offered to accept up to 10,000 refugees already in Thailand or other ASEAN countries and in September agreed to resettle 10,000 Lao and Hmong from Thai refugee camps. 14. The new Thai policy entails considerable political risk for Kriangsak, although it may also accrue international praise to him for Thailand's humanitarianism. Thai authorities Approved For Release 2006/0 FTAkFT-DP81B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 200 BIE-RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 I view the large number of Indochina refugees as a potential security problem and an economic burden that threatens the government's stability. The Thais in particular are concerned that the influx of refugees, including Pol Pot's supporters could provoke incursions by and conflict with Vietnamese troops; indeed, several small-scale incidents have already occurred in the border area. The Vietnamese have stated forcefully and publicly that, despite public Thai denials, they have evidence of Thailand's cooperation with China in the training and resupply of Kampuchean resistance forces. 15. Thailand's new, more lenient refugee policy is undoubtedly contingent on the timely movement of refugees either to countries of permanent resettlement or back into Kampuchea (or Laos) when conditions permit. If this does not proceed as expected, or if the flow of international assistance to camps inside Thailand diminishes, the policy may be reversed and forced repatriation again employed. Approved For Release 2006/08: &kWDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006p/ R=RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Malaysia 16. The refugee presence in Malaysia could cause domestic repercussions affecting the regime's stability, although tensions have decreased recently because of a decrease in arrivals and the increased rate of departures to countries of permanent resettlement. Malaysia has a long history of ethnic confrontation between Malays and Chinese and believes the refugee presence--including many Chinese-- could result in ethnic violence. 17. In 1978, Malaysia granted first asylum to all boat refugees. In the first few months of 1979, however, when the sheer weight of arrivals threatened to overwhelm the country's capacity to absorb the refugees and become a major political issue, it adopted a hard line. It set up a naval cordon off its east coast and towed new arrivals out to sea after providing fuel and food. Malaysia softened its stance somewhat following a major outflow of refugees from its camps to permanent resettlement elsewhere. Only seaworthy boats are now towed back to sea. While publicly reiterating its policy of refusing first asylum, in practice Malaysia has permitted some new arrivals to land and be processed. It has also allowed all of the "limbo" refugees--those scattered in unorganized small camps along the beach--into regular camps. Approved For Release 2006/O FZ(,&kFWDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006M]RQ'RJ4-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 18. Malaysia, however, as cautious as ever in its dealings with Vietnam, appears reluctant to return to an acknowledged first-asylum policy at a time when Vietnam is critical of Malaysia and its ASEAN partners for their anti- Vietnamese stance at the nonaligned meetings in Havana and in the UN General Assembly. Malaysia reportedly feels that Vietnam might resume the refugee flow so as to put pressure on ASEAN to soften its collective policy toward Vietnam and the Heng Samrin regime. Indonesia 19. The Indonesian Government, despite strong anti- Chinese and anti-Communist attitudes, has generally been more lenient in granting first asylum to refugees. It too fears that the refugee presence may give rise to internal security problems, but the threat is less urgent because the refugee camps are scattered on islands far from major propulation centers. Indonesia's stated policy is to grant first asylum to refugees who reach an Indonesian island, although there have been reports of seaworthy boats being provisioned and 20. In May 1979, Indonesia agreed to establish a refugee processing center on Galang island in the Riau island group south of Singapore. Construction has since moved slowly, but Indonesia is transferring refugees from camps scattered - 13 - Approved For Release 2006/0 W '& WDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/9V,(7R A2DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 on other islands, especially the Anambas group, to Galang. By mid-October, only two camps in the Anambas were still open, all other refugees having been successfully transferred to Galang. The Philippines 21. The Philippines continues to grant first asylum to all refugees reaching its shores. Furthermore, the Philippine Government announced at the Geneva meetings in July that it would establish a refugee processing center for 50,000 people. 