UNITED STATES POLICY IN ZIMBABWE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP81B00401R002000050003-5
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 24, 2004
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 11, 1979
Content Type: 
MF
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11 April 1979 State Dept., NSC reviews completed MEMORANDUM FOR: Hamilton Jordan FROM Allard Lowenstein SUBJECT United States Policy in.Zimbabwe 1. -Time .is about to run out for an electoral resolution of the conflict in Zimbabwe. .The best chance left for achieving the Anglo-~ American principles is to adapt the general approach accepted by every- one for iiamibia. If the Transitional Government and the Patriotic Front are ever to be persuaded to accept UN-supervised elections, a number o- urgent steps will have to be taken before the opportunity of influencing attitudes toward elections on both sides is further eroded by outside events. _ 2. Two of these events are about to occur: the United Kingdom election Un 3 May, and the votes on the Hill on lifting U.S. sanctions. Until these events change the equation, the possibilit of 1ift7~-g sanctions can influence both sides to negotiate Tn good faith toward the UN-supervised elections .which everyone says they favor in principle. The Transitional Government would also have to be persuaded to make additional concessions, three of which I discussed with Ian Smith and hluzorewa in February: (i) the redefinition of the ~.pril elections as ,,. transitional (a la December elections in Namibia}; (2} an agreement to rene9otz.ate the- Consti tuti on, and to__submi t i t far__approval to the __- '- __ entire electorate, including black voters; and (3} the resignation of Smith. The Transitional Government viewed these items as bargaining chips,-3nd we seemed headed toward an acceptable quid pro quo when it ,, ._ o forward. was decided in Washington thati_discussions should not g __ _ 3. This general approach had gotten off to a hopeful start before this decision was made. Kaunda said it was the most useful proposal in a long tune, and urged that I ga back to Salisbury at once to '?bell the cat." Callaghan was encouraging, and both Bothas were unspecific but encouraging.,, Hayakawa, McGovern and other '' _ __ _ significant figures on the Hill were favorable; even Congressmen Bauman -and Solarz, who are not natural allies on this ar anything else, were both receptive. ~ - 4. It is very 1ate,,~ossibly too late, to reverse tI'ie course of events, But the stakes, iri South Afrid'a'"and in the United States as well as in Zimbabwe itself, are too high not to make the most effective effort possible. For this approach to have any chance now, very diverse elements would have. to cooperate, including the Front Line Presidents, the South African and British governments, and the Congress, especially conservative supporters of the Transitional Government. The first steps t~p~r~ve6li~dn~tel,~af~'eiSOQ~~T~IW-RI~~TB~(~~~d6~~ action on sanctions, and to check vrith Nverere. Approved For Release 2004/04/Q1:CIA-RDP81600401 8002000050003-5 5. Of course no initiative is more viable than the chemistry induced by whoever puts it together: how viable would the Sadat-Begin lo ? l di macy p negotiations have been had they been left to traditiona The situation in southern Africa and the nature of this initiative require that the first steps 6e undertaken at once, and by someone whose commitment to African liberation cannot be questioned, whose concern about the future of whites in southern Africa is trusted by the white leadership there, and whose credentials are respected ors the Hi 11. .. - 6. The .proposal outlined above grew out of my 1 ong i nvol verr~enir i.n both Liberation movements~in southern Africa and the political ? pressures of Congress and public life in the United States.'~Z believe ht be till mi d g s it is politically realistic at home and abroad, an 1 tirrate it s u successfully 1 aunched.~ I am far l ess sanguine about k h en as fate, but one of its strengths is that each step that is ta value in itself even if something goes wrong--further dawn the road. had Smith resigned and had the April elections been For instance , redefined as transitional., a possibility not pursued in February, the Administration's position both on the Hill and at the UN would now be less di~ficult -- even if UN-supervised elections and. a renegotiated constitution had never materialized. __ Approved For Release 2004/04/01 :CIA-RDP816004018002000050003-5 ~~t.~p,proved For Release 2004/04/01 :CIA-RDP81600401 8002000050003-5 ;~ q ~, _ ,~ a CONFIDENTIAL PAGE 01, CAPE T fd~i867 112020E ......---..???--..--b.-73551x2 1 S2tc2S~ /r~4 D iii53tGZ APR 79 ZFF-a FM AMCONSUL CSPk TOWN TO SECSTATE WASFiDC iMMEQIATE 5363 C O N F I D E N T I A L CAPE TOWN 867 ACTION SOUS-rasa I NFG ~ OCT-fd 1 AU5-Oib /1001 W cones 1 fl~4F? I~ ~QFIE~ FROM E,MdASSY CAPE TUwrr OcPT PLtA5E PASS WHITE tiDUSE E.O. 12ia65: XOS-3 4/11/59 (EDMONUSONs h,H,) OR?M TAGS: PURGr Y~A~ 5F 5Ub.iECT: NAr~ItilA: P.w, t1OTHA'S REPLY TO PRESIDENT CARTEf~ i. CCONFIUENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT) 2. FOLLOWING IN PAF3AGRAPh~ 3 bELOri IS TEXT ~OF~ LETTEk DATED APRIL 11r 1979 FROM PRIME MINISTER F.w, BOTtiA TO PRESIDENT CA~t7ER. THE SIGNED ORIGiNAL~ wt~ICl# vcAS tiANUED TO EMBASSY POLITICAL COUNSELOR BY DFA LIAISf~N OFFICE'~t NEIL YAN tiEEKUEN (ACTING FOk UFA SECRETARY B.G. FOuRIE wti0 IS UN EASTER VACATION) i5 iiE"ING FOR- WARDED tiY POUCH, VAN HEERDEN~S GcNERiiL COi~MENTS UN NAMIBIA AFtE kEPURTEG SEPTEi.i hI5 ONLY CCiMMENT AaDuT THE LE7TEk PER SE riAS THAT i~,1~. MAq RtGARUEt~ FkESIOENT CARTErt'S LETTER OF APRIL 6 AS A ThkEATr ALThDUGtt AN INUUI~tY TU AMt3ASSADUR SOLE IN WASriINGTOty hAU 6RnUGHT THE REPLY 7hAT NU 7FrHEAT i~AS iNTEN(3ED. ThIS IS P~E-~oved~ FTor'~~I~~s~e 2~U41'O4/~~ :' 0174=R1~p~fiB~'O~#i~'i ~d0~~bOd~'O~o~~'~$ C tJ i i V c ~ ~ % ; A ~ Y ,.,~,:Ap,pr'oved For Release 2004/04/01 :CIA-RDP81B00401~002000050003-5 ~___~__,________ CONFIDENTIAL PAGE b2 CAPE T P10867 112~G20Z THAT THE 5ECKtTAkY ~ENERAL~S REf'O~tT OF FEBRUARY 26f 1979 INTRi1UUCEU U~nACCEPTABLE DEVIATIDI~S FiiOt~ THE UN PLAty~ SI'E.CIFIGALLY Ui~ THE' ISSUESr OF MONITORING 51roAPU 6A5E5 AND aLLG4~iNC~ THE E:STAbLISMMt+vT OF 5UCh EASES IN NAMIBIA. 7ME LETTER DISMISSES THE CLARIFICATIONS RED BOLTING FRUr~ THE ktGENT PRUXIMI7Y TaLKS ANV sAYS T~tAT THE SAG WILL BE INFLUENCtR csY THE CUNSULTATiONS IN WHICH ..A NAMIBIA~5 "DEr~OCFtATiC PARTIES" ARE CUkRtNTLY Er~GAGEU. IT IS AN UNGNL:UUFtAGINGa ESScNTIALLY NEGATIVEo REPLY, 3. 6EGIN TEXT OF LETTER: "DCAR MR PRESIDENT THANK YUU FUR YOUR LETTER OF 6 aPRIL 1979 wHlCti WAS HAN[aEG TO r~E 6Y AMbASSAUGR EDMGNUSON ON 9 aP~cIL 1979. I APPRECIATE YGuR CANDOUR AirD AM SUkE YOt1 EXPECT 7ME SAME FRANKNESS FKUrS ME, I ALSG aGkEE ?