22. Imelda Marcos, wife of the President, is responsible for the establishment of the center in her capacity as Minister for Human Settlement and is taking a close interest in the project. The center was originally planned for con- struction on the island of Palawan, but this site was deemed unfeasible because of high malaria incidence and construction and logistic difficulties. The center will now be built on the Bataan peninsula. Construction has been delayed by problems of financial accountability and funding. There is as yet no firm completion date. Singapore 23. Singapore consistently takes a hard line on refugees and has never offered first asylum. It cooperates effectively, - 14 - Approved For Release 2006/O l -' DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 200 however, in the transit of refugees through its territory if it receives cast-iron guarantees of acceptance by countries of permanent resettlement. Current Chinese Policy BI -RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 24. In principle, the Beijing Government continues its policy of permitting refugees from Vietnam to enter China, although relatively few appear to be doing so. Beijing claims to have accepted 250,000 refugees from Vietnam, most of whom crossed over the border by land. In July and August, the Chinese claimed that about 10,000 Vietnamese refugees per month were entering China. After Vietnam reduced the flow of refugees, however, China became silent on the number of new refugees and the latest Chinese refugee figure remains at around 250,000 persons. 0 25. China may have allowed some of these refugees to "escape" from their resettlement camps and make their way to Hong Kong, claiming to have come directly from Vietnam; Hong Kong authorities conclude that as many as 20 percent of the "boat" people who landed in Hong Kong this year had originally been resettled in China. In September, however, Beijing issued directives to the southern provinces to stop assisting the onward flow of refugees to Hong Kong and has already taken back some 700 persons. - 15 - Approved For Release 2006/Of W %&k bP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006J4Mpf1C-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 26. China has invited the UNHCR to observe the re- settlement of Vietnamese refugee and has requested UNHCR funds to help pay for refugee assistance. The Chinese have not yet presented a firm figure for this support, but it is expected to run to the tens of millions of dollars. Beijing has ignored proposals to create a holding area in China where refugees could wait for processing of their applications to countries of permanent settlement. Refugee Populations in Countries of First Asylum as of 30 September 1979 27. The total refugee population in countries of first asylum almost doubled in the first six months of 1979 and reached a peak of about 370,000 persons at the end of July. During August and September, the arrival rate was dramatically reduced and more than offset by the rate of departures for permanent resettlement. The total refugee camp population decreased by 23,000 (6 percent of the peak July population), leaving 347,000 refugees still to be resettled. Malaysia and Indonesia experienced the greatest reduction, accounting for more than 70 percent of the refugees departing for resettle- ment. Thailand and Hong Kong together provided only a quarter of the refugees leaving for resettlement, even though their combined refugee population constituted two-thirds of the Approved For Release 2006/0 &11 DP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006"/MEW-RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 total. Singapore, the Philippines, Japan, Macao, and Korea each experienced slight increases in their refugee populations, but the total increase was less than 3,000 persons. 