~ITH YGU TnAT wE ARE A7 A POIi~T WHE+tE l1hDERSTANOING EACH UTiiEt~ IS OF EXTRAOR[~INARY IMPORTANCc. MiE STAND 6Y THE U.N. SETTLEMEItiT PLAN wHICh CATEGDRICALLY PROVIDED Fqk THE MOIVITOKIhG OF SWAPO tiA5ES ANU DIi1 ~;OT PROVIDE FUR TtiE ESTAE~LISHMENT AFTtR CEASERFIRE DF SUCH BASES Ire THE TEKKITURY. ANY OB3ECTIVE ANALYST WaULD AGrZEE Th+AT THE SECRtTARY~ GtNEFiAL~S kt:PURT OF 26 FEBRUAhY 1979 II~TRUUUCED DEVIA7IOPvS t~HICri MATERIALLY ALTER 7HE PRUPGSAL wMlCri kE pRIGINALLY ACCEPTED AND INGKEASE THE ALREAi}Y CUNSIUERABLE RiSK5 IN? VOLvED TO A POINT -vF1E~tE TriE SAFETY GF TnE F'cOPLE OF SOUTH V+E5T AFKICA CAN NO LONGER Bt GUARANTEED. 7ME 16 POINiS WHICH ~!ERk SUE35EWUENTLY SUBMITTED TO US E3Y THE FIVE FuRkIuN MINISTt-iS, GO NUT AI:FECT THESE GONFIDE~vTIAL ~T ; ~I~~%;e;~;~s~~3~~~~i~~k~~Q~~-~A,~~~~~~,4~~QQ~P~~I~UTi V E S~c~rTA~Y CONFIDENTIAL ir'JTTCJ ~~':;A~':?^,^~JC~J `:/1T'sfC?~i 3~1`_ ~_.;;#~i'~T}=;~~i01`~ O;=THt ~X~CUT1Vf S~CR~TAf2Y Approved For Release 2004/04/01 :CIA-RDP81600401 8002000050003-5 . _ .1~ 1_\T ~~`. _ _ .. ^;~` ; :;.. ;pXoN,ea'For-`~elease 2004/04%01 :CIA-RDP81600401R00200005t~~~~~ ~~ I~e~i~rt~nert of S't~te ..~ THE: SOu7h AFRiGAN GOYERivMENT >AS STATEQ ALL ALONG THAT IT WOULD ti E:. GUiOE:U E3Y THE ialShtE:S Of? 7HE F'EGPLE. THE LkAi~EArtS OF THE DEMDGKATIC PAaTIE:S AkE CUR-~ENTLY EErGAGEQ Irv Ct~NS~dL?` TATIONS ON ThcSE IMPORTANT MATTERSo THE SOUTF+ AFt~ItrtArv GOVERroh;ENT VeILL [f t: 1NE?LtJENGEt) f3Y 7NEIk VIEWS. I WAS PERTUKBEU bY.YOUR 13EFERENGE To THE IMPLIGATIGNS~ Fi~R OUR RELATIONS WITn THt UNITED STA7ES ANU THE. IN'tVZTAt~ZL,ITY OF U.~v. aCTiUf4 aGAIr,ST SOUTM AFRICa, AS ThIS ~EEHE(3 TO ME 70 tat A pIRECT THREAT. Tr~IS I IMMI"OlATELY faOlrlTtoC~ E~t~T TO Y-OUR AME3ASSAUOR. SUE~SEQuENTLY, UUK Ar3EiASSAROR I+~ WASr9INGTON wA5 iNFURMED 7hAT NO THREAT -vAS INTE"NDEIDR I ~+OULD 6E GKATcFUL 'f 1J KECEIVE YOUR CUNFIRMATZON. AS IN THE PASTo wC itEMAIt~ READY 70 UISGtdS5 TAPE TMEaLEcMtfaN"" TaTION OF TrtE ORIGINAL SETTLEt1ENT PF~OPOSAL AS WELL AS SOEJTHERN AFRIGAIv ISSUES Irv GENEKALo Y;iTr'tOuT I~GGE,PTING THE RItaH7 OF UThERS TO uIGTA7t TO Ufa Sliv~rmRE4~Ya Appr?ved For Release 2004~~T01-: ~CfADRDP8.16004018002000050003-5 SENDER WILL CHECK CLASSIFICATION TOR ANO @OTTOM UNCLASSIFIED ?CONFIDENTIAL SECRET Ok'~'I~I.~I. ItOIJTING SLIP TO NAME AND ADDRESS DATE INITIALS I DCI Z BCEvans 3 4 a r ~__.._. ,. S 6 ACTION DIRECT REPLY PREPARE REPLY APPROVAL OISPATCN RECOMMENDAT[ON COMMENT FILE RETURN CONCURRENCE INfORMATfON S16NATURE Re~~rks Attached NODIS cable was provided to NFAC where it will be read by selected Agency . officers, FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER FROA9: NAME. ADDOFESS AND PHONE NO. DATE ~ r P 7.. UNCLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL SECRET Approved For Release 2004/04/01 :CIA-RDP81600401 8002000050003-5 s~9TE~ pC uepartment of Jtate SECRET' NUG031 CAPE T idfG830 09i31a2 TELEGRfa COPY-~`~-OF 15 COPIES INFO UGT-01 AOS-01d /~01 W " }_-_?-?--??~-_-~~---l28;~~ab 0913152 /44 U 0912302 AP_R r9 FM AMCUNSUL CAPt TOwN TU SECSTATE WA5t1UG NIAC'f IMMEDIATE ti339 S E C R E T CAPE TOWN 83~D NUDIS FUR ThE StCRETARY DRUM EMBASSY CAPt: TOWN DEPT ALSO PaSS WHITt HUUSE f:, 0, 12065: XUS-3 4/9188 (EtQMONOSUIdr ~t.B.) UR-M TAGS: PQRGr WAr SF SUBJECT: (5) NAMIBIA= DELIVERY Ufr PRESIDENT CAt~Tf