28. Thailand continues to be the country with the largest number of refugees. As of 30 September, its camps contained almost half of all registered refugees, and, as each day goes by, refugees from Kampuchea swell the numbers. Hong Kong's camps held almost one-fifth of the refugee population, while Malaysian and Indonesian camps combined accounted for less than 30 percent of the total. The share of other countries amounted to only 4 percent. Thailand 29. Thailand's registered refugee population of 170,300-- that is, before the current influx from Kampuchea--is primarily (95 percent) made up of people arriving over land. Ninety percent of these registered land refugees have come from Laos and represent lowland Lao and highland Hmong (Meo) in roughly equal numbers. Registered Khmer refugees as of 30 September amounted to less than 10 percent of land refugees in camps, and Vietnamese only 1 percent, although the number of Vietnamese boat refugees increased by 287 persons (20 percent) during the period 31 July to 30 September. II Approved For Release 2006/0:912(L l bP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006 34W!:I Rr^,P81 B00401 R001400080006-6 30. More than 5,600 land refugees left Thailand between 31 July and 30 September. Those departing were roughly half Lao and half Khmer. Thailand's boat refugee population de- creased by almost 14 percent to 7,300 during the two-month period ending on 30 September. Hong Kong 31. Hong Kong's refugee population increased from less than 5,000 to over 66,000 between 1 January and 31 July 1979. Since then, it has decreased by around 1,000 persons--a reduction smaller in both absolute and proportional terms than that experienced by other major first-asylum countries. Malaysia 32. Malaysia experienced the largest absolute reduction in refugee population among the major first asylum countries during the two-month period ending on 30 September. Almost 85 percent of the decline can be attributed to departures from the camp at Pulau Bidong, but all camps had refugee departures except for the transit facility in Kuala Lumpur and the Kuantan camp. The net reduction amounted to 15 to 20 percent of the 31 July refugee population. 1 -1 Approved For Release 2006/03 1GAA-RDP81 B00401 ROO1400080006-6 Approved For Release 20061,qE(7R$"-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Indonesia 33. Figures for Indonesia have not been as reliable as those reported from other countries. This has been due in part to the arrival of refugees on remote islands and also to the moving of refugees from island to island. We believe, however, that the refugee population during the two-month period ending 30 September decreased by between 9,000 to 12,000 persons. The Philippines 34. Most of the 6,700 refugees in the Philippines are concentrated in three camps: 3,000 on Tara Island, 2,100 on Palawan Island, and 543 at Subic Bay. The remaining refugees are scattered in the Manila area. Approved For Release 2006/fE1fk DP81 B00401 ROO1400080006-6 ope, cvlrurie4/ -risUe: Approved For Release 2006MEOREsl k-RDP81 800401 R0(*, 6 $0004 KT v & O~.rpr rive ilsrssr. "TNT' A "'I cy,Ir uOd. t/ " Poi ` rt ~IJM'' Appendix 2 Indochinese Refugee Arrivals in Countries of Temporary Asylum in Southeast Asia _ -_ S p - __b r 1 979* Month By Land By Boat Total January 7,200 10,500 17,700 February 3,332 8,632 11,964 March 5,668 17,189 22,857 April 5,636 24,886 30,522 May 4,976 59,412 64,388 June 14,936 45,451 60,387 July 9,571 24,3D j,oao August . 3,188 8,792 11,980 September 4,569 8,988 13,557 Total 59,076 208,165 267,241 * Includes Hong Kong and Macao but not China. This table is Unclassified. vry C,4'i (4ftf' C/ate / {~ Frg* Qe'evA t ;A 30~j F/,oJ kCt- qr dpwN- Approved For Release 2006103i ,!X]1 tWP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006/6*' 7 b1 -RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Appendix 1 Refugee Populations in Countries of First Asylum 30 September 1978 - 30 September 1979a 30 Sep 79b 31 Dec 78 Net Change 31 Dec 78 - 30 Sep 79 Net Change 31 Jul 79 - 30 Sep 79 Persons Percent Persons Percent Country 6 04 3 Thailand 170,300 139,140 31,160 22.39 -5,34 . - Land Refugees (163,000) (135,532) (27,468) ( 20.27) (-4,174) ( -2.50) Boat Refugees ( 7,300) ( 3,608) ( 3,692) (102.33) (-1,172) (-13.83) Hong Kong 65,200 4,810 60,390 1,255.51 -1,451 -2.18 Malaysia 51,700 46,286 5,414 11.70 -9,859 -16.02 c Indonesia 46,000 2,607 43,393 1,664.48 -9,026c -16.40 Philippines 6,600 2,265 4,335 191.39 806 13.91 Macao 3,500 n.a.d 3,500 -- 234 7.16 Singapore 2,200 641 1,559 243.21 1,047 90.81 170 1 597 573 95.98 639 120.34 K , 140 74 66 89.19 102 268.42 =.~,,,,,,~ Otters 520 7 513 7,328.57 -408 -43.97 347,330 196,427 150,903 76.82 -23,262 -6.28 a Figures in this table may not agree with those in individual country tables because of disparities in the mode and date of data collection. All figures should be viewed as reasonably accurate approximations, not as results obtained from precise headcounts. b Rounded figures. c The decrease in Indonesian camp populations during the 31 July - 30 September period may reflect resolution of an uncertainty concerning the 31 July figures, which included an estimated 9,000 unregistered refugees. d Data not available. This table is Unclassified. - 20 - Approved For Release 2006/0313E[1'WDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/03/17 : CIA-RDP81 800401 R001400080006-6 M 0 j O d' N N 0 \D M r-1 r~ -4 h+ ~.0 M .t O 00 h. O O\ 0 M 0 M N ^:I' 0 0 1` 0 0 N 0\ L1 0 .--I 0 O CO O N I I 1 I I I I I ^t n N -It 00-,1-r^?\D1~00\Wcnto r-10-4 N N Mr-1In I'0O\OOLn N O\ o\ O\ r?.ir r-1 N I'D I r-1 in N I ,--i -IT L -i `""1 I I N I I I n 11 r1 I 1. O o 0 0 0 0 0 0 O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0000 O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 M 01% '-D ON -It Lrl 0 0 0 Ln O 0 0 0 in 0 0 0 0 0 0 r~ 00 00 '.D %D N 00 00 1-1 M N N O LI'1 N M r--1 r-I 0 0 0 l O 0 0 0 L n 0 0 0 0 0 0 I'D -It 000 M tn'0 -It 00 r-1 n --1 O\ M r: r-1 (nom, 0 0O%D0\0r.~10 -It 011 It r-r-10\0 19 M O N- CON-- c-nO'.OCr1~ N N i MMmr-Ir-I 00000OOO0000000 M -d' 0O N '.O u1 H- N o1 ul M N- in 00 r-1 MCOO -tMr` -It O\Oc.0r--tO1 .t u'1 a-1 0A N ccdd bA 000 4 cd rl c>~d r~ . 0 C1 ?~ c bA `d ICI V) l H :J r 14 Approved ~ r I elg 0.*04/ ! 0 F2~F W M F14 Rq H in M in I r-1 r--1 1 O M '.0 O 110 co 00 N O1 t '" 1..0 o I o 1 0 0 ON 0 co r1 r-1 41 Cl) ?r1 a) ri a) ?ri 4-4 0O o O cd 4 1 W U] ) co Fj bu -H ca u rd $4 P! ~ 040E$F 01400080 Approved For Release 20061$ l` i -RDP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Appendix 4 Malaysian Refugee Camp Populations, 30 September 1979 30 Sep 1979a Percent of Refugee Population Net Change 31 Jul - 30 Sep 1979 Camp Persons Percent 24,700 49.72 -10,029 -28.88 Transit Facility (Kuala Lumpur) 7,800 15.70 2,313 42.15 Kuantan 7,480 15.06 330 4.62 Pulau Tengah 6,500 13.08 -1,394 -17.66 Kota Baru 1,970 3.96 -1.350 -40.66 Sarawak 800 1.61 -1,168 -59.35 th Pulau Besar 430 0.87 -105 -19.63 "Limbo jib -476 -100.00 49,680 100.00 -11,879 -19.30 a Rounded figures. b Refugees who arrived but may be pushed back out to sea. This table is Unclassified. Approved For Release 2006/O3/SF P81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006M/MZ'k-RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Appendix 5 Indonesian Refugee Camp Populations, 30 September 1979 Si 30 Sep 1979 Percent of Refugee Population Net Change 31 Jul - :30 Sep 1979 tes Persons Percent Jemaja Island (2 camps) 27,713 63.89 927 3.46 Bintan Island (9 camps) 9,692 22.34 -2,399 -19.84 Galang Island 5,929 13.67 5,119 631.98 Natuna Islands 44 0.10 -857 -95.12 Tarempa Island -- -- -5,227 -100.00 an N, #.arta) -211 -100.00 -9,000* -100.00 Not Registered Totals 43,378 100.00 -11,648 -21.17 * Estimated number of refugees present on 31 July, but not registered with the UNRCR. This table is Unclassified. - 24 - Approved For Release 2006/03/% . bP81 B00401 R001400080006-6 Approved For Release 2006 ' .'1' -RDP81 B00401 R001 400080006-6 Appendix 6 Hong Kong Refugee Camp Populations, 30 September 1979 Percent of Net Change 1979 30 S Refugee Population 31 Jul - 30 Sep l979 Camp ep t P Persons ercen Kai Tak North 14,380 21.88 -22 -0.15 Tuen Mun 13,366 20.33 13,366* --* Sham Shui Po 8,582 13.06 1,482 20.87 Jubilee 7,378 11.23 911 14.09 Chi Ma Wan 6,597 10.04 -1,996 -23.23 Kai Tak East 6,231 9.48 -9,772 -61.06 V't. Dockyard 3,197 4.86 -1,286 -28.69 In Prisons 2,807 4.27 1,983 240.66 Argyle IV 1,520 2.31 -1,190 -43.91 Cape Collinson 1,060 1.61 -19 -1.76 Ma Tau Wei 613 0.93 464 311.41 -4,841 -100.00 Not Registered -920 -1.38 Totals 65,731 100.00 * Data for 31 July not available. This table is Unclassified. - 25 - Approved For Release 2006/03/1 JJ JlbP81 B00401 R001400080006-6